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Nasdaq: QCOM · Semiconductors

Qualcomm

Qualcomm, based in San Diego, develops foundational technologies for on-device AI, high-performance low-power computing and wireless connectivity. Its QCT semiconductor business sells chip platforms for handsets ($27,793 million in FY2025), automotive ($3,957 million) and IoT ($6,617 million), and QTL licenses its patent portfolio ($6,415 million). FY2025 (ended September 28, 2025) revenue rose 14% to $44,284 million, but net income fell to $5,541 million after a $5.7 billion tax valuation allowance charge, which was released in fiscal Q2 2026. Apple, Samsung and Xiaomi each provided 10% or more of revenue. In December 2025 it acquired Alphawave IP Group for $2.3 billion.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 1, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 1, 2026 09:54 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 5, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-11-0510-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28) · filed 2026-07-29Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
13.5%

Higher than 75% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
27.9%

Higher than 78% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+12.1 pts

Higher than 75% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.3x

Higher than 24% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
2.53x

Higher than 86% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
13.6x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-27

Beta
1.52

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$171.99close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$184.72B

P/E today
13.6x

At FY2025 year-end: 33.8x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-27

P/B today
8.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 8.6x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
13.6x

At FY2025 year-end: 13.7x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
6.9%

At FY2025 year-end: 7.1%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
2.0%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 27, 2026 (fourth quarter: annual figure minus the first three quarters).

  • Revenue↓ −8.4%$11.27B → $10.32B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −12.7 pts25.9% → 13.1% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ $1.25B−$3.12B → $1.25B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +2.3%$4.53B → $4.64B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −1.3%$12.78B → $12.62B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-K ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 4, 2026.

Key changes

  • Record QCT Automotive revenue of $2B, up 89%. Source sentence
    —Record QCT Automotive Revenues: Achieved First $2B Quarter, Growing 89% Year-Over-Year—

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
QUALCOMM INC/DE
Headquarters
SAN DIEGO, CA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
09/27
Exchange & ticker
Nasdaq: QCOM
Industry
Semiconductors
CIK
804328

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    52,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q1 FY2027

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q1 results were released 38 days after quarter end (Feb 4, 2026; Feb 5, 2025; Jan 31, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around September 27.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 31–38 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q4 FY2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 4, 2026 (+38 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-K (+38 days)
Q3 FY2026Jun 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026 (+31 days)Jul 29, 2026 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2026Mar 29, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+31 days)Apr 29, 2026 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2026Dec 28, 2025Feb 4, 2026 (+38 days)Feb 4, 2026 10-Q (+38 days)
Q4 FY2025Sep 28, 2025Nov 5, 2025 (+38 days)Nov 5, 2025 10-K (+38 days)
Q3 FY2025Jun 29, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+31 days)Jul 30, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2025Mar 30, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+31 days)Apr 30, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Dec 29, 2024Feb 5, 2025 (+38 days)Feb 5, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q4 FY2024Sep 29, 2024Nov 6, 2024 (+38 days)Nov 6, 2024 10-K (+38 days)
Q3 FY2024Jun 23, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+38 days)Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2024Mar 24, 2024May 1, 2024 (+38 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2024Dec 24, 2023Jan 31, 2024 (+38 days)Jan 31, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • QCT

    Handset platforms

    Snapdragon mobile platforms, modems and RF for smartphones.

  • QCT

    Automotive

    Digital cockpit, connectivity and driver-assistance platforms.

  • QCT

    IoT

    Chips for PCs, consumer, industrial and networking devices.

  • QTL

    Patent licensing

    Licenses to its patent portfolio for wireless devices.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

Qualcomm does not state a market share in its 10-K.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Q3 FY2026 results

    Quarter ended June 28, 2026: revenue $9,947M (vs $10,365M); net income $2,002M (vs $2,666M); diluted EPS $1.87 (vs $2.43).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28)

  2. Handset slowdown

    Lower chipset shipments to major OEMs adjusting build plans due to memory supply constraints; automotive up 61% to $1,588M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28)

  3. Tax benefit

    $5.7B release of the federal deferred tax valuation allowance in fiscal Q2 2026 lifted 9M net income to $12,377M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.74x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,192M ÷ $1,602M = 0.74x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

20.4%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$9,042M ÷ $44,284M × 100 = 20.4%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.41B in FY2020 to $1.19B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$44.28B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+13.5%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($44,284M ÷ $23,531M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 13.5%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

