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NASDAQ: MAR · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Marriott International

Marriott International, based in Bethesda, Maryland, is a worldwide franchisor, operator and licensor of hotel, residential and timeshare properties that owns or leases less than 1% of its system. At year-end 2025 its system had 9,805 properties (1.78 million rooms) in 145 countries and territories, with about 4,100 more properties in the development pipeline, and Marriott managed the employment of about 414,000 associates. Based on industry data, it holds about 17% of the U.S. hotel market and 4% outside the U.S. 2025 revenue was $26,186 million, mostly cost reimbursements; the core is $5,438 million of gross fee revenue (franchise fees $3,325 million, base management fees $1,322 million, incentive fees $791 million). Net income was $2,601 million. Years of buybacks have left stockholders’ equity negative (−$3.8 billion). It added the citizenM brand, and litigation over the 2018 Starwood data breach continues.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 29, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 29, 2026 13:21 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1010-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-02Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
19.9%

Higher than 86% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
15.8%

Higher than 40% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+19.0 pts

Higher than 86% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.7x

Higher than 79% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.23x

Higher than 28% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
3 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
41.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.93

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$417.52close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$111B

P/E today
41.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 32.6x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
29.6x

At FY2025 year-end: 22.9x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
2.3%

At FY2025 year-end: 3.2%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.6%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +8.0%$6.49B → $7.01B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin→ +0.0 pts18.2% → 18.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +9.1%$728M → $794M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +13.9%$2.67 → $3.04 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −1.9%$462M → $453M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt→ +0.0%$23M → $23M (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 2, 2026.

Key changes

  • Q3 RevPAR up 6.5% worldwide. Source sentence
    Third quarter 2026 RevPAR 1 increased 6.5 percent worldwide, with 7.4 percent growth in the U.S. & Canada and 4.4 percent growth in international markets
  • Repurchased 3.5M shares for $1.3B. Source sentence
    The company repurchased 3.5 million shares of common stock for $1.3 billion in the 2026 third quarter .
  • Added about 20,100 net rooms. Source sentence
    The company added roughly 20,100 net rooms globally during the quarter and net rooms grew 4.6 percent from the end of the third quarter of 2025

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/
Headquarters
BETHESDA, MD
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: MAR
Industry
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
CIK
1048286

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    148,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 41–44 days after quarter end (Feb 10, 2026; Feb 11, 2025; Feb 13, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 31–44 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 2, 2026 (+33 days)Nov 2, 2026 10-Q (+33 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 3, 2026 (+34 days)Aug 3, 2026 10-Q (+34 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 6, 2026 (+36 days)May 6, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 10, 2026 (+41 days)Feb 10, 2026 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 4, 2025 (+35 days)Nov 4, 2025 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 5, 2025 (+36 days)Aug 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 6, 2025 (+36 days)May 6, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 11, 2025 (+42 days)Feb 11, 2025 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 4, 2024 (+35 days)Nov 4, 2024 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 1, 2024 (+31 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 13, 2024 (+44 days)Feb 13, 2024 10-K (+44 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Brands

    Luxury

    The Ritz-Carlton, St. Regis, JW Marriott and others.

  • Brands

    Premium and select service

    Marriott, Sheraton, Westin, Courtyard, Residence Inn, Fairfield and others.

  • Brands

    citizenM and City Express

    Newer lifestyle and midscale brands.

  • Loyalty

    Marriott Bonvoy

    Loyalty program and co-branded credit cards.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Hotels

    Hotel rooms

    U.S. share

    ≈17%

    Company-disclosed

    Approximately 17 percent share of the U.S. hotel market (rooms), based on industry data.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Outside U.S.

    ≈4%

    Company-disclosed

    Four percent share of the hotel market outside the U.S.

Sources:

Company-stated shares from the 10-K.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Brand expansion

    Acquired the citizenM brand; up to $110M of earn-outs may be paid.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Data security compliance

    Resolved FTC and 49-state AG matters in 2024 with long-term security requirements.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. Capital return

    Dividends rose to $2.64 per share in 2025; heavy buybacks reduced shares from 326M (2021) to 266M (2025).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

4.17x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$604M ÷ $145M = 4.17x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $135M in FY2020 to $604M in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$26.19B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+19.9%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($26,186M ÷ $10,571M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 19.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

15.8%▲favorable

+15.0pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$4,141M ÷ $26,186M × 100 = 15.8%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

—▼caution

6-year average: 98.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

—

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

22.9x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($82,482M + $16,204M − $358M) ÷ ($4,141M + $145M) = 22.9x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +19.9% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $10.57B in FY2020 to $26.19B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 0.8% → 15.8%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +15.0 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is -13.7% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 98.3% over 6 years (latest: —)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Lets owners operate hotels under Marriott brands (franchising) or manages them for owners, earning fees as a percentage of revenue and profits, plus co-branded credit card and licensing fees; owners bear most property costs.

