KabuDo

NYSE: BALL · Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Ball Corporation

Ball makes aluminum beverage cans and ends, plus aluminum aerosol containers and bottles, in plants across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia. It says it is the largest beverage can producer in North and Central America, EMEA and South America. Net sales rose 12% to $13.2 billion in 2025, and net earnings were $915 million. Ball has narrowed itself to packaging: it sold its aerospace business to BAE Systems for $5.6 billion in February 2024 and deconsolidated its aluminum cups business in March 2025. Most sales contracts pass aluminum price changes through to customers. Three customers — Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coca-Cola bottlers and Red Bull — made up 40% of 2025 sales. Ron Lewis became CEO in November 2025.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 11, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:06 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1910-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-03

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
2.2%

Higher than 9% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
—

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
—

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.38x

Higher than 40% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
32.1x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.54

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$64.65close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$17.16B

P/E today
32.1x

At FY2025 year-end: 16.1x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
3.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 2.6x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
4.6%

At FY2025 year-end: 5.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.2%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +23.9%$3.38B → $4.19B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −$94M$321M → −$94M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ $-0.36$1.18 → $-0.36 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −16.5%$491M → $410M (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 3, 2026.

Management outlook • Issued

Expects 2026 comparable EPS growth of 10-plus percent. Source sentence
● In 2026, expect comparable diluted earnings per share growth of 10-plus percent and free cash flow in the range of $900 million

Key changes

  • Q3 comparable EPS $1.10 versus $1.03, up 6.8%. Source sentence
    ● Third quarter comparable diluted earnings per share of $1.10 vs. $1.03 in 2025, an increase of 6.8%
  • Aluminum packaging shipments up 4.7%. Source sentence
    ● Global aluminum packaging shipments increased 4.7% in the third quarter

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
BALL Corp
Headquarters
WESTMINSTER, CO
Incorporated in
Indiana
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: BALL
Industry
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers
CIK
9389

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    16,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 32–35 days after quarter end (Feb 3, 2026; Feb 4, 2025; Feb 1, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 26–36 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 3, 2026 (+34 days)Nov 3, 2026 10-Q (+34 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 4, 2026 (+35 days)Aug 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 5, 2026 (+35 days)May 5, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 3, 2026 (+34 days)Feb 19, 2026 10-K (+50 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 4, 2025 (+35 days)Nov 4, 2025 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 5, 2025 (+36 days)Aug 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 6, 2025 (+36 days)May 6, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 4, 2025 (+35 days)Feb 20, 2025 10-K (+51 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 31, 2024 (+31 days)Oct 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 1, 2024 (+32 days)Aug 1, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 26, 2024 (+26 days)May 7, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 1, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 20, 2024 10-K (+51 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Beverage packaging

    Aluminum beverage cans and ends

    Examples: Cans for beer, soft drinks, energy drinks

    About 50 billion cans in North and Central America and 20 billion in South America in 2025.

  • Other (PHC)

    Aerosol containers and bottles

    Examples: Extruded aluminum aerosol cans, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum slugs

    1.5 billion containers shipped in 2025.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Aluminum beverage containers

    Shipments in the countries Ball serves, 2025

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

    North & Central America

    ~36% (largest)

    Company-disclosed

    About 50 billion of an industry of about 139 billion units; five companies make substantially all U.S., Canada and Mexico cans.

    EMEA

    ~39% (largest)

    Company-disclosed

    Market of about 97 billion containers in the countries where Ball operates.

    South America

    ~46% (largest)

    Company-disclosed

    Market of about 43 billion containers.

  • Aluminum personal and household care (PHC) containers

    The PHC market in which Ball operates, 2025

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

    PHC market served

    ~21%

    Company-disclosed

    1.5 billion of about 6.8 billion units; geography not specified.

Sources:

Ball's own estimates from the FY2025 10-K segment descriptions.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

FY2025 from the 10-K, and 2026 events from the Q2 earnings release and 8-Ks.

  1. Q2 2026 results

    Sales $4.00B (vs. $3.34B), diluted EPS $0.83 (vs. $0.76); comparable EPS $1.03 (+14.4%).

    Source: Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K filed 2026-08-04)

  2. CEO change

    Ron Lewis, previously Chief Supply Chain and Operations Officer, replaced Daniel Fisher as CEO on November 10, 2025; Stuart Taylor II became Chairman.

