KabuDo

NASDAQ: INCY · Biotechnology

Incyte

Incyte, based in Wilmington, Delaware, is a biopharmaceutical company in hematology, oncology, and inflammation and autoimmunity. Its main drug is JAKAFI (ruxolitinib) for myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera and graft-versus-host disease, with 2025 net sales of $3,093 million (60% of revenue); JAKAFI loses exclusivity in 2028. OPZELURA cream for atopic dermatitis and vitiligo sold $679 million, and newer drugs include NIKTIMVO, MONJUVI, ICLUSIG, PEMAZYRE and ZYNYZ. It also earns royalties from Novartis (JAKAVI, $458 million) and Lilly (OLUMIANT). Total revenue rose 21% to $5,141 million in 2025 and net income was $1,287 million (diluted EPS $6.41), helped by a $242 million gain on settling a royalty dispute with Novartis. Bill Meury became CEO in June 2025. In July 2026 Incyte bought Vega Therapeutics for $1.25 billion in cash plus up to $750 million in milestones.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:50 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1010-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-29Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
14.0%

Higher than 77% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
29.5%

Higher than 81% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+15.9 pts

Higher than 81% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-1.9x

Higher than 4% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.10x

Higher than 15% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
—

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
59.0x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.57

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$119.89close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$23.79B

P/E today
59.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 15.4x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
4.6x

At FY2025 year-end: 3.8x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
12.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 10.3x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
5.7%

At FY2025 year-end: 6.9%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
—

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +14.0%$1.37B → $1.56B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −78.0 pts32.5% → -45.5% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −$785M$424M → −$785M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ $-3.86$2.11 → $-3.86 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −17.7%$3.98B → $3.28B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 29, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised 2026 Opzelura net sales guidance to $1,100–$1,120 million. Source sentence
Incyte is raising its full year 2026 net sales guidance for Opzelura to $1,100 - $1,120 million, Hematology and Oncology to $890 - $910 million and total net sales to $5,210 - $5,300 million to reflect continued strong performance across the portfolio.

Key changes

  • Q3 net sales $1.32B, up 14%. Source sentence
    Total net sales: Total net sales were $1.32 billion, an increase of 14% compared to the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased demand across marketed products.
  • Jakafi net sales $827M, up 4%. Source sentence
    ◦ Jakafi ® /Jakafi XR ™ (ruxolitinib) net sales of $827 million, an increase of 4% compared to the same period in 2025.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
INCYTE CORP
Headquarters
WILMINGTON, DE
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: INCY
Industry
Biotechnology
CIK
879169

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    2,844

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 41–44 days after quarter end (Feb 10, 2026; Feb 10, 2025; Feb 13, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 28–44 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 29, 2026 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 28, 2026 (+28 days)Jul 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 28, 2026 (+28 days)Apr 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 10, 2026 (+41 days)Feb 10, 2026 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 28, 2025 (+28 days)Oct 28, 2025 10-Q (+28 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 29, 2025 (+29 days)Jul 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 29, 2025 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 10, 2025 (+41 days)Feb 10, 2025 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 29, 2024 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2024 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 30, 2024 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 30, 2024 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 13, 2024 (+44 days)Feb 13, 2024 10-K (+44 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Hematology

    JAKAFI (ruxolitinib)

    JAK inhibitor for myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera and graft-versus-host disease; $3,093M of 2025 net sales.

  • Inflammation & Autoimmunity

    OPZELURA (ruxolitinib cream)

    Topical treatment for atopic dermatitis and vitiligo; $679M of 2025 net sales, including $130M outside the U.S.

  • Hematology

    NIKTIMVO (axatilimab)

    Chronic graft-versus-host disease; co-commercialized in the U.S. with Syndax (50% profit share).

  • Oncology

    MONJUVI/MINJUVI, PEMAZYRE, ZYNYZ, ICLUSIG

    Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (tafasitamab), cholangiocarcinoma (pemigatinib), Merkel cell carcinoma (retifanlimab) and CML (ponatinib, ex-U.S.).

