KabuDo

NYSE: F · Automobile Manufacturers

Ford Motor Company

Ford designs, makes and sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles and finances them through Ford Credit. It reports four segments: Ford Blue (gas and hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (EVs), Ford Pro (commercial vehicles and services) and Ford Credit. 2025 revenue was $187.3 billion, but it posted a net loss attributable to Ford of $8.2 billion after $17.4 billion of special items. These included about $8.5 billion of EV write-downs from cancelling planned EVs and ending current F-150 Lightning production, and a roughly $3 billion BlueOval SK charge. Ford Pro earned $6.8 billion of segment EBIT while Model e lost $4.8 billion. Its 2025 U.S. market share was 13.2%.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:09 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1110-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-29Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
8.1%

Higher than 48% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
-4.9%

Higher than 2% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-7.6 pts

Higher than 8% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
18.3x

Higher than 99% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
—

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
—

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.96

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$12.60close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$53.03B

P/E today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
1.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
26.1x

At FY2025 year-end: 28.7x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
23.5%

At FY2025 year-end: 22.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
6.0%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↓ −2.0%$50.53B → $49.53B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −0.1 pts3.1% → 2.9% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −16.3%$2.45B → $2.05B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −16.7%$0.60 → $0.50 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +19.7%$18.6B → $22.28B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 28, 2026.

Management outlook • Issued

Expects Ford Blue EBIT of about $5.5B. Source sentence
By segment, the company now expects Ford Blue EBIT of about $5.5 billion;

Key changes

  • Model e EBIT loss of $1.1B, improved 25%. Source sentence
    Ford Model e reported an EBIT loss of $1.1 billion, an improvement of 25% year over year, as the segment continues to optimize first-generation vehicles for profitability while investing in affordable, highly scalable electric vehicles built on the new UEV platform and ramping Ford Energy.
  • Q4 dividend of 15 cents per share. Source sentence
    The company also declared a fourth-quarter regular dividend of 15 cents per share, payable on Dec. 1 to shareholders of record on Nov. 10.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
FORD MOTOR CO
Headquarters
DEARBORN, MI
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: F
Industry
Automobile Manufacturers
CIK
37996

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    169,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 36–41 days after quarter end (Feb 10, 2026; Feb 5, 2025; Feb 6, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 23–41 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 28, 2026 (+28 days)Oct 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 28, 2026 (+28 days)Jul 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)Apr 30, 2026 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 10, 2026 (+41 days)Feb 11, 2026 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 23, 2025 (+23 days)Oct 24, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 5, 2025 (+35 days)May 6, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 5, 2025 (+36 days)Feb 6, 2025 10-K (+37 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 28, 2024 (+28 days)Oct 29, 2024 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 24, 2024 (+24 days)Jul 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days)Apr 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 6, 2024 (+37 days)Feb 7, 2024 10-K (+38 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Ford Blue

    Gas and hybrid vehicles

    Examples: F-Series, Bronco, Mustang, Lincoln

    Internal-combustion and hybrid vehicles and related parts and services.

  • Ford Pro

    Commercial vehicles and services

    Examples: Transit, Super Duty, F-150 for fleets

    Vehicles plus software, charging, financing and service for commercial and government customers.

  • Ford Model e

    Electric vehicles

    Examples: Mustang Mach-E

    EVs and connected-vehicle software; three planned EVs were cancelled in December 2025 and production of the current F-150 Lightning ended.

  • Ford Credit

    Vehicle financing

    Retail installment, lease and dealer financing; Europe is its largest operation outside the U.S.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K and the December 2025 Form 8-K.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Ford and Lincoln vehicles

    New vehicle retail sales (share of industry volume, 2025)

    U.S. share

    13.2%

    Company-disclosed

    Up from 12.6% in 2024 and 12.4% in 2023.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Canada

    15.2%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    United Kingdom

    9.8%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    Türkiye

    8.2%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    Australia

    7.8%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    Italy

    5.5%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    Germany

    5.3%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    France

    3.5%

    Company-disclosed

    2025

    China (incl. Taiwan)

    1.3%

    Company-disclosed

    2025; includes JMC-brand vehicles of unconsolidated affiliates

Sources:

Market share is reported retail sales of Ford's brands as a percent of internally estimated industry volume, including medium and heavy trucks.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Q3 2026

    Revenue $49.5B; net income $2.0B; adjusted EBIT $2.7B; operating cash flow $5.4B and adjusted free cash flow $4.7B. Ford Blue EBIT was $1.4B (−10%) and Model e lost $1.1B (25% less than a year earlier). Full-year adjusted EBIT guidance was narrowed upward to $10.5–11B; Ford received about $500M of IEEPA tariff refunds in the quarter.

