KabuDo

APD Specialty Chemicals

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.

Air Products is an industrial gases company. It sells oxygen, nitrogen, argon, hydrogen, helium, and other gases to refining, chemicals, electronics, metals, and other industries. About half of sales come from on-site plants under 15- to 20-year contracts. FY2025 sales were $12.0 billion. The company reported a net loss after $3.6 billion of charges to exit several clean-energy projects, mainly in the U.S. In June 2026 it also dropped its Louisiana Clean Energy Complex and other projects, with pre-tax charges of up to $2.9 billion. It continues building the NEOM green hydrogen project in Saudi Arabia, expected to deliver green ammonia in 2027.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 7, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 7, 2026 12:29 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 20, 2025

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

Company profile

Legal name
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
Headquarters
ALLENTOWN, PA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
09/30
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: APD
Industry
Specialty Chemicals
CIK
2969

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    21,300

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

02

Earnings calendar

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: September 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 37–38 days after quarter end (Nov 6, 2025; Nov 7, 2024; Nov 7, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around September 30.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 14–38 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2026 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 30, 2026 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2026 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2026Dec 31, 2025Jan 30, 2026 (+30 days)Jan 30, 2026 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 6, 2025 (+37 days)Nov 20, 2025 10-K (+51 days)
Q3 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 31, 2025 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 1, 2025 (+31 days)May 1, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Dec 31, 2024Jan 14, 2025 (+14 days)Feb 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 7, 2024 (+38 days)Nov 21, 2024 10-K (+52 days)
Q3 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 1, 2024 (+32 days)Aug 1, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 30, 2024 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2024Dec 31, 2023Feb 5, 2024 (+36 days)Feb 5, 2024 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2023Sep 30, 2023Nov 7, 2023 (+38 days)Nov 16, 2023 10-K (+47 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

03

Flagship products & services

  • Industrial gases

    Atmospheric gases

    Examples: Oxygen, nitrogen, argon

    About half of regional industrial gases sales.

  • Industrial gases

    Process gases

    Examples: Hydrogen, helium, CO2, carbon monoxide, syngas

    Mostly gray hydrogen today; helium stored in Texas underground facilities.

  • Industrial gases

    Clean hydrogen projects

    Examples: NEOM Green Hydrogen Project (Saudi Arabia)

    Expected to come onstream and deliver green ammonia in 2027.

  • Corporate and other

    Equipment

    Examples: Air separation units, Rotoflow turboexpanders, Gardner Cryogenics containers

From the FY2025 Form 10-K, Item 1.

04

Recent strategic focus

FY2025 from the 10-K, and FY2026 events from 8-Ks.

  1. FY2025 project exits

    About $3.6B of charges: $2.4B for three U.S. projects in the Americas, $755M for smaller energy transition projects, and $425M to write down two coal gasification plants in China held for sale.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 5

  2. Louisiana Clean Energy Complex dropped

    In June 2026 Air Products decided not to proceed, along with the Casa Grande liquid hydrogen project in Arizona, because expected returns didn't meet its criteria; pre-tax charges up to $2.9B ($2.2B after tax).

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-06-30

  3. Q3 FY2026 results

    GAAP operating loss of $2.1B from the charges; adjusted EPS rose 12% to $3.47 and sales rose 5% to $3.2B.

    Source: Q3 FY2026 earnings release

  4. Electronics win

    A long-term agreement for Air Products San Fu to build four air separation units and pipelines for a semiconductor manufacturer's expansion in Taiwan.

