KabuDo

NYSE: RCL · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Royal Caribbean Group

Royal Caribbean Group, based in Miami, owns three global cruise brands—Royal Caribbean (the world’s largest cruise vacation brand), Celebrity Cruises and Silversea—and a 50% stake in TUI Cruises (TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises). With its partner brands it operated 69 ships with about 179,720 berths at end-2025. After pandemic losses in 2020–2022, revenue reached $17,935 million in 2025 and net income $4,268 million (EPS $15.61); passenger tickets are about 70% of revenue and North America itineraries $11,542 million. It reinstated dividends in 2024. On September 23, 2026 it agreed to buy 50% of Sandals and Beaches Resorts for about $3.0 billion in cash.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 1, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 1, 2026 09:55 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1110-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-27Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
52.0%

Higher than 99% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
27.4%

Higher than 77% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+6.0 pts

Higher than 59% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.1x

Higher than 73% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.51x

Higher than 49% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
2 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
19.2x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.26

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$322.55close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$87.22B

P/E today
19.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 17.9x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
8.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 7.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
16.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 14.5x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
1.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 1.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.1%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +8.8%$5.14B → $5.59B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +0.3 pts33.1% → 33.5% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +9.7%$1.58B → $1.73B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +12.4%$5.74 → $6.45 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −2.7%$875M → $851M (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 27, 2026.

Management outlook • Issued

Now expects full-year Adjusted EPS of $17.85–$17.95. Source sentence
The company now expects full year Adjusted EPS to be in the range of $17.85 to $17.95.

Key changes

  • Q3 revenue $5.6B, up 9%. Source sentence
    Total revenue was $5.6 billion, a 9% increase year over year.
  • Net Yields up 0.9%. Source sentence
    Net Yields increased 0.9% as-reported and 0.6% in Constant Currency, driven by better-than-expected close-in demand in Europe and the Caribbean.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD
Headquarters
MIAMI, FL
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: RCL
Industry
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
CIK
884887

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    108,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 28–32 days after quarter end (Jan 29, 2026; Jan 28, 2025; Feb 1, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 25–32 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 27, 2026 (+27 days)Oct 27, 2026 10-Q (+27 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 28, 2026 (+28 days)Jul 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 30, 2026 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2026 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 29, 2026 (+29 days)Feb 11, 2026 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 28, 2025 (+28 days)Oct 28, 2025 10-Q (+28 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 29, 2025 (+29 days)Jul 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 29, 2025 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 28, 2025 (+28 days)Feb 14, 2025 10-K (+45 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 29, 2024 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2024 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 25, 2024 (+25 days)Jul 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days)Apr 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 1, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 21, 2024 10-K (+52 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Global Brands

    Royal Caribbean

    The world’s largest cruise vacation brand.

  • Global Brands

    Celebrity Cruises

    Premium cruise brand.

  • Global Brands

    Silversea

    Ultra-luxury and expedition cruises.

  • Destinations

    Perfect Day and Royal Beach Club

    Private land-based destinations.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Cruise brand

    Cruise vacations

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    World’s largest brand

    Company-disclosed

    “Royal Caribbean is the world’s largest cruise vacation brand” (no percentage stated).

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Q3 2026 results

    Q3 revenue $5,591M (vs $5,139M); net income attributable to RCL $1,728M (vs $1,575M); diluted EPS $6.45 (vs $5.74).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

  2. Sandals investment

    Agreed to buy 50% of Sandals and Beaches Resorts for about $3.0B in cash.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-09-23) — Item 8.01

  3. Funding

    Issued $2.5B of senior notes in February 2026 and $1.25B in August 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-08-20) — Item 1.01

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

3.04x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$5,229M ÷ $1,718M = 3.04x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.97B in FY2020 to $5.23B in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$17.94B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+52.0%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($17,935M ÷ $2,209M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 52.0%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

27.4%▲favorable

+235.7pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$4,910M ÷ $17,935M × 100 = 27.4%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

48.5%▲favorable

6-year average: -9.4%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

7.51x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$278.92 ÷ $37.12 = 7.51x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

14.5x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($75,426M + $21,345M − $825M) ÷ ($4,910M + $1,718M) = 14.5x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +52.0% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $2.21B in FY2020 to $17.94B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -208.3% → 27.4%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +235.7 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 24.1% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▼

    Free cash flow was positive in 3 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▼

    ROE averaged -9.4% over 6 years (latest: 48.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Sells cruise vacations (tickets, about 70% of revenue) and onboard spending such as beverages and shore excursions, plus private destinations like Perfect Day and Royal Beach Club.

How money and goods flow at Royal Caribbean Group
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 108,000 employees, including about 11,400 full-time shoreside
    • 69 ships (with partner brands), about 179,720 berths
    • New ship orders and private destinations
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Royal Caribbean, Celebrity Cruises and Silversea brands
    • 50% TUI Cruises joint venture
    • Private destinations and pre-/post-cruise packages
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Vacationers worldwide, mainly from North America
    • Travel agencies and direct bookings
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Revenue $17,935M (2025)
    • Passenger tickets about 70%; onboard and other about 30%
    • North America itineraries $11,542M; Europe $2,951M; Asia/Pacific $1,716M

How the business makes money

  • Customer deposits of $5,739M at end-2025.
  • Holds a small share of a $2T+ vacation market (company view).
  • Sandals and Beaches 50% stake agreed September 2026.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Royal Caribbean faces tariffs, sanctions and Clean Water Act rules.

