NYSE: FICO · Application Software
Fair Isaac
Fair Isaac (FICO) owns the FICO Score, which its 10-K calls the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the U.S., used in most U.S. credit decisions, and sells analytics and decision-management software (FICO Platform, fraud, origination and marketing tools). Fiscal 2025 (year ended September 30, 2025) revenue was $1,991 million: Scores $1,169 million (59%) and Software $822 million. Net income was $652 million. Scores are distributed mainly through Experian, TransUnion and Equifax, which together generated 51% of revenue. Heavy buybacks funded partly with debt have left stockholders’ equity negative.
Last updated
Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:47 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 7, 2025
Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-11-0710-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) · filed 2026-07-29Proxy statement (2026)
Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.
01
At a glanceFrom SEC data
Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.
- Revenue growthCAGRSmooths out year-to-year swings into "grew X% a year on average." Makes growth pace comparable across companies of very different sizes.
- 9.0%
- Operating marginOperating marginHow many cents of operating profit are left per dollar of revenue. Reflects pricing power and cost structure.
- 46.5%
- ROIC minus WACCROIC − WACC spreadThe difference between ROIC and WACC. Consistently positive implies value creation; consistently negative implies value destruction.
- +47.5 pts
- Net debt ÷ EBITDAEBITDAOperating income with D&A added back. A rough proxy for cash-generating power that’s less distorted by capital intensity, depreciation method, or financing/tax differences than net income.
- 3.1x
- Cash conversionOperating CF ÷ net income (cash conversion)How much of reported profit shows up as actual cash. 1x or higher means profit is backed by cash.
- 1.19x
- Dividend raisesDividend per shareTotal annual dividend paid per share (sum of all declared payments for the year).
- —
- P/E todayP/EShare price ÷ EPS — how many years of current earnings the stock price represents. This site uses the period-end figure as reported in the filing.
- 21.8x
- Betaβ (beta)How much a stock moves, on average, for a 1% move in the overall market. Above 1 means more volatile than the market, which raises the return shareholders require. This site computes it from about 2.5 years (roughly 130 weeks) of weekly returns, built from Yahoo Finance daily prices, regressed against an S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy, then applies the well-known long-run mean-reversion adjustment (0.67 × β + 0.33) as the WACC default.
- 1.10
Higher than 57% of 372 non-financial companies
Average yearly growth over the years shown
Higher than 95% of 311 non-financial companies
Latest fiscal year (FY2025)
Higher than 96% of 311 non-financial companies
Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost
Higher than 74% of 304 non-financial companies
Below 0 means more cash than debt
Higher than 22% of 349 non-financial companies
Operating cash flow ÷ net income
Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5
Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30
Above 1 = moves more than the market
Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.
02
Valuation todayFrom SEC data
Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.
Share price$747.58close on 2026-11-04
Market cap$17.77B
- P/EP/EShare price ÷ EPS — how many years of current earnings the stock price represents. This site uses the period-end figure as reported in the filing. today
- 21.8x
- P/BP/BShare price ÷ book value per share. Below 1x means the market values the company below its accounting net worth. This site uses the closing price nearest the fiscal year-end and highlights sub-1x readings. today
- —
- EV/EBITDAEV/EBITDAEnterprise value (≈ market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash) as a multiple of EBITDA — roughly, "how many years of EBITDA to buy the whole company." Lower is generally viewed as cheaper, and it’s more comparable than P/E across companies with different debt loads or depreciation policies. This site excludes noncontrolling interests from the EV calculation. today
- 22.0x
- FCF yieldFree cash flow (FCF)Operating CF minus capital expenditures — cash generated by the business after funding its own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. Acquisitions and securities purchases (also in investing CF) are not subtracted, so FCF can be positive in a year when total investing CF exceeds operating CF. today
- 4.3%
- Dividend yieldDividend per shareTotal annual dividend paid per share (sum of all declared payments for the year). today
- —
At FY2025 year-end: 56.4x
Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30
At FY2025 year-end: —
Book value at FY2025 year-end
At FY2025 year-end: 41.0x
EBITDA for FY2025
At FY2025 year-end: 2.2%
Free cash flow for FY2025
Dividends per share for FY2025
“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.
