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NASDAQ: FANG · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Diamondback Energy

Diamondback Energy is an independent oil and gas producer focused on the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico, mainly the Midland Basin. After its September 2024 acquisition of Endeavor, 2025 production averaged 921.0 MBOE per day, 54% of it oil, and proved reserves reached 3.6 billion BOE. 2025 oil, gas and NGL revenue was $13,453 million, $11,621 million of it from oil, and net income attributable to Diamondback $1,664 million. It consolidates Viper Energy, a publicly traded mineral and royalty company it controls. The Stephens family's holding company, SGF, is selling down the shares it received for Endeavor.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:11 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2510-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
39.8%

Higher than 97% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
8.4%

Higher than 22% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-4.4 pts

Higher than 12% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.2x

Higher than 59% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
5.26x

Higher than 95% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
26.3x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.53

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$189.40close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$53.9B

P/E today
26.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 26.2x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
1.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.2x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
10.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 8.9x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
9.7%

At FY2025 year-end: 12.2%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
2.1%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +38.4%$3.92B → $5.43B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +14.5 pts31.5% → 46.0% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +57.5%$1.02B → $1.6B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +62.1%$3.51 → $5.69 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +20.8%$462M → $558M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +5.6%$11.07B → $11.68B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 2, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised annual oil production guidance to about 524 MBO/d from 522+. Source sentence
Increasing annual oil production guidance to ~524 (from 522+) MBO/d with total BOE production of ~1,015 (from 1,000+) MBOE/d and full year cash capital expenditures to $3.95 - $4.00 billion (from ~$3.9 billion)

Key changes

  • Repurchased 1.3M shares for about $251M. Source sentence
    Repurchased 1.3 million shares of common stock for approximately $251 million
  • Base dividend up 7.3% to $4.72. Source sentence
    Increased annual base dividend by 7.3% to $4.72 per share; marks an 18% year over year increase and a ~2.2% annualized yield 2

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Headquarters
MIDLAND, TX
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: FANG
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
CIK
1539838

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    1,762

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 51–55 days after quarter end (Feb 23, 2026; Feb 24, 2025; Feb 20, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 30–55 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 2, 2026 (+33 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 3, 2026 (+34 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 4, 2026 (+34 days)May 6, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 23, 2026 (+54 days)Feb 25, 2026 10-K (+56 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 3, 2025 (+34 days)Nov 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 4, 2025 (+35 days)Aug 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 5, 2025 (+35 days)May 7, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 24, 2025 (+55 days)Feb 26, 2025 10-K (+57 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 4, 2024 (+35 days)Nov 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 5, 2024 (+36 days)Aug 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 30, 2024 (+30 days)May 2, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 20, 2024 (+51 days)Feb 22, 2024 10-K (+53 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Upstream

    Midland Basin

    Examples: Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations

    309.3 MMBOE of 2025 production.

  • Upstream

    Delaware Basin

    Examples: Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations

    25.7 MMBOE of 2025 production.

  • Minerals

    Viper Energy

    Publicly traded mineral and royalty company formed in 2014 and consolidated by Diamondback; 406.0 MMBOE of proved reserves.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share or rank; the Permian is described as having a large number of operators.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. H1 2026

    Total revenues $9,802M versus $7,726M; net income attributable to Diamondback $1,907M versus $2,104M.

    Source: Form 10-Q Q2 2026

  2. Debt management

    Completed tender offers in April 2026 for its 4.400% notes due 2051 and 4.250% notes due 2052, and extended its credit facility to June 2031.

    Source: Forms 8-K 2026-04-13 and 2026-06-15

  3. Governance

    Two SGF-designated directors resigned in September 2026 after a board stepdown under the amended stockholders agreement.

    Source: Form 8-K 2026-09-30

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.70x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$3,523M ÷ $5,038M = 0.70x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$19.46B

Latest year: $5.94B

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.86B in FY2020 to $3.52B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$15.03B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+39.8%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($15,026M ÷ $2,813M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 39.8%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

8.4%▲favorable

+203.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,266M ÷ $15,026M × 100 = 8.4%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

4.5%▼caution

6-year average: 6.4%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.16x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$150.33 ÷ $129.91 = 1.16x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

8.9x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($42,783M + $13,726M − $104M) ÷ ($1,266M + $5,038M) = 8.9x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +39.8% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $2.81B in FY2020 to $15.03B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -194.7% → 8.4%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +203.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▲

    Equity ratio is 52.0% (a high level of financial stability)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ―

    ROE averaged 6.4% over 6 years (latest: 4.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Acquires, drills and produces unconventional onshore oil, natural gas and NGL wells, and owns mineral and royalty interests through Viper.

