KabuDo

NYSE: MRK · Pharmaceuticals

Merck & Co.

Merck, based in Rahway, New Jersey, is a global health care company selling prescription medicines, vaccines and animal health products. 2025 sales were $65,011 million: Pharmaceutical $58,142 million — dominated by the cancer immunotherapy Keytruda/Keytruda Qlex ($31,680 million, about half of total sales) and the HPV vaccine Gardasil ($5,233 million, down from $8,583 million on sharply lower sales in China) — and Animal Health $6,354 million. Net income was $18,254 million. Merck expects Keytruda to face biosimilar competition between 2028 and 2029 and is adding products through acquisitions: Verona Pharma (Ohtuvayre for COPD, $10.4 billion, 2025) and Cidara Therapeutics (long-acting influenza antiviral, about $9.2 billion, closed January 2026). It spun off Organon in 2021 and employs about 75,000 people.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 30, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 12:51 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2410-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
9.4%

Higher than 59% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
—

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
—

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
0.90x

Higher than 6% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
148.0x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.53

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$146.66close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$362.93B

P/E today
148.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 14.5x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
6.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 5.0x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.7%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
2.2%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +4.7%$17.28B → $18.09B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −12.4%$5.79B → $5.07B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −12.1%$2.32 → $2.04 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +39.4%$6.85B → $9.55B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −2.7%$51.08B → $49.69B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 29, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Narrowed and raised the midpoint of its worldwide sales range. Source sentence
Narrows and Raises the Midpoint of Worldwide Sales Range;

Key changes

  • Gross margin 72.9%. Source sentence
    Gross margin was 72.9% for the third quarter of
  • Q3 EPS included a $0.12 one-time charge. Source sentence
    EPS in the third quarter of 2026 include a one-time charge of $0.12 per share related to a global license agreement with SciBrunch Therapeutics

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Merck & Co., Inc.
Headquarters
RAHWAY, NJ
Incorporated in
New Jersey
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: MRK
Industry
Pharmaceuticals
CIK
310158

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    75,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 32–35 days after quarter end (Feb 3, 2026; Feb 4, 2025; Feb 1, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 24–35 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 29, 2026 (+29 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 4, 2026 (+35 days)Aug 7, 2026 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 30, 2026 (+30 days)May 4, 2026 10-Q (+34 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 3, 2026 (+34 days)Feb 24, 2026 10-K (+55 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 30, 2025 (+30 days)Nov 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 29, 2025 (+29 days)Aug 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 24, 2025 (+24 days)May 2, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 4, 2025 (+35 days)Feb 25, 2025 10-K (+56 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 31, 2024 (+31 days)Nov 6, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 30, 2024 (+30 days)Aug 5, 2024 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days)May 3, 2024 10-Q (+33 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 1, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 26, 2024 10-K (+57 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Pharmaceutical

    Keytruda / Keytruda Qlex

    Anti-PD-1 cancer immunotherapy; $31,680M in 2025.

  • Pharmaceutical

    Gardasil / Gardasil 9

    HPV vaccines; $5,233M in 2025.

  • Pharmaceutical

    Other vaccines and medicines

    Januvia/Janumet, ProQuad/M-M-R II/Varivax, Bridion, Winrevair, Capvaxive, Ohtuvayre and alliance revenue from Lynparza.

  • Animal Health

    Livestock and companion animal products

    Livestock $3,896M and companion animal $2,458M in 2025.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

Merck does not state market share percentages in its 10-K.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Cidara acquisition

    Acquired Cidara Therapeutics for about $9.2B; the transaction closed in January 2026.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Verona Pharma

    Acquired Verona Pharma for total consideration of $10.4B, adding Ohtuvayre for COPD.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. Debt issuance

    Issued new notes in December 2025 and May 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-05-22) — Item 8.01

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.35x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$4,112M ÷ $3,045M = 1.35x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

24.3%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$15,789M ÷ $65,011M × 100 = 24.3%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$11.59B

Latest year: $10.04B

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $4.43B in FY2020 to $4.11B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$65.01B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+9.4%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($65,011M ÷ $41,518M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 9.4%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

—

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

36.9%▲favorable

6-year average: 30.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

4.95x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$105.26 ÷ $21.26 = 4.95x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +9.4% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $41.52B in FY2020 to $65.01B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 38.4% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 30.3% over 6 years (latest: 36.9%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Discovers, develops, manufactures and sells patented prescription medicines and vaccines (and animal health products) worldwide, funding heavy R&D from high-margin products during their exclusivity periods.