27.9%▲favorable

+1.3pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$12,355M ÷ $44,284M × 100 = 27.9%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

23.3%▲favorable

6-year average: 65.5%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

8.57x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$169.20 ÷ $19.74 = 8.57x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

13.7x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($181,721M + $14,811M − $5,520M) ÷ ($12,355M + $1,602M) = 13.7x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +13.5% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $23.53B in FY2020 to $44.28B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 26.6% → 27.9%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +1.3 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 42.3% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 65.5% over 6 years (latest: 23.3%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

QCT designs integrated circuit platforms made by third-party foundries and sells them to device makers; QTL licenses cellular and other patents to device makers for royalties.

How money and goods flow at Qualcomm
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 52,000 workers (September 28, 2025)
    • R&D of $9,042M in FY2025
    • Third-party foundries and suppliers
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • QCT: Snapdragon and other platforms for handsets, automotive and IoT
    • QTL: patent licensing
    • Acquisitions such as Alphawave (wired connectivity)
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Smartphone OEMs (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi each ≥10% of FY2025 revenue)
    • Automakers and tier-one suppliers
    • IoT, PC and industrial device makers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Revenue $44,284M (FY2025)
    • QCT $38,367M (handsets $27,793M; automotive $3,957M; IoT $6,617M)
    • QTL licensing $6,415M

How the business makes money

  • 52–53 week fiscal year ending the last Sunday in September.
  • $15.0B buyback program announced November 2024.
  • Some large customers develop their own chips.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Qualcomm’s licensing model is exposed to government action on royalties and to China trade policy.

  • Political engagement

    Licensees lobbying regulators

    Licensees may lobby regulators and officials to cut royalty rates or the royalty base, impose compulsory licensing or weaken patent enforcement.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Trade & export rules

    China tariffs

    Chinese tariffs on Qualcomm chips or devices using them can make them more expensive for Chinese customers.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • QCT Handsets

    27,793 (62%)
  • QCT IoT

    6,617 (15%)
  • QTL Licensing

    6,415 (14%)
  • QCT Automotive

    3,957 (9%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28) QCT revenue by stream plus QTL; total revenue $44,284M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Smartphone, automotive and IoT device makers.

Named by the company

  • Apple — 10% or more of FY2025 revenue.
  • Samsung — 10% or more of FY2025 revenue.
  • Xiaomi — 10% or more of FY2025 revenue.

Suppliers

Third-party foundries and assembly/test suppliers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named in the summary.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Qualcomm competes with many companies across its product lines, most of which compete in some but not all lines; the 10-K does not name them.

Competitors named in the 10-K

No competitor is named in the 10-K.

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue23,53133,56644,20035,82038,96244,284
Operating income6,2559,78915,8607,78810,07112,355
Pretax income5,71910,27414,9987,44310,33612,663
Net income (attributable)5,1989,04312,9367,23210,1425,541
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—42.6%31.7%-19.0%8.8%13.7%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10026.6%29.2%35.9%21.7%25.8%27.9%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10022.1%26.9%29.3%20.2%26.0%12.5%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets35,59441,24049,01451,04055,15450,143
Total equity6,0779,95018,01321,58126,27421,206
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable15,22613,70113,53714,48413,27014,811
Equity ratio17.1%24.1%36.8%42.3%47.6%42.3%
ROE85.5%112.8%92.5%36.5%42.4%23.3%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF5,81410,5369,09611,29912,20214,012
Investing CF-5,263-3,356-5,804762-3,623-800
Financing CF-5,707-6,798-7,196-6,663-9,269-13,196
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures4,4078,6486,8349,84911,16112,820
Cash and equivalents6,7077,1162,7738,4507,8495,520
Per share & other
EPS ($)4.527.8711.376.428.975.01
BVPS ($)5.378.8416.0719.3723.6119.74
Dividend per share ($)2.542.662.863.103.303.48
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10056.2%33.8%25.2%48.3%36.8%69.5%
P/E (x)25.317.010.716.819.033.8
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)18.013.88.313.116.513.7
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share21.3115.147.545.567.218.57