    Source: Q3 FY2026 earnings release

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

4.49x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$7,023M ÷ $1,564M = 4.49x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

0.8%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$96M ÷ $12,037M × 100 = 0.8%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (5-year total)

$136M

Latest year: $60M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $2.46B in FY2021 to $7.02B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

05

Key figures at a glance

FY2021–FY2025, 5 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$12.04B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (4 years)

+3.9%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($12,037M ÷ $10,323M) ^ (1÷4) − 1 = 3.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

-7.3%▼caution

-29.4pt vs. 4 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$-877M ÷ $12,037M × 100 = -7.3%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

-2.5%▼caution

5-year average: 14.2%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

—

formulaP/E × EPS ÷ BVPS (= period-end share price ÷ book value per share)

termsP/B · P/E · EPS · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +3.9% a year over 4 years (modest growth)

    From $10.32B in FY2021 to $12.04B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 22.1% → -7.3%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -29.4 points over 4 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 36.6% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▼

    Free cash flow was positive in 2 of 5 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 14.2% over 5 years (latest: -2.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

06

Business model

Regional industrial gases (Americas, Asia, Europe, Middle East and India)

Produces atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon) and process gases (hydrogen, helium, CO2, carbon monoxide, syngas) at or near customer sites, and supplies smaller users with liquid bulk and packaged gases.

Regional industrial gases (Americas, Asia, Europe, Middle East and India): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Electricity (the largest cost for atmospheric gases)
    • Natural gas and hydrocarbons for hydrogen and syngas
    • Pipeline networks, including the world's largest hydrogen pipeline network on the U.S. Gulf Coast
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Building, owning, and operating gas plants
    • Delivering liquid and packaged gases
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Refining, chemicals, electronics, metals, manufacturing, medical, and food
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • On-site contracts with fixed monthly charges or minimum purchases
    • Merchant contracts and purchase orders

Regional industrial gases (Americas, Asia, Europe, Middle East and India): how it makes money

  • Over 90% of sales; about half from atmospheric gases.
  • Energy costs are largely passed through to customers by contract.

Corporate and other (equipment)

Sells cryogenic and gas processing equipment, Rotoflow turboexpanders, and Gardner Cryogenics helium and hydrogen containers. The LNG equipment business was sold to Honeywell in September 2024.

Corporate and other (equipment): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Steel, aluminum, compressors
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Designing and manufacturing equipment
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Chemical, oil and gas, and metals companies
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Equipment sales

Corporate and other (equipment): how it makes money

  • Sales of $520M in FY2025, down from $878M after the LNG sale.

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Americas

    5,126 (43%)

    profit 1,520 · margin 29.7%

  • Asia

    3,271 (27%)

    profit 851 · margin 26.0%

  • Europe

    2,985 (25%)

    profit 845 · margin 28.3%

  • Middle East and India

    136 (1%)

    profit 10 · margin 7.4%

  • Corporate and other

    520 (4%)

    profit —

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, ended Sep 30, 2025) — MD&A, results by business segment; Note 7 Profit is segment operating income, which excludes $3.75B of business and asset action charges. Middle East and India also earned $341M of equity affiliates' income.

07

Where it earns

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

Other foreign operations — 45% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    4,693 (39%)
  • China

    1,934 (16%)
  • Other foreign operations

    5,411 (45%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, ended Sep 30, 2025) — Note 26, geographic information Based on country of origin.

08

Contract structure

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

On-site supply uses long-term contracts, commonly with fixed monthly charges or minimum purchases and price escalation tied to external indices; merchant supply has no minimum purchase requirements. Remaining performance obligations were about $26 billion at September 30, 2025, about half to be recognized within five years.

  • long

    On-site gases

    $6,180M (52% of FY2025 sales)

    Typical term: 15–20-year contracts for large plants; 10–15 years for small on-site plants

    Energy, chemicals, metals, and electronics customers.