03
What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data
The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.
Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.
These figures are behind: a newer quarter was reported on Nov 4, 2026, but SEC's structured data doesn't include it yet. Read the release ↗
- Revenue$536M → $674M (vs. a year earlier)↑ +25.7%$536M → $674M (vs. a year earlier)
- Operating margin48.9% → 53.8% (vs. a year earlier)↑ +4.8 pts48.9% → 53.8% (vs. a year earlier)
- Net income$182M → $237M (vs. a year earlier)↑ +30.5%$182M → $237M (vs. a year earlier)
- Diluted EPS$7.40 → $10.45 (vs. a year earlier)↑ +41.2%$7.40 → $10.45 (vs. a year earlier)
- Cash$219M → $248M (vs. previous quarter-end)↑ +13.2%$219M → $248M (vs. previous quarter-end)
- Long-term debt$3.64B → $5.58B (vs. previous quarter-end)↑ +53.4%$3.64B → $5.58B (vs. previous quarter-end)
Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.
From the earnings release of Nov 4, 2026.
Key changes
Q4 revenues $657.0M versus $515.8M. Source sentence
The company reported revenues of $657.0 million for the quarter as compared to $515.8 million reported in the prior year period, an increase of 27%.
B2B revenue up 39%. Source sentence
B2B revenue increased 39%, primarily attributable to a higher mortgage origination scores unit price, partially offset by a decline in mortgage originations volume.
Not providing fiscal 2027 guidance at this time. Source sentence
Because of these factors, we are not providing fiscal year 2027 guidance at this time.
Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗
04
Company profileFrom SEC dataShow
- Legal name
- FAIR ISAAC CORP
- Headquarters
- BOZEMAN, MT
- Incorporated in
- Delaware
- Fiscal year end
- 09/30
- Exchange & ticker
- NYSE: FICO
- Industry
- Application Software
- CIK
- 814547
- Website
- https://www.fico.com/ ↗
Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)
Employees
3,811
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description
05
Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow
When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.
Next report
Q1 FY2027
Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q1 results were released 25–35 days after quarter end (Jan 28, 2026; Feb 4, 2025; Jan 25, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.
Reporting pattern
- Fiscal year ends around September 30.
- Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
- Earnings releases came 25–37 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
| Quarter | Quarter ended | Earnings release (8-K) | Report filed (10-Q / 10-K) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 (+35 days) | Nov 6, 2026 10-K (+37 days) |
| Q3 FY2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 29, 2026 (+29 days) | Jul 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days) |
| Q2 FY2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 (+28 days) | Apr 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days) |
| Q1 FY2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | Jan 28, 2026 (+28 days) | Jan 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days) |
| Q4 FY2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Nov 5, 2025 (+36 days) | Nov 7, 2025 10-K (+38 days) |
| Q3 FY2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days) | Jul 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days) |
| Q2 FY2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | Apr 29, 2025 (+29 days) | Apr 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days) |
| Q1 FY2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | Feb 4, 2025 (+35 days) | Feb 4, 2025 10-Q (+35 days) |
| Q4 FY2024 | Sep 30, 2024 | Nov 6, 2024 (+37 days) | Nov 6, 2024 10-K (+37 days) |
| Q3 FY2024 | Jun 30, 2024 | Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days) | Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days) |
| Q2 FY2024 | Mar 31, 2024 | Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days) | Apr 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days) |
| Q1 FY2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Jan 25, 2024 (+25 days) | Jan 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days) |
Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.
06
Flagship products & servicesSite analysis
Scores
FICO Score (B2B)
Examples: FICO Score 10 BNPL, FICO Score 10T BNPL
Credit scores for lenders, distributed mainly through Experian, TransUnion and Equifax.
Scores
myFICO (B2C)
Subscription access to FICO Scores, credit reports and credit education for consumers.
Software
FICO Platform
Modular platform for advanced analytics and decision use cases.
