KabuDo

NASDAQ: EBAY · Broadline Retail

eBay

eBay runs an online marketplace connecting buyers and sellers. It earns mainly a take rate on gross merchandise volume (GMV), plus advertising revenue. At the end of 2025 it had 135 million active buyers and 2.5 billion live listings. 2025 GMV rose 7% to $79.6 billion, revenue rose 8% to $11.1 billion and net income was $2.0 billion. In May 2026 GameStop made an unsolicited, non-binding proposal to buy eBay for $125 per share in cash and stock; eBay's board rejected it as neither credible nor attractive. eBay closed its roughly $1.2 billion cash acquisition of fashion marketplace Depop on July 30, 2026. In Q2 2026 revenue and GMV both grew 15%.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1910-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-29

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
4.5%

Higher than 22% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
20.5%

Higher than 58% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+7.8 pts

Higher than 67% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.8x

Higher than 50% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
0.96x

Higher than 8% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
—

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
26.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.64

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$125.39close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$56.3B

P/E today
26.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 20.1x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
12.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 8.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
22.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 16.3x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
2.5%

At FY2025 year-end: 3.7%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
—

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +13.7%$2.82B → $3.21B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −1.0 pts20.2% → 19.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −20.9%$628M → $497M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −17.9%$1.34 → $1.10 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −49.5%$2.31B → $1.17B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 28, 2026.

Key changes

  • GAAP operating margin 19.2% versus 20.3%. Source sentence
    Operating margin – GAAP operating margin decreased to 19.2% for the third quarter of 2026, compared to 20.3% for the same period last year.
  • Returned $827M to stockholders. Source sentence
    Returned $827 million to stockholders, including $689 million of share repurchases and $138 million paid in cash dividends.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
EBAY INC
Headquarters
SAN JOSE, CA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: EBAY
Industry
Broadline Retail
CIK
1065088

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    12,300

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 49–58 days after quarter end (Feb 18, 2026; Feb 26, 2025; Feb 27, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 28–58 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 28, 2026 (+28 days)Oct 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 5, 2026 (+36 days)Aug 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 18, 2026 (+49 days)Feb 19, 2026 10-K (+50 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 29, 2025 (+29 days)Oct 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)May 1, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 26, 2025 (+57 days)Feb 27, 2025 10-K (+58 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Oct 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days)Aug 1, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 1, 2024 (+31 days)May 2, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 27, 2024 (+58 days)Feb 28, 2024 10-K (+59 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Marketplace

    eBay Marketplace

    Examples: eBay Live, Authenticity Guarantee, Promoted Listings

  • Marketplace

    Depop

    C2C fashion marketplace, acquired July 2026.

  • Marketplace

    Caramel

    Online automotive transaction solutions, acquired in 2025.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K and the Q2 and Q3 2026 releases.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Online marketplace

    Worldwide

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    One of the largest

    Company-disclosed

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

2026 developments.

  1. GameStop proposal

    On May 3, 2026 GameStop proposed $125.00 per share (50% cash, 50% GameStop stock), about $55.5B of equity value. eBay rejected it on May 12.

    Source: GameStop 8-K (Rule 425) filed 2026-05-04; eBay 8-K filed 2026-05-12

  2. Depop

    Acquisition agreed in February 2026 for about $1.2B in cash; closed July 30, 2026.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025); Q2 2026 earnings release

  3. Q3 2026

    GAAP EPS $1.11, non-GAAP $1.51; GAAP operating margin 19.2%; $827M returned to shareholders ($689M buybacks). Results beat the August guidance.

    Source: Q3 2026 earnings release

  4. Restructuring

    On October 20, 2026 eBay announced a plan to cut about 9% of its workforce, with $130–150M of pre-tax charges, mostly in Q4 2026.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-10-22 (Item 2.05)

  5. Debt

    $1.0B of senior notes issued (November 2025).

