KabuDo

NYSE: HRL · Packaged Foods & Meats

Hormel Foods

Hormel Foods, founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota, is a branded food company with Planters, SPAM, Jennie-O, Skippy, Applegate, Wholly, Hormel Black Label, Fontanini and more than 30 other brands, and an S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrat. It reports three segments: Retail ($7,455 million of fiscal 2025 sales), Foodservice ($3,942 million) and International ($709 million). Fiscal 2025 (ended October 26, 2025) sales rose 1.6% to $12,106 million, but net earnings fell to $478 million on lower Retail and International profits. Hormel is reshaping its portfolio: it sold 51% of Justin’s, its whole-bird turkey business and its Brazil operations in fiscal 2026, and agreed in September 2026 to buy Brakebush Brothers for $1.055 billion. The 2026 dividend rate of $1.17 marks its 60th consecutive annual increase.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:02 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: December 5, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-12-0510-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26) · filed 2026-08-27Proxy statement (2025)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
4.7%

Higher than 23% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
5.9%

Higher than 17% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-0.8 pts

Higher than 25% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.2x

Higher than 60% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.77x

Higher than 61% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
35.3x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-07-26

Beta
0.32

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$21.98close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$12.09B

P/E today
35.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 27.4x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-07-26

P/B today
1.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.7x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
14.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 15.6x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
4.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.1%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
5.3%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jul 26, 2026.

  • Revenue↓ −2.4%$3.03B → $2.96B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −4.2 pts7.9% → 3.7% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −67.6%$184M → $60M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −66.7%$0.33 → $0.11 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +1.6%$827M → $840M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt→ −0.0%$2.86B → $2.86B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Aug 27, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised adjusted operating income guidance to $1.08B–$1.12B. Source sentence
Raises adjusted operating income 1 guidance to be in the range of $1.08 billion to $1.12 billion, reflecting growth of 6% to 10%

Key changes

  • Expects net sales of $12.1B–$12.2B. Source sentence
    Expects net sales to be in the range of $12.1 billion to $12.2 billion, reflecting organic net sales 1 growth of 1% to 2%
  • Q3 net sales $2.96B, organic down 2%. Source sentence
    Net sales of $2.96 billion; organic net sales 1 down 2%

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/
Headquarters
AUSTIN, MN
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
10/25
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: HRL
Industry
Packaged Foods & Meats
CIK
48465

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    20,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: October 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 31–39 days after quarter end (Dec 4, 2025; Dec 4, 2024; Nov 29, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around October 25.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 31–39 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Jul 26, 2026Aug 27, 2026 (+32 days)Aug 27, 2026 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2026Apr 26, 2026May 28, 2026 (+32 days)May 28, 2026 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2026Jan 25, 2026Feb 26, 2026 (+32 days)Feb 26, 2026 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2025Oct 26, 2025Dec 4, 2025 (+39 days)Dec 5, 2025 10-K (+40 days)
Q3 FY2025Jul 27, 2025Aug 28, 2025 (+32 days)Aug 28, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2025Apr 27, 2025May 29, 2025 (+32 days)May 29, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2025Jan 26, 2025Feb 27, 2025 (+32 days)Feb 27, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2024Oct 27, 2024Dec 4, 2024 (+38 days)Dec 5, 2024 10-K (+39 days)
Q3 FY2024Jul 28, 2024Sep 4, 2024 (+38 days)Sep 4, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2024Apr 28, 2024May 30, 2024 (+32 days)May 30, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2024Jan 28, 2024Feb 29, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 29, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Oct 29, 2023Nov 29, 2023 (+31 days)Dec 6, 2023 10-K (+38 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Retail

    Retail brands (SPAM, Planters, Skippy, Applegate and others)

    Food products sold predominantly in retail channels such as grocery stores, mass merchandisers, club stores and e-commerce.

  • Foodservice

    Foodservice products

    Food products sold to foodservice distributors and operators.

  • International

    Exports and international brands

    SPAM and other products sold outside the U.S.; Brazil operations sold July 31, 2026.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The 10-K gives no market share or rank for Hormel’s brands.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Fiscal 2025 results

    Net sales $12,106M (+1.6%); operating income $719M; net earnings $478M; EPS $0.87.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  2. Q3 fiscal 2026

    Net sales $2,961M versus $3,033M; net earnings $60M versus $184M after $155M of nonrecurring items (Brazil loss, Indonesia investment impairment, litigation settlement).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

  3. Portfolio

    Sold 51% of Justin’s (December 2025, $75.8M), the whole-bird turkey business (April 2026, $61.2M) and Brazil operations (July 2026).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