  • Merchant gases (liquid bulk and packaged)

    $5,337M (44%)

    Typical term: Contracts generally five years or less, or purchase orders

  • Sale of equipment

    $520M (4%)

    Typical term: Project-based

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, ended Sep 30, 2025) — Item 1; Note 7, revenue recognition

09

Alliances & capital ties

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

10

Customers & suppliers

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Refining, chemicals, electronics, metals, manufacturing, medical, and food companies.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • No single customer accounts for more than 10% of consolidated sales. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)
  • Concentrations of large-volume, long-term-contract customers in refining, chemicals, and electronics. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

Suppliers

Power and natural gas suppliers; helium sourced globally from natural gas and CO2 producers.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • No significant difficulties in obtaining adequate power and natural gas in FY2025. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

11

Competitors & peers

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Air Products' 10-K says each regional industrial gases segment competes with three global industrial gas companies and regional competitors, on price, supply reliability, and applications development. Pipeline networks give it an advantage with large customers.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Industrial gases

Plus regional competitors.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, ended Sep 30, 2025) — Item 1

Peer group the company chose

Fiscal 2025 Peer Reference Group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Chemical, industrial, and construction, engineering, and energy technology services companies with similar capital structure, asset intensity, and profitability, used to benchmark CEO and CFO pay.

Also named as a competitor in the 10-K

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2025-12-11) — Peer Groups

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

12

M&A history

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

Recent portfolio moves are mainly divestitures and project exits.

Cash spent on acquisitions, FY2021–FY2025: $136M

  1. Sep 2024

    LNG process technology and equipment business (sold to Honeywell)

    Pre-tax gain of about $1.6B

    LNG process technology and equipment, with operating income of about $135M in FY2024.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Not stated.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, ended Sep 30, 2025) — Item 1; Note 4

Two coal gasification plants in China are held for sale, with sales expected in FY2026.

13

Five years of financials

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Line itemFY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue10,32312,69912,60012,10112,037
Operating income2,2812,3392,4954,466-877
Pretax income2,5072,7552,8824,821-441
Net income (attributable)2,0992,2562,3003,828-394
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—23.0%-0.8%-4.0%-0.5%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10022.1%18.4%19.8%36.9%-7.3%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10020.3%17.8%18.3%31.6%-3.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets26,85927,19332,00339,57541,060
Total equity14,08813,70215,66018,67417,350
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable7,6377,64510,30614,22817,698
Equity ratio50.4%48.3%44.7%43.0%36.6%
ROE15.5%16.9%16.8%24.4%-2.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF3,3353,1713,2063,6473,257
Investing CF-2,733-3,857-5,916-4,919-7,169
Financing CF-1,421-1,0011,6102,6152,795
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures871244-1,421-3,150-3,766
Cash and equivalents4,4692,7111,6172,9801,856
Per share & other
EPS ($)9.4310.1410.3317.18-1.77
BVPS ($)61.1659.2564.4176.6167.50
Dividend per share ($)5.846.366.877.067.14
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10061.9%62.7%66.5%41.1%—
P/E (x)27.223.027.417.3—
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)16.715.418.613.1—
P/B (x)calcP/E × EPS ÷ BVPS (= period-end share price ÷ book value per share)4.193.934.403.89—

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (five-year selected financial data and the consolidated financial statements), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

-2.0%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$-877M × (1 − 21%) ÷ $33,975M × 100 = -2.0%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

4.61%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $17.35B ÷ ($17.35B + $17.7B) = 49.5%

e.g.Debt weight: $17.7B ÷ ($17.35B + $17.7B) = 50.5%

e.g.WACC: 8.3% × 49.5% + 1.2% × (1 − 21%) × 50.5% = 4.61%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-6.7pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 4 of 5 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

WACC 4.61% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4%
β
0.79 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
8.35%
Cost of debt
1.21%
Effective tax rate
21%
Capital structure (equity : debt)
50% : 50%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 4.61%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The defaults reflect 2026-09.

Initial β: 0.79 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.69, R² 0.15, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.686 + 0.33 = 0.790

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-04-12–2026-10-06, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity8.35%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.4.0% + 0.79 × 5.5% = 8.3%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity *no P/E available, using book equity instead$17.35B
Interest-bearing debt$17.7B
Cost of debt1.21%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)50% : 50%

15

What the price implies (DCF)

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Not enough data for this calculation (FY2025): it needs positive free cash flow, a fiscal year-end P/E, and a positive enterprise value.

