KabuDo

NASDAQ: BKNG · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Booking Holdings Inc.

Booking Holdings runs Booking.com — the world's leading online accommodation booking brand by room nights, with about 4.4 million properties — plus Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK and OpenTable. It earns commissions and margins on hotel, home, flight, car and activity bookings, plus advertising. In 2025 travelers booked $186 billion through its platforms (+12%), producing revenue of $26.9 billion (+13%) and net income of $5.4 billion. Revenue is shifting from agency (the hotel collects payment) to merchant (Booking collects payment). Heavy buybacks have left shareholders' equity negative. In April 2026 Booking split its stock 25-for-1; per-share figures on this page are split-adjusted. In Europe it is regulated as a gatekeeper under the Digital Markets Act.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 11, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 18, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1810-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-03

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
31.7%

Higher than 95% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
32.8%

Higher than 86% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+44.1 pts

Higher than 96% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.2x

Higher than 22% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.74x

Higher than 60% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
1 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
18.9x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.07

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$170.38close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$135.85B

P/E today
18.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 32.3x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
14.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 18.2x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
6.7%

At FY2025 year-end: 5.3%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.2%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↓ −1.3%$9.01B → $8.89B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −0.2 pts38.7% → 38.4% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −1.1%$2.75B → $2.72B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −8.1%$17.21B → $15.81B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −0.6%$20.18B → $20.06B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 3, 2026.

Key changes

  • Repurchased $2.1B of stock in the quarter. Source sentence
    Stock Repurchase Program ● We repurchased $2.1 billion (excluding excise taxes) of our common stock in the quarter ended September 30, 2026 with a total remaining authorization of $12.4 billion as of September 30, 2026.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Booking Holdings Inc.
Headquarters
NORWALK, CT
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: BKNG
Industry
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
CIK
1075531

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    24,300

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 49–53 days after quarter end (Feb 18, 2026; Feb 20, 2025; Feb 22, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 28–53 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 3, 2026 (+34 days)Nov 3, 2026 10-Q (+34 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 4, 2026 (+35 days)Aug 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 28, 2026 (+28 days)Apr 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 18, 2026 (+49 days)Feb 18, 2026 10-K (+49 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 28, 2025 (+28 days)Oct 28, 2025 10-Q (+28 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 29, 2025 (+29 days)Jul 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 29, 2025 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 20, 2025 (+51 days)Feb 20, 2025 10-K (+51 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 1, 2024 (+32 days)Aug 1, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 2, 2024 (+32 days)May 2, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 22, 2024 (+53 days)Feb 22, 2024 10-K (+53 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Travel

    Booking.com

    Examples: Hotels, homes, flights, cars, attractions

    About 500,000 hotels and 3.9 million homes and other places to stay; flights in over 55 markets.

  • Travel

    Priceline

    Examples: Hotels, flights, cars, vacation packages

    Primarily U.S. travelers.

  • Travel

    Agoda

    Examples: Hotels, homes, flights, activities

    Asia-focused.

  • Meta-search

    KAYAK

    Examples: Travel price comparison

    Advertising-based.

  • Restaurants

    OpenTable

    Examples: Restaurant reservations

    Fees from restaurants.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Booking.com (online accommodation reservations)

    Worldwide, by room nights booked

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    World's leading brand

    Company-disclosed

    The 10-K calls Booking.com "the world's leading brand for booking online accommodation reservations, based on room nights booked"; no percentage is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

FY2025 from the 10-K, and 2026 events from the Q2 earnings release and 8-Ks.

  1. 25-for-1 stock split

    Effective April 2, 2026; trading on a split-adjusted basis from April 6.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-04-02

  2. Q2 2026 results

    Room nights +5%, gross bookings $51.0B (+9%), revenue $7.4B (+8%), GAAP EPS $2.53.

    Source: Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K filed 2026-08-04)

  3. Debt issuance

    $750M of 5.375% notes due 2036 and €1.9B of euro notes in May 2026, after €1.5B in November 2025.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2025-11-07, 2026-05-07 and 2026-05-11

  4. Board and finance

    Former NXP CEO Kurt Sievers joined the board; a new Chief Accounting Officer started April 29, 2026.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2026-04-01 and 2026-04-02

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.52x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$322M ÷ $623M = 0.52x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$1.19B

Latest year: $0

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $286M in FY2020 to $322M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$26.92B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+31.7%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($26,917M ÷ $6,796M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 31.7%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

32.8%▲favorable

+42.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$8,825M ÷ $26,917M × 100 = 32.8%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

—▼caution

6-year average: 30.2%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

—

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

18.2x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($170,803M + $18,736M − $17,203M) ÷ ($8,825M + $623M) = 18.2x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +31.7% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $6.8B in FY2020 to $26.92B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -9.3% → 32.8%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +42.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is -19.1% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 5 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 30.2% over 6 years (latest: —)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Connects travelers with hotels, home rentals, airlines, car rental firms and activity providers worldwide, and restaurants through OpenTable; KAYAK is a meta-search site.