How money and goods flow at Diamondback Energy
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • 1,762 full-time employees
    • About 1.1M gross acres in the Permian Basin
    • Capital spending of $3.5B on oil and gas properties (2025)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Horizontal drilling in the Spraberry, Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations
    • Mineral and royalty ownership (Viper)
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Purchasers of crude oil, natural gas and NGL
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Oil $11,621M
    • NGL $1,432M
    • Natural gas $400M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • The Midland Basin produced 309.3 of 336.2 MMBOE in 2025.
  • Realized oil price fell from $73.52 (2024) to $64.04 per barrel (2025).
  • Reports one segment, upstream.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Diamondback operates in decontrolled oil and gas markets with FERC-regulated pipelines.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Oil and gas decontrol

    Federal laws since 1978 removed price controls on oil and gas sales.

    Supports the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    FERC pipeline tariff

    Its midstream operations have a FERC tariff for interstate oil transportation.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Water rules

    Subject to the Clean Water Act and Safe Drinking Water Act.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Oil

    11,621 (86%)
  • Natural gas liquids

    1,432 (11%)
  • Natural gas

    400 (3%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A revenues and production Oil, natural gas and NGL revenues total $13,453M; total revenues including other items were $15,026M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Endeavor Energy Resources

    Acquired Endeavor Parent in September 2024; shares issued rose from 180M (2023) to 291M (2024).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Viper Energy

    Controlled, publicly traded mineral and royalty subsidiary; Diamondback is its largest stockholder.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    SGF FANG Holdings (Stephens family)

    Endeavor's former owners; a 2024 stockholders agreement gives board designation rights, amended in September 2026 as their stake declines.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-09-30) — Items 1.01 and 5.02

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Purchasers of crude oil, natural gas and NGL.

Named by the company

No customer is named.

Suppliers

Drilling, completion, midstream and water-handling service providers.

Named by the company

No supplier is named.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K describes competition for acreage, equipment and personnel with many oil and gas companies; it names no specific competitor.

Competitors named in the 10-K

No competitor is named in the 10-K.

Peer group the company chose

2025 benchmarking compensation peer group (13 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Independent E&Ps and similarly sized oil and gas companies from other sectors, chosen by enterprise value, market capitalization and assets.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue2,8136,7979,6438,41211,06615,026
Operating income-5,4764,0016,5084,5704,3961,266
Pretax income-5,7762,9075,7364,2484,5011,874
Net income (attributable)-4,5172,1824,3863,1433,3381,664
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—141.6%41.9%-12.8%31.6%35.8%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-194.7%58.9%67.5%54.3%39.7%8.4%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-160.6%32.1%45.5%37.4%30.2%11.1%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets17,61922,89826,20929,00167,29271,059
Total equity9,80413,24515,69017,43039,86242,967
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable5,6246,6426,2386,64112,07513,726
Equity ratio49.9%52.8%57.3%57.3%56.1%52.0%
ROE-51.4%20.9%32.4%19.9%12.3%4.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF2,1183,9446,3255,9206,4138,758
Investing CF-2,101-1,539-3,330-3,323-11,221-7,809
Financing CF-37-1,841-3,503-2,1764,387-1,007
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures2592,4574,3873,2193,5465,235
Cash and equivalents104654157582161104
Per share & other
EPS ($)-28.6112.2424.6117.3415.535.73
BVPS ($)55.6368.0883.4693.02129.68129.91
Dividend per share ($)1.531.9511.317.998.294.00
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100—15.9%46.0%46.1%53.4%69.8%
P/E (x)—8.85.68.910.626.2
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)—4.83.95.38.28.9
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share0.871.581.641.671.261.16

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Periods below 1x are shown in red. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$5.43B+38.4%$2.5B+102.3%$1.6B+57.5%$5.69
2026-06-30$5.56B+51.2%$2.51B+120.5%$1.88B+169.2%$6.65
2026-03-31$4.24B+4.7%$116M-93.1%$25M-98.2%$0.08
2025-12-31 †$3.38B-9.0%−$2.78B-297.0%−$1.46B-235.8%—
2025-09-30$3.92B$1.24B$1.02B$3.51
2025-06-30$3.68B$1.14B$699M$2.38
2025-03-31$4.05B$1.67B$1.41B$4.83
2024-12-31 †$3.71B$1.41B$1.07B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

