NYSE: HLT · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Hilton Worldwide
Hilton, based in McLean, Virginia, is one of the largest global hospitality companies, with 9,158 properties and 1,351,351 rooms in 143 countries and territories at the end of 2025. It mainly manages and franchises hotels owned by others under luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service and all-suites brands, and also leases some hotels. Management and franchise fees were $3,575 million in 2025 and ownership revenue $1,233 million; total revenues, including $7,085 million of cost reimbursements, rose 8% to $12,039 million and net income attributable to Hilton was $1,457 million. Its Hilton Honors loyalty program reached 243 million members (+15%), and the development pipeline held 3,703 hotels with 520,500 rooms. Heavy buybacks have left stockholders’ equity negative.
Last updated
Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 04:09 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026
Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1110-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-27Proxy statement (2026)
Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.
01
At a glanceFrom SEC data
Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.
- Revenue growthCAGRSmooths out year-to-year swings into "grew X% a year on average." Makes growth pace comparable across companies of very different sizes.
- 22.8%
- Operating marginOperating marginHow many cents of operating profit are left per dollar of revenue. Reflects pricing power and cost structure.
- 22.4%
- ROIC minus WACCROIC − WACC spreadThe difference between ROIC and WACC. Consistently positive implies value creation; consistently negative implies value destruction.
- +20.3 pts
- Net debt ÷ EBITDAEBITDAOperating income with D&A added back. A rough proxy for cash-generating power that’s less distorted by capital intensity, depreciation method, or financing/tax differences than net income.
- 4.0x
- Cash conversionOperating CF ÷ net income (cash conversion)How much of reported profit shows up as actual cash. 1x or higher means profit is backed by cash.
- 1.46x
- Dividend raisesDividend per shareTotal annual dividend paid per share (sum of all declared payments for the year).
- 0 of 5
- P/E todayP/EShare price ÷ EPS — how many years of current earnings the stock price represents. This site uses the period-end figure as reported in the filing.
- 49.7x
- Betaβ (beta)How much a stock moves, on average, for a 1% move in the overall market. Above 1 means more volatile than the market, which raises the return shareholders require. This site computes it from about 2.5 years (roughly 130 weeks) of weekly returns, built from Yahoo Finance daily prices, regressed against an S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy, then applies the well-known long-run mean-reversion adjustment (0.67 × β + 0.33) as the WACC default.
- 0.86
Higher than 90% of 372 non-financial companies
Average yearly growth over the years shown
Higher than 62% of 311 non-financial companies
Latest fiscal year (FY2025)
Higher than 87% of 311 non-financial companies
Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost
Higher than 81% of 304 non-financial companies
Below 0 means more cash than debt
Higher than 44% of 349 non-financial companies
Operating cash flow ÷ net income
Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5
Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30
Above 1 = moves more than the market
Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.
02
Valuation todayFrom SEC data
Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.
Share price$366.85close on 2026-11-04
Market cap$84.53B
- P/EP/EShare price ÷ EPS — how many years of current earnings the stock price represents. This site uses the period-end figure as reported in the filing. today
- 49.7x
- P/BP/BShare price ÷ book value per share. Below 1x means the market values the company below its accounting net worth. This site uses the closing price nearest the fiscal year-end and highlights sub-1x readings. today
- —
- EV/EBITDAEV/EBITDAEnterprise value (≈ market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash) as a multiple of EBITDA — roughly, "how many years of EBITDA to buy the whole company." Lower is generally viewed as cheaper, and it’s more comparable than P/E across companies with different debt loads or depreciation policies. This site excludes noncontrolling interests from the EV calculation. today
- 33.4x
- FCF yieldFree cash flow (FCF)Operating CF minus capital expenditures — cash generated by the business after funding its own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. Acquisitions and securities purchases (also in investing CF) are not subtracted, so FCF can be positive in a year when total investing CF exceeds operating CF. today
- 2.4%
- Dividend yieldDividend per shareTotal annual dividend paid per share (sum of all declared payments for the year). today
- 0.2%
At FY2025 year-end: 46.9x
Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30
At FY2025 year-end: —
Book value at FY2025 year-end
At FY2025 year-end: 27.0x
EBITDA for FY2025
At FY2025 year-end: 3.1%
Free cash flow for FY2025
Dividends per share for FY2025
“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.
