KabuDo

ALL Insurance

The Allstate Corporation

Allstate is the third-largest U.S. personal property and casualty insurer (A.M. Best, 2024 premiums), selling auto, homeowners, and other personal insurance under the Allstate, National General, and Direct Auto brands, plus protection plans, roadside assistance, and identity protection. It has about 211 million policies in force and 53,000 employees. After losses in 2022–2023, rate increases restored profitability: the property-liability combined ratio improved to 85.2 in 2025, and net income applicable to common shareholders reached $10.2 billion, helped by gains on selling its employer benefits and group health businesses.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 4, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 4, 2026 14:24 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 20, 2026

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

Company profile

Legal name
ALLSTATE CORP
Headquarters
NORTHBROOK, IL
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: ALL
Industry
Insurance
CIK
899051

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    53,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

02

Earnings calendar

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q3 FY2026

Quarter end: September 2026. In past years, Q3 results were released 19–36 days after quarter end (Nov 5, 2025; Oct 30, 2024; Oct 19, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 18–36 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 5, 2026 (+36 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 4, 2026 (+35 days)Feb 20, 2026 10-K (+51 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 5, 2025 (+36 days)Nov 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 5, 2025 (+36 days)Feb 24, 2025 10-K (+55 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 18, 2024 (+18 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 18, 2024 (+18 days)Feb 21, 2024 10-K (+52 days)
Q3 FY2023Sep 30, 2023Oct 19, 2023 (+19 days)Nov 1, 2023 10-Q (+32 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

03

Flagship products & services

  • Allstate Protection

    Auto insurance

    Examples: Allstate, National General, Direct Auto

    About 10% of the U.S. private auto market.

  • Allstate Protection

    Homeowners and other personal lines

    Examples: Homeowners, renters, condo, landlord

    About 9% of the U.S. homeowners market.

  • Protection Services

    Allstate Protection Plans and Roadside

    Examples: Electronics and appliance protection, roadside assistance

    Sold through retailers and directly.

  • Protection Services

    Arity, Identity Protection, Dealer Services

    Examples: Telematics analytics, identity protection, vehicle service contracts

    Services built around customer data and vehicles.

Descriptions are from the FY2025 Form 10-K's Item 1.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate. "This site’s estimate" divides a company-disclosed figure by an industry-wide statistic.

  • Personal lines insurance

    U.S., 2024 statutory direct written premium

    U.S. share

    9.7%

    Company-disclosed

    Behind State Farm (18.5%) and Progressive (11.8%); GEICO 7.8%, USAA 6.3%.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed
  • Private passenger auto insurance

    U.S., 2024

    U.S. share

    10.2%

    Company-disclosed

    State Farm 18.9%, Progressive 16.7%, GEICO 11.6%, USAA 6.2%.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed
  • Homeowners insurance

    U.S., 2024

    U.S. share

    8.7%

    Company-disclosed

    State Farm 17.7%, USAA 6.6%, Liberty Mutual 6.1%, Farmers 5.3%.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

Sources:

Shares from Allstate's 10-K charts, based on 2024 statutory direct written premium according to A.M. Best.

04

Recent strategic focus

FY2025 developments from the 10-K, and 2026 leadership changes from 8-Ks.

  1. Sale of benefits businesses

    Allstate sold its employer voluntary benefits business (closed April 1, 2025) and group health business (closed July 1, 2025), recording after-tax gains of $641M and $499M.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. Record profit

    Net income applicable to common shareholders rose to $10.17B and return on equity to 42.3%, driven by higher underwriting income and the disposition gains.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  3. Leadership changes

    Mario Rizzo became COO in October 2025, and Christian Lown, previously CFO of CoStar Group and Freddie Mac, joined as CFO on August 3, 2026.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2025-10-01 and 2026-07-14

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.47x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$228M ÷ $482M = 0.47x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $345M in FY2021 to $228M in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-20

05

Key figures at a glance

FY2021–FY2025, 5 years.