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The 10-K gives no market share figures.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. 2025 results

    Revenue $5,141M (+21%); net income $1,287M; diluted EPS $6.41.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Q3 2026

    Total revenue $1.56B and net sales $1.32B (both +14%); Jakafi $827M (+4%), Opzelura $255M (+36%). GAAP net loss of $784.8M after the Vega acquisition. Incyte raised 2026 guidance for Opzelura, Hematology and Oncology, and total net sales.

    Source: Q3 2026 earnings release

  3. Vega Therapeutics

    Acquired July 6, 2026 for $1.25B in cash plus up to $750M in sales milestones; latarcibart for von Willebrand disease.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  4. CMS agreements

    Resolved Opzelura Medicaid rebate litigation with CMS (June 2026); agreed Jakafi Medicaid pricing aligned with other nations (August 2026).

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-08-31) — Item 8.01 pricing agreement with CMS

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.63x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$59M ÷ $93M = 0.63x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

39.9%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,050M ÷ $5,141M × 100 = 39.9%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $187M in FY2020 to $59M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$5.14B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+14.0%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($5,141M ÷ $2,667M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 14.0%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

29.5%▲favorable

+39.4pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,515M ÷ $5,141M × 100 = 29.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

29.9%▲favorable

6-year average: 11.7%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

3.79x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$98.77 ÷ $26.04 = 3.79x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

10.3x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($19,602M + $0M − $3,098M) ÷ ($1,515M + $93M) = 10.3x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +14.0% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $2.67B in FY2020 to $5.14B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -9.9% → 29.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +39.4 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▲

    Equity ratio is 74.3% (a high level of financial stability)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 11.7% over 6 years (latest: 29.9%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Discovers, develops and sells its own medicines, mainly in the U.S., and earns royalties from partners selling Incyte-discovered drugs outside the U.S. or in other indications.

How money and goods flow at Incyte
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • 2,844 employees
    • Research in Wilmington; European HQ in Morges, Switzerland; offices in Japan and Canada
    • In-licensed and acquired drug candidates
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Hematology: JAKAFI, NIKTIMVO (with Syndax), ICLUSIG
    • Oncology: MONJUVI/MINJUVI, PEMAZYRE, ZYNYZ
    • Inflammation & autoimmunity: OPZELURA
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Specialty distributors and pharmacies in the U.S.
    • Partners Novartis and Lilly (royalties)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Product revenues $4,354M (JAKAFI $3,093M, OPZELURA $679M)
    • Royalties $637M
    • Milestones and contracts $150M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • JAKAFI faces loss of exclusivity in 2028.
  • Settled the JAKAFI royalty dispute with Novartis in 2025: paid $280M and halved the future U.S. royalty rate.
  • $2.0B share repurchase authorization (May 2024).

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Incyte’s main non-market factor is FDA regulation of its products and promotion.

  • Approvals & licenses

    FDA approval and compliance

    Products need FDA approval, and noncompliance can bring warning letters, recalls or loss of approval.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • JAKAFI

    3,092.5 (60%)
  • OPZELURA

    678.5 (13%)
  • Other products

    583.3 (11%)
  • Royalties

    636.9 (12%)
  • Milestones and contracts

    150 (3%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Single reportable segment; revenue by source. Other products = NIKTIMVO $151.6M, MONJUVI/MINJUVI $144.6M, ICLUSIG $134.1M, PEMAZYRE $86.7M, ZYNYZ $66.3M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Specialty distributors and pharmacies; partners pay royalties.