How money and goods flow at Merck & Co.
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 75,000 employees (30,000 in the U.S.)
    • R&D pipeline and patents
    • Global manufacturing network
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Pharmaceutical: oncology, vaccines, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory, infectious disease
    • Animal Health: livestock and companion animal products
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government agencies, managed care
    • Veterinarians, distributors and animal producers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Keytruda/Keytruda Qlex $31,680M (2025)
    • Gardasil/Gardasil 9 $5,233M
    • Animal Health $6,354M
    • U.S. $36,510M; International $28,501M

How the business makes money

  • McKesson, Cencora and Cardinal Health were about 22%, 21% and 13% of accounts receivable at end-2025.
  • Keytruda biosimilar competition could begin in December 2028.
  • Returned $13.3B to shareholders in 2025 ($8.2B dividends, $5.1B buybacks).

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Merck expects Keytruda to face Medicare price setting and secured a tariff delay for U.S. investment.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Medicare price setting

    Lenvima selected in January 2026 (prices from 2028); Merck expects Keytruda to be selected in 2027, effective 2029.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Trade & export rules

    Section 232 tariff delay

    Agreement with the Department of Commerce delays Section 232 tariffs for three years while Merck reshores manufacturing.

    Supports the businessTouches: Inputs & resources · Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Political engagement

    Public policy advocacy

    Engages policymakers to show the value of its medicines and vaccines amid cost containment.

    Supports the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Pharmaceutical

    58,142 (90%)
  • Animal Health

    6,354 (10%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Segment sales; total $65,011M incl. other revenues ($515M).

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

United States — 56% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    36,510 (56%)
  • International

    28,501 (44%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Sales by region.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Verona Pharma

    Acquired for $10.4B in 2025, adding Ohtuvayre (ensifentrine) for COPD.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Cidara Therapeutics

    Agreed to acquire for about $9.2B; closed January 2026, adding a long-acting influenza antiviral.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, governments and managed care organizations.

Named by the company

Suppliers

Raw material suppliers and contract manufacturers.

Named by the company

No material supplier is named.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Merck competes with other research-based pharmaceutical and biotech companies and with generic and biosimilar makers.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K does not list competitors by name.

Peer group the company chose

Primary peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Primary compensation peer group from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue41,51848,70459,28360,11564,16865,011
Pretax income5,86313,87916,4441,88919,93621,067
Net income (attributable)7,06713,04914,51936517,11718,254
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—17.3%21.7%1.4%6.7%1.3%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10017.0%26.8%24.5%0.6%26.7%28.1%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets91,588105,694109,160106,675117,106136,866
Total equity25,40438,25746,05837,63546,37252,662
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable31,80033,10030,70035,10037,10049,300
Equity ratio27.6%36.1%42.1%35.2%39.5%38.4%
ROE27.9%41.1%34.5%0.9%40.8%36.9%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF10,25313,12219,09513,00621,46816,472
Investing CF-9,443-16,421-4,960-14,083-7,734-13,741
Financing CF-2,8323,097-9,119-4,810-7,032-1,922
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures5,8248,67414,7079,14318,09612,360
Cash and equivalents8,0508,09612,6946,84113,24214,565
Per share & other
EPS ($)2.785.145.710.146.747.28
BVPS ($)10.0115.1118.1214.8418.3221.26
Dividend per share ($)2.482.642.802.963.123.28
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10089.2%51.4%49.0%2114.3%46.3%45.1%
P/E (x)28.114.919.4778.714.814.5
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share7.805.076.127.345.434.95

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$18.09B+4.7%$5.07B-12.4%$2.04
2026-06-30$16.61B+5.1%−$1.34B-130.2%$-0.54
2026-03-31$16.29B+4.9%−$4.24B-183.5%$-1.72
2025-12-31 †$16.4B+5.0%$2.96B-20.8%—
2025-09-30$17.28B$5.79B$2.32
2025-06-30$15.81B$4.43B$1.76
2025-03-31$15.53B$5.08B$2.01
2024-12-31 †$15.62B$3.74B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Not enough data (operating income, equity, etc.) to compute ROIC/WACC.

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

3.9%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.0% − 3.1%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+16.2%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+9.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $12.36B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $397.66B = market cap $362.93B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $49.3B − cash and short-term investments $14.57B; r = WACC of 7.0% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.53, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$398.71B

FCF $12.36B ÷ (7.0% − 3.9%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%
0%0.62x0.52x0.44x0.39x0.35x
2%1.04x0.78x0.62x0.52x0.44x
4%3.11x1.55x1.04x0.78x0.62x
6%——3.11x1.55x1.04x
8%————3.11x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 6.93x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): 1.4%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 60 → 62 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$16,472M ÷ $18,254M = 0.90x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($10,278M + $11,775M) ÷ 2 ÷ $65,011M × 365 = 62 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($6,109M + $6,658M) ÷ 2 ÷ $16,382M × 365 = 142 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
80.3%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
19.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
300 of 416

1 = most institutional; 72% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.53

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 1,981.8M shares reported by 3,826 13F filers ÷ 2,467.2M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-08 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Blockbuster oncology

    Keytruda sales grew from $25,011M (2023) to $31,680M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. New launches

    Winrevair and Capvaxive contributed to 2025 growth.