    Source: Q3 2026 earnings release; Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  2. H1 2026

    Revenue $91.5B versus $90.8B; net income attributable to Ford $1,221M versus $435M; segment EBIT: Ford Blue $3.1B, Ford Pro $3.4B, Model e −$1.7B.

    Source: Form 10-Q Q2 2026

  3. BlueOval SK

    Joint venture with SK On dissolved May 20, 2026; Ford's up-to-$6.6B capital commitment ended and Ford assumed a $3.8B DOE loan for a Kentucky battery plant.

    Source: Form 8-K 2026-05-21

  4. EV restructuring

    December 2025 decision to cancel a full-size electric pickup and two electric commercial vans and end current F-150 Lightning production.

    Source: Form 8-K 2025-12-15

  5. Management

    Chief EV, Digital and Design Officer Doug Field left in May 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K 2026-04-15

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.55x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$8,815M ÷ $15,974M = 0.55x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

5.0%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$9,400M ÷ $187,267M × 100 = 5.0%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $5.74B in FY2020 to $8.82B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$187.27B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+8.1%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($187,267M ÷ $127,144M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 8.1%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

-4.9%▼caution

-1.4pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$-9,169M ÷ $187,267M × 100 = -4.9%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

-20.2%▼caution

6-year average: 6.7%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.54x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$13.12 ÷ $8.54 = 1.54x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

28.7x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($55,222M + $163,336M − $23,356M) ÷ ($-9,169M + $15,974M) = 28.7x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +8.1% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $127.14B in FY2020 to $187.27B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: -3.5% → -4.9%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -1.4 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 12.4% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ―

    ROE averaged 6.7% over 6 years (latest: -20.2%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Builds and sells vehicles through dealers, sells software and services to commercial customers, and finances dealers and retail buyers through Ford Credit.

How money and goods flow at Ford Motor Company
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 169,000 employees (about 56,300 U.S. hourly workers represented by the UAW)
    • Global supplier base
    • Capital spending of $8.8B (2025)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Ford Blue: gas and hybrid vehicles
    • Ford Model e: electric vehicles and software
    • Ford Pro: commercial vehicles and services
    • Ford Credit: vehicle financing
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Retail buyers through dealers
    • Commercial and government fleets
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Ford Blue $101.0B
    • Ford Pro $66.3B
    • Ford Credit $13.3B
    • Ford Model e $6.7B (2025 external revenue)

How the business makes money

  • 2025 segment EBIT/EBT: Ford Blue $3.0B, Ford Model e −$4.8B, Ford Pro $6.8B, Ford Credit EBT $2.6B.
  • Ford Credit carries most of the group's $163B of debt to fund loans and leases.
  • U.S. revenue was $122.6B of $187.3B in 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Ford’s vehicles are shaped by emissions rules in the U.S., Canada and Europe and by government incentives.

  • Environmental rules

    Emissions rules

    Canada will end its alignment with U.S. EPA GHG standards; Europe is studying real-driving CO2 rules.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Government incentives

    Recognized $53M (2025) and $105M (2024) of incentives as reductions to cost of sales.

    Supports the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Ford Blue

    101,019 (54%)
  • Ford Pro

    66,286 (35%)
  • Ford Credit

    13,271 (7%)
  • Ford Model e

    6,670 (4%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 25 Segment Information External revenues; total $187,267M.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

United States — 65% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    122,574 (65%)
  • Canada

    14,548 (8%)
  • United Kingdom

    12,298 (7%)
  • Mexico

    2,463 (1%)
  • All other

    35,384 (19%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — geographic information Total $187,267M.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Joint venture

    SK On (BlueOval SK)

    Battery joint venture dissolved on May 20, 2026: Ford's interest was redeemed and a Ford subsidiary took the two Kentucky battery plants, assuming a $3.8B DOE promissory note at 4.814%.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-05-21) — BlueOval SK closing and DOE loan

  • Joint venture

    Changan Ford, Ford Otosan, Jiangling Motors (JMC)

    Significant unconsolidated affiliates reported within the Ford Blue, Model e and Ford Pro segments.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Retail customers through dealers, and commercial and government fleets.

Named by the company

No customer is named.

Suppliers

Global suppliers of components, batteries and raw materials, some under multi-year commitments.

Named by the company

No supplier is named in the 10-K risk discussion.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K describes intense global competition; the proxy statement's TSR peer group lists Ford's main automaker rivals.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K does not name specific competitors.

Peer group the company chose

PSU relative-TSR peer group (16 automakers), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Global automakers used to measure Ford's relative total shareholder return for performance stock units (BYD and NIO are aggregated as one).