Total revenue (FY2025)

$67.69B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (4 years)

+7.5%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($67,685M ÷ $50,601M) ^ (1÷4) − 1 = 7.5%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

39.5%▲favorable

5-year average: 12.5%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.77x

formulaP/E × EPS ÷ BVPS (= period-end share price ÷ book value per share)

e.g.5.5x × $38.06 ÷ $117.73 = 1.77x

termsP/B · P/E · EPS · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +7.5% a year over 4 years (strong growth)

    From $50.6B in FY2021 to $67.69B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 5 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 12.5% over 5 years (latest: 39.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

06

Business model

Allstate Protection (property-liability)

Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines, plus some commercial lines, sold through exclusive Allstate agents, independent agents, contact centers, and online, in all 50 states, D.C., and Canada.

Allstate Protection (property-liability): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Exclusive and independent agents, about 2,200 contact-center representatives, and about 500 Direct Auto retail stores
    • An $83B investment portfolio
    • Reinsurance
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Pricing and underwriting personal insurance
    • Handling claims
    • Investing premiums
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • U.S. and Canadian households and drivers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Insurance premiums
    • Investment income

Allstate Protection (property-liability): how it makes money

  • Property-liability premiums earned $57.7B and underwriting income $8.54B in FY2025 (combined ratio 85.2, versus 104.5 in 2023).
  • Catastrophe losses were $4.96B; prior-year reserve releases added $1.81B.
  • Growth came from more auto and homeowners policies in force and premium rate increases.

Protection Services

Consumer product protection plans (Allstate Protection Plans), roadside assistance, vehicle service contracts sold through dealers, identity protection, and Arity, which analyzes driving data from telematics.

Protection Services: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Retail and dealer partnerships
    • Telematics data (Arity)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Selling protection plans and roadside and identity services
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Consumers buying electronics, appliances, and vehicles; drivers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Premiums and service fees

Protection Services: how it makes money

  • Revenue of about $3.5B and adjusted net income of $218M in FY2025.
  • 81.6% of Allstate's policies in force but about 5% of total revenue.

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Property-Liability

    59,733 (94%)

    profit 8,540 · margin 14.3%

  • Protection Services

    3,546 (6%)

    profit 218 · margin 6.1%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, Property-Liability and Protection Services Property-Liability revenue is premiums earned plus other revenue, and profit is underwriting income (before investment income). Protection Services revenue includes intersegment fees and investment income, and profit is adjusted net income (non-GAAP, after tax). The two profit measures aren't directly comparable.

07

Contract structure

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Allstate's revenue is mainly premiums on personal auto and homeowners policies, which are priced and repriced through state-approved rate filings, plus investment income on the premiums it holds. Profitability depends on how claim costs — driven by vehicle repair and building material prices and by catastrophes — compare with those rates.

  • Personal auto and homeowners policies

    Property-liability premiums earned: $57.7B (85% of FY2025 revenue)

    Typical term: Rates change through state rate filings; Allstate reports implemented rate changes by state

    Rate increases drove 2024–2025 premium growth.

  • Protection plans, roadside, and identity services

    Protection Services: about $3.5B

    Typical term: Product protection plans and service subscriptions

    Lower U.S. retail sales reduce Protection Plans premiums.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1 and MD&A

08

Customers & suppliers

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Households and drivers in the U.S. and Canada, plus consumers buying protection plans and roadside and identity services.

Named by the company

No customer is named; Allstate has about 211 million policies in force.