    Source: 8-K filed 2025-11-06

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.25x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$525M ÷ $421M = 1.25x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

14.8%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,642M ÷ $11,100M × 100 = 14.8%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$467M

Latest year: $208M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $463M in FY2020 to $525M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$11.1B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+4.5%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($11,100M ÷ $8,894M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 4.5%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

20.5%▼caution

-9.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,277M ÷ $11,100M × 100 = 20.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

41.6%▲favorable

6-year average: 78.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

8.47x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$87.10 ÷ $10.28 = 8.47x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

16.3x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($39,108M + $6,746M − $1,867M) ÷ ($2,277M + $421M) = 16.3x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +4.5% a year over 5 years (modest growth)

    From $8.89B in FY2020 to $11.1B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 29.6% → 20.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -9.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 26.2% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 78.3% over 6 years (latest: 41.6%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Takes a percentage of GMV on transactions paid on its Marketplace platforms (take rate 13.94% in 2025) and sells advertising such as Promoted Listings.

How money and goods flow at eBay
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Technology and AI
    • Sales and marketing
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Running the marketplace, payments, authentication, live commerce
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • 135M active buyers
    • Sellers in more than 190 markets
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Marketplace revenues $9.11B
    • Advertising revenues $1.99B (2025)

How the business makes money

  • eBay Live GMV grew about eightfold year over year in Q2 2026 and reached a multibillion-dollar annualized run rate in Q3 2026.
  • Authenticity Guarantee covers more than 100 fashion brands in the U.S. and U.K.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

eBay’s payments and users are affected by interchange rules and tariffs.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Interchange rules

    Changes to card interchange rates could hurt payments.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs

    Consumer spending shifted in 2025 as users adjusted to trade policies and tariffs.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Marketplace revenues

    9,107 (82%)
  • Advertising revenues

    1,993 (18%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — net revenues by activity eBay has a single reportable segment.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

United States — 52% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    5,789 (52%)
  • International

    5,311 (48%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Aurelia Netherlands TopCo

    eBay holds about 8.3% of Aurelia's equity, from a prior transaction.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Buyers and sellers (consumers and businesses) in more than 190 markets.

Named by the company

No customer is named.

Suppliers

Technology, payments and shipping partners.

Named by the company

The 10-K doesn't name suppliers.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K says some competitors are larger, with broader ecosystems.

Competitors named in the 10-K

E-commerce and ecosystems

Also retailers, specialists, live commerce, search engines and AI tools.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1A

Peer group the company chose

Compensation benchmarking, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

The proxy says eBay benchmarks pay at about the 50th percentile of its peer group, but does not list the peer companies.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

M&A historySite analysisShow

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

eBay buys focused marketplaces and tools.

Cash spent on acquisitions, FY2020–FY2025: $467M

  1. 2026-07-30

    Depop

    About $1.2B cash

    C2C fashion marketplace with a Gen Z and Millennial customer base.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Strengthens eBay's leadership in circular fashion and recommerce.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Q2 2026 earnings release

  2. 2025

    Caramel

    Not stated

    End-to-end online automotive transaction solutions.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Not stated.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

16

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue8,89410,4209,79510,11210,28311,100
Operating income2,6362,9232,3501,9412,3182,277
Pretax income3,345398-1,6013,7072,2782,307
Net income (attributable)5,66713,608-1,2692,7671,9752,031
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—17.2%-6.0%3.2%1.7%7.9%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10029.6%28.1%24.0%19.2%22.5%20.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10063.7%130.6%-13.0%27.4%19.2%18.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets19,31026,62620,85021,62019,36517,610
Total equity3,5619,7785,1536,3965,1584,615
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable7,7469,0828,8717,7237,4256,746
Equity ratio18.4%36.7%24.7%29.6%26.6%26.2%
ROE159.1%204.0%-17.0%47.9%34.2%41.6%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF2,4192,6572,2542,4262,4141,959
Investing CF3,7943,6632,4612402,2131,420
Financing CF-5,692-6,532-3,792-2,450-3,806-3,661
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures1,9562,2131,8051,9701,9561,434
Cash and equivalents1,1011,3792,1541,9852,4331,867
Per share & other
EPS ($)7.8920.54-2.275.193.944.34
BVPS ($)5.2116.469.5612.3710.9510.28
P/E (x)6.43.2—8.415.720.1
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)12.813.910.411.912.716.3
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share9.654.044.343.535.668.47