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue127,144136,341158,057176,191184,992187,267
Operating income-4,4084,5236,2765,4585,219-9,169
Pretax income-1,11617,780-3,0163,9677,233-11,830
Net income (attributable)-1,27617,937-1,9814,3475,879-8,162
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—7.2%15.9%11.5%5.0%1.2%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-3.5%3.3%4.0%3.1%2.8%-4.9%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-1.0%13.2%-1.3%2.5%3.2%-4.4%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets267,261257,035255,884273,310285,196289,160
Total equity30,81148,62243,24242,79844,85835,980
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable161,684138,092138,969149,231158,522163,336
Equity ratio11.5%18.9%16.9%15.6%15.7%12.4%
ROE-4.2%45.3%-4.3%10.1%13.4%-20.2%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF24,26915,7876,85314,91815,42321,282
Investing CF-18,6152,745-4,347-17,628-24,370-18,049
Financing CF2,315-23,4982,5112,5847,485-3,205
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures18,5279,560-136,6826,73912,467
Cash and equivalents25,24320,54025,13424,86222,93523,356
Per share & other
EPS ($)-0.324.45-0.491.081.46-2.06
BVPS ($)7.4511.7710.4010.2910.658.54
Dividend per share ($)0.150.100.501.250.780.75
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100—2.2%—115.7%53.4%—
P/E (x)—4.7—11.36.8—
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)39.517.211.613.313.928.7
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share1.181.761.121.180.931.54

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Periods below 1x are shown in red. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$49.53B-2.0%$1.45B-6.7%$2.05B-16.3%$0.50
2026-06-30$48.3B-3.8%$638M+24.9%−$1.32B$-0.33
2026-03-31$43.25B+6.4%$2.33B+630.1%$2.55B+439.3%$0.63
2025-12-31 †$45.89B-4.8%−$11.56B-1038.8%−$11.05B-703.7%—
2025-09-30$50.53B$1.56B$2.45B$0.60
2025-06-30$50.18B$511M−$29M$-0.01
2025-03-31$40.66B$319M$473M$0.12
2024-12-31 †$48.21B$1.23B$1.83B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

-4.4%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$-9,169M × (1 − 3%) ÷ $201,348M × 100 = -4.4%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

3.14%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $55.22B ÷ ($55.22B + $163.34B) = 25.3%

e.g.Debt weight: $163.34B ÷ ($55.22B + $163.34B) = 74.7%

e.g.WACC: 10.2% × 25.3% + 0.8% × (1 − 3%) × 74.7% = 3.14%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-7.6pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 1 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 2.7%–3.7% and ROIC − WACC runs −8.1 to −7.1 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 3.14% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.96 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.23%
Cost of debt
0.77%
Tax rate
3% (effective rate, FY2021–FY2024)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
25% : 75%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 3.14%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.96 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.94, R² 0.14, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.943 + 0.33 = 0.962

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.23%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.96 × 5.5% = 10.2%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$55.22B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$163.34B
Cost of debt0.77%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)25% : 75%

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

-3.9%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 3.1% − 7.0%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-7.6%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+8.1%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $12.47B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $177.88B = market cap $53.03B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $163.34B − cash and short-term investments $38.49B; r = WACC of 3.1% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.96, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$178.1B

FCF $12.47B ÷ (3.1% − -3.9%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r1.1%2.1%3.1%4.1%5.1%
0%6.37x3.34x2.26x1.71x1.37x
2%—70.09x6.37x3.34x2.26x
4%———70.09x6.37x
6%—————
8%—————

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 2.31x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -10.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 29 → 29 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($14,723M + $15,398M) ÷ 2 ÷ $187,267M × 365 = 29 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($14,951M + $15,285M) ÷ 2 ÷ $174,466M × 365 = 32 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else — common shares, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
66.7%
Directors & officers (shares)
0.6%
Everyone else (est.)
32.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
—

not stated in the proxy

Institutional-ownership rank
390 of 416

1 = most institutional; 94% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.96

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 2,612.7M shares reported by 1,733 13F filers ÷ 3,916.7M common shares outstanding on 2026-07-24. Option positions are excluded.
  • Only the listed common shares are counted; other share classes (often held by founders) are not in this figure.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days. Ford's Class B shares, held by Ford family members, carry 40% of total voting power.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-24)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Profitable commercial business

    Ford Pro earned $6.8B of segment EBIT on $66.3B of revenue in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  2. 2. Rising U.S. market share

    U.S. share rose from 12.4% (2023) to 13.2% (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  3. 3. Strong 2025 cash flow

    Operating cash flow of $21.3B in 2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Weaknesses

  1. 1. EV losses

    Ford Model e lost $4.8B of segment EBIT in 2025, and about $8.5B of EV assets were written down.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025; Form 8-K 2025-12-15

  2. 2. Weak China position

    China market share fell from 1.8% (2023) to 1.3% (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

—

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

5.72%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

22.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Dividend

    Dividends of $0.75 per share in 2025 despite the net loss.