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs and trade rules

    Tariffs and trade sanctions can affect its supply chain.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Clean Water Act and ship rules

    The Clean Water Act governs discharges in U.S. waters.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • North America

    11,542 (64%)
  • Europe

    2,951 (16%)
  • Asia/Pacific

    1,716 (10%)
  • Other Regions

    862 (5%)
  • Other revenues

    864 (5%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) One reportable segment; revenue by itinerary, total $17,935M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Joint venture

    TUI Cruises

    50% joint venture operating TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Sandals and Beaches Resorts

    Definitive agreements (September 23, 2026) to acquire 50% for about $3.0B in cash, funded by committed Morgan Stanley debt.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-09-23) — Item 8.01

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Vacationers, mainly North American.

Named by the company

No single customer is named as material.

Suppliers

Shipyards, fuel and food suppliers.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K names its principal cruise competitors and notes competition from land-based vacations.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Compensation peer group from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue2,2091,5328,84013,90016,48417,935
Operating income-4,602-3,870-7662,8784,1064,910
Pretax income———1,7112,9414,373
Net income (attributable)-5,797-5,260-2,1561,6972,8774,268
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—-30.6%477.0%57.2%18.6%8.8%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-208.3%-252.6%-8.7%20.7%24.9%27.4%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-262.5%-343.3%-24.4%12.2%17.5%23.8%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets32,46532,25833,77635,13137,07041,619
Total equity8,7615,0872,8694,8997,73510,245
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable19,32921,09023,39121,45220,07621,345
Equity ratio27.0%15.8%8.5%13.4%20.4%24.1%
ROE-66.2%-76.0%-54.2%44.7%46.8%48.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF-3,732-1,8784814,4775,2656,465
Investing CF-2,179-2,145-2,987-3,923-3,446-5,012
Financing CF9,3503,0411,741-1,993-1,922-1,018
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-5,697-4,108-2,2295801,9971,236
Cash and equivalents3,6842,7021,935497388825
Per share & other
EPS ($)-27.05-20.89-8.456.3110.9415.61
BVPS ($)36.9019.9611.2418.4228.1337.12
Dividend per share ($)0.78—0.000.000.953.50
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100———0.0%8.7%22.4%
P/E (x)———20.521.117.9
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)——53.212.514.314.5
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share2.023.854.407.038.207.51

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$5.59B+8.8%$1.87B+9.9%$1.73B+9.7%$6.45
2026-06-30$4.83B+6.5%$1.31B-1.7%$1.13B-6.8%$4.20
2026-03-31$4.45B+11.3%$1.16B+23.0%$941M+28.9%$3.48
2025-12-31 †$4.26B+13.3%$934M+49.9%$753M+36.4%—
2025-09-30$5.14B$1.7B$1.58B$5.74
2025-06-30$4.54B$1.33B$1.21B$4.41
2025-03-31$4B$945M$730M$2.70
2024-12-31 †$3.76B$623M$552M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

16.3%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$4,910M × (1 − 1.5%) ÷ $29,701M × 100 = 16.3%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

10.27%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $75.43B ÷ ($75.43B + $21.35B) = 77.9%

e.g.Debt weight: $21.35B ÷ ($75.43B + $21.35B) = 22.1%

e.g.WACC: 11.9% × 77.9% + 4.6% × (1 − 1.5%) × 22.1% = 10.27%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+6.0pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 3 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 8.6%–12.3% and ROIC − WACC runs +4.0 to +7.7 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 10.27% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.26 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
11.88%
Cost of debt
4.65%
Tax rate
1.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
78% : 22%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 10.27%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.26 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.39, R² 0.22, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.394 + 0.33 = 1.264

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity11.88%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.26 × 5.5% = 11.9%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$75.43B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$21.35B
Cost of debt4.65%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)78% : 22%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

9.1%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 10.3% − 1.1%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+52.0%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.24B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $107.74B = market cap $87.22B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $21.35B − cash and short-term investments $825M; r = WACC of 10.3% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.26, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$103B

FCF $1.24B ÷ (10.3% − 9.1%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.96x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r8.3%9.3%10.3%11.3%12.3%
0%0.14x0.12x0.11x0.10x0.09x
2%0.18x0.16x0.14x0.12x0.11x
4%0.27x0.22x0.18x0.16x0.14x
6%0.50x0.35x0.27x0.22x0.18x
8%3.82x0.88x0.50x0.35x0.27x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.99x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -5.6%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 112%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 47 → 7 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$6,465M ÷ $4,268M = 1.51x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$4,910M ÷ $4,373M × 100 = 112%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($371M + $317M) ÷ 2 ÷ $17,935M × 365 = 7 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($265M + $264M) ÷ 2 ÷ $9,083M × 365 = 11 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
88.8%
Directors & officers (shares)
6.5%
Everyone else (est.)
4.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
6.5%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
212 of 416

