KabuDo

NYSE: MGM · Casinos & Gaming

MGM Resorts

MGM Resorts International, based in Las Vegas, is a global gaming and entertainment company with casino resorts on the Las Vegas Strip, regional U.S. casinos, about 56% of MGM China (MGM Macau and MGM Cotai), a 50% stake in an integrated resort under development in Osaka, Japan, and online gaming through LeoVegas and its 50%-owned BetMGM joint venture. Under an asset-light model it leases the real estate of its domestic properties under triple-net leases (rent of about $2.3 billion a year). 2025 net revenues were $17,538 million and net income just $206 million, hurt by a $256 million goodwill impairment at Empire City and weaker Las Vegas results: Las Vegas Strip Adjusted EBITDAR (non-GAAP) fell to $2,858 million while MGM China’s rose to $1,203 million. MGM has bought back stock aggressively, cutting shares from 494 million in 2020 to 258 million, and settled U.S. class actions over its 2023 cyberattack for $45 million, paid by insurers.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 29, 2026 13:32 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1110-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-28Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
27.7%

Higher than 92% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
5.7%

Higher than 16% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-0.5 pts

Higher than 28% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.1x

Higher than 56% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
12.29x

Higher than 98% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
—

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
12.1x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.05

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$32.53close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$8.4B

P/E today
12.1x

At FY2025 year-end: 48.0x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
3.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 3.9x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
6.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 6.7x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
17.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 15.5%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
—

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↓ −0.9%$4.25B → $4.21B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +5.5 pts-2.7% → 2.8% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ −$17M−$285M → −$17M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ $-0.07$-1.05 → $-0.07 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −5.9%$2.55B → $2.4B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −6.6%$6.07B → $5.67B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 28, 2026.

Key changes

  • Q3 revenue $4.2B, down 1%. Source sentence
    Consolidated revenue of $4.2 billion, a decrease of 1% compared to the prior year quarter
  • MGM China record market share of 17.1%. Source sentence
    MGM China achieved record quarterly revenue as well as record quarterly market share of 17.1%

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
MGM Resorts International
Headquarters
LAS VEGAS, NV
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: MGM
Industry
Casinos & Gaming
CIK
789570

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    62,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 36–44 days after quarter end (Feb 5, 2026; Feb 12, 2025; Feb 13, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 28–44 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 28, 2026 (+28 days)Oct 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 29, 2026 (+29 days)Jul 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 5, 2026 (+36 days)Feb 11, 2026 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 29, 2025 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 12, 2025 (+43 days)Feb 18, 2025 10-K (+49 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 1, 2024 (+31 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 13, 2024 (+44 days)Feb 23, 2024 10-K (+54 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Las Vegas Strip

    Las Vegas resorts

    Casino resorts on the Strip with hotels, entertainment and conventions.

  • Regional

    Regional casinos

    Casinos across U.S. regional markets.

  • MGM China

    MGM Macau and MGM Cotai

    Macau casino resorts via ~56%-owned MGM China.

  • Digital

    BetMGM and LeoVegas

    Online sports betting and iGaming.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The 10-K gives no market-share figures.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Asset-light model

    Domestic real estate leased under triple-net leases.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Osaka integrated resort

    Developing an integrated resort through a 50%-owned joint venture.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. Impairment

    Recorded a $256M goodwill impairment for Empire City in 2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.05x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,069M ÷ $1,018M = 1.05x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$3.91B

Latest year: $0

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $271M in FY2020 to $1.07B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$17.54B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+27.7%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($17,538M ÷ $5,162M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 27.7%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

5.7%▲favorable

+18.2pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,002M ÷ $17,538M × 100 = 5.7%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

7.5%

6-year average: 14.5%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

3.88x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$36.49 ÷ $9.41 = 3.88x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

6.7x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($9,426M + $6,230M − $2,063M) ÷ ($1,002M + $1,018M) = 6.7x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +27.7% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $5.16B in FY2020 to $17.54B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -12.4% → 5.7%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +18.2 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 5.9% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 14.5% over 6 years (latest: 7.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Operates casino resorts that earn gaming, hotel, food and beverage and entertainment revenue, mostly in leased properties, plus online sports betting and iGaming.