What the filings disclose

  • Protection Services accounts for 81.6% of policies in force but about 5% of revenue. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

Suppliers

Agents (exclusive and independent), auto repair and building trades whose costs drive claims, and reinsurers.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • Higher vehicle, parts, and building material prices from tariffs increase claim costs. (Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A)

09

Competitors & peers

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Allstate's 10-K calls personal lines insurance highly competitive and shows its market share against its principal U.S. competitors, using 2024 statutory direct written premium from A.M. Best.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Personal lines and auto insurance

Homeowners insurance

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1, Competition

Peer group the company chose

2025 compensation peer companies, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Insurance and financial companies chosen to reflect Allstate's business and operations; eight of the thirteen also list Allstate as a peer. Liberty Mutual is included but isn't publicly traded.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-10) — Compensation peer companies

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

10

M&A history

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

Allstate's recent moves have been divestitures to focus on property-liability and protection services.

  1. Apr 2025 (sale)

    Employer voluntary benefits business (American Heritage Life Insurance Company)

    Pretax gain of $888M

    Since divested

    Voluntary benefits sold through employers.

    Stated purpose (company)
    The 10-K reports the sale and gain; it doesn't state a purpose in the sections reviewed.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, Dispositions

  2. Jul 2025 (sale)

    Group health business (Direct General Life, NSM Sales, The Association Benefits Solution)

    Pretax gain of $715M

    Since divested

    Group health insurance.

    Stated purpose (company)
    The 10-K reports the sale and gain; it doesn't state a purpose in the sections reviewed.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, Dispositions

Gains as recorded in the FY2025 10-K.

11

Five years of financials

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Total revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-20

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-20

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-20

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-20

Line itemFY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue50,60151,41157,09464,10667,685
Pretax income——-3485,76113,156
Net income (attributable)1,614-1,289-1884,66710,282
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—1.6%11.1%12.3%5.6%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1003.2%-2.5%-0.3%7.3%15.2%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets99,44097,989103,362111,617119,758
Total equity24,94417,48817,77021,44230,610
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable7,9767,9647,9428,0857,490
Equity ratio25.1%17.8%17.2%19.2%25.6%
ROE6.5%-6.1%-1.1%23.8%39.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF5,1165,1214,2288,93110,110
Investing CF510-1,728-2,999-8,252-7,255
Financing CF-5,240-3,420-1,243-697-2,881
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures4,7714,7013,9618,7219,882
Cash and equivalents763736722704678
Per share & other
EPS ($)5.01-5.14-1.2016.9938.06
BVPS ($)88.7766.4967.8280.91117.73
Dividend per share ($)3.243.403.563.684.00
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10064.7%——21.7%10.5%
P/E (x)23.5——11.45.5
P/B (x)calcP/E × EPS ÷ BVPS (= period-end share price ÷ book value per share)1.33——2.381.77

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (five-year selected financial data and the consolidated financial statements), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

12

Is ROIC above WACC?

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Banks, insurers, and similar financial companies aren’t compared this way, since deposits/policies are the business itself and debt can’t be cleanly separated from operating capital.

13

What the price implies (DCF)

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Not applied to banks, insurers, and similar financial companies: their operating cash flow includes deposits or premiums held for customers, so it isn’t free cash flow available to investors.

14

Earnings quality

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

Financial companies’ operating cash flow behaves differently from an operating company’s, so this analysis doesn’t apply.

15

Strengths & weaknesses

Strengths

  1. 1. Profitability restored

    The property-liability combined ratio improved from 104.5 (2023) to 94.3 (2024) and 85.2 (2025), as rate increases outpaced claim costs.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. 2. Scale and brand

    The third-largest U.S. personal P&C insurer, with about 211 million policies in force and a widely known brand ('You're In Good Hands With Allstate').