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$3.21B+13.7%$616M+7.9%$497M-20.9%$1.10
2026-06-30$3.13B+14.8%$676M+41.1%$550M+51.1%$1.21
2026-03-31$3.09B+19.5%$611M+0.0%$512M+2.6%$1.12
2025-12-31 †$2.97B+15.0%$616M+13.4%$540M-20.5%—
2025-09-30$2.82B$571M$628M$1.34
2025-06-30$2.73B$479M$364M$0.78
2025-03-31$2.59B$611M$499M$1.05
2024-12-31 †$2.58B$543M$679M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

17

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

15.5%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$2,277M × (1 − 18.5%) ÷ $11,972M × 100 = 15.5%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

7.66%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $39.11B ÷ ($39.11B + $6.75B) = 85.3%

e.g.Debt weight: $6.75B ÷ ($39.11B + $6.75B) = 14.7%

e.g.WACC: 8.5% × 85.3% + 3.6% × (1 − 18.5%) × 14.7% = 7.66%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+7.8pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 6 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 6.3%–9.3% and ROIC − WACC runs +6.2 to +9.2 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 7.66% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.64 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.05), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
8.47%
Cost of debt
3.65%
Tax rate
18.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
85% : 15%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 7.66%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.64 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.46, R² 0.05, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.464 + 0.33 = 0.641

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity8.47%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.64 × 5.5% = 8.5%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$39.11B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$6.75B
Cost of debt3.65%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)85% : 15%

18

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

5.3%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.7% − 2.3%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-6.0%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+4.5%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.43B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $61.18B = market cap $56.3B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $6.75B − cash and short-term investments $1.87B; r = WACC of 7.7% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.64, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$59.75B

FCF $1.43B ÷ (7.7% − 5.3%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.98x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.7%6.7%7.7%8.7%9.7%
0%0.41x0.35x0.30x0.27x0.24x
2%0.63x0.50x0.41x0.35x0.30x
4%1.38x0.87x0.63x0.50x0.41x
6%—3.35x1.38x0.87x0.63x
8%———3.35x1.38x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

19

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • !

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 0.74x

    Cash coming in trails reported profit. Worth checking for rising receivables/inventory or one-off gains.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): 0.4%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 99%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 15 → 4 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,959M ÷ $2,031M = 0.96x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$2,277M ÷ $2,307M × 100 = 99%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($108M + $135M) ÷ 2 ÷ $11,100M × 365 = 4 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

20

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
92.4%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
7.6%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
156 of 416

1 = most institutional; 37% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.64

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 411.4M shares reported by 1,287 13F filers ÷ 445.0M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-30 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

21

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Accelerating growth

    Q3 2026 GMV of $23.2B (+15%) and revenue of $3.2B (+14%), after +15% for both in Q2.

    Evidence: Q2 and Q3 2026 earnings releases

  2. 2. Advertising growth

    Advertising revenue rose from $1.44B (2023) to $1.99B (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Capital returns

    Another $2.0B buyback authorized in February 2026; quarterly dividend of $0.31.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Larger competitors

    The 10-K says competitors such as Alibaba, Google, Amazon, Apple and Meta are larger and have broader ecosystems.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Shrinking equity

    Buybacks cut equity from $9.8B (2021) to $4.6B (2025).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

22

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

20.1x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

3.7%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Shareholder returns

    Buybacks cut the share count from 594M (2021) to 449M (2025); dividend of $0.31 a quarter.

    What has to hold
    Free cash flow holds.
    The other side
    Debt is used alongside cash.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Q3 2026 earnings release

  2. 2. Re-acceleration

    FX-neutral GMV growth of 14% in Q2 2026 and 16% in Q3 2026.

    What has to hold
    Focus categories and live commerce keep growing.
    The other side
    Depop adds inorganic growth.

    Evidence: Q2 and Q3 2026 earnings releases

2021 net income includes $13.4B of income from discontinued operations (XBRL), so the 2021 P/E is not comparable. Dividends per share are not tagged in XBRL and are left blank.

