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NASDAQ: STLD · Steel

Steel Dynamics

Steel Dynamics, based in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is one of North America’s largest domestic steel producers and metals recyclers, with about 16 million tons of steel capacity. 2025 net sales were $18,177M and net income $1,186M, down from a $3,863M peak in 2022. It also runs a recycled aluminum flat rolled mill in Columbus, Mississippi. Third-quarter 2026 operating income nearly doubled to about $1.0B on wider metal spreads.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 4, 2026 15:27 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2710-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-23Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
13.6%

Higher than 75% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
8.1%

Higher than 22% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-0.5 pts

Higher than 27% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.7x

Higher than 49% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.22x

Higher than 25% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
17.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.10

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$241.00close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$34.93B

P/E today
17.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 21.2x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
3.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 2.7x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
18.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 13.8x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
1.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 2.0%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.8%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +34.8%$4.83B → $6.51B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +4.9 pts10.5% → 15.5% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +87.3%$404M → $756M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +92.0%$2.74 → $5.26 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +63.6%$568M → $929M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt→ +0.0%$4.2B → $4.2B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 20, 2026.

Key changes

  • Repurchased $276M of stock. Source sentence
    § Share repurchases of $276 million, or one percent, of the company’s common stock

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
STEEL DYNAMICS INC
Headquarters
FORT WAYNE, IN
Incorporated in
Indiana
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: STLD
Industry
Steel
CIK
1022671

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    14,400

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 23–27 days after quarter end (Jan 27, 2026; Jan 23, 2025; Jan 24, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 17–27 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 20, 2026 (+20 days)Oct 23, 2026 10-Q (+23 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 21, 2026 (+21 days)Jul 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 21, 2026 (+21 days)Apr 27, 2026 10-Q (+27 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 27, 2026 (+27 days)Feb 27, 2026 10-K (+58 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 21, 2025 (+21 days)Oct 24, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 22, 2025 (+22 days)Aug 11, 2025 10-Q (+42 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 23, 2025 (+23 days)May 12, 2025 10-Q (+42 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 23, 2025 (+23 days)Feb 28, 2025 10-K (+59 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 17, 2024 (+17 days)Nov 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 18, 2024 (+18 days)Aug 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days)May 10, 2024 10-Q (+40 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 24, 2024 (+24 days)Feb 29, 2024 10-K (+60 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Steel

    Flat roll, long products

    EAF steel and coatings.

  • Metals recycling

    Ferrous and aluminum scrap

    Largest scrap supplier to its own mills.

  • Fabrication

    Joists and deck

    For non-residential construction.

  • Aluminum

    Recycled flat rolled

    650,000-metric-ton mill in Columbus, Mississippi.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Steel and metals recycling

    North America

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

    North America

    One of the largest

    Company-disclosed

    Based on capacity of about 16M tons and recycling volumes

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Q3 2026 results

    Sales $6,509M (vs $4,828M); net income $756M (vs $404M).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  2. New Process Steel

    Completed the purchase of the remaining 55% in December 2025.

    Source: Form 8-K (2025-12-02) — Item 8.01 New Process Steel

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.72x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$948M ÷ $551M = 1.72x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$370M

Latest year: $176M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.2B in FY2020 to $948M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$18.18B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+13.6%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($18,177M ÷ $9,601M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 13.6%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

8.1%

-0.7pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,476M ÷ $18,177M × 100 = 8.1%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

13.3%▲favorable

6-year average: 31.1%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

2.74x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$169.45 ÷ $61.80 = 2.74x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

13.8x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($24,560M + $4,211M − $770M) ÷ ($1,476M + $551M) = 13.8x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +13.6% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $9.6B in FY2020 to $18.18B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ―

    Operating margin held roughly flat: 8.8% → 8.1%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -0.7 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▲

    Equity ratio is 54.6% (a high level of financial stability)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 4 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 31.1% over 6 years (latest: 13.3%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Recycles scrap, melts it in electric arc furnaces and sells steel, fabricated products and aluminum.

