KabuDo

NYSE: EXPD · Air Freight & Logistics

Expeditors International

Expeditors is a non-asset-based global logistics company: it buys air, ocean and ground capacity from carriers and resells it, and clears goods through customs. It has about 20,000 employees and 172 district offices in five geographic areas. 2025 revenues were $11,069 million: airfreight $3,983 million, ocean freight $2,815 million, and customs brokerage and other services $4,271 million. Net earnings attributable to shareholders were $810 million. It has no long-term debt. In H1 2026 revenue rose 18% as technology customers investing in AI infrastructure lifted airfreight and warehousing demand.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:02 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2510-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
2.9%

Higher than 13% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
9.5%

Higher than 24% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+25.0 pts

Higher than 91% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-1.2x

Higher than 8% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.24x

Higher than 28% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
26.5x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.73

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$205.91close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$27.57B

P/E today
26.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 25.0x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
11.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 8.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
23.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 16.8x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.5%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.8%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.7%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +41.9%$2.89B → $4.11B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +0.9 pts10.0% → 10.8% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +55.0%$222M → $345M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +61.6%$1.64 → $2.65 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +5.9%$1.03B → $1.09B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 3, 2026.

Key changes

  • Net earnings up 55% to $345M. Source sentence
    Net Earnings Attributable to Shareholders increased 55% to $345 million
  • EPS up 62% to $2.65. Source sentence
    Diluted Net Earnings Attributable to Shareholders per share (EPS) increased 62% to $2.65
  • Airfreight tonnage up 13%; ocean volume up 7%. Source sentence
    Airfreight tonnage increased 13% and ocean container volume increased 7%

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC
Headquarters
BELLEVUE, WA
Incorporated in
Washington
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: EXPD
Industry
Air Freight & Logistics
CIK
746515

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    20,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 49–55 days after quarter end (Feb 24, 2026; Feb 18, 2025; Feb 20, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 34–55 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 3, 2026 (+34 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 4, 2026 (+35 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 5, 2026 (+35 days)May 6, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 24, 2026 (+55 days)Feb 25, 2026 10-K (+56 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 4, 2025 (+35 days)Nov 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 5, 2025 (+36 days)Aug 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 6, 2025 (+36 days)May 8, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 18, 2025 (+49 days)Feb 21, 2025 10-K (+52 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 5, 2024 (+36 days)Nov 5, 2024 10-Q (+36 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 6, 2024 (+37 days)Aug 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 7, 2024 (+37 days)May 9, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 20, 2024 (+51 days)Feb 23, 2024 10-K (+54 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Airfreight

    Airfreight consolidation

    About 36% of 2025 revenue; Expeditors typically acts as a freight consolidator.

  • Ocean

    Ocean freight and ocean services

    Examples: Expeditors International Ocean (NVOCC)

    About 25% of 2025 revenue.

  • Customs & other

    Customs brokerage, road freight, warehousing and distribution

    About 39% of 2025 revenue.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share or rank; the 10-K says it must gain profitable market share in a highly competitive industry.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. H1 2026

    Revenue $6,285M versus $5,318M; net earnings attributable to shareholders $495.8M versus $387.4M.

    Source: Form 10-Q Q2 2026

  2. Q2 2026

    Revenue rose 32% and airfreight revenue 57%, driven by technology customers investing in AI infrastructure; $25M of restructuring costs in the Global Technology group.

    Source: Form 10-Q Q2 2026

  3. Shareholder returns

    Returned $461M through repurchases and dividends in Q2 2026; a new $3B buyback program was authorized in February 2026.

    Source: Form 10-Q Q2 2026; Form 10-K FY2025

  4. Management

    Blake Bell moves from President, Global Business Development to SVP, Professional Services on October 1, 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K 2026-09-16

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.94x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$53M ÷ $57M = 0.94x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $48M in FY2020 to $53M in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$11.07B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+2.9%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($11,069M ÷ $9,584M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 2.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

9.5%

-0.3pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,053M ÷ $11,069M × 100 = 9.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

35.4%▲favorable

6-year average: 35.2%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

8.47x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$149.01 ÷ $17.59 = 8.47x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

16.8x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($19,950M + $0M − $1,314M) ÷ ($1,053M + $57M) = 16.8x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +2.9% a year over 5 years (modest growth)

    From $9.58B in FY2020 to $11.07B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ―

    Operating margin held roughly flat: 9.8% → 9.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -0.3 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 48.1% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 35.2% over 6 years (latest: 35.4%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Consolidates customers' shipments and buys cargo space from airlines and ocean carriers, then provides customs clearance, warehousing and distribution at destination.