How money and goods flow at MGM Resorts
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 44,000 full-time and 18,000 part-time U.S. employees plus 16,000 internationally
    • Leased Las Vegas and regional resorts
    • Macau gaming concession (via MGM China)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Las Vegas Strip Resorts
    • Regional Operations
    • MGM China
    • MGM Digital (LeoVegas) and BetMGM JV
    • MGM Osaka (development)
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Leisure and convention visitors, casino patrons, online bettors
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Las Vegas Strip Resorts
    • Regional Operations
    • MGM China
    • Total net revenues $17,538M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • Segment Adjusted EBITDAR 2025 (non-GAAP): Las Vegas Strip $2,858M, MGM China $1,203M, Regional $1,163M, MGM Digital −$90M.
  • Triple-net lease rent of about $2.3B a year.
  • Collective bargaining agreements for some Las Vegas and ~3,000 regional employees expire in 2026.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

MGM’s growth depends on gaming licenses and state referendums, where lobbying is active.

  • Approvals & licenses

    Gaming licenses

    New jurisdictions bring onerous licensing requirements.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Political engagement

    Gaming referendums

    Referendums allowing retail gaming passed in Virginia and Nebraska amid active lobbying.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Customers

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Las Vegas Strip Resorts

    2,858 (55%)
  • MGM China

    1,203 (23%)
  • Regional Operations

    1,163 (22%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Segment Adjusted EBITDAR (non-GAAP), $ millions — not revenue; MGM Digital (−$90M) not shown. Total net revenues $17,538M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Casino and hotel customers.

Named by the company

No customer concentration.

Suppliers

Landlords (triple-net lessors), suppliers.

Named by the company

No material supplier is named.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K describes competition with other hotel casinos in its markets and regional gaming markets without naming them.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue5,1629,68013,12716,16417,24117,538
Operating income-6422,2791,4391,8911,4901,002
Pretax income-1,5111,4629041,4731,117281
Net income (attributable)-1,0331,2541,4731,142747206
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—87.5%35.6%23.1%6.7%1.7%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-12.4%23.5%11.0%11.7%8.6%5.7%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-20.0%13.0%11.2%7.1%4.3%1.2%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets36,49540,89945,69242,36942,23241,374
Total equity11,18010,9775,2104,3343,6853,255
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable12,37712,7718,7196,3446,3626,230
Equity ratio17.8%14.8%10.6%9.0%7.2%5.9%
ROE-15.9%19.9%27.0%26.4%21.8%7.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF-1,4931,3731,7562,6912,3622,529
Investing CF2,1591,5442,118-714-1,283-1,141
Financing CF2,103-2,814-3,024-5,005-1,564-1,731
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-1,7648839911,7591,2121,460
Cash and equivalents5,1024,7035,9122,9282,4162,063
Per share & other
EPS ($)-2.022.413.493.192.400.76
BVPS ($)13.1613.3812.7511.6710.279.41
Dividend per share ($)0.160.010.01———
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100—0.4%0.3%———
P/E (x)—18.69.614.014.448.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)40.28.33.26.76.16.7
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share2.393.352.633.833.373.88

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$4.21B-0.9%$119M−$17M$-0.07
2026-06-30$4.45B+1.0%$504M+24.5%$292M+497.4%$1.11
2026-03-31$4.45B+4.2%$301M-21.8%$125M-15.8%$0.48
2025-12-31 †$4.61B+6.0%$325M+11.5%$294M+86.5%—
2025-09-30$4.25B−$113M−$285M$-1.05
2025-06-30$4.4B$405M$49M$0.18
2025-03-31$4.28B$385M$149M$0.51
2024-12-31 †$4.35B$292M$157M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

8.1%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,002M × (1 − 21%) ÷ $9,766M × 100 = 8.1%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