03
What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data
The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.
Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.
- Net income$420M → $536M (vs. a year earlier)↑ +27.6%$420M → $536M (vs. a year earlier)
- Diluted EPS$1.78 → $2.37 (vs. a year earlier)↑ +33.1%$1.78 → $2.37 (vs. a year earlier)
- Cash$1.01B → $774M (vs. previous quarter-end)↓ −23.3%$1.01B → $774M (vs. previous quarter-end)
Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.
From the earnings release of Oct 27, 2026.
Management outlook • Issued
Projects 2026 system-wide RevPAR growth of 4.0%–4.5%. Source sentence
Full year 2026 system-wide RevPAR is projected to increase between 4.0 percent and 4.5 percent on a comparable and currency neutral basis compared to 2025; full year net income is projected to be between $1,909 million and $1,923 million; full year Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $4,060 million and $4,080 million
Key changes
Q3 RevPAR up 5.8%. Source sentence
System-wide comparable RevPAR increased 5.8 percent, on a currency neutral basis, for the third quarter compared to the same period in 2025
Management and franchise fees up 9.5%. Source sentence
Management and franchise fee revenues increased 9.5 percent compared to the same period in 2025.
Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗
04
Company profileFrom SEC dataShow
- Legal name
- Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
- Headquarters
- MCLEAN, VA
- Incorporated in
- Delaware
- Fiscal year end
- 12/31
- Exchange & ticker
- NYSE: HLT
- Industry
- Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
- CIK
- 1585689
- Website
- https://www.hilton.com/ ↗
- IR page
- https://ir.hilton.com/ ↗
Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)
Employees
182,000
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description
05
Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow
When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.
Next report
Q4 FY2026
Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 37–42 days after quarter end (Feb 11, 2026; Feb 6, 2025; Feb 7, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.
Reporting pattern
- Fiscal year ends around December 31.
- Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
- Earnings releases came 22–42 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
| Quarter | Quarter ended | Earnings release (8-K) | Report filed (10-Q / 10-K) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Oct 27, 2026 (+27 days) | Oct 27, 2026 10-Q (+27 days) |
| Q2 FY2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 28, 2026 (+28 days) | Jul 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days) |
| Q1 FY2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 (+28 days) | Apr 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days) |
| Q4 FY2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | Feb 11, 2026 (+42 days) | Feb 11, 2026 10-K (+42 days) |
| Q3 FY2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 22, 2025 (+22 days) | Oct 22, 2025 10-Q (+22 days) |
| Q2 FY2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | Jul 23, 2025 (+23 days) | Jul 23, 2025 10-Q (+23 days) |
| Q1 FY2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | Apr 29, 2025 (+29 days) | Apr 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days) |
| Q4 FY2024 | Dec 31, 2024 | Feb 6, 2025 (+37 days) | Feb 6, 2025 10-K (+37 days) |
| Q3 FY2024 | Sep 30, 2024 | Oct 23, 2024 (+23 days) | Oct 23, 2024 10-Q (+23 days) |
| Q2 FY2024 | Jun 30, 2024 | Aug 7, 2024 (+38 days) | Aug 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days) |
| Q1 FY2024 | Mar 31, 2024 | Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days) | Apr 24, 2024 10-Q (+24 days) |
| Q4 FY2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | Feb 7, 2024 (+38 days) | Feb 7, 2024 10-K (+38 days) |
Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.
06
Flagship products & servicesSite analysis
Management and franchise
Hilton brand portfolio
Luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites and timeshare brands.
Management and franchise
Hilton Honors
Guest loyalty program with 243 million members; points usable with partners including American Express, airlines and Amazon.
Ownership
Leased and owned hotels
Hotels operated under leases or ownership.
From the Form 10-K, FY2025.
U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services
Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.
Hotels
Global hospitality
U.S. share
—
Not disclosedWorldwide share
One of the largest
Company-disclosed“Hilton is one of the largest global hospitality companies.”
07
Recent strategic focusSite analysis
Recent developments.
2025 results
Total revenues $12,039M (+8%); operating income $2,693M; net income attributable to Hilton $1,457M.
