KabuDo

NYSE: HWM · Aerospace & Defense

Howmet Aerospace

Howmet Aerospace, based in Pittsburgh, makes engineered metal components for aircraft and transportation — jet engine airfoils and seamless rolled rings, aerospace fasteners, titanium structures and forged aluminum wheels for trucks. It is the former Arconic Inc. (originally Alcoa Inc.), which separated from Arconic Corporation under a March 31, 2020 Separation and Distribution Agreement. It reports four segments: Engine Products ($4,327 million of 2025 sales), Fastening Systems ($1,746 million), Engineered Structures ($1,157 million) and Forged Wheels ($1,039 million). Aerospace was about 70% of 2025 revenue, and RTX and GE Aerospace were each about 11% of third-party sales. Sales rose 11% to $8,252 million in 2025 and net income rose to $1,508 million (diluted EPS $3.71, up from $0.48 in 2020). In April 2026 it bought Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (fasteners) from Stanley Black & Decker for about $1.8 billion.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:36 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 12, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1210-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-29Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
9.4%

Higher than 60% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
24.8%

Higher than 69% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+9.3 pts

Higher than 70% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.0x

Higher than 36% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.25x

Higher than 30% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
41.2x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.18

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$210.42close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$84.51B

P/E today
41.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 55.3x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
15.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 15.4x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
37.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 36.3x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
1.7%

At FY2025 year-end: 1.7%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.2%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +29.4%$2.09B → $2.7B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +2.8 pts25.9% → 28.7% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +47.3%$385M → $567M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +49.5%$0.95 → $1.42 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −9.9%$563M → $507M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt→ +0.0%$4.05B → $4.05B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 29, 2026.

Management outlook • Issued

Revenue guidance of about $11.5B, up about 12%. Source sentence
Revenue Guidance: Approximately $11.5 Billion, Up ~12% Year over Year

Key changes

  • Repurchased $500M of stock in Q3. Source sentence
    $500 million of common stock in third quarter 2026; $1.1 billion repurchased year to date
  • Repurchase authorization raised by $5B to $5.397B. Source sentence
    share repurchase program by $5 billion , resulting in $5.397 billion total authorization

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Headquarters
PITTSBURGH, PA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: HWM
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
CIK
4281

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    25,430

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 43–44 days after quarter end (Feb 12, 2026; Feb 13, 2025; Feb 13, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 29–44 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 29, 2026 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 6, 2026 (+37 days)Aug 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 7, 2026 (+37 days)May 7, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 12, 2026 (+43 days)Feb 12, 2026 10-K (+43 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 30, 2025 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 31, 2025 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 1, 2025 (+31 days)May 1, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 13, 2025 (+44 days)Feb 14, 2025 10-K (+45 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 6, 2024 (+37 days)Nov 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 30, 2024 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 2, 2024 (+32 days)May 2, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 13, 2024 (+44 days)Feb 13, 2024 10-K (+44 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Engine Products

    Airfoils, seamless rolled rings and engine parts

    Rotating and structural parts for commercial and military aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines.

  • Fastening Systems

    Aerospace fasteners

    Fasteners for aerospace and industrial markets; Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing added April 2026.

  • Engineered Structures

    Titanium and aluminum structures

    Titanium ingots and mill products, aluminum and titanium forgings and extrusions, and assemblies for aerospace and defense.

  • Forged Wheels

    Forged aluminum wheels

    Wheels for commercial vehicles sold to truck makers and through distributors.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Principal products

    Aerospace and transportation components

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    Market leader in most principal markets

    Company-disclosed

    “…Howmet continues as a market leader in most of its principal markets.”

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. 2025 results

    Sales $8,252M (+11%); net income $1,508M; diluted EPS $3.71.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Q3 2026

    Revenue $2,703M (+29%, organic +25%); operating income $777M (+43%); EPS $1.42 (+49%), adjusted $1.46; operating cash flow $709M. Howmet repurchased $500M of stock, added a $5B buyback authorization, raised 2026 guidance and set 2027 revenue guidance at about $11.5B (+12%).