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-27 †$10.32B-8.4%$1.36B-53.5%$1.25B—
2026-06-28$9.95B-4.0%$1.63B-41.1%$2B-24.9%$1.87
2026-03-29$10.6B-3.5%$2.31B-26.0%$7.37B+162.1%$6.88
2025-12-28$12.25B+5.0%$3.37B-5.3%$3B-5.5%$2.78
2025-09-28 †$11.27B$2.92B−$3.12B—
2025-06-29$10.37B$2.76B$2.67B$2.43
2025-03-30$10.98B$3.12B$2.81B$2.52
2024-12-29$11.67B$3.56B$3.18B$2.83

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

24.7%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$12,355M × (1 − 24.5%) ÷ $37,781M × 100 = 24.7%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

12.56%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $181.72B ÷ ($181.72B + $14.81B) = 92.5%

e.g.Debt weight: $14.81B ÷ ($181.72B + $14.81B) = 7.5%

e.g.WACC: 13.3% × 92.5% + 4.5% × (1 − 24.5%) × 7.5% = 12.56%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+12.1pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 6 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 10.3%–15.2% and ROIC − WACC runs +9.5 to +14.4 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 12.56% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.52 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
13.31%
Cost of debt
4.48%
Tax rate
24.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
92% : 8%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 12.56%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.52 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.77, R² 0.33, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.773 + 0.33 = 1.518

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity13.31%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.52 × 5.5% = 13.3%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$181.72B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$14.81B
Cost of debt4.48%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)92% : 8%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

5.8%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 12.6% − 6.8%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+23.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+13.5%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $12.82B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $189.37B = market cap $184.72B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $14.81B − cash and short-term investments $10.16B; r = WACC of 12.6% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.52, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$188.53B

FCF $12.82B ÷ (12.6% − 5.8%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r10.6%11.6%12.6%13.6%14.6%
0%0.64x0.58x0.54x0.50x0.46x
2%0.79x0.71x0.64x0.58x0.54x
4%1.03x0.89x0.79x0.71x0.64x
6%1.47x1.21x1.03x0.89x0.79x
8%2.60x1.88x1.47x1.21x1.03x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.38x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -16.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 98%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 42 → 21 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-05

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$14,012M ÷ $5,541M = 2.53x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$12,355M ÷ $12,663M × 100 = 98%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($2,347M + $2,855M) ÷ 2 ÷ $44,284M × 365 = 21 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($6,423M + $6,526M) ÷ 2 ÷ $19,738M × 365 = 120 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
80.2%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
19.8%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
302 of 416

1 = most institutional; 72% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.52

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 842.3M shares reported by 3,020 13F filers ÷ 1,050.0M shares outstanding on 2026-07-27. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-01-22 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-27)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Diversification beyond handsets

    Automotive revenue rose 36% and IoT 22% in FY2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

  2. 2. High-margin licensing

    QTL licensing revenue of $6,415M in FY2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

  3. 3. Cash generation

    Operating cash flow of $14,012M in FY2025; $8.8B of buybacks and $3.8B of dividends.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Customer concentration

    Apple, Samsung and Xiaomi each ≥10% of revenue; some develop their own chips.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

  2. 2. Handset weakness

    Q3 FY2026 handset revenue fell 20% to $5,086M.

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-28)

  3. 3. China export limits

    U.S. revoked the license to sell 4G and other chips to Huawei in May 2024.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

33.8x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

2.06%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

69%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

7.1%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Edge AI platforms

    Positions on-device AI and low-power computing across phones, cars and PCs.

    What has to hold
    Non-handset revenue keeps growing.
    The other side
    Customer insourcing.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

  2. 2. Shareholder returns

    Dividends rose from $2.54 (FY2020) to $3.48 (FY2025) per share; share count down 5%.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow holds.
    The other side
    Handset cycle.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

No debt due

$10.16B vs. $0

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

18.6x

$12.36B vs. $664M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.4x

$12.82B vs. $3.81B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-19.0% in FY2023 ($44.2B → $35.82B)Yes, by FY2025
Operating income-50.9% in FY2023 ($15.86B → $7.79B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income was positive each year FY2020–FY2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-28)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
13
Med
245
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Customer/supplier concentration

    Large customers

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Largest customers may use their own or competitors’ chips.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Supply chain

    Memory constraints

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Customers cut build plans in 2026 due to memory supply constraints and price increases.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Geopolitics & supply chain

    U.S.–China

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Export controls and China exposure.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Licensing disputes

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Licensees challenge patents and FRAND terms; Arm litigation on appeal.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  5. 5Competition & technology shift

    New markets

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes against better-known companies in computing and other segments.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • • Our increasing focus on artificial intelligence (AI), including on-device AI, agentic AI and AI infrastructure, may not result in the anticipated benefits and could expose us to additional competitive, regulatory, intellectual property and operational risks.