    What has to hold
    Ford Blue and Ford Pro cash flow continues.
    The other side
    EV and restructuring charges.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Commercial vehicle franchise

    Ford Pro generated more segment EBIT than Ford Blue in 2025.

    What has to hold
    Commercial demand stays firm.
    The other side
    Cyclical fleet spending.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

Debt includes Ford Credit, which funds loans and leases; the Company-excluding-Ford-Credit debt was $21.9B at end-2025. Shares are Common plus Class B shares issued; book value uses equity attributable to Ford.

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.7x

$38.49B vs. $57.3B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

-7.3x

−$9.17B vs. $1.25B

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

4.2x

$12.47B vs. $2.99B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-275.7% in FY2025 ($5.22B → −$9.17B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Captive finance

    Ford Credit earned $2.6B of EBT in 2025, supporting sales through downturns.

    Source: Form 10-K FY2025

  • Cash and investments

    Cash of $23.4B and marketable securities of $15.1B at end-2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
23
1
Med
56
4
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    EV transition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Lower-than-expected EV adoption, the end of U.S. EV tax credits and pricing pressure led Ford to conclude it had no path to EV profitability without restructuring.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Cancelled three planned EVs and rationalized EV capacity.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Governance & quality

    Recalls and warranty costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Vehicle defects can cause recall campaigns, higher warranty costs and launch delays.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Quality improvement efforts.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Supply chain

    Supplier disruptions

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Highly dependent on suppliers delivering components on schedule; shortages of components or raw materials can halt production.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Emissions, tariffs and policy shifts

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Changes to fuel economy and emissions standards, EV incentives and trade policy affect product plans and costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Product roadmap adjustments.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  5. 5Funding & liquidity

    Ford Credit funding

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Ford Credit relies on debt and asset-backed markets to fund about $141B of debt.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Diverse funding sources.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  6. 6Costs & inflation

    Labor costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    About 56,300 U.S. hourly workers are UAW-represented; labor constraints can affect competitiveness.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (7)

  • Ford is also subject to environmental regulatory compliance requirements, and in many jurisdictions (including the United States), we are required to report on and correct certain emissions-related defects. Read more

    Similarly, where required by regulation, we are obligated to honor certain warranties on emissions-related components, which can impose additional obligations beyond our standard warranties and increase our costs.

  • and caused disruptions in our production operations, increases the risk of future production disruptions, and has increased and may further increase costs (e.g., premium freight and expedited shipping costs to make up for delays in component availability). Moreover, as the industry evolves, suppliers of traditional or EV-specific components may face financial distress or choose to exit certain lines of business, further narrowing our sourcing options and potentially leading to higher prices or supply shortages that could have a substantial adverse effect on our results of operations and reputation.

  • While we continue to invest in direct-to-consumer sales methods for our connectivity, digital and physical services, and integrated software services offerings, we are dependent on the efforts of third-party dealers for the majority of our sales in this space. We have invested and will continue to invest in programs to enhance sales through dealers, including education programs for dealership employees on the benefits of our services offerings and developing and making available digital marketing assets to dealers. These efforts may require a substantial investment of time and capital while providing no assurance of incremental sales.

  • Changes in international trade policy can also have a substantial adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations, or our business in general. Read more

    To the extent governments in various regions implement or intensify restrictions or barriers to trade, such as tariff or non-tariff barriers, export controls, currency manipulation, or policies that otherwise favor domestic companies, there can be a significant negative impact on manufacturers based in other markets. Steps taken by governments to implement local content requirements, restrict export and import activities, or apply or consider applying additional or new tariffs on automobiles, parts, and other products and materials have disrupted supply chains, imposed additional costs on our business, and led to other countries attempting to retaliate by imposing tariffs or other barriers, which make our products more expensive…

  • In addition, instability in the supply chain exacerbated by tariffs and other industry concerns, such as China’s restriction on the export of rare earth minerals and various components, has resulted in production disruptions and increased costs and heightens the risk of future production disruptions and further cost increases. Although there is uncertainty regarding the application, scope, and duration of tariffs, those that have been implemented have had a significant adverse effect, both operationally and financially, on the overall automotive industry, Ford, and our supply chain. Any additional tariffs or other measures that are implemented in the United States and any retaliatory tariffs or other measures or restrictions that are implemented by other governments, and the potential related market impacts, should they be sustained for an extended period of time, may have a significant…