    Source: Q3 2026 earnings release

  3. CAM acquisition

    Completed purchase of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing from Stanley Black & Decker for about $1.8B on April 6, 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-04-06) — Item 2.01 Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing acquisition completed

  4. Preferred redemption

    Redeemed all 546,024 Class A preferred shares at $100 per share on December 17, 2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.60x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$453M ÷ $283M = 1.60x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

0.4%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$37M ÷ $8,252M × 100 = 0.4%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$5M

Latest year: $0

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $267M in FY2020 to $453M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$8.25B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+9.4%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($8,252M ÷ $5,259M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 9.4%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

24.8%▲favorable

+12.9pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,046M ÷ $8,252M × 100 = 24.8%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

30.4%▲favorable

6-year average: 17.5%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

15.38x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$205.02 ÷ $13.33 = 15.38x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

36.3x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($82,340M + $3,050M − $742M) ÷ ($2,046M + $283M) = 36.3x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +9.4% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $5.26B in FY2020 to $8.25B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 11.9% → 24.8%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +12.9 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 47.9% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 17.5% over 6 years (latest: 30.4%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Designs and makes metal parts — castings, forgings, rings, fasteners and wheels — sold directly or through distributors to aircraft engine makers, airframers, defense and truck makers.

How money and goods flow at Howmet Aerospace
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 25,430 employees in 23 countries; 26% of the U.S. workforce unionized
    • Nickel, titanium, aluminum and other metals
    • Investment casting, forging and fastener plants
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Engine Products: airfoils, rings and engine parts for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines
    • Fastening Systems: aerospace and industrial fasteners
    • Engineered Structures: titanium and aluminum structures and forgings
    • Forged Wheels: aluminum wheels for commercial vehicles
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Aircraft engine makers including RTX and GE Aerospace (each about 11% of third-party sales)
    • Airframers, defense, gas turbine and commercial truck customers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Aerospace – commercial and defense about 70% of 2025 revenue
    • Commercial transportation 15%
    • Gas turbines 11%

How the business makes money

  • 2025 Segment Adjusted EBITDA: Engine Products $1,438M, Fastening Systems $530M, Engineered Structures $243M, Forged Wheels $296M.
  • 2025 cash from operations $1,884M; share repurchases $700M; debt repayments about $765M.
  • Redeemed all Class A preferred stock on December 17, 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Howmet’s costs are affected by trade restrictions on raw materials.

  • Trade & export rules

    Duties and export restrictions

    Export restrictions, sanctions, tariffs and anti-dumping duties affect raw material and manufacturing costs.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Engine Products

    4,327 (52%)
  • Fastening Systems

    1,746 (21%)
  • Engineered Structures

    1,157 (14%)
  • Forged Wheels

    1,039 (13%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Segment total sales incl. intersegment $8,269M; consolidated sales $8,252M. A Whitehall, Michigan titanium location moved from Engine Products to Engineered Structures in Q1 2026 (recast in the May 28, 2026 Form 8-K).

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

United States — 53% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    4,377 (53%)
  • France

    625 (8%)
  • Japan

    513 (6%)
  • Germany

    439 (5%)
  • United Kingdom

    376 (5%)
  • Italy

    264 (3%)
  • Canada

    187 (2%)
  • Mexico

    166 (2%)
  • Poland

    150 (2%)
  • China

    130 (2%)
  • Other

    1,025 (12%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Sales by country.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Aircraft engine makers, airframers, defense, gas turbine and truck customers.

Named by the company

  • RTX Corporation — About 11% of 2025 third-party sales, mainly Engine Products.Form 10-K (FY2025)
  • GE Aerospace — About 11% of 2025 third-party sales, mainly Engine Products.Form 10-K (FY2025)

Suppliers

Metal and energy suppliers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Howmet names Precision Castparts (Berkshire Hathaway), VSMPO, ATI, Lisi Aerospace and Aubert & Duval as principal competitors, plus Doncasters and Consolidated Precision Products; some large customers make airfoil castings themselves.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Titanium, forgings, rings, castings and fasteners

Titanium alloys and forgings

Aerospace fasteners

Precision forgings

Other competitors

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Peer group the company chose