  • Further, as we seek to grow and diversify our business in areas such as automotive, IoT and data center, we may also

  • derive a significant portion of revenues in such areas from a limited number of customers, hyperscalers, automakers or other industry participants.

  • Our increasing focus on artificial intelligence (AI), including on-device AI, agentic AI and AI infrastructure, may not result in the anticipated benefits and could expose us to additional competitive, regulatory, intellectual property and operational risks.

  • AI technologies, including machine learning, generative AI, agentic AI and other data driven computational techniques, are increasingly important to our strategy across mobile, automotive, IoT, data center and other industries and applications, and we are investing significant engineering, research and development and other resources to integrate AI capabilities into our integrated circuit products, software platforms and system solutions. These investments are subject to a high degree of uncertainty and may not generate operating income or contribute to future results of operations or cash flows that meet our expectations, on the timeline we anticipate or at all.

  • The successful adoption and monetization of AI-enabled products depends on numerous factors beyond our control, including consumer demand, the willingness of customers to pay for AI-enabled functionality, the development of compelling AI use cases, competition from alternative architectures or cloud-based solutions, and the extent to which our customers develop or deploy proprietary AI technologies through vertical integration. If AI workloads shift toward competing platforms or architectures that do not rely on our products, or if end-user demand for AI-enabled products or functionality does not materialize as anticipated, our revenues, margins and results of operations could be negatively impacted.

  • AI technologies also may expose us to legal, regulatory, cybersecurity, privacy, intellectual property, operational and reputational risks. Read more

    AI algorithms, models or training methodologies may be flawed, and datasets or outputs may be inaccurate, insufficient, biased, misleading or otherwise controversial. Our use of AI tools in our internal operations, or the use of AI-enabled products, tools or technologies by our customers, developers, vendors or other third parties, may result in inadvertent disclosure or misuse of confidential, proprietary, personal or competitively sensitive information, reliance on inaccurate or flawed outputs, cybersecurity or privacy incidents, claims of infringement or misuse of data, regulatory scrutiny, litigation or use that is inconsistent with our expectations, policies, controls or applicable laws and regulations.

  • In addition, we license for use in our products certain technologies and intellectual property from Arm, such as the Arm instruction set architecture. Read more

    Arm has recently become a supplier of integrated circuit products, putting itself in direct competition with its licensees. As a result, our ability to obtain a license to Arm’s latest technologies and intellectual property, including on acceptable terms and time frames, has been and may continue to be impacted. If we are unable to obtain an acceptable license, our ability to compete effectively would be harmed and we could experience significant impacts to our future products and business.

No longer in the text (3)

  • Apple purchases our MDM (or thin modem) products, which do not include our integrated application processor technology, and which have lower revenue and margin contributions than our combined modem and application processor products. Read more

    Consequently, to the extent Apple devices using our MDM products take share from our customers who purchase our integrated modem and application processor products, our revenues and margins may be negatively impacted. Additionally, we expect that Apple will increasingly use its own modem products, rather than our products, in its future devices, which will have a significant negative impact on our QCT revenues, results of operations and cash flows.

  • Further, while we derive a portion of our revenues from areas outside of mobile handsets, e.g., from industries such as automotive and IoT, certain product categories within those industries may in themselves be subject to high levels of customer concentration.

  • Further changes in the tax laws of foreign jurisdictions could arise as a result of the base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) project that was undertaken by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Read more

    The OECD, representing a coalition of member countries, has made certain changes, including the Pillar Two framework, which imposes a minimum tax of 15% in each taxing jurisdiction. The OECD is contemplating additional changes to numerous long-standing tax principles. These changes, if and as adopted by countries, may increase tax uncertainty and may adversely affect our provision for income taxes, results of operations and cash flows.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Nov 4, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Nov 5, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Handset demand amid memory constraints.
  • Automotive and IoT growth.
  • Arm appeal in the Third Circuit.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 1, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 1, 2026 09:54 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 5, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-11-05Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Qualcomm’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.