How money and goods flow at Expeditors International
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 20,000 employees in 172 district offices
    • Cargo capacity bought from air, ocean and ground carriers
    • Common in-house IT systems in all districts
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Airfreight consolidation
    • Ocean freight (NVOCC) services
    • Customs brokerage, road freight, warehousing and distribution
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Importers and exporters worldwide, including technology companies
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Airfreight $3,983M
    • Ocean $2,815M
    • Customs brokerage & other $4,271M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • Owns no aircraft or ships; costs of carrier capacity are pass-through expenses.
  • Salaries are the single largest expense; staffing must be set ahead of uncertain demand.
  • Revenue swings with freight rates: $17.1B in 2022 versus $9.3B in 2023.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Expeditors is exposed to U.S.–China trade actions.

  • Trade & export rules

    U.S.–China trade disputes

    Activity is especially exposed to trade actions and tariff disputes between China and the U.S.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Customs brokerage & other services

    4,271.2 (39%)
  • Airfreight services

    3,982.9 (36%)
  • Ocean freight & ocean services

    2,815 (25%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — consolidated statements of earnings Revenue by service type; the company reports geographic operating segments (Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, MAIR). Total $11,069M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Importers and exporters worldwide; technology customers drove 2026 demand.

Named by the company

No customer is named.

What the filings disclose

Suppliers

Airlines, ocean carriers and ground carriers that provide cargo capacity.

Named by the company

No supplier is named.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The global logistics industry is intensely competitive with many companies, though fewer have a global network offering a full range of services; the 10-K names no competitor.

Competitors named in the 10-K

No competitor is named in the 10-K.

Peer group the company chose

Compensation benchmark group (14 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Transportation and logistics companies whose proxy data the Compensation Committee uses for limited comparisons.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue9,58416,52417,0719,30010,60111,069
Operating income9401,9091,8249401,0411,053
Pretax income9571,9251,8361,0151,0951,094
Net income (attributable)6961,4151,357753810810
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—72.4%3.3%-45.5%14.0%4.4%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1009.8%11.6%10.7%10.1%9.8%9.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1007.3%8.6%8.0%8.1%7.6%7.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets4,9287,6105,5904,5244,7544,894
Total equity2,6633,4983,1142,3912,2262,358
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable000000
Equity ratio54.0%45.9%55.6%52.8%46.8%48.1%
ROE26.2%46.0%41.1%27.4%35.1%35.4%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF6558682,1301,0537231,007
Investing CF-46-37-88-39-41-45
Financing CF-331-614-1,685-1,537-1,025-802
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures6078322,0431,014683953
Cash and equivalents1,5281,7292,0341,5131,1481,314
Per share & other
EPS ($)4.078.278.265.015.725.95
BVPS ($)15.7120.9020.1516.6216.1117.59
Dividend per share ($)1.041.161.341.381.461.54
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10025.6%14.0%16.2%27.5%25.5%25.9%
P/E (x)23.416.212.625.419.425.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)14.610.67.416.712.816.8
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share6.056.435.167.666.888.47

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$4.11B+41.9%$445M+54.6%$345M+55.0%$2.65
2026-06-30$3.5B+32.1%$350M+41.1%$266M+45.0%$2.03
2026-03-31$2.78B+4.4%$295M+10.9%$230M+12.7%$1.71
2025-12-31 †$2.86B-3.3%$251M-16.7%$201M-14.9%—
2025-09-30$2.89B$288M$222M$1.64
2025-06-30$2.65B$248M$184M$1.34
2025-03-31$2.67B$266M$204M$1.47
2024-12-31 †$2.95B$301M$236M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

34.0%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,053M × (1 − 26%) ÷ $2,292M × 100 = 34.0%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

8.96%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $19.95B ÷ ($19.95B + $0) = 100.0%

e.g.Debt weight: $0 ÷ ($19.95B + $0) = 0.0%

e.g.WACC: 9.0% × 100.0% + 5.0% × (1 − 26%) × 0.0% = 8.96%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+25.0pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 6 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.3%–11.0% and ROIC − WACC runs +23.0 to +26.6 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 8.96% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.73 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
8.96%
Cost of debt
4.95% (no debt on record, using the risk-free rate)
Tax rate
26% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
100% : 0%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 8.96%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.73 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.60, R² 0.12, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.602 + 0.33 = 0.733

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity8.96%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.73 × 5.5% = 9.0%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$19.95B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$0
Cost of debt *no debt on record, using the risk-free rate instead4.95%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)100% : 0%

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

5.3%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.0% − 3.6%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+9.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+2.9%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $953M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $26.25B = market cap $27.57B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $0 − cash and short-term investments $1.31B; r = WACC of 9.0% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.73, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$25.77B

FCF $953M ÷ (9.0% − 5.3%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.98x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%11.0%
0%0.52x0.45x0.40x0.36x0.33x
2%0.73x0.61x0.52x0.45x0.40x
4%1.21x0.91x0.73x0.61x0.52x
6%3.63x1.82x1.21x0.91x0.73x
8%——3.63x1.82x1.21x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.11x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -4.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 96%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 76 → 66 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,007M ÷ $810M = 1.24x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,053M ÷ $1,094M × 100 = 96%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,998M + $2,022M) ÷ 2 ÷ $11,069M × 365 = 66 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
98.6%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
1.4%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
78 of 416