    Source: 8-K filed 2025-11-10

  3. Credit agreement

    Maturities of the term loan A and revolving facilities were extended to November 2030, with a new $1.5B term loan A.

    Source: 8-K filed 2025-11-26

  4. Board additions

    Darlene Nicosia and Sherry Buck joined the board in September 2026.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-09-09

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.76x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$474M ÷ $622M = 0.76x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$302M

Latest year: $159M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.11B in FY2020 to $474M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$13.16B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+2.2%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($13,161M ÷ $11,781M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 2.2%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

—

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

16.2%▲favorable

6-year average: 30.5%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

2.59x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$52.97 ÷ $20.43 = 2.59x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +2.2% a year over 5 years (modest growth)

    From $11.78B in FY2020 to $13.16B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 27.8% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 4 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 30.5% over 6 years (latest: 16.2%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Aluminum beverage packaging

Ball makes aluminum beverage cans and ends for beer, soft drinks, energy drinks and other beverages in three regional segments: North and Central America, EMEA, and South America. Smaller operations sell cans in India and Myanmar.

Aluminum beverage packaging: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Aluminum can and end sheet from global suppliers
    • About 16,000 employees
    • Plants running near-continuously
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Making cans and ends
    • Can design and decoration
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Brewers, soft drink bottlers and energy drink makers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Can and end sales under multi-year contracts
    • Aluminum cost largely passed through to customers

Aluminum beverage packaging: how it makes money

  • North and Central America: about 50 billion cans shipped in 2025, about 36% of the region's shipments.
  • EMEA: estimated 39% share; South America: estimated 46% share.
  • Florida Can Manufacturing was acquired in February 2025 for $160 million.

Personal & home care (PHC)

Extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles and aluminum slugs, reported in Other.

Personal & home care (PHC): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Aluminum from several suppliers
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Making aerosol containers and bottles
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Personal care, household products and beverage companies
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Container sales

Personal & home care (PHC): how it makes money

  • 1.5 billion containers shipped in 2025, about 21% of a 6.8 billion unit market.
  • Expanded in Europe by acquiring Alucan Entec in October 2024.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Ball faces tariff-driven aluminum costs and is removing PFAS coatings.

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs on raw materials

    Tariffs, sanctions or trade actions could raise raw material costs.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    PFAS coatings

    Working with suppliers to remove PFAS-containing coatings.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Beverage packaging, North and Central America

    6,286 (51%)

    profit 772 · margin 12.3%

  • Beverage packaging, EMEA

    3,983 (32%)

    profit 495 · margin 12.4%

  • Beverage packaging, South America

    2,162 (17%)

    profit 327 · margin 15.1%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, segment results Profit is comparable operating earnings. Other (PHC, beverage packaging in India and Myanmar, corporate expenses and eliminations) had about $730M of sales and is not shown.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

United States — 47% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    6,163 (47%)
  • Brazil

    1,494 (11%)
  • Other countries

    5,504 (42%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 3, net sales by geographic area Attributed by origin of sale.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Most of Ball's aluminum beverage can contracts pass aluminum price changes through to customers, and Ball also uses derivatives, so profit depends mainly on volumes and conversion margins rather than metal prices.

  • Aluminum beverage can sales

    Most of $13.2B of 2025 sales

    Typical term: Aluminum price changes passed through to customers in most contracts

    Ball also hedges with derivative instruments.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Global beverage companies and bottlers, plus personal and household care brands.

Named by the company

What the filings disclose

  • 47% of 2025 sales originated in the United States. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 3)

Suppliers

Aluminum can and end sheet from global aluminum suppliers.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • In North and Central America, more than seven global suppliers provide almost all can and end sheet; in South America, two global suppliers provide virtually all of it. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Ball's 10-K says five companies make substantially all aluminum beverage cans in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, and four in South America, and that cans compete with glass and PET bottles. It does not name competitors, though it describes patent litigation with Crown.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Ball's 10-K describes market structure but doesn't name competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2025 executive compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

15 companies in containers and packaging, food and beverage, household goods and manufacturing, with revenue of about 0.4x–3.0x Ball's.

The same group is used for 2026.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-03-17) — Market Reference Points and Peer Groups

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

M&A historySite analysisShow

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

Since 2024 Ball has sold non-packaging businesses and made small packaging acquisitions.

