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NYSE: MRSH · Insurance Brokers

Marsh McLennan

Marsh & McLennan Companies, based in New York and branded simply as Marsh since January 2026, is a global professional services firm in risk, strategy and people with about 95,000 colleagues. Its Risk and Insurance Services segment ($17,265 million of 2025 revenue) includes Marsh Risk — which describes itself as the world’s leading insurance broker and risk advisor ($14,366 million, including Marsh McLennan Agency) — and reinsurance broker Guy Carpenter ($2,496 million); its Consulting segment ($9,794 million) comprises Mercer (wealth, health and career, $6,190 million) and Marsh Management Consulting, formerly Oliver Wyman ($3,604 million). 2025 revenue rose 10% to $26,981 million and net income was $4,160 million. It acquired McGriff Insurance Services in November 2024, its largest recent deal, and settled the Australian Greensill litigation in 2026.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 12:54 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 9, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-0910-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-15Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
9.4%

Higher than 60% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
23.1%

Higher than 64% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+6.6 pts

Higher than 63% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.6x

Higher than 66% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.27x

Higher than 32% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
3 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
24.7x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.54

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$206.11close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$99.96B

P/E today
24.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 22.0x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
6.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 5.9x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
17.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 16.2x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
5.0%

At FY2025 year-end: 5.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.7%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +8.1%$6.35B → $6.86B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −0.7 pts18.4% → 17.7% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +8.2%$747M → $808M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +11.9%$1.51 → $1.69 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +8.4%$1.7B → $1.84B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −3.2%$19.54B → $18.91B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 15, 2026.

Key changes

  • Q3 revenue $6.9B, up 8%. Source sentence
    Consolidated revenue in the third quarter of 2026 was $6.9 billion, an increase of 8% compared with the third quarter of 2025, or 5% on an underlying basis.
  • Adjusted EPS up 10% to $2.03. Source sentence
    Adjusted earnings per share increased 10% to $2.03.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC.
Headquarters
NEW YORK, NY
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: MRSH
Industry
Insurance Brokers
CIK
62709

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    95,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 25–30 days after quarter end (Jan 29, 2026; Jan 30, 2025; Jan 25, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 15–30 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 15, 2026 (+15 days)Oct 15, 2026 10-Q (+15 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 21, 2026 (+21 days)Jul 21, 2026 10-Q (+21 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 16, 2026 (+16 days)Apr 16, 2026 10-Q (+16 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 29, 2026 (+29 days)Feb 9, 2026 10-K (+40 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 16, 2025 (+16 days)Oct 16, 2025 10-Q (+16 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 17, 2025 (+17 days)Jul 17, 2025 10-Q (+17 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 17, 2025 (+17 days)Apr 17, 2025 10-Q (+17 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 30, 2025 (+30 days)Feb 10, 2025 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 17, 2024 (+17 days)Oct 17, 2024 10-Q (+17 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 18, 2024 (+18 days)Jul 18, 2024 10-Q (+18 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 18, 2024 (+18 days)Apr 18, 2024 10-Q (+18 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 25, 2024 (+25 days)Feb 12, 2024 10-K (+43 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Risk and Insurance Services

    Marsh Risk

    Insurance broking, risk consulting, program management and alternative risk financing; includes Marsh McLennan Agency for U.S. middle-market clients.

  • Risk and Insurance Services

    Guy Carpenter

    Reinsurance and capital strategies for insurers.

  • Consulting

    Mercer

    Wealth ($2,819M), health ($2,284M) and career ($1,087M) consulting and outsourcing.

  • Consulting

    Marsh Management Consulting

    Management, economic and brand consulting (formerly Oliver Wyman).

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Insurance broking

    Global insurance broking

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    World’s leading insurance broker

    Company-disclosed

    “Marsh Risk is the world's leading insurance broker and risk advisor”

Sources:

Company-stated position; no percentage given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Greensill resolved

    Settlements with White Oak (May 2025), Greensill Bank (June 2026) and Credit Suisse (September 2026) conclude Marsh’s involvement in the Australian proceedings.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  2. Rebrand

    Brand changed to Marsh on January 14, 2026, with Marsh Risk and Marsh Management Consulting.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. Leadership

    Mark McGivney appointed EVP and Chief Operating Officer effective April 15, 2026; Nick Studer to succeed Martin South at Marsh Risk.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-04-14) — Item 5.02

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.81x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$291M ÷ $361M = 0.81x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$10.53B

Latest year: $652M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $348M in FY2020 to $291M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$26.98B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+9.4%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($26,981M ÷ $17,224M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 9.4%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

23.1%▲favorable

+5.3pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$6,223M ÷ $26,981M × 100 = 23.1%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

28.8%▲favorable

6-year average: 28.8%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

5.88x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$185.52 ÷ $31.58 = 5.88x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

16.2x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($89,977M + $19,587M − $2,687M) ÷ ($6,223M + $361M) = 16.2x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +9.4% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $17.22B in FY2020 to $26.98B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 17.8% → 23.1%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +5.3 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 26.1% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 28.8% over 6 years (latest: 28.8%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Earns commissions and fees for placing insurance and reinsurance and advising clients on risk, and fees for consulting on wealth, health, careers and management strategy; also earns interest on fiduciary funds.