How money and goods flow at Marriott International
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Portfolio of brands incl. Marriott, Ritz-Carlton, Sheraton, Westin, citizenM
    • Loyalty program (Marriott Bonvoy) and reservation systems
    • ~414,000 associates managed (148,000 employed directly)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Franchising and licensing
    • Hotel management
    • Co-branded credit cards and timeshare licensing
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Hotel owners and franchisees
    • Travelers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Franchise fees $3,325M (2025)
    • Base management fees $1,322M
    • Incentive management fees $791M
    • Cost reimbursement revenue (pass-through)

How the business makes money

  • Development pipeline of ~4,100 properties (~610,000 rooms).
  • Franchise fee growth came partly from co-branded credit card fees.
  • Owns or leases <1% of its system.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Marriott discussed EPA Clean Air Act violations and holds tax credits.

  • Environmental rules

    EPA Clean Air Act

    The EPA offered to engage in settlement discussions over Clean Air Act violations.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • U.S. & Canada

    19,349 (83%)
  • EMEA

    2,407 (10%)
  • Asia Pacific excl. China

    1,073 (5%)
  • Greater China

    590 (3%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Total reportable segment revenue incl. cost reimbursements; consolidated revenue $26,186M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Hotel owners/franchisees and travelers.

Named by the company

No customer concentration.

Suppliers

Hotel owners provide properties; technology and service vendors.

Named by the company

No material supplier is named.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K says Marriott competes with hotel chains, unaffiliated hotels and short-term rental platforms, naming Airbnb and Vrbo.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Peer group from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue10,57113,85720,77323,71325,10026,186
Operating income841,7503,4623,8643,7674,141
Pretax income-4661,1803,1143,3783,1513,394
Net income (attributable)-2671,0992,3583,0832,3752,601
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—31.1%49.9%14.2%5.8%4.3%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1000.8%12.6%16.7%16.3%15.0%15.8%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-2.5%7.9%11.4%13.0%9.5%9.9%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets24,70125,55324,81525,67426,18227,540
Total equity4301,414568-682-2,992-3,771
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable10,37610,13810,06411,87314,44716,204
Equity ratio1.7%5.5%2.3%-2.7%-11.4%-13.7%
ROE-62.1%119.2%237.9%———
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,6391,1772,3633,1702,7493,212
Investing CF35-187-297-465-734-948
Financing CF-1,033-463-2,962-2,864-1,956-2,318
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures1,5049942,0312,7181,9992,608
Cash and equivalents8771,393507338396358
Per share & other
EPS ($)-0.823.347.2410.188.339.51
BVPS ($)1.334.331.83-2.35-10.81-14.18
Dividend per share ($)0.48—1.001.962.412.64
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100——13.8%19.3%28.9%27.8%
P/E (x)—49.520.622.233.532.6
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)128.833.215.619.323.422.9
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share99.5238.1381.42———

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$7.01B+8.0%$1.27B+8.0%$794M+9.1%$3.04
2026-06-30$7.07B+4.8%$1.23B-0.6%$766M+0.4%$2.90
2026-03-31$6.65B+6.2%$1.06B+12.2%$648M-2.6%$2.43
2025-12-31 †$6.69B+4.1%$777M+3.3%$445M-2.2%—
2025-09-30$6.49B$1.18B$728M$2.67
2025-06-30$6.74B$1.24B$763M$2.78
2025-03-31$6.26B$948M$665M$2.39
2024-12-31 †$6.43B$752M$455M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

28.1%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$4,141M × (1 − 19%) ÷ $11,944M × 100 = 28.1%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

9.08%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $82.48B ÷ ($82.48B + $16.2B) = 83.6%

e.g.Debt weight: $16.2B ÷ ($82.48B + $16.2B) = 16.4%

e.g.WACC: 10.1% × 83.6% + 5.0% × (1 − 19%) × 16.4% = 9.08%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+19.0pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 5 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.5%–10.9% and ROIC − WACC runs +17.1 to +20.5 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 9.08% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.93 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.07%
Cost of debt
4.99%
Tax rate
19% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
84% : 16%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 9.08%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.93 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.90, R² 0.26, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.897 + 0.33 = 0.931