Named by the company

  • Novartis — Pays royalties on JAKAVI ($457.7M in 2025) and TABRECTA; settled a JAKAFI royalty dispute in 2025.Form 10-K (FY2025)
  • Eli Lilly (OLUMIANT) — OLUMIANT royalty revenues $144.6M in 2025.Form 10-K (FY2025)

Suppliers

Contract manufacturers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Incyte faces intense competition from pharmaceutical and biotech companies, academic institutions and government agencies; many have greater resources. Its 10-K names no specific competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K names no specific competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2026 compensation peer group (14 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Research-focused biotech and life science companies of similar size; Alkermes, Ionis and Sarepta removed and Genmab, Illumina, Natera and PTC added.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue2,6672,9863,3953,6964,2415,141
Operating income-264586579621611,515
Pretax income-2325705298343171,664
Net income (attributable)-296949341598331,287
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—12.0%13.7%8.9%14.8%21.2%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-9.9%19.6%17.1%16.8%1.4%29.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-11.1%31.8%10.0%16.2%0.8%25.0%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets3,5614,9335,8416,7825,4446,958
Total equity2,6113,7704,3705,1903,4485,167
Equity ratio73.3%76.4%74.8%76.5%63.3%74.3%
ROE-11.3%29.7%8.4%12.5%0.8%29.9%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF-1257499704963351,413
Investing CF-269-208-79-208158-103
Financing CF726-1-20-2,022101
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-3125688924642491,355
Cash and equivalents1,5132,0572,9513,2131,6883,098
Per share & other
EPS ($)-1.364.271.522.650.156.41
BVPS ($)11.9017.0519.6223.1417.8226.04
P/E (x)—17.252.823.7460.515.4
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)—22.023.115.577.510.3
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share7.314.304.092.713.883.79

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$1.56B+14.0%−$708M-259.7%−$785M-285.0%$-3.86
2026-06-30$1.67B+37.7%$698M+31.6%$586M+44.6%$2.81
2026-03-31$1.27B+20.9%$301M+46.8%$303M+91.7%$1.47
2025-12-31 †$1.51B+27.8%$336M+11.4%$299M+48.7%—
2025-09-30$1.37B$444M$424M$2.11
2025-06-30$1.22B$530M$405M$2.04
2025-03-31$1.05B$205M$158M$0.80
2024-12-31 †$1.18B$302M$201M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

23.9%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,515M × (1 − 32%) ÷ $4,308M × 100 = 23.9%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

8.03%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $19.6B ÷ ($19.6B + $0) = 100.0%

e.g.Debt weight: $0 ÷ ($19.6B + $0) = 0.0%

e.g.WACC: 8.0% × 100.0% + 5.0% × (1 − 32%) × 0.0% = 8.03%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+15.9pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 4 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 6.6%–9.9% and ROIC − WACC runs +14.0 to +17.3 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 8.03% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.56 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.02), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
8.03%
Cost of debt
4.95% (no debt on record, using the risk-free rate)
Tax rate
32% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
100% : 0%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 8.03%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.56 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.35, R² 0.02, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.350 + 0.33 = 0.565

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity8.03%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.56 × 5.5% = 8.0%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$19.6B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$0
Cost of debt *no debt on record, using the risk-free rate instead4.95%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)100% : 0%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

1.5%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 8.0% − 6.5%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+14.0%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.35B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $20.7B = market cap $23.79B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $0 − cash and short-term investments $3.1B; r = WACC of 8.0% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.56, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$20.84B

FCF $1.35B ÷ (8.0% − 1.5%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%
0%1.09x0.94x0.82x0.73x0.65x
2%1.64x1.31x1.09x0.94x0.82x
4%3.27x2.18x1.64x1.31x1.09x
6%—6.55x3.27x2.18x1.64x
8%———6.55x3.27x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 3.17x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -2.0%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 91%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,413M ÷ $1,287M = 1.10x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,515M ÷ $1,664M × 100 = 91%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($59M + $101M) ÷ 2 ÷ $372M × 365 = 78 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
100.0%
Directors & officers (shares)
16.2%
Everyone else (est.)
0.0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
16.2%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
62 of 416

1 = most institutional; 15% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.57