How money and goods flow at Marsh McLennan
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 95,000 colleagues
    • Global broking and consulting network
    • Client relationships and data
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Risk and Insurance Services: Marsh Risk (incl. Marsh McLennan Agency), Guy Carpenter
    • Consulting: Mercer, Marsh Management Consulting
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Businesses, governments and institutions worldwide
    • Insurers and reinsurers (Guy Carpenter)
    • Employers and pension plans (Mercer)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Marsh Risk $14,366M (2025)
    • Guy Carpenter $2,496M
    • Mercer $6,190M
    • Marsh Management Consulting $3,604M
    • Fiduciary interest income $403M

How the business makes money

  • Rebranded from Marsh McLennan to Marsh on January 14, 2026; Oliver Wyman became Marsh Management Consulting.
  • Paid dividends of $3.43 per share in 2025; quarterly rate $0.90 from February 2026.
  • E&O liability was $379M at end-2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Marsh McLennan advises governments and follows trade sanctions.

  • Government as customer

    Government health programs

    Changes to programs like Medicaid could affect consulting for government clients.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Trade & export rules

    Sanctions and anti-corruption laws

    Subject to trade sanctions laws for countries such as Russia, Iran and North Korea.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Green energy tax credits

    Purchased green energy income tax credits to reduce income taxes in 2024–2025.

    Supports the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Risk and Insurance Services

    17,265 (64%)
  • Consulting

    9,794 (36%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Segment revenue; total segments $27,059M before corporate eliminations; consolidated revenue $26,981M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    McGriff Insurance Services

    Acquired in November 2024 to expand Marsh McLennan Agency’s U.S. middle-market broking.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Businesses, governments, institutions and individuals worldwide.

Named by the company

No customer concentration is disclosed.

Suppliers

Insurance and reinsurance carriers (placement markets).

Named by the company

No material supplier is named.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Marsh competes with global, regional and local brokers, managing general agents, private-equity-backed brokers, and with consulting, outsourcing and insurance firms; the 10-K does not name them.

Competitors named in the 10-K

No competitor is named in the 10-K.

Peer group the company chose

Compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

2025 peer group for executive compensation from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue17,22419,82020,72022,73624,45826,981
Operating income3,0664,3124,2805,2825,8176,223
Pretax income2,7934,2084,0825,0265,4805,539
Net income (attributable)2,0163,1433,0503,7564,0604,160
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—15.1%4.5%9.7%7.6%10.3%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10017.8%21.8%20.7%23.2%23.8%23.1%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10011.7%15.9%14.7%16.5%16.6%15.4%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets33,04944,01044,11448,03056,48158,710
Total equity9,26011,22210,74912,37013,53515,315
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable11,83010,96711,76313,46319,94719,587
Equity ratio28.0%25.5%24.4%25.8%24.0%26.1%
ROE21.8%30.7%27.8%32.5%31.3%28.8%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF3,3823,5163,4654,2584,3025,292
Investing CF-793-1,164-850-1,417-8,821-845
Financing CF-925-1,297-1,046-1,1194,455-4,634
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures3,0343,1102,9953,8423,9865,001
Cash and equivalents2,0891,7521,4423,3582,3982,687
Per share & other
EPS ($)3.946.136.047.538.188.43
BVPS ($)18.2322.2721.7225.1427.5731.58
Dividend per share ($)1.84—2.252.603.053.43
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10046.7%—37.3%34.5%37.3%40.7%
P/E (x)29.728.427.425.226.022.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)18.219.119.818.319.716.2
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share6.427.817.627.547.715.88

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$6.86B+8.1%$1.22B+3.8%$808M+8.2%$1.69
2026-06-30$7.4B+6.2%$1.9B+3.8%$1.27B+4.5%$2.63
2026-03-31$7.6B+7.6%$1.75B-12.5%$1.15B-17.0%$2.36
2025-12-31 †$6.6B+8.7%$1.22B+6.7%$821M+4.2%—
2025-09-30$6.35B$1.17B$747M$1.51
2025-06-30$6.97B$1.83B$1.21B$2.45
2025-03-31$7.06B$2.01B$1.38B$2.79
2024-12-31 †$6.07B$1.14B$788M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

13.7%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$6,223M × (1 − 24.5%) ÷ $34,192M × 100 = 13.7%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

7.17%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $89.98B ÷ ($89.98B + $19.59B) = 82.1%

e.g.Debt weight: $19.59B ÷ ($89.98B + $19.59B) = 17.9%

e.g.WACC: 7.9% × 82.1% + 4.9% × (1 − 24.5%) × 17.9% = 7.17%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+6.6pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 6 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 6.0%–8.7% and ROIC − WACC runs +5.1 to +7.8 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 7.17% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.54 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.05), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
7.92%
Cost of debt
4.90%
Tax rate
24.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
82% : 18%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 7.17%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.54 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.31, R² 0.05, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.314 + 0.33 = 0.540