How money and goods flow at Booking Holdings Inc.
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 4.4 million properties on Booking.com
    • Performance and brand marketing
    • About 24,300 employees, mostly outside the U.S.
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Search, booking and payments
    • Loyalty programs (Genius)
    • Gen AI features
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Travelers worldwide
    • Hotels and other travel service providers (partners)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Merchant revenue (Booking collects payment)
    • Agency commissions
    • Advertising (KAYAK) and OpenTable fees

How the business makes money

  • 2025 revenue: merchant $17.8B (+25.5%), agency $8.0B (-6.5%), advertising and other $1.2B.
  • Room nights 1.24 billion (+8%); airline tickets 68 million (+37%).
  • Revenue equaled 14.5% of gross bookings.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Booking pays payment fees and is affected by the 2025 tax law.

  • Government funding & tax credits

    2025 tax law

    The July 2025 OBBBA changed international, foreign tax credit and domestic tax provisions.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Card interchange fees

    Pays interchange and other fees on card payments, which may increase.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Merchant revenues

    17,755 (66%)
  • Agency revenues

    7,968 (30%)
  • Advertising and other revenues

    1,194 (4%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, revenues Booking has one reportable segment; these are its revenue types.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

Outside the U.S. — 90% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    2,579 (10%)
  • Outside the U.S.

    24,338 (90%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 17, geographic information Classified by where each business is based, not where travelers live: all of Booking.com and Agoda counts as outside the U.S. ($21.7B attributed to a Netherlands entity).

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Booking earns either a commission paid by the travel provider (agency) or collects the traveler's payment and keeps a margin (merchant). Merchant now dominates as Booking.com shifts toward handling payments.

  • Merchant bookings

    $17.8B (66% of 2025 revenue)

    Typical term: Booking collects payment from travelers and pays providers

    Merchant gross bookings $130.0B (+24.8%).

  • Agency bookings

    $8.0B (30%)

    Typical term: Commission billed to the travel provider

    Agency gross bookings $56.1B (-8.7%).

  • Advertising and other

    $1.2B (4%)

    Typical term: KAYAK advertising, OpenTable fees

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Travelers worldwide; hotels, airlines and other providers also pay commissions.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • Booking operates in over 220 countries and territories and in over 40 languages. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

Suppliers

Accommodation and travel service providers, plus search engines and other channels for marketing.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Booking's 10-K says it competes with online travel, restaurant reservation and meta-search services; large search, social and marketplace companies; travel providers selling direct; Gen AI assistants and agents; traditional agencies and tour operators; financial services companies; and travel software providers. It names no companies.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Booking's 10-K lists types of competitors but doesn't name them.

Peer group the company chose

2025 Compensation Peer Group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Sixteen companies with revenue of roughly half to twice Booking's, plus leading e-commerce and technology companies that compete for executive talent.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-21) — Compensation Peer Group

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue6,79610,95817,09021,36523,73926,917
Operating income-6312,4965,1025,8357,5558,825
Pretax income5671,4653,9235,4817,2926,832
Net income (attributable)591,1653,0584,2895,8825,404
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—61.2%56.0%25.0%11.1%13.4%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-9.3%22.8%29.9%27.3%31.8%32.8%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1000.9%10.6%17.9%20.1%24.8%20.1%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets21,87423,64125,36124,34227,70829,264
Total equity4,8936,1782,782-2,744-4,020-5,578
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable12,01410,92612,48514,18416,59818,736
Equity ratio22.4%26.1%11.0%-11.3%-14.5%-19.1%
ROE1.2%21.0%68.3%———
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF852,8206,5547,3448,3239,409
Investing CF2,637-998-5181,486129-313
Financing CF1,528-1,239-4,897-8,909-4,204-8,915
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-2012,5166,1866,9997,8949,087
Cash and equivalents10,56211,12712,22112,10716,16417,203
Per share & other
EPS ($)0.061.133.054.706.916.62
BVPS ($)4.786.022.94-3.19-4.88-7.00
Dividend per share ($)————0.350.38
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100————5.1%5.8%
P/E (x)1,546.785.226.430.228.832.3
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)—33.713.819.620.118.2
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share18.6415.9527.43———

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet income
2026-09-30$8.89B-1.3%$3.42B-1.9%$2.72B-1.1%
2026-06-30$7.35B+8.1%$2.5B+11.1%$1.95B+117.9%
2026-03-31$5.53B+16.2%$1.27B+19.7%$1.08B+225.2%
2025-12-31 †$6.35B+16.0%$2.03B+17.4%$1.43B+33.7%
2025-09-30$9.01B$3.48B$2.75B
2025-06-30$6.8B$2.25B$895M
2025-03-31$4.76B$1.06B$333M
2024-12-31 †$5.47B$1.73B$1.07B