    Evidence: Proxy statement (2026)

  3. 3. Animal Health growth

    Animal Health sales rose to $6,354M in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Keytruda dependence

    Keytruda was about 49% of 2025 sales and faces biosimilars from 2028–2029.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Gardasil slump

    Gardasil sales fell from $8,886M (2023) to $5,233M (2025) on lower sales in China.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Rising debt

    Interest-bearing debt rose to $49.3B at end-2025 after the Verona acquisition.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  4. 4. Keytruda price-setting risk

    Expects Keytruda to be selected for Medicare price setting in 2027, effective 2029.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

14.5x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

3.12%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

45%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.7%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Pipeline replenishment

    Acquisitions and launches aim to offset Keytruda LOE.

    What has to hold
    New products scale up.
    The other side
    Keytruda cliff is large.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Shareholder returns

    Dividend raised to $0.85 quarterly; $10B buyback authorization.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow stays strong.
    The other side
    Higher debt.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

2023 net income ($365M) was depressed by large charges for acquired in-process R&D. 2020 figures exclude Organon, spun off in June 2021.

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

5.6x

$14.57B vs. $2.59B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

The income statement has no operating income line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

1.5x

$12.36B vs. $8.18B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income was positive every year 2020–2025, including 2023 ($365M) despite large R&D charges.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
12
Med
45
3
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Loss of exclusivity

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Keytruda biosimilar competition expected between 2028 and 2029.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Law & regulation

    U.S. drug pricing

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The Inflation Reduction Act and 340B program pressure U.S. prices.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  3. 3Geopolitics & supply chain

    China

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Gardasil sales in China declined significantly and are not expected to increase materially in 2026.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Product liability

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Gardasil MDL and other product liability litigation.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5M&A & integration

    Acquisitions

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Integrating Verona and Cidara and realizing pipeline value.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (3)

  • Also, as noted above, in December 2025, the Company entered into the MFN Agreement with the U.S. Read more

    government pursuant to which the Company will provide key products through a direct-to-patient program at affordable prices for eligible patients in the U.S. This currently includes Januvia , Janumet , and Janumet XR , and will be expanded in the future to include enlicitide decanoate pending FDA approval. The Company also agreed to offer its existing medicines at discounted prices to Medicaid, excluding certain products. In addition, the Company has agreed that products launched during the term of the MFN Agreement (with certain exceptions) will be subject to “most-favored-nation” pricing in reference to prices for such products in the MFN Countries.

  • In addition, it is possible that as a consequence of the MFN Agreement, certain of the Company’s products may not be launched in the MFN Countries or their launch may be delayed and as a result, the MFN Countries may take actions that adversely impact the Company.

  • The Company’s business in China experienced significantly lower sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in 2025. Read more

    Due to above normal inventory levels at the Company’s commercialization partner in China, the Company made a decision to pause shipments to China beginning in February 2025 and has not resumed shipments to date. The Company will not resume shipments until inventory levels return to normal levels and it cannot predict when shipments to China will resume nor the levels of sales that the Company will achieve and as a result, the Company expects that sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in China will not materially increase in 2026. In June 2025, a nine-valent HPV vaccine produced by a local manufacturer received regulatory approval in China for use in females 9-45 years of age.

No longer in the text (3)

  • • The Company’s business in China has grown in the past few years, and the importance of China to the Company’s overall pharmaceutical and vaccines business has increased accordingly. Read more

    In 2024, the Company experienced lower sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in China and expects that sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in China will decline significantly in 2025.

  • The U.S. government has announced plans to significantly increase tariffs on foreign imports into the U.S., particularly from Canada and Mexico and has already increased tariffs on imports from China. Read more

    It is too early for the

  • The Company’s business in China has grown in the past few years, and the importance of China to the Company’s overall pharmaceutical and vaccines business has increased accordingly. Read more

    In 2024, the Company experienced lower sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in China and expects that sales of Gardasil/Gardasil 9 in China will decline significantly in 2025.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2025 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Keytruda Qlex (subcutaneous) adoption ahead of the Keytruda patent expiry.
  • Winrevair, Capvaxive and Ohtuvayre growth.
  • Gardasil in China.

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 30, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 12:51 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-24Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Merck & Co.’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.