Software
Decisioning applications
Examples: FICO Falcon fraud, FICO Decision Modeler, FICO Blaze Advisor, FICO Xpress Optimization
Pre-configured solutions for account origination, customer management, engagement, fraud detection and marketing.
From the Form 10-K, FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30.
U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services
Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.
FICO Score
U.S. consumer credit risk scoring
U.S. share
Standard measure
Company-disclosed“The FICO Score, which is the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the U.S. It is used in most U.S. credit decisions.”
Worldwide share
—
Not disclosed
07
Recent strategic focusSite analysis
Recent developments.
Nine months to June 2026
Revenue $1,878M versus $1,475M (+27%); Scores revenue $1,238M versus $857M; net income $660M versus $497M.
Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)
Workforce reduction
On October 1, 2026 FICO committed to eliminating about 15% of positions, integrating AI-driven product development; pre-tax charges about $27.0M.
Source: Form 8-K (2026-10-06) — Item 2.05 workforce reduction
Capital return
New $2.0B repurchase program and a $1.5B ASR with Wells Fargo (June 2026); $1.0B of 6.250% notes due 2034 issued March 2026.
Source: Form 8-K (2026-06-08) — Items 1.01, 8.01 credit agreement amendment, $2.0B buyback and ASR
Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)
0.60x
Below depreciation — investment is being pared back
formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization
e.g.$9M ÷ $15M = 0.60x
termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)
9.5%
formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100
e.g.$188M ÷ $1,991M × 100 = 9.5%
Where the money goes, over time
Unit: $M. Capex went from $22M in FY2020 to $9M in FY2025
- Capex
- R&D
formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization
termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
08
Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data
FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.99B
As reported in the 10-K
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
+9.0%▲favorable
formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1
e.g.($1,991M ÷ $1,295M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 9.0%
termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)
Operating margin (FY2025)
46.5%▲favorable
+23.6pt vs. 5 years ago
formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100
e.g.$925M ÷ $1,991M × 100 = 46.5%
ROE (FY2025)
—▼caution
6-year average: 71.4%
As reported in the 10-K
P/B (FY2025 end)
—
Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B
EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)
41.0x
formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)
e.g.($35,564M + $3,056M − $134M) ÷ ($925M + $15M) = 41.0x
termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple
- ▲
Revenue grew +9.0% a year over 5 years (strong growth)
From $1.29B in FY2020 to $1.99B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.
- ▲
Operating margin improved: 22.9% → 46.5%
How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +23.6 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.
- ▼
Equity ratio is -93.5% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)
The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).
- ▲
Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.
- ▲
ROE averaged 71.4% over 6 years (latest: —)
How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.
09
Business modelSite analysis
Business Model Canvas
The whole company in nine blocks. Left side: how it delivers (partners, activities, resources, costs). Right side: who it serves and how it earns. Every entry comes from the company’s filings shown on this page.
08 · who helps
Key partners
No partners or suppliers named in the filings.
07 · what it does
Key activities
- B2B scores (FICO Score) for lenders
- B2C scores via myFICO.com
- FICO Platform and decisioning applications
06 · what it draws on
Key resources
- 3,811 employees in 28 countries (35% U.S., 40% India)
- 204 U.S. and 26 foreign patents
- Credit data held by consumer reporting agencies
02 · why customers buy
Value propositions
- FICO Scores and the FICO Platform for analytics and decisioning.
04 · how it keeps them
Customer relationships
- Platform ARR of $263.6 million at September 30, 2025; professional services to install and configure its software.
03 · how it reaches them
Channels
- Licensed mainly through the three U.S. consumer reporting agencies; direct sales and alliance partners and resellers; myFICO for consumers.
01 · who it serves
Customer segments
- Banks, card issuers, mortgage and auto lenders
- Consumer reporting agencies (51% of revenue)
- Insurers, retailers, telecoms, public agencies
09 · where money goes
Cost structure
FY2025, share of revenue ($1.99B)
- Cost of revenue17.8%
- Research & development9.5%
- Selling, general & administrative25.8%
- Other operating costs0.5%
Operating profit left: 46.5% of revenue. Depreciation & amortization (inside the costs above): $15M. Capital spending: $9M.