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

54.5%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$8,825M × (1 − 20.5%) ÷ $12,868M × 100 = 54.5%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

10.44%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $170.8B ÷ ($170.8B + $18.74B) = 90.1%

e.g.Debt weight: $18.74B ÷ ($170.8B + $18.74B) = 9.9%

e.g.WACC: 10.8% × 90.1% + 8.6% × (1 − 20.5%) × 9.9% = 10.44%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+44.1pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 5 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 8.7%–12.6% and ROIC − WACC runs +41.9 to +45.9 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 10.44% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.07 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.84%
Cost of debt
8.63%
Tax rate
20.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
90% : 10%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 10.44%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.07 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.11, R² 0.28, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.109 + 0.33 = 1.073

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.84%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.07 × 5.5% = 10.8%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$170.8B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$18.74B
Cost of debt8.63%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)90% : 10%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

3.8%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 10.4% − 6.6%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+31.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $9.09B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $137.39B = market cap $135.85B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $18.74B − cash and short-term investments $17.2B; r = WACC of 10.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.07, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$137.68B

FCF $9.09B ÷ (10.4% − 3.8%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r8.4%9.4%10.4%11.4%12.4%
0%0.79x0.70x0.64x0.58x0.53x
2%1.03x0.89x0.79x0.70x0.64x
4%1.50x1.22x1.03x0.89x0.79x
6%2.76x1.95x1.50x1.22x1.03x
8%16.54x4.72x2.76x1.95x1.50x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.81x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -14.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 129%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-18

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$9,409M ÷ $5,404M = 1.74x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$8,825M ÷ $6,832M × 100 = 129%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
95.9%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
4.1%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
110 of 416

1 = most institutional; 26% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.07

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 720.9M shares reported by 1,921 13F filers ÷ 751.4M shares outstanding on 2026-07-27. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-21 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-27)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale leader

    Booking.com is the world's leading online accommodation booking brand by room nights; record 1.24 billion room nights in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  2. 2. High profitability and cash

    Operating income $8.8B on $26.9B of revenue and $9.4B of operating cash flow in 2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Capital returns

    A new $20B buyback authorization in 2025 and dividends paid since 2024.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 5; SEC EDGAR XBRL

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Negative shareholders' equity

    Buybacks pushed equity to -$5.6B at year-end 2025 while debt rose to $18.7B.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Currency exposure

    Most revenue is earned outside the U.S.; 2025 other income included $1.5B of foreign currency transaction losses.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Note 18

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

32.3x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

0.18%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

6%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

5.3%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Compounding travel platform

    Revenue grew from $11.0B (2021) to $26.9B (2025) with rising margins and cash flow returned through buybacks and dividends.

    What has to hold
    Travel demand and Booking's share keep growing.
    The other side
    AI assistants and big tech could change how travelers search and book.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Form 10-K (FY2025)

These summarize facts in Booking's filings, not a recommendation.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

9.2x

$17.2B vs. $1.88B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

5.5x

$8.83B vs. $1.62B

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

7.3x

$9.09B vs. $1.25B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating incomeNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Cash

    $17.2B of cash at year-end 2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  • Cash generation

    Q2 2026 free cash flow $3.6B (+16%).

    Source: Q2 2026 earnings release

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
3
24
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Big tech and AI agents

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competitors include the largest global technology companies, search and social platforms, and companies offering Gen AI assistants and agents; the 10-K notes Gen AI lowers the cost of launching competing offerings.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Gen AI features, Connected Trip and Genius loyalty.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Law & regulation

    European regulation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Designated a gatekeeper under the EU Digital Markets Act and Booking.com a Very Large Online Platform under the DSA; Spain's CNMC fined Booking.com and restricted some practices in 2024 (under appeal, payment suspended).
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Compliance programs; appeal in Spain.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Demand & macro

    Travel demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Results depend on travel demand, which geopolitical and macroeconomic events can disrupt.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Global diversification across regions and verticals.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4FX & interest rates

    Foreign exchange

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Most revenue is in currencies other than the dollar; FX moves affect reported results and caused large transaction losses in 2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    We generally enter into foreign currency exchange derivatives to hedge our exposure to the impact of movements in foreign currency exchange rates on our transactional balances denominated in currencies other than the functional currency.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • We operate in highly competitive and rapidly evolving global markets for travel and restaurant reservation services. Read more

    Barriers to entry are low, and we compete with online travel companies ("OTCs"), travel service providers offering direct booking (such as airlines, hotels, and rental car companies), traditional travel agencies and operators, companies offering travel-related software, payments, or technology solutions, financial services and credit card companies, and global technology companies with significantly greater scale, data, and financial resources. For example, Google links travel search to its dominant search engine and has integrated travel products into Google Maps and its Gemini generative AI ("Gen AI") offering. Other large technology platforms and AI-native competitors are developing Gen AI-powered assistants and agents that can search, compare, recommend, and…

  • A significant portion of consumer traffic to our services is derived from third-party platforms, including Google and other search engines, mobile operating systems, app marketplaces, mapping services, and other digital distribution channels. These platforms increasingly incorporate Gen AI features, such as AI-generated answers, assistants, and recommendations, that may satisfy user intent without directing users to our services or may favor the platform's own or affiliated offerings.