  4. Brakebush deal

    Agreed September 29, 2026 to acquire Brakebush Brothers for a base price of $1.055B in cash.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-09-30) — Item 1.01 agreement to acquire Brakebush Brothers

  5. New CFO

    Ash Bhumbla, formerly of Tyson Foods, became CFO on September 8, 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-08-24) — Item 5.02 CFO appointment

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.18x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$311M ÷ $264M = 1.18x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

0.3%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$35M ÷ $12,106M × 100 = 0.3%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$3.67B

Latest year: $0

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $368M in FY2020 to $311M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$12.11B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+4.7%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($12,106M ÷ $9,608M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 4.7%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

5.9%▼caution

-5.5pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$719M ÷ $12,106M × 100 = 5.9%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

6.0%

6-year average: 11.4%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.66x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$23.83 ÷ $14.36 = 1.66x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

15.6x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($13,109M + $2,857M − $671M) ÷ ($719M + $264M) = 15.6x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +4.7% a year over 5 years (modest growth)

    From $9.61B in FY2020 to $12.11B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 11.5% → 5.9%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -5.5 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▲

    Equity ratio is 59.0% (a high level of financial stability)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 11.4% over 6 years (latest: 6.0%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Processes meat and other food products and sells branded and value-added foods to retailers, foodservice distributors and operators, and international customers.

How money and goods flow at Hormel Foods
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 20,000 employees, over 90% in the U.S.; about 20% under collective bargaining
    • Pork and turkey supply and processing plants
    • Brands such as SPAM, Planters, Skippy and Jennie-O
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Retail grocery and club products
    • Foodservice products for restaurants and institutions
    • International exports and joint ventures
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Walmart (15.6% of fiscal 2025 gross sales)
    • Top five customers about 38% of gross sales
    • Foodservice distributors and operators
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Retail $7,455M
    • Foodservice $3,942M
    • International $709M (fiscal 2025)

How the business makes money

  • U.S. sales $11,437M; foreign $669M.
  • Segment profit fiscal 2025: Foodservice $555M, Retail $425M, International −$80M.
  • Dividends paid were a record $633M in fiscal 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Hormel bought federal energy tax credits and faces regulatory compliance costs.

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Energy tax credits

    Fiscal 2024 tax rate benefited from purchased federal energy tax credits.

    Supports the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Approvals & licenses

    Government regulation

    Present and future regulation brings compliance costs and potential sanctions.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025 (year ended Oct 26, 2025))

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Retail

    7,455.2 (62%)
  • Foodservice

    3,941.8 (33%)
  • International

    709.1 (6%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26) Total net sales $12,106.2M.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025 (year ended Oct 26, 2025))

United States — 94% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025 (year ended Oct 26, 2025))

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    11,437.1 (94%)
  • Foreign

    669.1 (6%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26) Net sales by geography.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Retailers, foodservice distributors and operators, and international customers.

Named by the company

Suppliers

Hog and turkey producers and other raw material suppliers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Hormel competes with pork and turkey processors and national and regional producers of other proteins; the 10-K names no specific competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K names competitor categories only.

Peer group the company chose

2025–2027 LTIP peer group (20 food companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Publicly traded food industry companies used for relative TSR, unchanged from the prior cycle.

Source: Proxy statement (2025)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue9,60811,38612,45912,11011,92112,106
Operating income1,1001,1231,3131,0721,068719
Pretax income1,1151,1261,2781,0131,035663
Net income (attributable)9089091,000794805478
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—18.5%9.4%-2.8%-1.6%1.6%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10011.5%9.9%10.5%8.9%9.0%5.9%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1009.5%8.0%8.0%6.6%6.8%4.0%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets9,90812,69613,30713,44913,43513,393
Total equity6,4306,9787,5407,7398,0047,916
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable1,3043,3243,2993,3092,8592,857
Equity ratio64.9%54.9%56.6%57.5%59.5%59.0%
ROE14.1%13.6%13.8%10.4%10.2%6.0%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,1281,0021,1351,0481,267845
Investing CF-656-3,626-258-690-237-299
Financing CF5661,521-487-600-1,030-614
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures7617708567781,010534
Cash and equivalents1,714614982737742671
Per share & other
EPS ($)1.661.661.821.451.470.87
BVPS ($)11.9012.8613.7914.1514.5714.36
Dividend per share ($)0.930.981.041.101.131.16
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10056.0%59.0%57.1%75.9%76.9%133.3%
P/E (x)29.925.525.821.721.127.4
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)20.219.318.114.914.515.6
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share4.173.293.412.222.131.66

