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NYSE: IBM · IT Consulting & Other Services

IBM

IBM (International Business Machines), incorporated in New York in 1911 and based in Armonk, sells hybrid cloud and AI software, IT consulting, and servers and storage including mainframes. In 2025 Software was its largest segment ($29,962 million of revenue, +10.6%, gross margin 83.5%), followed by Consulting ($21,055 million), Infrastructure ($15,718 million, +12.1%) and Financing ($737 million). Total revenue rose 7.6% to $67,535 million and net income was $10,593 million (diluted EPS $11.17). IBM spun off its managed infrastructure business as Kyndryl on November 3, 2021. It bought HashiCorp in February 2025 and completed the $11.6 billion purchase of Confluent (data streaming) on March 17, 2026.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:41 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2410-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-22Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
4.2%

Higher than 19% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
—

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
—

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.25x

Higher than 29% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
4 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
21.5x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.90

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$256.80close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$240.61B

P/E today
21.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 26.5x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
7.4x

At FY2025 year-end: 8.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
5.0%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.4%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
2.6%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +4.7%$16.33B → $17.1B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +25.6%$1.74B → $2.19B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +25.0%$1.84 → $2.30 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +28.7%$7.17B → $9.23B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +1.1%$56.21B → $56.8B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 21, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised full-year free cash flow outlook. Source sentence
Raises outlook for full-year free cash flow

Key changes

  • Q3 revenue $17.1B, up 5%. Source sentence
    Revenue of $17.1 billion, up 5 percent, up 6 percent at constant currency
  • Software revenue up 8%. Source sentence
    Software revenue up 8 percent, up 9 percent at constant currency
  • GAAP gross margin 56.8%, down 50 basis points. Source sentence
    Gross Profit Margin: GAAP: 56.8 percent, down 50 basis points;

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP
Headquarters
ARMONK, NY
Incorporated in
New York
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: IBM
Industry
IT Consulting & Other Services
CIK
51143

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    273,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 24–29 days after quarter end (Jan 28, 2026; Jan 29, 2025; Jan 24, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 21–29 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 21, 2026 (+21 days)Oct 22, 2026 10-Q (+22 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 22, 2026 (+22 days)Jul 23, 2026 10-Q (+23 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 22, 2026 (+22 days)Apr 23, 2026 10-Q (+23 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 28, 2026 (+28 days)Feb 24, 2026 10-K (+55 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 22, 2025 (+22 days)Oct 23, 2025 10-Q (+23 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 23, 2025 (+23 days)Jul 24, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 23, 2025 (+23 days)Apr 24, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 29, 2025 (+29 days)Feb 25, 2025 10-K (+56 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 23, 2024 (+23 days)Oct 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 24, 2024 (+24 days)Jul 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days)Apr 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 24, 2024 (+24 days)Feb 26, 2024 10-K (+57 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Software

    Hybrid Cloud (Red Hat)

    Red Hat Enterprise Linux, OpenShift and related hybrid cloud platforms.

  • Software

    Automation, Data and Transaction Processing

    Automation and infrastructure software (including HashiCorp), data and AI software (including watsonx and, from 2026, Confluent) and mainframe transaction-processing software.

  • Consulting

    Strategy and Technology; Intelligent Operations

    Business and technology consulting, systems integration, application management and business process outsourcing.

  • Infrastructure

    IBM Z, Power and storage

    Mainframes, Power servers and storage for hybrid cloud and AI workloads, plus infrastructure support services.

  • Financing

    IBM Financing

    Leases, installment plans and loans to clients and short-term financing to business partners, mainly for IBM products.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • All segments

    Software, consulting and infrastructure

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    Leader or among the leaders

    Company-disclosed

    “Overall, the company is the leader or among the leaders in each of our business segments.”

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. 2025 results

    Revenue $67,535M (+7.6%); Software +10.6%, Infrastructure +12.1%; net income $10,593M; diluted EPS $11.17.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Exhibit 13, 2025 Annual Report

  2. Q3 2026

    Revenue $17,103M versus $16,331M; Software $7,804M versus $7,209M; net income $2,190M versus $1,744M; diluted EPS from continuing operations $2.31.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  3. Confluent acquisition

    Completed March 17, 2026; total purchase price $11,602M; goodwill $7,247M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  4. HashiCorp

    Acquired February 27, 2025.

    Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.48x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,091M ÷ $2,284M = 0.48x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

12.3%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$8,316M ÷ $67,535M × 100 = 12.3%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (5-year total)

$22.31B

Latest year: $8.29B

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $2.06B in FY2021 to $1.09B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2021–FY2025, 5 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$67.54B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (4 years)

+4.2%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($67,535M ÷ $57,350M) ^ (1÷4) − 1 = 4.2%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

—

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

35.3%▲favorable

5-year average: 26.1%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

8.50x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$296.21 ÷ $34.84 = 8.50x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +4.2% a year over 4 years (modest growth)

    From $57.35B in FY2021 to $67.54B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 21.5% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 5 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 26.1% over 5 years (latest: 35.3%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Sells software subscriptions and licenses (including Red Hat), consulting and outsourcing services, and mainframe, server and storage systems to large enterprises and governments, plus financing for IBM products.

How money and goods flow at IBM
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 264,300 employees at IBM and wholly owned subsidiaries, 8,700 at less-than-wholly owned subsidiaries and 13,800 complementary workers
    • Research and IP portfolio
    • Partner ecosystem (AWS, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, SAP and others)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Software: Hybrid Cloud (Red Hat), Automation, Data, Transaction Processing
    • Consulting: Strategy and Technology, Intelligent Operations
    • Infrastructure: Hybrid Infrastructure (IBM Z, Power, storage), Infrastructure Support
    • Financing: client and commercial financing
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Large enterprises and governments in more than 175 countries
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Software $29,962M
    • Consulting $21,055M
    • Infrastructure $15,718M
    • Financing $737M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • Gross margin 2025: Software 83.5%, Consulting 28.1%, Infrastructure 58.6%, Financing 45.3%.
  • Share repurchases suspended since the 2019 Red Hat acquisition; $2,008M authorization remains.
  • Dividends per share rose every year, from $6.51 (2020) to $6.71 (2025).

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

IBM faces environmental and climate costs and trade controls.

  • Environmental rules

    Climate and environmental costs

    Could incur substantial costs related to climate change and environmental matters, including cleanup.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Software

    29,962 (44%)
  • Consulting

    21,055 (31%)
  • Infrastructure

    15,718 (23%)
  • Financing

    737 (1%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Exhibit 13, 2025 Annual Report Segment revenue; total revenue $67,535M including other.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

Americas — 49% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Americas

    33,342 (49%)
  • Europe/Middle East/Africa

    22,189 (33%)
  • Asia Pacific

    12,004 (18%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Exhibit 13, 2025 Annual Report Geographic revenue.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Confluent, Inc.

    Acquired March 17, 2026; total purchase price $11,602M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    HashiCorp, Inc.

    Acquired February 27, 2025.

    Source: Proxy statement (2026)

  • Business partnership

    Adobe, AWS, Microsoft, Oracle, Palo Alto Networks, Salesforce, Samsung Electronics, SAP

    Named strategic partners; some are competitors in other areas.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Large enterprises and governments in more than 175 countries.

Named by the company

The 10-K names no material customer.

Suppliers

Component suppliers and technology partners.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

IBM recognizes hundreds of competitors. It names, by segment: Software — Alphabet, Amazon, BMC, Broadcom, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, SAP and Splunk (Cisco); Consulting — Accenture, Capgemini, India-based providers and accounting-firm consultancies; Infrastructure — Dell, HPE, Intel, NetApp, Pure Storage and ODMs.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Compensation benchmark group (22 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Technology competitors and large companies of similar size; Broadcom and Elevance Health were added and VMware and GE removed for 2025.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Line itemFY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue57,35060,53061,86062,75367,535
Pretax income4,8371,1568,6905,79710,328
Net income (attributable)5,7431,6397,5026,02310,593
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—5.5%2.2%1.4%7.6%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10010.0%2.7%12.1%9.6%15.7%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets132,001127,243135,241137,175151,880
Total equity18,99622,02122,61327,39332,740
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable51,70450,94956,54754,97361,260
Equity ratio14.3%17.2%16.7%19.9%21.5%
ROE29.1%8.0%33.7%24.2%35.3%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF12,79610,43513,93113,44513,193
Investing CF-5,975-4,202-7,070-4,937-10,302
Financing CF-13,354-4,958-1,769-7,079-3,829
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures10,7349,08912,68612,39712,102
Cash and equivalents6,6507,88613,06813,94713,587
Per share & other
EPS ($)6.351.808.146.4311.17
BVPS ($)21.0524.2224.6329.4834.84
Dividend per share ($)6.556.596.636.676.71
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100103.1%366.1%81.4%103.7%60.1%
P/E (x)21.178.320.134.226.5
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share6.355.826.647.468.50