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.07%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.93 × 5.5% = 10.1%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$82.48B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$16.2B
Cost of debt4.99%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)84% : 16%

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

7.0%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.1% − 2.1%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+11.6%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+19.9%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $2.61B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $126.85B = market cap $111B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $16.2B − cash and short-term investments $358M; r = WACC of 9.1% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.93, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$124.19B

FCF $2.61B ÷ (9.1% − 7.0%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.98x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.1%8.1%9.1%10.1%11.1%
0%0.29x0.25x0.23x0.20x0.19x
2%0.40x0.34x0.29x0.25x0.23x
4%0.66x0.50x0.40x0.34x0.29x
6%1.87x0.98x0.66x0.50x0.40x
8%—20.56x1.87x0.98x0.66x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.10x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -2.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 122%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$3,212M ÷ $2,601M = 1.23x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$4,141M ÷ $3,394M × 100 = 122%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
62.2%
Directors & officers (shares)
11.4%
Everyone else (est.)
26.4%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
11.4%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
402 of 416

1 = most institutional; 96% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.93

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 162.1M shares reported by 1,745 13F filers ÷ 260.8M shares outstanding on 2026-07-27. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-27)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale

    9,805 properties and ~17% of the U.S. hotel market.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Fee-based model

    Gross fee revenue of $5,438M with minimal capital tied up in hotels.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Growth pipeline

    About 4,100 properties in the development pipeline.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Negative equity

    Stockholders’ deficit of $3.8B after large buybacks; debt about $16.2B.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Cyclical travel demand

    2020 net loss of $267M during the pandemic.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Data breach legacy

    Starwood data breach lawsuits continue.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Note 7, Commitments and Contingencies

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

32.6x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

0.85%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

28%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

3.2%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Asset-light growth

    Fee revenue grows with rooms and RevPAR.

    What has to hold
    Travel demand holds.
    The other side
    Owner economics.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Capital returns

    Buybacks and rising dividend.

    What has to hold
    Fee growth continues.
    The other side
    Negative equity.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue includes large cost reimbursements from managed and franchised hotels, which carry little profit. Book value per share is negative.

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.3x

$358M vs. $1.21B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

5.1x

$4.14B vs. $809M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.6x

$2.61B vs. $718M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-2.5% in FY2024 ($3.86B → $3.77B)Yes, by FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Pandemic recovery

    Revenue recovered from $10,571M (2020) to $26,186M (2025).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
345
2
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Travel demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fees depend on hotel revenues and profits, which fall in downturns.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with hotel chains, independent hotels and short-term rental platforms such as Airbnb and Vrbo.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Information security

    Data security

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The 2018 Starwood breach led to lawsuits and FTC/state orders with long-term requirements.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    With respect to information security incident response, we maintain a Global Information Security & Privacy Incident Response Plan (“IRP”), which applies to information security incidents involving properties owned, leased, or managed by Marriott, as well as our above-property business locations.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4FX & interest rates

    Leverage

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Debt-funded buybacks increase financing costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Geopolitics & supply chain

    International exposure

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Operations in 145 countries and territories.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (1)

  • alleged noncompliance. In addition, uncertainty around cross-border data transfers, including from the U.S., may require us to restrict certain data transfers, cease doing business with certain third parties, or change how data flows throughout our business, any of which could materially impact our operations.

No longer in the text (2)

  • Changes in laws could adversely affect our ability to market our products effectively . Read more

    We rely on a variety of direct marketing techniques, including email marketing, online advertising (including through social media), and postal mailings. Any further legal restrictions under various U.S. federal, state, or international laws, or new international, federal, or state laws on marketing and solicitation or international privacy, e-privacy, and anti-spam laws that govern these activities could adversely affect the continuing effectiveness of email, online advertising (including through social media), and postal mailing techniques and could require changes in our marketing strategy. If this occurs, we may not be able to develop adequate alternative marketing strategies, which could impact the amount and timing of our sales of certain products. We also obtain access to

  • potential guests and customers from travel service providers or other companies with whom we have substantial relationships, and we market to some individuals on these lists directly or by including our marketing message in the other companies’ marketing materials. If access to these lists were to be prohibited or otherwise restricted, our ability to develop new guests and customers and introduce them to our products could be impaired.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2025 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • RevPAR trends by region.
  • Net rooms growth and pipeline conversion.
  • Co-brand credit card fee growth.
  • Data incident litigation.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 29, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 29, 2026 13:21 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-10Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Marriott International’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.