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-07-26$2.96B-2.4%$111M-53.7%$60M-67.6%$0.11
2026-04-26$2.97B+2.5%$217M-12.6%$157M-12.5%$0.29
2026-01-25$3.03B+1.3%$244M+6.7%$182M+6.6%$0.33
2025-10-26 †$3.19B+1.5%$2M-99.3%−$56M-125.5%—
2025-07-27$3.03B$240M$184M$0.33
2025-04-27$2.9B$248M$180M$0.33
2025-01-26$2.99B$228M$171M$0.31
2024-10-27 †$3.14B$294M$220M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

5.1%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$719M × (1 − 23.5%) ÷ $10,818M × 100 = 5.1%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

5.88%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $13.11B ÷ ($13.11B + $2.86B) = 82.1%

e.g.Debt weight: $2.86B ÷ ($13.11B + $2.86B) = 17.9%

e.g.WACC: 6.7% × 82.1% + 2.7% × (1 − 23.5%) × 17.9% = 5.88%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-0.8pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 5 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 4.9%–7.2% and ROIC − WACC runs −2.1 to +0.2 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 5.88% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.32 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.00), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
6.71%
Cost of debt
2.73%
Tax rate
23.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
82% : 18%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 5.88%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.32 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β -0.01, R² 0.00, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × -0.014 + 0.33 = 0.321

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity6.71%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.32 × 5.5% = 6.7%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$13.11B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$2.86B
Cost of debt2.73%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)82% : 18%

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

2.1%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 5.9% − 3.8%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-6.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+4.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $534M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $14.25B = market cap $12.09B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $2.86B − cash and short-term investments $704M; r = WACC of 5.9% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.32, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$14.06B

FCF $534M ÷ (5.9% − 2.1%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.99x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r3.9%4.9%5.9%6.9%7.9%
0%0.96x0.77x0.64x0.54x0.47x
2%1.97x1.29x0.96x0.77x0.64x
4%—4.17x1.97x1.29x0.96x
6%———4.17x1.97x
8%—————

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.36x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -2.7%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 108%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 27 → 24 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-05

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$845M ÷ $478M = 1.77x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$719M ÷ $663M × 100 = 108%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($818M + $785M) ÷ 2 ÷ $12,106M × 365 = 24 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($1,576M + $1,747M) ÷ 2 ÷ $10,214M × 365 = 59 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else — common shares, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
43.8%
Directors & officers (shares)
0.6%
Everyone else (est.)
55.6%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
0.6%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
415 of 416

1 = most institutional; 100% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.32

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 241.1M shares reported by 623 13F filers ÷ 550.4M common shares outstanding on 2026-08-23. Option positions are excluded.
  • Only the listed common shares are counted; other share classes (often held by founders) are not in this figure.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2025-12-17 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-08-23)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Dividend record

    60th consecutive year of dividend increases; 2026 annualized rate $1.17.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  2. 2. Strong brands

    Planters, SPAM, Jennie-O, Skippy, Applegate and more than 30 other brands.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  3. 3. Foodservice profitability

    Foodservice segment profit of $555M on $3,942M of fiscal 2025 sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Falling profits

    Net earnings fell from $1,000M (fiscal 2022) to $478M (fiscal 2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  2. 2. Retail profit collapse

    Q4 fiscal 2025 Retail segment profit fell 70% to $46M.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  3. 3. Customer concentration

    Walmart alone was 15.6% of gross sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

27.4x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

4.87%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

133%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.1%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Dividend aristocrat

    60 straight years of dividend increases.

    What has to hold
    Earnings recover.
    The other side
    Payout ratio is high after the earnings drop.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

  2. 2. Portfolio reshaping

    Exiting low-return businesses and adding Brakebush.

    What has to hold
    Mix improves.
    The other side
    Execution risk.

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-09-30) — Item 1.01 agreement to acquire Brakebush Brothers

Fiscal years end in late October. Shares and book value per share are from the balance sheets (not tagged in XBRL).

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

100x+

$704M vs. $7M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

9.2x

$719M vs. $78M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

0.8x

$534M vs. $633M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-2.8% in FY2023 ($12.46B → $12.11B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-32.7% in FY2025 ($1.07B → $719M)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net earnings stayed above $478M in every year 2020–2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-10-26)

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
Med
245
13
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Raw materials & energy

    Commodity costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Pork, turkey, beef and nut input costs can swing margins.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Customer/supplier concentration

    Retailer concentration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Top five customers about 38% of gross sales.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Law & regulation

    Antitrust litigation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Turkey antitrust claims by direct-action plaintiffs and indirect purchasers remain pending.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4M&A & integration

    Portfolio changes

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Divestitures and the Brakebush acquisition must be executed and integrated.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Disaster

    Animal disease

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Avian influenza and other animal diseases can disrupt supply.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • ▪ The imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers, or other restrictions could increase the cost of key inputs or reduce their availability. Read more

    In particular, recent U.S. tariffs imposed or threatened to be imposed on a variety of countries, and any retaliatory actions taken by such countries, could result in the Company incurring additional costs to procure key inputs.