1 = most institutional; 51% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.26

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 237.4M shares reported by 1,228 13F filers ÷ 267.5M shares outstanding on 2026-07-24. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-17 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-24)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale leader

    Royal Caribbean is the world’s largest cruise vacation brand.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Strong recovery

    Net income rose from −$5,797M (2020) to $4,268M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Cash generation

    Operating cash flow of $6,465M in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Heavy debt

    Interest-bearing debt of $21,345M at end-2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Large capex

    Capex rose to $5,229M in 2025 for new ships.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Pandemic vulnerability

    Revenue fell to $1,532M in 2021 with large losses.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

17.9x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.25%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

22%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

1.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Profit recovery and returns

    EPS $15.61 in 2025; dividend $3.50 per share in 2025.

    What has to hold
    Demand stays strong.
    The other side
    Leverage and cyclicality.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Vacation ecosystem expansion

    Private destinations and land resorts (Sandals).

    What has to hold
    Guests spend more across the ecosystem.
    The other side
    Integration and price paid.

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-09-23) — Item 8.01

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.3x

$825M vs. $3.18B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

4.9x

$4.91B vs. $992M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

1.5x

$1.24B vs. $824M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-30.6% in FY2021 ($2.21B → $1.53B)Yes, by FY2022
Operating incomeNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Liquidity through the pandemic

    Debt rose from $19,329M (2020) to $23,391M (2022) during the loss years, then fell to $21,345M by 2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
Med
5
1234
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Vacation demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Industry capacity growth without demand growth could depress prices.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Funding & liquidity

    Leverage

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Debt-funded ships and the Sandals investment.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Raw materials & energy

    Fuel costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fuel was 6.4% of 2025 revenue.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    On a regular basis, we enter into foreign currency forward contracts, interest rate swaps, fuel swaps and options with third-party institutions in over-the-counter markets.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Competition & technology shift

    Cruise and land competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with Carnival, NCLH, MSC, Disney, Viking, Virgin and land-based vacations.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  5. 5Law & regulation

    Havana Docks

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Helms-Burton case remanded by the Supreme Court in May 2026.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (6)

  • These projects increase the complexity of our business and require significant levels of investment to develop. Read more

    In addition, we face greater exposure to certain key risks depending on the scope, location, and the ownership and management structure of these projects. Development activities may be delayed or adversely affected by construction challenges, supply chain disruptions, weather events, labor availability, environmental or site-specific conditions, and delays in obtaining or maintaining permits, any of which could adversely affect our ability to complete our projects as planned. We may also face opposition or challenges from non-governmental organizations (NGOs), community groups, or other stakeholders, including claims related to environmental impact, cultural heritage, or land use. Such challenges may result in litigation, administrative proceedings, reputational harm, or…

  • Once operational, these projects are also subject to ongoing regulatory, labor and political risks in foreign jurisdictions, including changes in government policies, tax or regulatory regimes, any of which could disrupt operations or increase costs. These projects can also strain our management, personnel, operations and systems.

  • There can be no assurance that we will declare or pay dividends in the future or that we will repurchase shares pursuant to our share repurchase program consistent with historical amounts or at all.

  • Although we currently pay a quarterly cash dividend and we have adopted a share repurchase program, we are not obligated to pay cash dividends or to repurchase a specified number or dollar value of shares under share repurchase program or at all. The declaration and payment of any future dividends is at the discretion of our Board of Directors. The level of dividends and amount, timing, and purchases under our share repurchase program, if any, are influenced by many factors and may fluctuate based on our operating results, cash flows, and priorities for the use of cash, and the market price of common stock. In addition,

  • we cannot guarantee that our share repurchase program will be fully consummated or that it will enhance long-term shareholder value.

  • As global technology‑related regulatory frameworks continue to evolve, our use of these technologies may subject us to additional compliance obligations, including restrictions on the usage of certain technologies or additional requirements on data usage and transparency. Compliance with these regulations could increase our compliance costs, expose us to regulatory enforcement or legal liability, constrain our ability to implement or expand technology‑based solutions, or otherwise affect the timing and effectiveness of our initiatives. In addition, emerging technologies may not always perform as intended, may generate inaccurate outputs, or may depend on third‑party systems that we do not control. Any such operational deficiencies could impair the performance of systems that support key business functions, disrupt guest‑facing experiences, or subject us to legal liability, which could…

No longer in the text (2)

  • Our dividend policy may change without notice and any payment of dividends in the future is subject to the discretion of our Board of Directors.

  • Although we currently pay a quarterly cash dividend to holders of our common stock, we may change our dividend policy at any time. Read more

    The decision to declare and pay dividends on our common stock will be made at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend on a number of factors, including our profitability at the time, cash available for those dividends, and other factors as our board of directors may consider relevant.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 14, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Closing of the Sandals investment.
  • Yields and booking trends.
  • Havana Docks remand in the 11th Circuit.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 1, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 1, 2026 09:55 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-11Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Royal Caribbean Group’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.