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1

  3. 3. Multiple distribution channels

    Exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers (about 2,200 representatives), online, and about 500 Direct Auto retail stores, under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto, and Answer Financial brands.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1

  4. 4. Simplified portfolio

    Selling the employer voluntary benefits and group health businesses in 2025 produced pretax gains of $888M and $715M and focused Allstate on property-liability and protection services.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Large catastrophe exposure

    Catastrophe losses were $4.96B in 2025 and $5.64B in 2023, adding 8.6 points to the 2025 combined ratio.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. 2. Volatile earnings

    Net income swung from a $1.29B loss (FY2022) to $10.28B profit (FY2025), and 2025 benefited from one-time disposition gains and $1.81B of reserve releases.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  3. 3. Trailing the auto leaders

    In auto insurance, State Farm (18.9%) and Progressive (16.7%) hold larger shares than Allstate (10.2%).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1 market share charts

16

What draws investors to it

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

5.5x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.92%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

11%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

  1. 1. Earnings power after repricing

    Premium rate increases turned a 104.5 combined ratio in 2023 into 85.2 in 2025, and diluted EPS reached $38.06.

    What has to hold
    Claim costs and catastrophes stay near 2025 levels.
    The other side
    2025 included about $1.8B of reserve releases and large one-time gains, so it overstates normal earnings.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A; SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Rising dividend and buybacks

    Dividends per share rose every year from $3.24 (FY2021) to $4.00 (FY2025), and a $1.5B buyback program runs through September 2026.

    What has to hold
    Capital stays strong after catastrophe seasons.
    The other side
    A severe catastrophe year can quickly absorb capital, as 2022–2023 losses showed.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 5

  3. 3. Low valuation

    The P/E at FY2025 year-end was about 5.5x.

    What has to hold
    Earnings don't fall back sharply.
    The other side
    The low multiple reflects that 2025 earnings were inflated by one-time items and favorable reserve development.

    Evidence: This site's P/E calculation

P/E, dividend yield, and payout ratio use the FY2025 year-end share price. FCF yield isn't shown for insurers because operating cash flow includes premiums held to pay future claims.

17

Resilience

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

For an insurer or bank, debt-coverage ratios like these don’t describe its ability to absorb losses — that depends on its capital, reserves, and investment portfolio, which are covered in part 3 below.

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Net income-179.9% in FY2022 ($1.61B → −$1.29B)Yes, by FY2024

Covers only the 5 fiscal years on record (FY2021–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Capital rebuilt

    Shareholders' equity rose to $30.6B at year-end 2025 from $21.4B a year earlier.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

  • Large investment portfolio

    Investments totaled $83.2B at year-end 2025, and net investment income was $3.45B.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

  • Repricing power

    Allstate restored underwriting profit within two years after 2022–2023 losses through rate increases.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

  • Catastrophe concentration

    Catastrophe losses of about $5B a year are a recurring drag; reinsurance limits but doesn't remove them.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A and Item 1A

18

Risks (including geopolitical)

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
34
2
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring).

  1. 1Disaster

    Catastrophes and climate change

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Hurricanes, wildfires, hail, and other catastrophes can cause losses that vary sharply from year to year, and the 10-K says climate change could increase that variability.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Reinsurance (including aggregate covers) and catastrophe exposure management.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Raw materials & energy

    Claim cost inflation and tariffs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Tariffs and inflation raise vehicle, parts, and building material costs, increasing auto and homeowners claim costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Rate increases and reserve estimates that incorporate tariff scenarios.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Competition & technology shift

    Price competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Personal lines markets are highly competitive, and Allstate faces larger rivals in auto and homeowners.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Multiple brands and channels, and telematics data and analytics from Arity.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Rate regulation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    In 21 locations for auto and 20 for home, regulators must approve a rate before Allstate can use it, and regulators can disapprove rate filings, which can delay increases when claim costs rise.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Ongoing rate filings across states.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

19

What to watch going forward

  • Catastrophe losses and whether 2025's 85 combined ratio holds.
  • Auto and homeowners policy growth as competitors also cut rates.
  • Use of capital after the disposition gains — buybacks and dividends.
  • The new CFO, Christian Lown, who joined in August 2026.

20

Source documents

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 4, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 4, 2026 14:24 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 20, 2026

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent The Allstate Corporation’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.