16

Earnings quality

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.34x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -9.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 51 → 58 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-20

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaperiod-end receivables ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaperiod-end inventory ÷ revenue × 365

termsInventory · Revenue (net sales)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaperiod-end receivables ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.$1,901M ÷ $12,037M × 365 = 58 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

17

Strengths & weaknesses

Strengths

  1. 1. Long-term on-site contracts

    Half of sales come from 15- to 20-year on-site contracts with fixed charges or minimum purchases; remaining performance obligations total about $26B.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Energy cost pass-through

    Electricity and natural gas cost swings are mitigated contractually through pricing formulas, surcharges, and pass-through provisions.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  3. 3. Dividend record

    FY2025 marked the 43rd consecutive year of dividend increases; about $1.6B was paid.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

  4. 4. Diversified customers

    No customer accounts for more than 10% of sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Large project write-offs

    $3.6B of project exit costs in FY2025 and up to $2.9B more in Q3 FY2026, mostly for clean-energy projects that didn't meet return criteria.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 5; 8-K filed 2026-06-30

  2. 2. Rising debt

    Total debt grew from $7.6B (FY2021) to $17.7B (FY2025) to fund capital spending of $7.0B in FY2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Helium weakness

    Lower global helium demand reduced FY2025 volumes.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

18

What draws investors to it

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

—

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

—

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Steady industrial gas core

    Segment operating margins of 26–30% in the three main regions, with long-term contracts.

    What has to hold
    Industrial demand holds and contracts are renewed.
    The other side
    Project write-offs caused a GAAP net loss in FY2025 and a GAAP operating loss in Q3 FY2026.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Lower capital spending

    After exiting several projects, Air Products expects FY2026 capital expenditures of about $3.5B; FY2025 additions to plant and equipment were $7.0B.

    What has to hold
    Capital is redirected to higher-return industrial gas projects.
    The other side
    NEOM still has to start up and sell its ammonia.

    Evidence: Q3 FY2026 earnings release

Fiscal year ends September 30. FY2025 P/E isn't shown because of the net loss.

19

Resilience

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

2.5x

$1.86B vs. $751M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

-4.1x

−$877M vs. $214M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

-2.4x

−$3.77B vs. $1.58B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-4.0% in FY2024 ($12.6B → $12.1B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-119.6% in FY2025 ($4.47B → −$877M)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 5 fiscal years on record (FY2021–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Contracted revenue

    About $26B of remaining performance obligations.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 7

  • Cash flow

    Operating cash flow of $3.26B in FY2025, below capital spending of $7.0B.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  • Debt

    About $17.7B of total debt at September 30, 2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

20

Risks (including geopolitical)

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
234
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring).

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Clean energy project returns

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Exits were driven by challenging commercial conditions, unfavorable regulatory actions, project economics, and slower development, especially hydrogen for mobility; the review may lead to more costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Refocusing capital on traditional industrial gas projects; FY2026 capital spending expected to fall to about $3.5B.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Geopolitics & supply chain

    International operations

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Business in about 50 countries exposes Air Products to currency, tariffs, sanctions, and local policy risks.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Local production at or near customers.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Costs & inflation

    Energy costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Electricity and natural gas are the main production costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Contractual pass-through and pricing formulas.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Customers & sales

    Industry concentration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Concentrations in refining, chemicals, and electronics; a downturn or the loss of a large-volume customer could hurt results.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Long-term contracts.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

21

What to watch going forward

  • NEOM start-up and green ammonia sales via Yara in 2027.
  • Cash costs of the 2026 project exits (up to $925M).
  • Capital spending cut to about $3.5B in FY2026.
  • Sale of two coal gasification plants in China.
  • Electronics projects such as the Taiwan semiconductor supply agreement.

22

Source documents

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 7, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 7, 2026 12:29 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 20, 2025

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.