KabuDo

NYSE: IP · Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

International Paper

International Paper, based in Memphis, Tennessee, makes renewable fiber-based packaging — containerboard and corrugated boxes — with operations in North America, Latin America, Europe and North Africa. It bought UK packaging group DS Smith on January 31, 2025, issuing 0.1285 IP shares per DS Smith share (178 million new shares), which lifted 2025 net sales to $23,634 million: Packaging Solutions North America $14,987 million and Packaging Solutions EMEA $8,450 million (external sales). 2025 brought a net loss of $3,516 million (diluted EPS −$6.95), including a $2.47 billion goodwill impairment in EMEA, $958 million of accelerated depreciation from mill and plant closures and $626 million of restructuring charges. IP sold its Global Cellulose Fibers business for $1.5 billion in January 2026 and plans to spin off its EMEA business as a separate public company within 12–15 months of the January 29, 2026 announcement.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:58 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2710-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
21.4%

Higher than 88% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
—

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
—

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
—

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
—

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.87

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$35.80close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$22.45B

P/E today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
1.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.7x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
-0.7%

At FY2025 year-end: -0.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
5.2%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue→ −0.4%$6.22B → $6.2B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −$1.13B−$1.1B → −$1.13B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ $-2.13$-2.09 → $-2.13 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +12.3%$726M → $815M (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 28, 2026.

Key changes

  • Loss from continuing operations of $1.10B, including a $1.38B goodwill impairment. Source sentence
    Loss from continuing operations of $1.10 billion includes a $1.38 billion non-cash goodwill impairment charge for our Packaging Solutions EMEA business segment
  • North America segment operating profit $427M. Source sentence
    Packaging Solutions North America Business segment operating profit of $427 million

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/
Headquarters
MEMPHIS, TN
Incorporated in
New York
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: IP
Industry
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
CIK
51434

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    62,602

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 29–32 days after quarter end (Jan 29, 2026; Jan 30, 2025; Feb 1, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 24–32 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 28, 2026 (+28 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026 (+30 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 30, 2026 (+30 days)May 5, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 29, 2026 (+29 days)Feb 27, 2026 10-K (+58 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 30, 2025 (+30 days)Nov 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 31, 2025 (+31 days)Aug 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)May 7, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 30, 2025 (+30 days)Feb 21, 2025 10-K (+52 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 31, 2024 (+31 days)Nov 1, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 24, 2024 (+24 days)Jul 26, 2024 10-Q (+26 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days)Apr 26, 2024 10-Q (+26 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 1, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 16, 2024 10-K (+47 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Packaging Solutions North America

    Containerboard and corrugated packaging

    Linerboard, medium and corrugated boxes and displays; NORPAC (Longview, Washington) acquired June 2026 for $368M.

  • Packaging Solutions EMEA

    European packaging

    Corrugated and fiber-based packaging in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, mostly from DS Smith; to be spun off.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Fiber-based packaging

    Sustainable packaging

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    A global leader

    Company-disclosed

    “International Paper … is a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions.”

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. 2025 results

    Net sales $23,634M; loss from continuing operations $2.84B incl. $2.47B goodwill impairment; adjusted EBITDA $2.98B (non-GAAP).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Q2 2026

    Net sales $6,004M versus $6,142M; diluted EPS from continuing operations −$0.02 versus $0.14.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  3. EMEA spin-off

    Announced January 29, 2026 a plan to spin off PS EMEA, expected in 12–15 months.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  4. GCF sale

    Sold Global Cellulose Fibers to American Industrial Partners funds for $1.5B (incl. $190M preferred stock) on January 23, 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-01-23) — Item 2.01 sale of Global Cellulose Fibers completed

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.68x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,857M ÷ $2,747M = 0.68x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.14B in FY2023 to $1.86B in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2023–FY2025, 3 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$23.63B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (2 years)

+21.4%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($23,634M ÷ $16,033M) ^ (1÷2) − 1 = 21.4%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

—

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

-30.6%▼caution

3-year average: -6.8%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.67x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$39.39 ÷ $23.65 = 1.67x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +21.4% a year over 2 years (strong growth)

    From $16.03B in FY2023 to $23.63B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 39.1% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 2 of 3 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▼

    ROE averaged -6.8% over 3 years (latest: -30.6%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Converts wood fiber and recycled fiber into containerboard in its mills, then into corrugated boxes and other packaging sold to manufacturers, food and e-commerce customers.