Proxy peer group for market information (18 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Industrial and aerospace companies used for compensation benchmarking; a separate aerospace and defense group is used for relative TSR.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue5,2594,9725,6636,6407,4308,252
Operating income6267489191,2031,6332,046
Pretax income1713246069751,3831,840
Net income (attributable)2612584697651,1551,508
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—-5.5%13.9%17.3%11.9%11.1%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10011.9%15.0%16.2%18.1%22.0%24.8%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1005.0%5.2%8.3%11.5%15.5%18.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets11,44310,21910,25510,42810,51911,179
Total equity3,5773,5083,6014,0374,5545,353
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable5,4514,2374,1623,7063,3153,050
Equity ratio31.3%34.3%35.1%38.7%43.3%47.9%
ROE7.3%7.3%13.2%20.0%26.9%30.4%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF94497339011,2981,884
Investing CF271107-135-215-316-438
Financing CF-369-1,444-526-868-1,026-1,269
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-2582505406829771,431
Cash and equivalents1,610720791610564742
Per share & other
EPS ($)0.480.591.111.832.813.71
BVPS ($)8.268.318.749.8511.2413.33
Dividend per share ($)0.020.040.100.170.260.44
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 1004.2%6.8%9.0%9.3%9.3%11.9%
P/E (x)59.554.035.529.638.955.3
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)16.816.616.617.124.636.3
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share3.453.834.515.509.7315.38

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$2.7B+29.4%$777M+43.4%$567M+47.3%$1.42
2026-06-30$2.55B+24.1%$711M+36.5%$534M+31.2%$1.33
2026-03-31$2.31B+19.1%$753M+52.4%$580M+68.6%$1.44
2025-12-31 †$2.17B+14.6%$489M+9.9%$372M+18.5%—
2025-09-30$2.09B$542M$385M$0.95
2025-06-30$2.05B$521M$407M$1.00
2025-03-31$1.94B$494M$344M$0.84
2024-12-31 †$1.89B$445M$314M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

20.5%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$2,046M × (1 − 18.5%) ÷ $8,136M × 100 = 20.5%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

11.20%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $82.34B ÷ ($82.34B + $3.05B) = 96.4%

e.g.Debt weight: $3.05B ÷ ($82.34B + $3.05B) = 3.6%

e.g.WACC: 11.4% × 96.4% + 5.8% × (1 − 18.5%) × 3.6% = 11.20%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+9.3pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 3 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 9.2%–13.6% and ROIC − WACC runs +6.9 to +11.3 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 11.20% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.18 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
11.44%
Cost of debt
5.77%
Tax rate
18.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
96% : 4%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 11.20%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.18 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.26, R² 0.26, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.265 + 0.33 = 1.178

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity11.44%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.18 × 5.5% = 11.4%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$82.34B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$3.05B
Cost of debt5.77%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)96% : 4%

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

9.6%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 11.2% − 1.6%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+9.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.43B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $86.82B = market cap $84.51B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $3.05B − cash and short-term investments $742M; r = WACC of 11.2% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.18, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$89.44B

FCF $1.43B ÷ (11.2% − 9.6%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.03x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r9.2%10.2%11.2%12.2%13.2%
0%0.18x0.16x0.15x0.14x0.12x
2%0.23x0.20x0.18x0.16x0.15x
4%0.32x0.27x0.23x0.20x0.18x
6%0.52x0.39x0.32x0.27x0.23x
8%1.37x0.75x0.52x0.39x0.32x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.15x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -3.5%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 111%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 23 → 32 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-12

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,884M ÷ $1,508M = 1.25x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$2,046M ÷ $1,840M × 100 = 111%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($689M + $779M) ÷ 2 ÷ $8,252M × 365 = 32 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($1,840M + $1,849M) ÷ 2 ÷ $5,432M × 365 = 124 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
91.4%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
8.6%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
173 of 416

1 = most institutional; 41% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.18

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 364.6M shares reported by 1,603 13F filers ÷ 398.8M shares outstanding on 2026-08-03. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-06 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-08-03)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Earnings growth

    Diluted EPS rose from $0.48 (2020) to $3.71 (2025); Q3 2026 EPS was $1.42 versus $0.95 (nine months $4.18 vs $2.79).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Q3 2026 earnings release

  2. 2. Market leadership

    The 10-K says Howmet continues as a market leader in most of its principal markets.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Improving margins

    Operating margin rose to 28.7% in Q3 2026 from 25.9%, and adjusted EBITDA margin to 32.5% from 29.4%.