Cash spent on acquisitions, FY2020–FY2025: $302M (years not reported separately are excluded)

  1. Feb 2024

    Aerospace business (divestiture to BAE Systems)

    $5.6B

    Ball's aerospace business, now reported as discontinued operations.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Not stated in the 10-K.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 4

  2. Oct 2024

    Alucan Entec

    Not shown here

    Aluminum aerosol and bottle plants in Belgium and Spain.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Broadens the geographic reach and product portfolio of the PHC business.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 4

  3. Feb 2025

    Florida Can Manufacturing

    $160M cash

    An aluminum beverage can plant in Winter Haven, Florida.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Strengthens the segment's supply network and ability to meet growing demand.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 4

  4. Mar 2025

    Aluminum cups business (strategic partnership)

    Not disclosed

    Ball deconsolidated the business after recording a $233M impairment in 2024.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Not stated in the 10-K.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 4

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue11,78113,81113,37212,06211,79513,161
Operating income1,0031,2911,2141,273——
Pretax income6871,0087136145351,128
Net income (attributable)5828787327114,014915
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—17.2%-3.2%-9.8%-2.2%11.6%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1008.5%9.3%9.1%10.6%——
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1004.9%6.4%5.5%5.9%34.0%7.0%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets18,25219,71419,90919,30317,62819,524
Total equity3,3373,6853,5273,8375,9305,421
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable7,8007,7378,9488,5695,6737,012
Equity ratio17.9%18.4%17.4%19.5%33.3%27.8%
ROE17.8%25.4%20.7%19.7%83.4%16.2%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,4321,7603011,8631151,262
Investing CF-1,181-1,639-786-1,0535,003-656
Financing CF-602-894485-662-4,790-344
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures31934-1,350818-369788
Cash and equivalents1,3665635486958851,212
Per share & other
EPS ($)1.762.652.252.2313.003.30
BVPS ($)10.0011.3011.0211.9420.2620.43
Dividend per share ($)0.600.700.800.800.800.80
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10034.1%26.4%35.6%35.9%6.2%24.2%
P/E (x)52.936.322.725.84.216.1
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)22.119.113.513.9——
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share9.328.524.644.822.722.59

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$4.19B+23.9%−$94M-129.3%$-0.36
2026-06-30$4B+19.7%$223M+3.7%$0.83
2026-03-31$3.6B+16.3%$205M+14.5%$0.77
2025-12-31 †$3.35B+16.2%$200M—
2025-09-30$3.38B$321M$1.18
2025-06-30$3.34B$215M$0.76
2025-03-31$3.1B$179M$0.63
2024-12-31$2.88B−$30M$-0.11

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Not enough data (operating income, equity, etc.) to compute ROIC/WACC.

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

3.0%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 6.4% − 3.4%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+19.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+2.2%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $788M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $22.96B = market cap $17.16B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $7.01B − cash and short-term investments $1.21B; r = WACC of 6.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.54, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$23.18B

FCF $788M ÷ (6.4% − 3.0%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r4.4%5.4%6.4%7.4%8.4%
0%0.78x0.64x0.54x0.46x0.41x
2%1.43x1.01x0.78x0.64x0.54x
4%8.58x2.45x1.43x1.01x0.78x
6%——8.58x2.45x1.43x
8%————8.58x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.48x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -1.9%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • !

    Days sales outstanding: 42 → 53 days

    Receivables are growing faster than revenue — worth checking for looser collection terms or channel stuffing.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,262M ÷ $915M = 1.38x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,736M + $2,057M) ÷ 2 ÷ $13,161M × 365 = 53 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($1,477M + $2,013M) ÷ 2 ÷ $10,583M × 365 = 60 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
88.4%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
11.6%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
219 of 416

1 = most institutional; 52% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.54

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 234.0M shares reported by 802 13F filers ÷ 264.7M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-17 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Regional leadership

    The largest can producer in North and Central America (about 36% share), EMEA (39%) and South America (46%), by the 10-K's estimates.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  2. 2. Aluminum costs passed through

    Most beverage can contracts pass aluminum price changes through to customers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  3. 3. Sales growth in 2025

    Sales rose 12% in 2025 and comparable operating earnings grew in all three segments; Q2 2026 sales rose to $4.00B from $3.34B.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025); Q2 2026 earnings release

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Customer concentration

    Anheuser-Busch InBev (15%), Coca-Cola bottlers (14%) and Red Bull (11%) made up 40% of 2025 sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 3

  2. 2. Thin segment margins

    Comparable operating earnings were 12–15% of segment sales in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

16.1x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.51%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

24%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

5.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Pure-play aluminum packaging

    After selling aerospace and the cups business, Ball is almost entirely beverage cans and aluminum containers, with leading regional shares.