How money and goods flow at Steel Dynamics
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 14,400 team members
    • Scrap from its metals recycling platform
    • About 16M tons steel capacity
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • EAF steelmaking and coating
    • Metals recycling
    • Steel fabrication and aluminum flat rolling
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Automotive, construction and industrial steel buyers
    • Non-residential construction buyers of joists and deck
    • Beverage can and automotive aluminum buyers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Net sales $18,177M (2025)
    • Steel operations 72% of sales
    • Recycling 11%, fabrication 8%, aluminum 2%

How the business makes money

  • 65% of ferrous scrap sold to its own mills in 2025.
  • Steel mill utilization 86% in 2025.
  • Quarterly dividend raised to $0.50 in 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Trade policy and environmental rules frame the steel market.

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs and quotas

    Trade policies or restrictions are named among factors affecting results.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Environmental regulation

    Proposed or actual regulation is named among risks.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Steel operations

    13,087 (72%)
  • Metals recycling

    2,000 (11%)
  • Steel fabrication

    1,454 (8%)
  • Aluminum

    364 (2%)
  • Other

    1,272 (7%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Approximate: 10-K percentages of consolidated net sales × $18,177M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Automotive, construction and industrial buyers.

Named by the company

Suppliers

Scrap comes from its own recycling and third parties.

Named by the company

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K describes competition by product without naming rivals. Proxy peers include direct steel competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Compensation peer group from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue9,60118,40922,26118,79517,54018,177
Operating income8474,3015,0923,1511,9431,476
Pretax income7054,2095,0213,2191,9831,493
Net income (attributable)5713,2143,8632,4511,5371,186
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—91.7%20.9%-15.6%-6.7%3.6%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1008.8%23.4%22.9%16.8%11.1%8.1%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1005.9%17.5%17.4%13.0%8.8%6.5%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets9,26612,53114,16014,90814,93516,420
Total equity4,3456,3058,1308,8678,9348,957
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable3,1033,1063,0713,0713,2314,211
Equity ratio46.9%50.3%57.4%59.5%59.8%54.6%
ROE13.1%60.4%53.5%28.8%17.3%13.3%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF9872,2044,4603,5201,8451,450
Investing CF-993-999-1,879-1,970-1,303-975
Financing CF-7-1,329-2,197-1,777-1,353-294
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-2111,1983,5521,862-24502
Cash and equivalents1,3691,2441,6281,401589770
Per share & other
EPS ($)2.5915.5620.9214.649.847.99
BVPS ($)20.6032.3347.0155.4159.1261.80
Dividend per share ($)1.001.041.361.701.842.00
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10038.6%6.7%6.5%11.6%18.7%25.0%
P/E (x)14.24.04.78.111.621.2
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)8.13.03.35.78.213.8
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share1.791.922.082.131.932.74

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$6.51B+34.8%$1.01B+98.2%$756M+87.3%$5.26
2026-06-30$6.09B+33.4%$700M+83.0%$534M+78.8%$3.69
2026-03-31$5.2B+19.1%$538M+95.5%$403M+85.8%$2.78
2025-12-31 †$4.41B+14.0%$310M+30.6%$266M+28.3%—
2025-09-30$4.83B$508M$404M$2.74
2025-06-30$4.57B$383M$299M$2.01
2025-03-31$4.37B$275M$217M$1.44
2024-12-31 †$3.87B$238M$207M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

9.0%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,476M × (1 − 22.5%) ÷ $12,667M × 100 = 9.0%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

9.58%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $24.56B ÷ ($24.56B + $4.21B) = 85.4%

e.g.Debt weight: $4.21B ÷ ($24.56B + $4.21B) = 14.6%

e.g.WACC: 11.0% × 85.4% + 1.7% × (1 − 22.5%) × 14.6% = 9.58%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-0.5pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 4 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.9%–11.6% and ROIC − WACC runs −2.6 to +1.2 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 9.58% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
11.00%
Cost of debt
1.66%
Tax rate
22.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
85% : 15%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 9.58%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.16, R² 0.23, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.156 + 0.33 = 1.104

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity11.00%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.1 × 5.5% = 11.0%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$24.56B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$4.21B
Cost of debt1.66%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)85% : 15%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

8.3%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.6% − 1.3%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+13.6%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $502M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $38.37B = market cap $34.93B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $4.21B − cash and short-term investments $770M; r = WACC of 9.6% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.10, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$38.58B