Source: Form 10-K income statement and cash-flow statement (SEC XBRL).
05 · how money comes in
Revenue streams
- Scores $1,169M
- Software $822M (fiscal 2025)
Value propositions, channels and customer relationships: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Licenses FICO Scores, distributed mainly through the three U.S. consumer reporting agencies and sold directly to consumers via myFICO, and sells SaaS and on-premises decisioning software with professional services.
01 what it draws on
Inputs & resources
- 3,811 employees in 28 countries (35% U.S., 40% India)
- 204 U.S. and 26 foreign patents
- Credit data held by consumer reporting agencies
02 what it does
Activities
- B2B scores (FICO Score) for lenders
- B2C scores via myFICO.com
- FICO Platform and decisioning applications
03 who it serves
Customers
- Banks, card issuers, mortgage and auto lenders
- Consumer reporting agencies (51% of revenue)
- Insurers, retailers, telecoms, public agencies
04 how money comes in
How it earns
- Scores $1,169M
- Software $822M (fiscal 2025)
How the business makes money
- Scores revenue grew 27% in fiscal 2025, driven by B2B scores (+$236.7M).
- Software is sold as SaaS or on-premises with sales cycles that can exceed a year.
- Launched the FICO Mortgage Direct License Program, with Xactus as a participant.
Government & regulation around the business
Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.
FICO’s research under U.S. government contracts can be made public.
Government as customer
Government contracts
Under U.S. government contracts, the government may publish research results, limiting FICO’s advantage.
Supports and constrainsTouches: Customers · How it earnsSource: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Trade & export rules
Trade policy
Tariffs and trade policies could disrupt credit markets it serves.
Constrains the businessTouches: CustomersSource: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Revenue by segment (FY2025)
Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue
Scores
1,168.6 (59%)Software
822.3 (41%)
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30) — Item 7, segment results Total revenues $1,990.9M.
10
Where it earnsSite analysis
Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.
Largest market (FY2025)
Americas — 87% of revenue
Revenue by country / region (FY2025)
Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue
Americas
1,732.4 (87%)Europe, Middle East and Africa
159.8 (8%)Asia Pacific
98.7 (5%)
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30) — Note on revenue by geographic market Total $1,990.9M; Scores revenue is almost entirely in the Americas.
11
Contract structureSite analysisShow
Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.
12
Customers & suppliersSite analysis
Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.
Customers
Lenders, consumer reporting agencies, insurers, retailers, telecoms and consumers in more than 80 countries.
Named by the company
Experian, TransUnion and Equifax are named as distribution partners; each contributed more than 10% of revenue.
What the filings disclose
Suppliers
Consumer reporting agencies supply the credit data on which FICO Scores are calculated.
Named by the company
No other supplier is named.
13
Competitors & peersSite analysis
Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.
FICO names competitors for Scores and for each Software market.
Competitors named in the 10-K
Credit scores
Direct-to-consumer credit services
Fraud solutions (banking)
Marketing services
Peer group the company chose
Compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.
The 2026 proxy describes a peer group of similar-size companies from relevant industries but does not list them; the pay-versus-performance peer group is the S&P 500 Application Software Index.
Source: Proxy statement (2026)Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.
14
Six years of financialsFrom SEC data
Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.