    What has to hold
    Demand for beverage cans keeps growing.
    The other side
    Cans compete with glass and PET, and three customers are 40% of sales.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Capital returns

    Share repurchases of $1.32B in 2025 and $1.71B in 2024; shares outstanding fell from 321M (2021) to 265M (2025).

    What has to hold
    Free cash flow stays strong.
    The other side
    The 2026 buyback plan (about $600M) is smaller than in prior years.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025); SEC EDGAR XBRL

These summarize facts in Ball's filings, not a recommendation.

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

57.7x

$1.21B vs. $21M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

The income statement has no operating income line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.6x

$788M vs. $220M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-9.8% in FY2023 ($13.37B → $12.06B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-6.0% in FY2022 ($1.29B → $1.21B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Cost pass-through

    Aluminum price changes are passed through in most beverage can contracts.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  • Liquidity

    $1.2B of cash at year-end 2025, and credit facilities extended to November 2030.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL; 8-K filed 2025-11-26

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
4
Med
2
13
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Intense packaging competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The 10-K says competition is intense, surplus capacity keeps pricing under pressure, and cans compete with glass and PET bottles.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Competing on price, innovation, sustainability, service and quality.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Supply chain

    Aluminum supply, price and tariffs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Aluminum prices (LME) and tariffs on imported goods can raise costs; South America relies on two global suppliers for nearly all can and end sheet.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Pass-through clauses in most contracts and derivative hedges.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3FX & interest rates

    Currency exposure

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    A significant share of assets, liabilities and earnings is in non-U.S. currencies.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Customer/supplier concentration

    Large customers

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Three customers made up 40% of 2025 sales; losing or repricing one would matter.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Multi-year supply relationships.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Low

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (3)

  • Our investments in acquisitions, joint ventures and new developments may include risks that could have an adverse impact on our business.

  • We make investments in the growth of our business through the development of new facilities, the improvement of existing facilities, the acquisition of assets or securities of other businesses and through joint venture arrangements. Read more

    The realization of the expected benefits of these investments is based in part on our ability to cost effectively execute our development plans and, in certain instances, to integrate these investments with our business operations. If we fail to execute our development plans in a cost effective or timely manner or fail to integrate the investments with our existing operations, our internal controls over financial reporting or our information systems, we may experience increases in costs of operations, loss of customers or suppliers, difficulties servicing our debt obligations and our financial performance may not meet shareholder expectations. In addition,…

  • Our investments in joint ventures include investments in companies that we may not control. Read more

    The performance of these investments may change as a result of decisions that are made by our joint venture partners who have control over these joint ventures. In addition, we may be obligated under the joint venture arrangement to assume certain costs, perform certain services or make additional capital investments. If we are unable to realize the benefits of our joint venture and other investments, our business, our operating results and the financial condition of our business could be materially adversely affected.

No longer in the text (1)

  • Enacted regulatory developments regarding the reporting and use of “conflict minerals” mined from the Democratic Republic of the Congo and adjoining countries could affect the sourcing, availability and price of minerals used in the manufacture of certain of our products. As a result, there may only be a limited pool of suppliers who provide conflict-free materials, and we cannot give assurance that we will be able to obtain such products in sufficient quantities or at competitive prices. Also, because our supply chains are complex, we may face reputational challenges with our customers and other stakeholders if we are unable to sufficiently verify the origins of all materials used in the products that we sell. The compliance and reporting aspects of these regulations may result in incremental costs to the company.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2025 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Can shipment growth by region (global shipments +4.3% in Q2 2026).
  • Delivery on the 2026 outlook: comparable diluted EPS growth of 10%+ and free cash flow over $900M.
  • Share repurchases (about $600M planned for 2026) and the leadership changes under CEO Ron Lewis.

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 11, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:06 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-19

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Ball Corporation’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.