1.9%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,266M × (1 − 19%) ÷ $54,315M × 100 = 1.9%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

6.30%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $42.78B ÷ ($42.78B + $13.73B) = 75.7%

e.g.Debt weight: $13.73B ÷ ($42.78B + $13.73B) = 24.3%

e.g.WACC: 7.9% × 75.7% + 1.8% × (1 − 19%) × 24.3% = 6.30%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-4.4pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 4 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 5.2%–7.7% and ROIC − WACC runs −5.8 to −3.3 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 6.30% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.53 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.01), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
7.87%
Cost of debt
1.78%
Tax rate
19% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
76% : 24%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 6.30%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.53 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.29, R² 0.01, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.293 + 0.33 = 0.526

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity7.87%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.53 × 5.5% = 7.9%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$42.78B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$13.73B
Cost of debt1.78%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)76% : 24%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

-1.4%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 6.3% − 7.8%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+82.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+39.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $5.24B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $67.52B = market cap $53.9B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $13.73B − cash and short-term investments $104M; r = WACC of 6.3% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.53, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$67.99B

FCF $5.24B ÷ (6.3% − -1.4%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r4.3%5.3%6.3%7.3%8.3%
0%1.80x1.46x1.23x1.06x0.93x
2%3.37x2.35x1.80x1.46x1.23x
4%25.84x5.96x3.37x2.35x1.80x
6%——25.84x5.96x3.37x
8%————25.84x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 2.46x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -10.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • !

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 68%

    Non-operating items (interest income, equity-method gains, other income/expense) are having a bigger effect.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 36 → 31 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$8,758M ÷ $1,664M = 5.26x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,266M ÷ $1,874M × 100 = 68%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,387M + $1,128M) ÷ 2 ÷ $15,026M × 365 = 31 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
72.0%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
28.0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
372 of 416

1 = most institutional; 89% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.53

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 201.7M shares reported by 1,192 13F filers ÷ 280.0M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-09 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Large, oil-weighted reserves

    Proved reserves of 3,617,856 MBOE at end-2025, 49% oil.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  2. 2. Production scale

    Average production rose from 598.3 MBOE/d (2024) to 921.0 MBOE/d (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  3. 3. Strong cash flow

    Operating cash flow of $8,758M in 2025 versus $3,523M of additions to oil and gas properties.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Oil price exposure

    Net income attributable fell to $1,664M in 2025 as the realized oil price dropped about 13%.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  2. 2. Single-basin concentration

    Operations are concentrated in the Permian Basin.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

26.2x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

2.66%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

70%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

12.2%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Shareholder returns

    Repurchased $1,705M of shares under its program plus $305M from a related party in 2025, and paid $4.00 per share of dividends.

    What has to hold
    Free cash flow holds up.
    The other side
    Lower oil prices.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

  2. 2. Low-cost Permian inventory

    About 1.1M gross Permian acres with long-lived reserves.

    What has to hold
    Drilling remains economic at prevailing prices.
    The other side
    Single-basin concentration.

    Evidence: Form 10-K FY2025

Capex is cash additions to oil and gas properties (plus midstream additions before 2023); property acquisitions are shown as M&A. 2020 includes large impairments from the oil price collapse. Dividends include base and variable amounts.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.1x

$104M vs. $763M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

5.2x

$1.27B vs. $244M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

4.5x

$5.24B vs. $1.16B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-12.8% in FY2023 ($9.64B → $8.41B)Yes, by FY2024
Operating income-71.2% in FY2025 ($4.4B → $1.27B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Financial flexibility

    Credit facility extended to June 2031 with increased commitments.

    Source: Form 8-K 2026-06-15

  • Royalty income

    Viper's mineral interests earn royalties without drilling costs.

    Source: Form 10-K FY2025

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
235
Low
4
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Commodity prices

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Revenue and cash flow depend on oil, natural gas and NGL prices; the 2026 plan keeps activity flat given a soft oil price outlook.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Derivatives and flexible capital program.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Law & regulation

    Environmental and climate rules

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Federal and state rules on emissions, water and drilling can raise costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3M&A & integration

    Acquisition integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Large acquisitions such as Endeavor require integration and rely on reserve estimates.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Governance & key people

    Large shareholder sales

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    SGF holds a significant stake and has sold shares in secondary offerings and to the company.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Repurchases from SGF under a letter agreement.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Low / Likelihood High
  5. 5Supply chain

    Takeaway and water infrastructure

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Production depends on pipeline, processing and water-handling capacity in the Permian.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • • The provision of our certificate of incorporation and bylaws requiring exclusive venue in the Court of Chancery in the State of Delaware for certain types of lawsuits may have the effect of discouraging lawsuits against us and our directors, officers and employees.