Revenue over time
Unit: $M
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
Profit over time (operating → net)
Unit: $M
- Operating income
- Pretax income
- Net income
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
Margins over time
Unit: %
- Operating margin
- Net margin
formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100
formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100
Cash flow over time
Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)
- Operating CF
- Investing CF
- Free CF
formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures
termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
Financial stability & capital efficiency
Unit: %
- Equity ratio
- ROE
formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)
termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets
formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)
termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity
Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share
Unit: $
- EPS
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
| Line item | FY202010-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement ($M) | ||||||
| Revenue | 1,295 | 1,317 | 1,377 | 1,514 | 1,718 | 1,991 |
| Operating income | 296 | 505 | 542 | 643 | 734 | 925 |
| Pretax income | 257 | 473 | 471 | 554 | 642 | 803 |
| Net income (attributable) | 236 | 392 | 374 | 429 | 513 | 652 |
| Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100 | — | 1.7% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100 | 22.9% | 38.4% | 39.4% | 42.5% | 42.7% | 46.5% |
| Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100 | 18.3% | 29.8% | 27.1% | 28.4% | 29.9% | 32.7% |
| Balance sheet ($M) | ||||||
| Total assets | 1,606 | 1,568 | 1,442 | 1,575 | 1,718 | 1,868 |
| Total equity | 331 | -111 | -802 | -688 | -963 | -1,746 |
| Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable | 750 | 1,009 | 1,824 | 1,862 | 2,209 | 3,056 |
| Equity ratio | 20.6% | -7.1% | -55.6% | -43.7% | -56.0% | -93.5% |
| ROE | 71.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash flow ($M) | ||||||
| Operating CF | 365 | 424 | 509 | 469 | 633 | 779 |
| Investing CF | -25 | 138 | -6 | -16 | -28 | -44 |
| Financing CF | -289 | -524 | -547 | -455 | -593 | -750 |
| Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures | 343 | 416 | 503 | 465 | 624 | 770 |
| Cash and equivalents | 157 | 195 | 133 | 137 | 151 | 134 |
| Per share & other | ||||||
| EPS ($) | 7.90 | 13.40 | 14.18 | 16.93 | 20.45 | 26.54 |
| BVPS ($) | 11.38 | -4.02 | -31.88 | -27.78 | -39.47 | -73.46 |
| P/E (x) | 53.9 | 29.7 | 29.1 | 51.3 | 95.0 | 56.4 |
| EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization) | 39.7 | 22.2 | 21.4 | 35.3 | 66.2 | 41.0 |
| P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share | 37.38 | — | — | — | — | — |
P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.
Last 8 quarters
Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | Diluted EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $674M+25.7% | $363M+38.1% | $237M+30.5% | $10.45 |
| 2026-03-31 | $692M+38.7% | $402M+63.8% | $264M+62.6% | $11.14 |
| 2025-12-31 | $512M+16.4% | $234M+30.4% | $158M+3.8% | $6.61 |
| 2025-09-30 † | $516M+13.6% | $237M+20.3% | $155M+14.2% | — |
| 2025-06-30 | $536M | $263M | $182M | $7.40 |
| 2025-03-31 | $499M | $246M | $163M | $6.59 |
| 2024-12-31 | $440M | $180M | $153M | $6.14 |
| 2024-09-30 † | $454M | $197M | $136M | — |
† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.
15
Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data
ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.
ROIC (FY2025)
57.9%
formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)
e.g.$925M × (1 − 20%) ÷ $1,278M × 100 = 57.9%
termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity
WACC (this site’s estimate)
10.41%
formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight
e.g.Equity weight: $35.56B ÷ ($35.56B + $3.06B) = 92.1%
e.g.Debt weight: $3.06B ÷ ($35.56B + $3.06B) = 7.9%
e.g.WACC: 11.0% × 92.1% + 4.4% × (1 − 20%) × 7.9% = 10.41%
termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization
How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 8.6%–12.6% and ROIC − WACC runs +45.3 to +49.3 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.
WACC 10.41% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
- β
- 1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta)
- Equity risk premium
- 5.5%
- Cost of equity
- 11.00%
- Cost of debt
- 4.37%
- Tax rate
- 20% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
- Capital structure (equity : debt)
- 92% : 8%
ROIC over time, vs. WACC
Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red
- ROIC (above WACC)
- ROIC (below WACC)
- WACC 10.41%
formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)
termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity
formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight
termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization
Try different WACC assumptions
β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).
Initial β: 1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.15, R² 0.10, 130 weeks)
formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)
e.g.0.67 × 1.146 + 0.33 = 1.098
termsβ (beta)
Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.
formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium
e.g.5.0% + 1.1 × 5.5% = 11.0%
termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)
formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)
formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)
16
What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data
A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.
Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)
6.7%
Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 10.4% − 3.7%
Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)
+17.6%
Compound annual rate, 5 years
Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)
+9.0%
Compound annual rate, 5 years
Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $770M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $20.69B = market cap $17.77B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $3.06B − cash and short-term investments $134M; r = WACC of 10.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.10, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).
Three WACC scenarios
The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.
Try your own assumptions
V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.
Theoretical enterprise value
$20.81B
FCF $770M ÷ (10.4% − 6.7%)
Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value
1.01x
Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did
How sensitive the answer is
Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.
| g \ r | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0.44x | 0.40x | 0.36x | 0.33x | 0.30x |
| 2% | 0.58x | 0.50x | 0.44x | 0.40x | 0.36x |
| 4% | 0.85x | 0.69x | 0.58x | 0.50x | 0.44x |
| 6% | 1.55x | 1.09x | 0.85x | 0.69x | 0.58x |
| 8% | 9.30x | 2.66x | 1.55x | 1.09x | 0.85x |
A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.
17
Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow
The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.
- ✓
Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.25x
Profit is backed by cash coming in.
- ✓
Accrual ratio (latest): -7.1%
A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.
- ✓
Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 115%
Most profit comes from core operations.
- ✓
Days sales outstanding: 94 → 88 days
No major slowdown in collecting on sales.
Operating CF vs. net income
Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash
- Operating CF
- Net income
formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company
termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)
formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100
termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
Profit bridge (FY2025)
Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income
- Profit (each stage)
- Pushed profit up
- Pushed profit down
formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100
termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-11-07
Receivables & inventory days
Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales
- Days sales outstanding
formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365
formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365
termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)
Worked examples (latest period)
formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company
e.g.$779M ÷ $652M = 1.19x
termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)
formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100
e.g.$925M ÷ $803M × 100 = 115%
termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)
formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365
e.g.($427M + $529M) ÷ 2 ÷ $1,991M × 365 = 88 days
formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365
termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)
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Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow
How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.
Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30
“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.
- Held by 13F filers
- 100.0%
- Directors & officers (shares)
- 3.0%
- Everyone else (est.)
- 0.0%
- Directors & officers (voting power)
- 3.0%
- Institutional-ownership rank
- 62 of 416
- Beta (adjusted)
- 1.10
individuals and other non-13F holders
no separate voting figure; shown as shares
1 = most institutional; 15% of covered companies have more
above 1 = swings more than the market
- 21.6M shares reported by 845 13F filers ÷ 21.6M shares outstanding on 2026-07-17. Option positions are excluded.
- Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
- A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.
Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-01-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-17)
19
Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis
Strengths
1. Standard U.S. credit score
The FICO Score is the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the U.S. and is used by nearly all major banks, card issuers, mortgage lenders and auto loan originators.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30)
2. High and rising margins
Operating income rose from $296M (fiscal 2020) to $925M (fiscal 2025) on revenue up from $1,295M to $1,991M.
Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL
3. Strong Scores growth
Scores revenue grew 19% in fiscal 2024 and 27% in fiscal 2025.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30)
Weaknesses
1. Concentration on credit bureaus
Agreements with the three consumer reporting agencies generated 51% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and the same agencies own competitor VantageScore.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30)
2. Negative equity and rising debt
Stockholders’ deficit of $1,746M and debt of $3,056M at Sep 30, 2025, with $1.0B more notes issued in March 2026.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30)
20
What draws investors to itSite analysis
Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
P/E (FY2025)
56.4x
Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS
Dividend yield (FY2025)
—
Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price
Payout ratio (FY2025)
—
Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS
FCF yield (FY2025)
2.2%
(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap
1. Rapid EPS growth
Diluted EPS rose from $7.90 (fiscal 2020) to $26.54 (fiscal 2025); nine-month fiscal 2026 diluted EPS was $28.12.
- What has to hold
- Score pricing and volumes keep rising.
- The other side
- Mortgage policy changes and competition.
Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL
2. Share count shrinkage
Repurchases cut shares from about 29M (fiscal 2020) to about 24M (fiscal 2025).