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 202.7M shares reported by 858 13F filers ÷ 202.7M shares outstanding on 2026-07-21. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-28 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-21)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Fast growth

    Revenue grew from $2,667M (2020) to $5,141M (2025); Q3 2026 revenue was $1.56B (+14%), with Opzelura +36% and Hematology and Oncology +38%.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Q3 2026 earnings release

  2. 2. No borrowings

    No outstanding borrowings under its credit facility at end-2025; cash rose to $3.1B.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Broadening portfolio

    OPZELURA, NIKTIMVO and ZYNYZ added $896M of 2025 sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. JAKAFI dependence

    JAKAFI was 60% of 2025 revenue and loses exclusivity in 2028.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Volatile earnings

    Net income swung from −$296M (2020) to $33M (2024) and $1,287M (2025) on deal and settlement items.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

15.4x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

6.9%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Strong cash generation

    Operating cash flow $1,413M in 2025; no outstanding borrowings.

    What has to hold
    JAKAFI sales stay strong until 2028.
    The other side
    Cliff after 2028.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. New growth drivers

    OPZELURA and newer launches growing quickly.

    What has to hold
    Launches succeed.
    The other side
    Pipeline setbacks (ZYNYZ CRL).

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-03-06) — Item 8.01 FDA complete response letter for Zynyz in NSCLC

No interest-bearing debt is reported (no borrowings outstanding under the credit facility at end-2025). 2025 earnings include a $242.2M gain from the Novartis royalty settlement.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

—

$3.1B vs. —

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

623.9x

$1.51B vs. $2M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

—

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-90.1% in FY2024 ($621M → $61M)Yes, by FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable most years

    Net income was positive every year 2021–2025 after a 2020 loss.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
34
2
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    JAKAFI loss of exclusivity

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    New products must offset revenue lost when JAKAFI loses exclusivity in 2028 and competitors launch.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Law & regulation

    Drug pricing and Medicaid

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    CMS pricing rules; Incyte agreed Medicaid pricing for Jakafi aligned with other developed nations (August 2026).
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Competition & technology shift

    Pipeline risk

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    FDA issued a complete response letter for ZYNYZ in lung cancer (February 2026).
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4M&A & integration

    Acquisitions

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Vega ($1.25B) and other deals must deliver approved products.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (2)

  • Changes in government pricing policies, including the enactment of “most favored nation” pricing legislation, could adversely affect our business.

  • Our revenue, results of operations, and cash flows could be materially and adversely affected by changes in government pricing policies, including recently proposed or enacted “most favored nation” (MFN) pricing legislation or executive actions. For example, an executive order issued on May 12, 2025, directed the Department of Health and Human Services to establish MFN price targets, and, if progress toward these targets is insufficient, to pursue rulemaking that could require sale of certain products in the U.S. at prices no higher than those in comparable developed nations. The extent, timing, and ultimate effect of this policy are uncertain, and we cannot predict the potential impact on our pricing, reimbursement, or profitability.

No longer in the text (1)

  • In July 2024, the FDA approved a deuterated ruxolitinib product owned by Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. Read more

    and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, Inc., collectively referred to as Sun, for the treatment of severe alopecia areata to be commercialized as “Leqselvi (deuruxolitinib)”. Prior to the regulatory approval of Leqselvi, we sued Sun for infringement of our patent covering deuterated ruxolitinib analogs in the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey and sought a preliminary injunction to bar Sun’s launch of Leqselvi during the pendency of the litigation. On November 1, 2024, the court entered an order granting our preliminary injunction request. Sun has appealed the court’s preliminary injunction order to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit. Both our underlying infringement action and Sun’s appeal of the court’s preliminary injunction order remain pending.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Growth of OPZELURA and new launches before the 2028 JAKAFI exclusivity loss.
  • JAKAFI XR and pipeline readouts, including latarcibart (Vega).
  • Impact of CMS pricing agreements.
  • Use of the $2.0B buyback authorization.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:50 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-10Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Incyte’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.