How money and goods flow at International Paper
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 62,602 employees (30,421 in the U.S.; about 11,498 U.S. employees unionized)
    • Wood fiber, recycled fiber, energy and chemicals
    • Containerboard mills and box plants
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Packaging Solutions North America
    • Packaging Solutions EMEA (legacy DS Smith and IP)
    • IP 80/20 performance system and plant rationalization
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Manufacturers, food and consumer goods companies, retailers and e-commerce; sold directly and via distributors
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • PS North America $14,987M
    • PS EMEA $8,450M (2025, external)

How the business makes money

  • 2025 business segment operating profit: North America $572M, EMEA −$236M.
  • Dividend held at $1.85 per share; dividends paid $977M in 2025 after shares rose to 627M.
  • Long-term debt rose to $8.8B with DS Smith.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

International Paper disputes IRS findings on investment tax credits and is a PRP at cleanup sites.

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Investment tax credit dispute

    Received an IRS Unagreed Revenue Agent Report in September 2024 on investment tax credits.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Environmental remediation

    Named a potentially responsible party in remediation actions.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Packaging Solutions North America

    14,987 (63%)
  • Packaging Solutions EMEA

    8,450 (36%)
  • Other

    197 (1%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Net sales from external customers; total net sales $23,634M. Global Cellulose Fibers is a discontinued operation.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Manufacturers, food, consumer goods and e-commerce companies.

Named by the company

No customer is named as material.

Suppliers

Wood fiber, recycled fiber, chemicals and energy suppliers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

IP says the packaging sector is large and fragmented and very competitive; it competes with other forest products and packaging companies and with substitutes such as plastics and metal. It names no competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K names no specific competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2025 TSR peer group (40 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Packaging, chemicals and materials companies used for relative TSR (Berry Global was acquired by Amcor in April 2025).

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Line itemFY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue16,03315,83523,634
Pretax income402369-3,368
Net income (attributable)288557-3,516
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—-1.2%49.3%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1001.8%3.5%-14.9%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets23,26122,80037,964
Total equity8,3558,17314,827
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable5,5935,5559,831
Equity ratio35.9%35.8%39.1%
ROE3.4%6.7%-30.6%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,8331,6781,698
Investing CF-668-808-1,024
Financing CF-866-775-708
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures692757-159
Cash and equivalents1,1131,0621,145
Per share & other
EPS ($)0.821.57-6.95
BVPS ($)18.6118.2123.65
Dividend per share ($)1.851.851.85
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100225.6%117.8%—
P/E (x)44.134.3—
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share1.942.961.67

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$6.2B-0.4%−$1.13B$-2.13
2026-06-30$6B-2.2%−$12M-116.0%$-0.02
2026-03-31$5.97B+13.4%$60M$0.11
2025-12-31$6.01B+53.1%−$2.38B$-4.52
2025-09-30$6.22B−$1.1B$-2.09
2025-06-30$6.14B$75M$0.14
2025-03-31$5.26B−$105M$-0.24
2024-12-31$3.92B−$147M$-0.42

Data left out of this analysis

  • FY2020: Includes the printing papers business spun off as Sylvamo in 2021 and the Global Cellulose Fibers business later sold; not restated, so not comparable.
  • FY2021: Includes part of the printing papers business (Sylvamo spin-off on October 1, 2021) and Global Cellulose Fibers; not restated.
  • FY2022: Includes the Global Cellulose Fibers business, which later 10-Ks report as discontinued operations; not restated, so not comparable.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Not enough data (operating income, equity, etc.) to compute ROIC/WACC.

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Not enough data for this calculation (FY2025): it needs positive free cash flow, a fiscal year-end P/E, and a positive enterprise value.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 4.69x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -17.2%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($1,486M + $2,012M) ÷ 2 ÷ $16,637M × 365 = 38 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
100%+

Reported total 101.0%

Directors & officers (shares)
0.2%
Everyone else (est.)
≈0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
0.2%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
55 of 416

1 = most institutional; 13% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.87

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 535.0M shares reported by 853 13F filers ÷ 529.6M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • The 13F total exceeds shares outstanding because some shares are reported twice — for example shares lent to short sellers and then bought by another manager, or holdings that overlapping managers both report.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Global scale in packaging

    IP describes itself as a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Portfolio simplification

    Sold GCF for $1.5B (January 2026) and plans to separate EMEA into its own company.