8.57%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $9.43B ÷ ($9.43B + $6.23B) = 60.2%

e.g.Debt weight: $6.23B ÷ ($9.43B + $6.23B) = 39.8%

e.g.WACC: 10.7% × 60.2% + 6.7% × (1 − 21%) × 39.8% = 8.57%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-0.5pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 2 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.4%–10.0% and ROIC − WACC runs −1.9 to +0.7 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 8.57% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.05 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.73%
Cost of debt
6.73%
Tax rate
21% (U.S. federal statutory rate (not enough data for an effective rate))
Capital structure (equity : debt)
60% : 40%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 8.57%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.05 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.08, R² 0.18, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.079 + 0.33 = 1.053

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.73%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.05 × 5.5% = 10.7%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$9.43B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$6.23B
Cost of debt6.73%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)60% : 40%

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

-3.0%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 8.6% − 11.6%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+27.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.46B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $12.57B = market cap $8.4B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $6.23B − cash and short-term investments $2.06B; r = WACC of 8.6% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.05, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$12.59B

FCF $1.46B ÷ (8.6% − -3.0%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r6.6%7.6%8.6%9.6%10.6%
0%1.76x1.53x1.35x1.21x1.10x
2%2.53x2.07x1.76x1.53x1.35x
4%4.47x3.23x2.53x2.07x1.76x
6%19.36x7.26x4.47x3.23x2.53x
8%——19.36x7.26x4.47x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 4.02x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -5.6%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 357%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 22 → 23 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$2,529M ÷ $206M = 12.29x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,002M ÷ $281M × 100 = 357%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,071M + $1,123M) ÷ 2 ÷ $17,538M × 365 = 23 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
63.7%
Directors & officers (shares)
3.4%
Everyone else (est.)
32.9%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
3.4%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
399 of 416

1 = most institutional; 96% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.05

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 160.4M shares reported by 659 13F filers ÷ 251.6M shares outstanding on 2026-07-27. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-27)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Diversified footprint

    Las Vegas, regional U.S., Macau, online and a future Osaka resort.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Macau growth

    MGM China Adjusted EBITDAR rose to $1,203M in 2025 from $867M in 2023.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Aggressive buybacks

    Shares outstanding fell from 494M (2020) to 258M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Weak 2025 profit

    Net income fell to $206M in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Las Vegas decline

    Las Vegas Strip Adjusted EBITDAR fell from $3,190M (2023) to $2,858M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Lease obligations

    About $2.3B of annual triple-net rent.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

48.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

15.5%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Macau and Japan growth

    Exposure to Asian gaming growth.

    What has to hold
    Asian tourism grows.
    The other side
    Regulatory risk.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Per-share growth

    Large buybacks shrink the share count.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow holds up.
    The other side
    Weak 2025 earnings.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

—

$2.06B vs. —

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

2.4x

$1B vs. $419M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

—

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-36.8% in FY2022 ($2.28B → $1.44B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Pandemic recovery

    Revenue recovered from $5,162M (2020) to $17,538M (2025).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
235
4
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Travel and leisure demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Las Vegas results depend on leisure and business travel.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Law & regulation

    Gaming regulation and Macau concession

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Licensing and concession conditions in Nevada, other states and Macau.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Information security

    Cyberattacks

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The September 2023 cyberattack disrupted operations and led to litigation.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    In addition, we have a cybersecurity incident response plan in place that provides a documented framework for handling high and low severity security incidents and facilitates coordination across multiple parts of the business.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with other casino resorts locally and in regional markets, and online gaming operators.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  5. 5M&A & integration

    Osaka development

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Building the Osaka integrated resort carries execution risk.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

No longer in the text (1)

  • projects, such as our proposed integrated resort in Japan and the potential for full-scale commercial gaming at Empire City, will be subject to a number of risks, including:

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2025 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Las Vegas Strip trends.
  • MGM China growth.
  • Osaka resort construction.
  • BetMGM profitability.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 29, 2026 13:32 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-11Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent MGM Resorts’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.