23

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

2.5x

$1.87B vs. $750M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

9.3x

$2.28B vs. $246M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

2.7x

$1.43B vs. $531M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-6.0% in FY2022 ($10.42B → $9.8B)Yes, by FY2025
Operating income-19.6% in FY2022 ($2.92B → $2.35B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Cash generation

    Operating cash flow of $1.96B in 2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  • Global diversification

    52% U.S. and 48% international revenue (2025).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

25

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
234
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

Geopolitical risk highlights

  • [3]Trade policy
  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Intense competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with traditional retail, e-commerce, live commerce, search, social media and AI tools such as agents and chatbots.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    For buyers, we continue to invest in technologies that enhance discovery, trust and convenience across our Marketplace platforms.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    AI-driven shopping shift

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    If consumers shift to AI chatbots and agents for shopping, traditional search may lose relevance as a traffic source.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Uses AI to improve the marketplace experience.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Geopolitical

    Trade policy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Changes in global trade policy could hurt cross-border trade.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Governance & key people

    Unsolicited takeover pursuit

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    GameStop made a non-binding proposal and reported an economic stake in eBay; eBay's board rejected the proposal.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    The board says eBay is well positioned on a standalone basis.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

26

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • We experience significant variation in our operating and financial results, including GMV and net revenues.

  • All of our GMV, and substantially all of our net revenues each quarter come from transactions involving sales during that quarter. Read more

    As a result, it is inherently difficult to accurately forecast our GMV, the amount and sources of our net revenues, earnings (loss) per share, operating income (loss), and our other key operating and financial performance metrics.

  • Our operating and financial results have significantly varied on a quarterly basis throughout our operating history, and we expect our results to continue to fluctuate significantly for a variety of reasons, including all of the risks described in “Risk Factors,” including the following:

  • The businesses and markets in which we operate are intensely competitive. Read more

    We compete with a wide and growing variety of online and offline businesses that provide similar goods and services across numerous industries and geographies in which we operate, including traditional retail, e-commerce, live commerce, advertising, search engines, social media, and AI-powered tools (such as agents and chatbots).

  • • We may not keep up with buyer expectations – Buyer expectations and preferences around user experience, including customer service, ease of buying, low (or no) cost shipping, delivery options (such as pick-up and drop-off), delivery speed, ease of returns and return policies, constantly evolve and it may be difficult for us to respond effectively. For example, it may be impractical or inefficient for our sellers to meet evolving delivery expectations, and we may lack the resources to match shipping subsidies from our competitors.

  • • We may not be able to match the flexibility and expertise of all specialist competitors – Competitors that are narrowly focused on specific goods may be better than we are at creating buyer and seller communities and catering to the needs of those communities. Specialist competitors may have more resources to innovate quickly and efficiently within these communities without disruption to buyers and sellers outside of those communities. Additionally, our growth strategy has increasingly emphasized our Focus Categories, such as motor parts and accessories, collectibles, refurbished goods, and authenticated luxury items. Our Focus Category buyers and sellers often have unique product and service needs. The size and complexity of our platforms can make it difficult for us to address the unique needs of our Focus Category consumers as quickly and efficiently as our specialist competitors.

  • If our advertising products, including our Promoted Listings, are not competitive, we will lose advertising revenues and our business will be harmed.

  • Our business depends on consumer engagement and spending, which makes our results of operations particularly sensitive to shifts in, and events that impact, consumer confidence, platform engagement and buying trends.

No longer in the text (4)

  • • Our operating and financial results are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, as well as the trading price of our common stock and debt securities.

  • • Our business may be adversely affected by geopolitical events, natural disasters, seasonal factors and other factors, including increased usage of other websites, that could cause our users to spend less time, or transact less, on our websites or mobile platforms and applications.

  • • Operations and continued development of our payments system and financial services offerings require ongoing investment, are subject to evolving laws, regulations, rules, and standards, and involve risk, including risks related to our dependence on third-party providers.

  • • Failure to deal effectively with fraudulent activities on our Marketplace platforms would increase our loss rate and harm our business and could severely diminish merchant and consumer confidence in and use of our services.

91 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2025 ↗.

27

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Q4 2026 guidance: revenue $3.19–3.24B; GAAP EPS $0.82–0.87; 2026 GMV $91.5–91.9B.
  • Integration of Depop.
  • Any further moves by GameStop.

28

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-19

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent eBay’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.