  • Additionally, as noted above, U.S. federal tax incentives for purchasers of plug-in vehicles have changed in recent years. Read more

    In 2022, Congress established these incentives and many retail and commercial vehicle purchasers were eligible for a tax credit of up to $7,500 per vehicle, increasing market demand for plug-in vehicles. Further, to make vehicles eligible for the tax incentive for retail purchasers, Ford and other manufacturers structured battery supply chains to comply with the “foreign entity of concern” criteria, which were aimed at reducing dependence on China and companies based in or operating in China. In 2025, Congress eliminated these credits, ending the incentives for purchasers and likewise changing the business rationale to use and create battery supply chains with less control by China.

  • The 2025 legislation preserved the advanced manufacturing production tax credit for the domestic manufacture of batteries and battery components (first established in the 2022 legislation), but restricted the eligibility criteria going forward, most notably by imposing criteria for “prohibited foreign entities,” which concern China and other countries. As a manufacturer that intends to engage in large-scale production of batteries in the United States for vehicles and energy storage, this tax credit influences our decisions concerning the location, scale, supply chain, and operations of our domestic battery manufacturing business. Such decisions involve substantial lead time, and it may take years before Ford can satisfy any new or changed eligibility criteria. Accordingly, the termination of or a change to such incentives could have a significant impact on our financial condition,…

No longer in the text (4)

  • The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) provides, among other things, financial incentives in the form of tax credits to grow the domestic supply chain and domestic manufacturing base for electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles (“PHEVs”), and other “clean” vehicles. The law likewise incentivizes the purchase of clean vehicles and the infrastructure to fuel them. The IRA authorizes tax credits to manufacturers for the domestic production of batteries and battery components for EVs and PHEVs, and this credit is expected to improve the financial performance of domestic battery manufacturers, including the new operations at our upcoming facility in Michigan and BlueOval SK’s facilities in Kentucky and Tennessee. Further, the degree of success of some of our investment strategies depends upon IRA tax credit eligibility and for those credits to continue to remain available through the…

  • The IRA also authorizes tax credits for purchasers of qualified commercial and retail clean vehicles. Read more

    Ford expects that most commercial customers that purchase an EV or PHEV will be eligible for the commercial clean vehicle credit, although it is unclear at this time how many commercial vehicle purchasers will have the underlying federal tax liability that is necessary to actually monetize this credit. In their current form, the IRA’s tax credit and the commercial clean vehicle credit would, together, likely influence commercial fleets, governmental fleets, and other vehicle purchasers in their evaluation of a transition from internal combustion engine vehicles to EVs and PHEVs.

  • To claim the retail tax credit, the IRA establishes numerous and complex prerequisites, including that the vehicle must be assembled in North America; Read more

    the vehicle must be under specified limitations on manufacturer suggested retail price (“MSRP”); purchaser income limitations; any vehicle that contains “battery components” that were “manufactured or assembled” by a “foreign entity of concern” will be ineligible; and, starting in 2025, any vehicle that contains battery materials that were “extracted, processed, or recycled” by a “foreign entity of concern” will be ineligible. A “Critical Minerals Credit” is available for those vehicles that have a specified percentage of critical minerals that are “extracted or produced” in the United States, in a country with which the United States has a Free Trade Agreement, or that is “recycled” in North America. A “Battery Components Credit” is…

  • Although we ultimately expect the IRA to benefit Ford and the automotive industry in general, this would be the case only insofar as the IRA remains in place in its current form. Read more

    Some policymakers have expressed an intent to repeal or restrict eligibility for elements of the IRA, however, including those credits discussed above, which would adversely affect Ford and the industry. To the extent these elements remain in place or are replaced with new laws that provide benefits using comparable eligibility criteria, the availability of such benefits to Ford will depend on the further development and improvement of the U.S. battery supply, sufficient access to raw materials within the scope of the IRA, and the terms of the regulations and guidance (and the limitations therein) the U.S. government issues for such benefits, which will ultimately determine which vehicles qualify for incentives…

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 6, 2025 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Whether Ford Blue and Ford Pro earnings offset continuing Ford Model e losses after the EV restructuring.
  • Remaining charges and cash costs from the BlueOval SK dissolution and the Kentucky battery plants.
  • Versata trade-secret case: $82 million reinstated on appeal and a new damages trial ordered.

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:09 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-11Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Ford Motor Company’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.