FCF $502M ÷ (9.6% − 8.3%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.6%8.6%9.6%10.6%11.6%
0%0.17x0.15x0.14x0.12x0.11x
2%0.23x0.20x0.17x0.15x0.14x
4%0.36x0.28x0.23x0.20x0.17x
6%0.82x0.50x0.36x0.28x0.23x
8%—2.18x0.82x0.50x0.36x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.24x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -1.7%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 99%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 37 → 31 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,450M ÷ $1,186M = 1.22x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,476M ÷ $1,493M × 100 = 99%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,417M + $1,683M) ÷ 2 ÷ $18,177M × 365 = 31 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($3,114M + $3,739M) ÷ 2 ÷ $15,784M × 365 = 79 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
83.1%
Directors & officers (shares)
6.6%
Everyone else (est.)
10.3%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
6.6%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
284 of 416

1 = most institutional; 68% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.10

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 119.1M shares reported by 1,021 13F filers ÷ 143.3M shares outstanding on 2026-07-23. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-23)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale

    One of the largest North American steel producers and recyclers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Integration

    Recycling platform is the largest scrap supplier to its mills.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Shrinking share count

    Shares fell from 211M (2020) to 145M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Cyclical profits

    Net income fell from $3,863M (2022) to $1,186M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Higher debt

    Long-term debt rose to $4,177M from $2,804M.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

21.2x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.18%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

25%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

2.0%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Circular model

    Recycled inputs and EAF mills.

    What has to hold
    Spreads hold.
    The other side
    Cycles.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Returns

    Shares fell by about a third since 2020.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow stays strong.
    The other side
    Capex needs.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

22.2x

$770M vs. $35M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

21.1x

$1.48B vs. $70M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

1.7x

$502M vs. $291M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-15.6% in FY2023 ($22.26B → $18.8B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-38.3% in FY2024 ($3.15B → $1.94B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • 2020

    Net income $571M in 2020.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
45
23
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Steel prices

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Metal spreads drive earnings.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Raw materials & energy

    Scrap cost

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Scrap and purchased steel are large costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Geopolitics & supply chain

    Trade policy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Changes in tariffs or quotas may affect prices.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4M&A & integration

    Aluminum ramp

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The aluminum flat rolled mill began operations in the second half of 2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Law & regulation

    Environmental rules

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Regulation includes environmental rules.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (3)

  • We may experience difficulties in the launch or production ramp-up of new products which may adversely affect our business.

  • As we ramp up manufacturing processes for newly introduced products, we may experience difficulties, including manufacturing disruptions, delays, or other complications, which could adversely affect our ability to serve our customers, our reputation, our costs of production and, ultimately, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

  • We have a relatively concentrated group of aluminum customers. Read more

    Most of these customers have one or more sizable sales agreements with us. If one or more of these customers experienced a prolonged period of adverse demand, depressed business activity or financial distress, if any of these customers breached or sought relief from its contractual obligations under its sales agreements with us or if any of these customer relationships otherwise ended or materiality deteriorated and such lost business was not successfully replaced, our aluminum operations financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows may be adversely affected.

No longer in the text (2)

  • Pandemics, epidemics, widespread illness or other health issues may adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, liquidity and stock price. Read more

    Government actions globally, including United States federal and state governmental actions, related to pandemics, epidemics, widespread illness or other health issues have historically impacted demand for our products, our supply chain, our employees, the economy generally, inflation and interest rates, and any similar future actions may result in similar or additional impacts.

  • Additionally, our recycled aluminum flat rolled products mill with an anticipated annual production capacity of 650,000 metric tons of finished products located in Columbus, Mississippi is expected to produce commercially viable products by mid-year 2025. Although we anticipate being able to effectively compete in the aluminum industry, along with the other risks described herein, including delays or difficulties with our start-up, we may face unexpected and enhanced competition, which may adversely affect the expected contributions of our aluminum operations and our resulting business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 28, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Metal spreads.
  • Aluminum mill ramp-up.
  • Fabrication backlog.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 4, 2026 15:27 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-27Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Steel Dynamics’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.