  • Additionally, U.S. and non‑U.S. derivatives reforms (including the Dodd‑Frank Act) impose clearing, margin and other requirements. Read more

    While we do not expect material direct effects, our counterparties’ compliance could increase our hedging costs, limit instrument availability, and heighten counterparty credit exposure, leading to greater earnings and cash flow volatility. These regulations could also depress commodity prices, further reducing our revenues.

  • Our business and results of operations may be adversely affected by uncertainty and changes in U.S. Read more

    trade policies, including tariffs, trade agreements or other trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. or other governments. The recent uncertainty over such policies has caused substantial volatility in commodity, capital and financial markets, increased concerns over domestic and global inflation and adversely impacted consumer confidence in the U.S. and worldwide.

  • Tariffs or other trade restrictions may lead to continuing uncertainty and volatility in U.S. Read more

    and global financial and economic conditions and commodity markets, declining consumer confidence, significant inflation and diminished expectations for the economy, and ultimately reduced demand for oil and natural gas. Such conditions could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations and cash flows. Also, disruptions and volatility in the financial markets may lead to adverse changes in the availability, terms and cost of capital. Such adverse changes could increase our costs of capital and limit our access to external financing sources to fund acquisitions, repurchases of securities or other capital requirements.

  • Changes in tariffs and trade restrictions can be announced with little or no advance notice. Read more

    The adoption and expansion of tariffs or other trade restrictions, increasing trade tensions, or other changes in governmental policies related to taxes and tariffs, are difficult to predict, which makes attendant risks difficult to anticipate and mitigate. If we are unable to navigate further changes in U.S. or international trade policy, it could have a material adverse impact on our business and results of operations.

  • Our success depends on developing our existing leasehold acreage and finding, developing or acquiring additional reserves.

  • On July 4, 2025, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (the “OBBB”) was signed into law. Read more

    Among other provisions, the OBBB provides for immediate expensing of research or experimental expenses, bonus depreciation for qualified tangible property, deductible intangible drilling costs for purposes of the CAMT, and enhancements to limits on business interest expense deductions. The OBBB also imposes limits on deductibility of charitable contributions by corporations. For 2025, the net effect of the OBBB was to accelerate our tax deductions and thus favorably affect our cash flow, but to the extent that our tax deductions may be limited or deferred by the applicable provisions of the OBBB in future periods, the amount and timing of our cash tax obligations may be adversely affected.

  • Additionally, the development, deployment and use of artificial intelligence (“AI”) and machine learning in our operations and those of our service providers and partners could introduce new risks, including increased exposure to cybersecurity threats and social engineering, inadvertent disclosure or misuse of confidential, proprietary or personal information, errors, bias or other unexpected outcomes in AI outputs used for operational decision‑making, and evolving and potentially divergent regulatory requirements that may restrict certain uses of AI or increase compliance costs. AI adoption may require significant investment, specialized talent and access to high‑quality data, and our competitors may adopt AI more effectively than we do. Failures or limitations in AI tools, misuse by employees or third parties, or disruptions or breaches involving AI‑enabled systems could adversely…

No longer in the text (4)

  • • Drilling for and producing oil and natural gas are high-risk activities with many uncertainties that may result in a total loss of investment and adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.

  • • The significant additional indebtedness incurred in connection with the Endeavor Acquisition may limit our operating or financial flexibility relative to our current position and make it difficult to satisfy our obligations with respect to our other indebtedness.

  • • Implementing our capital programs may require, under some circumstances, an increase in our total leverage through additional debt issuances, and any significant reduction in availability under our revolving credit facility or inability to otherwise obtain financing for our capital programs could require us to curtail our capital expenditures.

  • Primarily as a result of our Endeavor Acquisition, the Viper Tumbleweed Acquisitions, and the pending Double Eagle Acquisition, if consummated, we expect to increase our fourth quarter 2024 production levels in 2025. Read more

    We cannot reasonably predict whether production levels will remain at current levels or the full extent of the impact of the events above and any subsequent recovery may have on our industry and our business.

44 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Oil prices: the 2026 plan keeps activity and production essentially flat.
  • Further SGF share sales after the March 2026 secondary offering.
  • Leadership: Travis Stice became non-executive Chairman on May 20, 2026.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 24, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:11 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-25Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Diamondback Energy’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.