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity7.92%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.54 × 5.5% = 7.9%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$89.98B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$19.59B
Cost of debt4.90%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)82% : 18%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

2.9%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.2% − 4.3%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+10.5%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+9.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $5B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $116.86B = market cap $99.96B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $19.59B − cash and short-term investments $2.69B; r = WACC of 7.2% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.54, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$116.3B

FCF $5B ÷ (7.2% − 2.9%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.2%6.2%7.2%8.2%9.2%
0%0.82x0.69x0.59x0.52x0.47x
2%1.34x1.02x0.82x0.69x0.59x
4%3.57x1.95x1.34x1.02x0.82x
6%—21.40x3.57x1.95x1.34x
8%———21.40x3.57x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.23x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -2.0%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 112%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 113 → 100 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-09

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$5,292M ÷ $4,160M = 1.27x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$6,223M ÷ $5,539M × 100 = 112%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($7,156M + $7,670M) ÷ 2 ÷ $26,981M × 365 = 100 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
92.0%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
8.0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
165 of 416

1 = most institutional; 39% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.54

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 439.0M shares reported by 1,501 13F filers ÷ 477.2M shares outstanding on 2026-07-16. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-31 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-16)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Market leadership

    Marsh Risk is the world’s leading insurance broker and risk advisor.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Steady growth

    Revenue rose every year from $17,224M (2020) to $26,981M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Diversification

    Consulting contributed $9,794M of 2025 segment revenue alongside broking.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Higher debt after McGriff

    Interest-bearing debt rose from $13.5B (2023) to about $19.6B (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. E&O exposure

    Greensill settlements produced charges ($569M net of insurance in the 2026 nine-month period).

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  3. 3. Interest-rate sensitivity

    Fiduciary interest income fell from $497M (2024) to $403M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

22.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.85%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

41%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

5.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Compounder

    Consistent revenue and EPS growth with rising dividends.

    What has to hold
    Insurance pricing stays firm.
    The other side
    Pricing cycle could soften.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Scale in broking

    World’s leading broker with Guy Carpenter and Mercer.

    What has to hold
    Scale advantages persist.
    The other side
    PE-backed competition.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

FY2020 dividend per share is the sum of quarterly dividends paid in the FY2020 10-K ($1.84).

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

2.1x

$2.69B vs. $1.27B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

6.5x

$6.22B vs. $960M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

2.9x

$5B vs. $1.7B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-0.7% in FY2022 ($4.31B → $4.28B)Yes, by FY2023

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Recurring revenue

    Revenue grew every year 2020–2025, including through 2020.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
Med
345
12
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Insurance pricing and economy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Commission revenue depends on insurance premium rates and client activity.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    Competition and AI

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with global brokers, private-equity-backed brokers and consultants, including new entrants using generative AI.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Law & regulation

    Errors & omissions claims

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    E&O claims and regulatory investigations.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4M&A & integration

    Acquisition integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Integrating McGriff and Cardano.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5FX & interest rates

    Rates and currencies

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fiduciary income depends on interest rates; most pre-tax income is earned outside the U.S.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    We periodically use forward contracts and options to limit foreign currency exchange rate exposure on net income and cash flows for specific, clearly defined transactions arising in the ordinary course of business.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (4)

  • Our increasing reliance on software-as-a-service ("SaaS") cloud solutions and other cloud-based vendors to support critical business operations also exposes us to risks associated with the availability, security, and resilience of these third-party platforms. These arrangements create dependencies on the vendors’ ability to maintain continuous service and protect against outages, disruptions or cyber incidents and on the sufficiency of their security controls and incident response. In addition, managing and integrating multiple cloud environments with our internal systems increases the risk of configuration errors or vulnerabilities that could be exploited.

  • We may not be able to fully realize the benefits of our Thrive program and Business Client Services.

  • In 2025, we launched a three-year program, Thrive, which focuses on our brand strategy, delivering greater value to clients, accelerating growth and improving efficiency (the "Program"). Read more

    As part of the Program we also created a new unit, Business Client Services ("BCS") to accelerate innovation and centralize investments in operational excellence, data, AI and other analytics. As a part of these initiatives, we may optimize our global footprint, which involves inherent risks, including potential business disruptions or processing activities, loss of continuity or institutional knowledge, challenges in managing third-party providers and compliance with foreign regulatory requirements.

  • The Program will generate savings from process and automation efficiencies and optimization of our global operating model. Read more

    However, actual total costs, savings and timing may differ from our estimates due to changes in the scope or assumptions underlying the Program and other operational improvements through BCS. We cannot guarantee that we will achieve the targeted savings. If we do not realize the expected cost savings, we may be unable to reinvest in planned growth or strategic initiatives. Moreover, unanticipated costs or unrealized savings in connection with the Program could adversely affect our consolidated financial statements.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Organic growth in Marsh Risk and Mercer.
  • Insurance pricing cycle.
  • Integration of McGriff and Cardano.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 12:54 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 9, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-09Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Marsh McLennan’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.