    Evidence: Q3 2026 earnings release

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Customer concentration

    RTX and GE Aerospace each about 11% of third-party sales, mainly in Engine Products.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Customers can make parts themselves

    Several of Howmet’s largest customers have captive superalloy furnaces for airfoil castings.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Debt for acquisition

    $1.2B of new notes in March 2026 plus commercial paper funded the $1.8B CAM deal.

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-03-03) — Item 8.01 $1.2B senior notes

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

55.3x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

0.21%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

12%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

1.7%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Aerospace growth

    Engine Products drives most profit.

    What has to hold
    Aircraft build rates rise.
    The other side
    Customer concentration.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Shareholder returns

    $700M of buybacks in 2025 and rising dividends ($0.02 in 2020 to $0.44 in 2025).

    What has to hold
    Cash flow keeps growing.
    The other side
    Acquisition debt.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

FY2020 is the year Howmet separated from Arconic Corporation (Separation and Distribution Agreement dated March 31, 2020).

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

3.9x

$742M vs. $191M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

11.6x

$2.05B vs. $176M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

7.9x

$1.43B vs. $181M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-5.5% in FY2021 ($5.26B → $4.97B)Yes, by FY2022
Operating incomeNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income was positive in every year 2020–2025, including the 2020–21 aviation downturn ($261M and $258M).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
12
Med
45
3
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Customer/supplier concentration

    Large engine customers

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Loss of RTX or GE Aerospace business could have a material adverse effect.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Demand & macro

    Aerospace cycle

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    About 70% of revenue is aerospace; aircraft build rates drive demand.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with Precision Castparts (Berkshire Hathaway), VSMPO, ATI, Lisi and Aubert & Duval; low-cost wheel imports from Asia.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Raw materials & energy

    Metal and energy costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Nickel, titanium, aluminum and energy costs affect margins.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Product price increases are in excess of material and inflationary cost pass through to our customers.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5M&A & integration

    CAM integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Integration of the $1.8B Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing acquisition.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (3)

  • Howmet may not realize the expected benefits of acquisitions on the anticipated time frame or at all.

  • On December 22, 2025, Howmet entered into a purchase agreement with Stanley Black & Decker, pursuant to which the Company has agreed to purchase CAM for a cash purchase price of approximately $1.8 billion, subject to customary adjustments. Read more

    Completion of the Proposed CAM Acquisition is subject to a number of conditions set forth in the purchase agreement, some of which are beyond the Company’s control. These conditions may impact the ability of the Company to complete the Proposed CAM Acquisition on the expected terms and within the anticipated closing time period or at all because required regulatory approval or other conditions to closing are not received or satisfied on a timely basis or at all. In addition, the occurrence of certain events, changes or other circumstances could give rise to the termination of the purchase agreement and prevent the completion of the Proposed CAM…

  • In addition to the Proposed CAM Acquisition, Howmet may continue to pursue other acquisitions and take other strategic actions to grow or streamline its portfolio. Read more

    There can be no assurance that we will be able to execute upon any such acquisitions or strategic actions, or that any anticipated benefits of such acquisitions or actions will be realized. Acquisitions, including the planned Proposed CAM Acquisition, present significant operational challenges and risks, including the effective integration of the business into the Company, which may be more difficult, time consuming or more costly than expected and may divert management attention from the Company’s existing business. Acquisitions, including the Proposed CAM Acquisition, may increase operating costs, expose the Company to potential unforeseen issues and legal liabilities, including the assumption of liabilities (including…

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 14, 2025 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Aerospace demand, which was about 70% of 2025 revenue.
  • Integration of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing in Fastening Systems.
  • Margins in Engine Products.
  • Share repurchases and dividend growth.

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:36 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 12, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-12Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Howmet Aerospace’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.