1 = most institutional; 19% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.73

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 128.1M shares reported by 953 13F filers ÷ 130.0M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-24 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Debt-free balance sheet

    No long-term debt at any year-end from 2020 to 2025; cash and equivalents of $1,314M at end-2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2020–FY2025

  2. 2. High returns on equity

    ROE of 35% in 2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Integrated systems

    Runs fully integrated transportation, customs brokerage and accounting systems in all districts, unlike many competitors that grew by acquisition.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Freight-rate cyclicality

    Revenue fell from $17.1B (2022) to $9.3B (2023) as rates normalized.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Fixed personnel costs

    Personnel costs are the largest expense and are less flexible in the near term.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

25.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.03%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

26%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.8%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Capital returns

    Shares issued fell from 169M (2020) to 134M (2025) while dividends per share rose from $1.04 to $1.54.

    What has to hold
    Cash generation continues.
    The other side
    Earnings fall when freight rates drop.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Asset-light model

    Capital spending was $53M in 2025 against operating cash flow of $1,007M.

    What has to hold
    Capacity can be bought as needed.
    The other side
    Margins depend on carrier pricing.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Interest-bearing debt is 0 per each 10-K's statement that the company had no long-term debt; lease liabilities are excluded.

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

—

$1.31B vs. —

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

Interest expense isn’t reported as a separate line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

4.6x

$953M vs. $207M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-45.5% in FY2023 ($17.07B → $9.3B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-48.5% in FY2023 ($1.82B → $940M)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • No debt

    No long-term debt and $1.3B of cash at end-2025.

    Source: Form 10-K FY2025

  • Variable carrier costs

    Carrier costs fall with rates, cushioning margins in downturns.

    Source: Form 10-K FY2025

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
2
1
Med
345
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Trade volumes and freight rates

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Revenue depends on global trade volumes and carrier rates, which swing with economic conditions.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Non-asset-based model.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Law & regulation

    Tariffs and trade policy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Higher U.S. tariffs since 2025 and retaliatory measures can reduce trade volumes.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Customs brokerage demand rises with complexity.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Competition & technology shift

    Intense competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Many competitors, including well-funded technology-based entrants and carriers offering onshore services.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Global network and in-house systems.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Supply chain

    Carrier capacity disruptions

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Disruptions at air, ocean and ground carriers can limit capacity and cause price volatility.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Governance & quality

    Cybersecurity

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Operations depend on proprietary IT systems that could be disrupted by cyberattacks.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (4)

  • The current volatile international trade environment as a result of intergovernmental disputes, trade actions, increased tariffs and other geo-political risks may adversely impact our business and operating results.

  • The United States has undertaken a substantial global tariff rebalancing effort, resulting in higher tariffs on imports, including significantly higher tariffs on goods made in China and sectoral tariffs on a range of materials and products. Read more

    These measures led to threatened or actual retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States from several countries, including China and Canada. This created an unpredictable trade environment for shippers to determine if and how to adapt their sourcing patterns given these new and fast-changing regulations. If these conditions result in a significant, short-term or longer-term, decrease or redistribution of international trade volumes, it could negatively affect our business volumes and revenues. Expeditors' activity is particularly exposed to trade volume impacts from trade actions and tariff disputes between China and the United States, as…

  • We are exposed to risks relating to evaluations of internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures.

  • Management is required to assess the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures. Read more

    If we are unable to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting or disclosure controls and procedures, we may be unable to record, process and report financial information accurately or timely, which could result in misstatements in our financial statements, subject us to litigation or regulatory investigations, require significant management attention and resources, and adversely affect investor confidence in our financial reporting and our stock price. In addition, uncertainties related to the design and operation of controls over operational and financial systems in connection with further development of our IT systems and processes and could further increase these risks.

No longer in the text (2)

  • We identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting related to ineffective information technology general controls which, if not remediated appropriately or timely, could result in loss of investor confidence and adversely impact our stock price.

  • Internal controls related to the operation of technology systems are critical to maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Read more

    As disclosed in Part II, Item 9A, during the fourth quarter of 2022, management identified material weaknesses in internal control related to certain database changes made to information technology (IT) systems that support the Company’s financial reporting processes. As management continued the remediation process and reviews, we identified additional IT controls that were not designed or operated appropriately that relate to these material weaknesses. Management concluded that unauthorized access and changes to databases and related applications could have gone undetected as controls to review and authorize access and direct changes that support several key operational and accounting systems excluded certain changes from review or were not…

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 21, 2025 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Whether AI-infrastructure-related airfreight demand persists after the 57% Q2 2026 airfreight revenue increase.
  • Ocean rates: Q2 2026 ocean revenue rose 5% after three quarters of declines.
  • Use of the new $3 billion share repurchase authorization approved February 23, 2026.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:02 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-25Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Expeditors International’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.