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-01-23) — Item 2.01 sale of Global Cellulose Fibers completed

Weaknesses

  1. 1. 2025 losses

    Net loss $3.5B in 2025 from goodwill impairment, accelerated depreciation and restructuring.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. EMEA weakness

    PS EMEA had a segment operating loss of $236M in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Negative free cash flow

    Free cash flow (non-GAAP) was −$159M in 2025 while dividends paid were $977M.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

—

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

4.70%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

-0.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Restructuring upside

    80/20 program and closures aim to raise North America margins.

    What has to hold
    Box demand holds.
    The other side
    Execution risk.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Dividend

    Dividend of $1.85 per share maintained since 2022.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow recovers.
    The other side
    2025 free cash flow was negative.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

FY2020–FY2022 are left out because they include the printing papers business (spun off as Sylvamo in 2021) and Global Cellulose Fibers (now discontinued) and were not restated. FY2025 includes DS Smith from January 31, 2025.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

1.2x

$1.15B vs. $992M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

The income statement has no operating income line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

-0.2x

−$159M vs. $977M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-1.2% in FY2024 ($16.03B → $15.84B)Yes, by FY2025

Covers only the 3 fiscal years on record (FY2023–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Cash flow through losses

    Operating cash flow stayed positive ($1.7B) in 2025 despite the net loss.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
4
235
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1M&A & integration

    DS Smith integration and EMEA spin-off

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Integration of DS Smith and the planned EMEA separation may not deliver expected benefits; further impairments possible.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Demand & macro

    Box demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Packaging volumes depend on industrial and consumer activity.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Raw materials & energy

    Fiber and energy costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Wood fiber, recycled fiber and energy costs affect margins.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    We have employed and expect to continue to employ, strategies, including hedging a portion of our energy costs, and risk mitigation tools to reduce the volatility of energy costs and ensure a degree of certainty over future energy costs.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Containerboard antitrust class actions

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Named with 11 other producers in Sherman Act class actions alleging price fixing since November 2020.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fragmented, competitive market; substitutes such as plastics and metal.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • well as heightened geopolitical tensions in regions such as the Middle East, China, and recent events in Venezuela,

  • including impairments related to divested or acquired businesses whose carrying values may not be recoverable,

  • adversely affect our liquidity, access to capital markets and ability to pay a dividend.

  • been characterized not only by persistent inflationary pressures, elevated interest rates, challenging labor market

  • conditions, tariff policies and heightened trade policy uncertainty but also by slowing global economic growth,

  • weakening global trade and investment flows, supply chain realignments, currency volatility, shifting fiscal and

  • dividends will continue to be declared or paid at historical levels, and any reduction or suspension of dividends

  • tariffs, tax benefits and other measures may give local producers a competitive advantage and adversely impact our

No longer in the text (4)

  • We may fail to successfully integrate DS Smith and realize the anticipated benefits and operating synergies expected from the business combination, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.

  • On January 31, 2025, we completed the previously announced business combination with DS Smith. Read more

    The success of the business combination will depend, in significant part, on our ability to successfully integrate DS Smith, grow the revenue of the combined company and realize the anticipated strategic benefits and synergies from the business combination.

  • There are many factors beyond our control that could affect the timing or total amount of integration-related risks. Read more

    The failure to effectively address any of these risks, or any other risks related to the integration of DS Smith, could materially adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, the impact and extent of these integration challenges may exacerbate the other risks described in this “Risk Factors” section, which could materially adversely affect us.

  • The anticipated benefits of the business combination may not be realized fully or at all, or may take longer to realize than we expect. Read more

    Actual operating, technological, strategic and revenue benefits, if achieved at all, may be less significant than we expect or may take longer to achieve than anticipated. Further, our results of operations may differ from the projections made with respect to the business combination prior to closing, which were based on assumptions and estimates known to management at the time. If we are not able to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies expected from the business combination within a reasonable time, our business, financial condition and operating results may be adversely affected.

145 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 21, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Progress on the EMEA spin-off (expected 12–15 months from January 2026).
  • North America margins from the 80/20 program and mill closures.
  • EMEA profitability.
  • Dividend coverage by free cash flow.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:58 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-27Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent International Paper’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.