  • Any of these outcomes could adversely impact the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition.

  • During the Company’s fiscal 2025 quantitative impairment testing, the International reporting unit with a goodwill balance of $258.9 million was identified as having modest fair value in excess of its carrying amount and is considered at heightened risk of impairment. Separately, impairments were recognized on the Planters ® and Chi-Chi's ® trade names for $59.1 million and $2.9 million, respectively. The Justin’s ® trade name was also identified as having heightened risk of impairment. As of October 26, 2025, the total carrying value of indefinite-lived intangible assets considered at heightened risk, including the trade names impaired, was $683.3 million. If the Company continues to face unfavorable changes in any of the factors impacting its intangible assets, the Company may be required to record impairment charges in connection with such assets, which could adversely affect the…

  • Furthermore, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, the Company commenced a corporate restructuring plan, the focus of which is to reduce administrative expenses, improve efficiencies, and align the workforce to the Company’s future needs, while enabling continued investment in the Company’s growth. The program includes a voluntary early retirement program for certain groups of employees, the closing of certain open roles, involuntary role reductions, and making select changes to benefit programs. If the Company is unable to fully realize the anticipated benefits of this corporate restructuring plan, including the reduction of expenses and the enablement of continued investment in the Company's growth, the Company's results of operations could be adversely impacted.

  • The Company relies on suppliers, distributors, and other third parties to source key inputs, deliver products to customers, and support its operations. Read more

    Any termination of, or adverse change in, the Company's relationship with any of these companies could decrease the Company's sales, increase the Company's costs, and negatively impact the Company's results of operations.

  • The Company may be adversely impacted if the Company is affected by cybersecurity attacks or other security breaches. Read more

    IT systems are an important part of the Company’s business operations. The Company also increasingly relies upon third-party service providers for a variety of business functions, including cloud-based services. The Company has programs in place to prevent, detect, contain, and respond to cyber incidents. However, the Company may be unable to anticipate security incidents, detect attacks, or implement adequate preventive measures as cyber threats continue to evolve and cyberattacks have become more sophisticated and frequent, including through the use of enhanced technologies and capabilities (such as artificial intelligence) by threat actors with a wide range of expertise and motives. For example, threat actors have increasingly targeted organizations in the U.S. and…

  • The Company and third parties with whom it does business face attempts by others to gain unauthorized access to, sabotage, take control of, and corrupt, its or their IT systems and data. Read more

    As a result of these types of attempts, both the Company and third

  • parties with whom it does business have experienced information security, cybersecurity, and data privacy incidents. Read more

    None of these incidents have had a material impact on the Company's business strategy, results of operations, or financial condition. If the Company or third parties with whom the Company does business experience additional significant information security, cybersecurity, or data privacy incidents or fail to detect and appropriately respond to significant incidents, the Company's business operations could be severely disrupted and it could be exposed to costly government enforcement actions and private litigation. In addition, the Company's customers and consumers could delay, reduce, or cease purchases of the Company's products. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition.

No longer in the text (4)

  • Volatility in financial markets and the deterioration of national and global economic conditions could impact the Company’s operations as follows:

  • The Company has no manufacturing operations in Russia, Ukraine, or the Middle East, yet it has experienced inflated fuel costs and supply chain shortages and delays due to the impact of the military conflicts on the global economy. Read more

    If these conflicts or others arise or escalate further, the Company could, among other things, face additional supply chain disruptions, rising prices for oil and other commodities, volatility in capital markets and foreign exchange rates, rising interest rates, or heightened cybersecurity risks, any of which may adversely affect the Company’s business.

  • If a highly pathogenic human disease outbreak developed, such as COVID-19, it may negatively impact the global economy, demand for Company products, the supply chain, the Company’s co-manufacturers, and/or the Company’s workforce availability including leadership, and the Company’s financial results could suffer. The Company has developed contingency plans to address infectious disease scenarios and the potential impact on its operations and will continue to update these plans, as necessary. There can be no assurance given, however, that these plans will be effective in eliminating the negative effects of any such diseases on the Company’s operating results.

  • Any of these risks could impact the Company’s financial results and business reputation.

30 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Dec 5, 2025 ↗ with the 10-K filed Dec 5, 2024 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Closing and integration of Brakebush (expected Q1 fiscal 2027).
  • Retail segment margin recovery.
  • Turkey antitrust litigation.
  • Transform and Modernize savings.

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:02 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: December 5, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-12-05Proxy statement (2025)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Hormel Foods’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.