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$17.1B+4.7%$2.19B+25.6%$2.30
2026-06-30$17.16B+1.1%$2.17B-1.3%$2.27
2026-03-31$15.92B+9.5%$1.22B+15.3%$1.28
2025-12-31 †$19.69B+12.2%$5.6B+92.2%—
2025-09-30$16.33B$1.74B$1.84
2025-06-30$16.98B$2.19B$2.31
2025-03-31$14.54B$1.06B$1.12
2024-12-31 †$17.55B$2.91B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

Data left out of this analysis

  • FY2020: FY2020 balance sheet and earnings include the managed infrastructure business that IBM spun off as Kyndryl on November 3, 2021, so the year is not comparable.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Not enough data (operating income, equity, etc.) to compute ROIC/WACC.

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

4.5%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 8.7% − 4.2%

Past FCF growth (FY2021–FY2025)

+3.0%

Compound annual rate, 4 years

Past revenue growth (FY2021–FY2025)

+4.2%

Compound annual rate, 4 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $12.1B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $288.28B = market cap $240.61B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $61.26B − cash and short-term investments $13.59B; r = WACC of 8.7% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.90, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$288.14B

FCF $12.1B ÷ (8.7% − 4.5%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r6.7%7.7%8.7%9.7%10.7%
0%0.63x0.55x0.48x0.43x0.39x
2%0.89x0.74x0.63x0.55x0.48x
4%1.55x1.13x0.89x0.74x0.63x
6%6.00x2.47x1.55x1.13x0.89x
8%——6.00x2.47x1.55x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 2.79x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -1.8%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 43 → 40 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$13,193M ÷ $10,593M = 1.25x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($6,804M + $8,112M) ÷ 2 ÷ $67,535M × 365 = 40 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($1,289M + $1,220M) ÷ 2 ÷ $28,239M × 365 = 16 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
65.1%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
34.9%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
396 of 416

1 = most institutional; 95% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.90

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 613.5M shares reported by 3,626 13F filers ÷ 942.1M shares outstanding on 2026-06-30. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-10 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-06-30)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. High-margin software

    Software was 44% of 2025 revenue with an 83.5% gross margin, and grew 10.6%.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Exhibit 13, 2025 Annual Report

  2. 2. Leadership positions

    IBM says it is the leader or among the leaders in each of its business segments.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Steady dividend

    Dividend per share raised every year 2020–2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Slow consulting growth

    Consulting revenue grew 1.8% in 2025; Q3 2026 Consulting revenue $5,335M versus $5,324M.

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  2. 2. High debt

    Interest-bearing debt was about $61.3B at end-2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Pension charges

    Pension settlement charges cut net income in 2022 ($4.4B net of tax) and 2024 ($2.4B net of tax).

    Evidence: Proxy statement (2026)

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

26.5x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

2.27%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

60%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.4%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Software mix shift

    Software is growing and has very high gross margins.

    What has to hold
    Red Hat and AI software keep growing.
    The other side
    Competition from hyperscalers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Exhibit 13, 2025 Annual Report

  2. 2. Dividend history

    Dividend per share raised every year in the period.

    What has to hold
    Free cash flow stays strong.
    The other side
    Debt from acquisitions.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

FY2020 is left out because it includes the managed infrastructure business spun off as Kyndryl in November 2021. FY2021 net income includes Kyndryl until the spin-off (continuing operations: $4,712M); revenue for 2021 is continuing operations.

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

1.1x

$13.59B vs. $12.85B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

The income statement has no operating income line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

1.9x

$12.1B vs. $6.26B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 5 fiscal years on record (FY2021–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income stayed positive every year 2021–2025, even in 2022 when a $4.4B net-of-tax pension charge cut it to $1.6B.

    Source: Proxy statement (2026)

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
235
4
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Competition from hyperscalers and software firms

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Software competitors include Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce and SAP; cloud providers compete with traditional infrastructure.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2M&A & integration

    Acquisition integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    HashiCorp (2025) and Confluent ($11.6B, 2026) must be integrated.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Labor & workforce

    Skilled employees

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Future success depends on skilled employees; competition for talent is intense.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4FX & interest rates

    Currency

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    About half of revenue is outside the Americas.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  5. 5Law & regulation

    IP, privacy and AI regulation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    IBM faces IP claims and fast-changing AI, cybersecurity and privacy laws.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Software growth, especially Red Hat and data/AI with Confluent.
  • Infrastructure product cycles (IBM Z).
  • Consulting demand.
  • Debt reduction after the Confluent purchase.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:41 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-24Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent IBM’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.