  • Changes in algorithms, ranking methodologies, user interfaces, access terms, pricing, or the placement of AI-generated content by these platforms could reduce the visibility of our services, increase customer acquisition costs, or decrease traffic and bookings. In addition, platform providers may restrict data access, limit interoperability, or impose commercial terms that disadvantage us relative to competing or native AI-enabled services.

  • If we are unable to maintain favorable placement, access, or economics across traditional digital search as well as evolving AI-mediated distribution channels, our distribution of travel and restaurant reservations through such third-party distribution channels is likely to decline and our business, competitive position, and results of operations could be adversely affected.

  • Alternative accommodation rules and regulations are complex, evolving, can be inconsistent among individual localities, and could limit or negatively affect property owners' and managers' ability to rent properties. Read more

    For example, in conjunction with the

  • During fiscal year 2025, as a result of our annual goodwill impairment test, we recognized goodwill and intangible assets impairment charges. Read more

    See Note 11 to our Consolidated Financial Statements. The estimation of fair value reflects numerous assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including key assumptions regarding expected growth rates and operating margin, discount rates, and market comparables. It requires significant judgments and estimates and actual results could be materially different than the judgments and estimates used to estimate fair value. Future events and changing market conditions may lead us to re-evaluate our current assumptions and may result in a need to recognize an additional goodwill or long-lived asset impairment charge that could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.

  • We are committed to the enhancement of our operational systems and we face risks deploying information technology, payment processing, enterprise resource planning, and other systems as such initiatives are resource-intensive, may cause operational disruption and could affect our results of operations. Inability to successfully implement or adapt these technologies in a timely manner could adversely affect our business or results of operations.

  • Competition and consumer-law-related investigations, legislation, judgments, or issues have in the past resulted in and could in the future result in private litigation. Read more

    We are currently involved in such litigation and aware of such potential litigation. For example, a Dutch consumer group has filed a claim against Booking.com relating to the historical use of contractual parity provisions, as well as allegations that Booking.com and Agoda employed misleading practices, and we are aware of similar efforts to pursue potential claims in other jurisdictions. See Note 16 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for more information regarding this and other such claims or potential claims. Class action litigation can be time-consuming, costly, and unpredictable, regardless of merit, and there may be evolving jurisprudence and less experience with such matters in certain of the geographies…

No longer in the text (4)

  • Other events beyond our control such as pandemics, terrorist attacks, natural disasters, wars and regional hostilities, travel-related accidents, or increased focus on the environmental impact of travel may disrupt or limit the ability or willingness of travelers to visit certain locations, or result in declines in demand for our travel offerings. Responses to such events by governments or global organizations could restrict travel in ways that could impact our ability to conduct our business. Because these events and their impacts are largely unpredictable, they can dramatically and suddenly affect travel behavior by consumers, demand for and provision of our services, and relationships with travel service providers and other partners, any of which can adversely affect our business and results of operations.

  • We compete globally with online and traditional travel and restaurant reservation and related services. Read more

    The markets for the services we offer are intensely competitive and constantly evolving. Current and new competitors launch new services at a relatively low cost. Some of our current and potential competitors include the largest global technology companies, which have significantly more consumers, consumer data, and resources than we do, and may be able to leverage other aspects of their businesses (e.g., search or mobile device businesses or Gen AI and similar or related capabilities) to compete with us. For example, Google's online travel offerings have grown rapidly by linking travel search services to its dominant search functionality through flight, hotel, and alternative accommodations meta-search products, and integrating such products into Google Maps. Similarly, several…

  • We currently, or may in the future, compete with companies that provide a variety of products and services, including:

  • • online platforms, including accommodation and alternative accommodation search or reservation services, travel meta-search, and large online companies including in search, social media, marketplace, Gen AI, and ride-sharing;

11 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Merchant mix and payments growth at Booking.com.
  • Competition from AI assistants and large tech platforms.
  • EU DMA compliance and the Spanish CNMC appeal.
  • Transformation Program savings (about $650M run-rate by end of 2027).

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 11, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 18, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-18

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Booking Holdings Inc.’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.