- What has to hold
- Buybacks continue.
- The other side
- Funded partly by debt.
Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL
Fiscal years end September 30. Book value per share is negative because accumulated buybacks exceed retained earnings. FICO has paid no dividend since May 2017.
21
ResilienceSite analysisShow
How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.
1. Financial buffer (FY2025)
Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year
0.3x
$134M vs. $400M
Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)
6.9x
$925M vs. $134M
Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid
—
2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery
| Figure | Worst year-over-year change | Back to the prior level? |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | No decline in the record | — |
| Operating income | No decline in the record | — |
Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.
3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)
Recession record
Operating income rose every year from fiscal 2020 through fiscal 2025.
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL
22
Legal & regulatory mattersSite analysisShow
Lawsuits, government investigations, enforcement actions and settlements the company discloses — where each stands, what is at stake, and what comes next. From the 10-K's Legal Proceedings and contingencies note, the latest 10-Q, and 8-Ks.
FICO’s only disclosed matter is a consolidated antitrust class action over the distribution of FICO Scores.
1 open matter (1 flagged as major)
Antitrust class actions over FICO Score distribution
PendingClass actionMajorPutative class plaintiffs v. FICO (N.D. Ill.)
Putative class actions against FICO and Equifax, Experian and TransUnion alleged antitrust violations; on November 24, 2024 the court dismissed all claims except a Sherman Act Section 2 claim and related state claims against FICO, which proceed to discovery.
- Next step
- Discovery on the remaining monopolization claim.
Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) — Part II, Item 1, Legal Proceedings
Company statement: Other proceedings are described as ordinary-course and not expected to be material.
Based on Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) — Legal Proceedings, reviewed 2026-10-24. Routine ordinary-course claims are not listed. “Major” is this site’s judgment of which matters could materially affect results.
23
Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis
Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.
Risk map
Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).
Likelihood →
"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"
The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.
Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.
- 1Law & regulation
Mortgage score policy (FHFA)
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Use of FICO Scores for mortgages sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac depends on FHFA approval; in July 2025 the FHFA Director permitted lenders to choose which credit score they submit.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact High / Likelihood Med
- 2Customer/supplier concentration
Consumer reporting agency relationships
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Loss of or a significant change in a relationship with Experian, TransUnion or Equifax could materially hurt revenue.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact High / Likelihood Med
- 3Competition & technology shift
VantageScore and other scores
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- VantageScore, a joint venture of the three bureaus, sells a competing credit score; software markets face larger rivals.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact High / Likelihood Med
- 4Law & regulation
Antitrust litigation
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Putative class actions allege FICO monopolized credit score distribution (Sherman Act Section 2).
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood Med
- 5Demand & macro
Credit volumes
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Largest customers’ businesses depend on favorable macroeconomic conditions and lending activity.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood Med
- 6Funding & liquidity
Debt-funded buybacks
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Debt rose to fund repurchases, including a $1.5B accelerated share repurchase in June 2026.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood Med
24
What to watch going forwardSite analysis
- Adoption of alternative scores in mortgages after the FHFA’s July 2025 change, and uptake of the FICO Mortgage Direct License Program.
- Progress of the antitrust class action in the Northern District of Illinois.
- Settlement of the $1.5 billion ASR, expected in fiscal Q4 2026.
- Execution of the October 2026 plan to cut about 15% of positions (about $27.0M of charges in fiscal Q4 2026).
25
Source documentsShow
This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.
Other sources referenced in the analysis
- Form 10-K (FY2025, year ended 2025-09-30)
- Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)
- Proxy statement (2026)
- Form 8-K (2026-10-06) — Item 2.05 workforce reduction
- Form 8-K (2026-06-08) — Items 1.01, 8.01 credit agreement amendment, $2.0B buyback and ASR
- Form 8-K (2026-03-20) — Item 1.01 $1.0B 6.250% Senior Notes due 2034
Last updated
Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:47 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: November 7, 2025
Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-11-07Proxy statement (2026)
Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.
This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Fair Isaac’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.