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Q3 2026
Diluted EPS $2.37 (adjusted $2.45); net income $536M; adjusted EBITDA $1,058M; system-wide comparable RevPAR +5.8%. The pipeline reached 543,100 rooms and net unit growth was 6.0%.
Source: Q3 2026 earnings release
Financing
Issued $1B of 5.500% senior notes due 2031 in May 2026, after $1B of 2034 notes in December 2025.
Source: Form 8-K (2026-05-11) — Items 1.01/2.03 $1 billion 5.500% senior notes due 2031
Listing move
Hilton will move its stock listing to Nasdaq under the ticker HLT, effective November 5, 2026.
Source: Q3 2026 earnings release
Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)
0.57x
Below depreciation — investment is being pared back
formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization
e.g.$101M ÷ $177M = 0.57x
termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
M&A spend (6-year total)
$240M
Latest year: $4M
Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired
Where the money goes, over time
Unit: $M. Capex went from $46M in FY2020 to $101M in FY2025
- Capex
- M&A spend
formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization
termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
08
Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data
FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.
Revenue (FY2025)
$12.04B
As reported in the 10-K
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
+22.8%▲favorable
formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1
e.g.($12,039M ÷ $4,307M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 22.8%
termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)
Operating margin (FY2025)
22.4%▲favorable
+32.1pt vs. 5 years ago
formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100
e.g.$2,693M ÷ $12,039M × 100 = 22.4%
ROE (FY2025)
—▼caution
6-year average: —
As reported in the 10-K
P/B (FY2025 end)
—
Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B
EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)
27.0x
formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)
e.g.($66,192M + $12,338M − $918M) ÷ ($2,693M + $177M) = 27.0x
termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)
Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple
- ▲
Revenue grew +22.8% a year over 5 years (strong growth)
From $4.31B in FY2020 to $12.04B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.
- ▲
Operating margin improved: -9.7% → 22.4%
How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +32.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.
- ▼
Equity ratio is -32.1% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)
The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).
- ▲
Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.
09
Business modelSite analysis
Business Model Canvas
The whole company in nine blocks. Left side: how it delivers (partners, activities, resources, costs). Right side: who it serves and how it earns. Every entry comes from the company’s filings shown on this page.
08 · who helps
Key partners
No partners or suppliers named in the filings.
07 · what it does
Key activities
- Hotel franchising and brand licensing
- Hotel management
- Leased hotel ownership
06 · what it draws on
Key resources
- About 182,000 individuals at leased and managed hotels and offices
- Brand portfolio and Hilton Honors (243M members)
- Booking channels and technology
02 · why customers buy
Value propositions
- Hotel brands that attract guests and earn owners returns.
04 · how it keeps them
Customer relationships
- Hilton Honors loyalty program with 243 million members at end-2025.
03 · how it reaches them
Channels
- Franchise and management agreements with hotel owners; its own websites and app for bookings.
01 · who it serves
Customer segments
- Third-party hotel owners
- Hotel guests and Hilton Honors members
- Strategic partners such as credit card issuers
09 · where money goes
Cost structure
FY2025, share of revenue ($12.04B)
- Selling, general & administrative3.3%
- Other operating costs (incl. cost of goods sold)74.4%
Operating profit left: 22.4% of revenue. Depreciation & amortization (inside the costs above): $177M. Capital spending: $101M.
Source: Form 10-K income statement and cash-flow statement (SEC XBRL).
05 · how money comes in
Revenue streams
- Franchise and licensing fees $2,806M
- Base and other management fees $437M
- Incentive management fees $332M
- Ownership $1,233M (2025)
Value propositions, channels and customer relationships: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Earns franchise and licensing fees and base and incentive management fees from third-party hotel owners, plus licensing fees from partners such as co-branded credit cards; owners reimburse hotel-level costs it incurs.
01 what it draws on
Inputs & resources
- About 182,000 individuals at leased and managed hotels and offices
- Brand portfolio and Hilton Honors (243M members)
- Booking channels and technology
02 what it does
Activities
- Hotel franchising and brand licensing
- Hotel management
- Leased hotel ownership
03 who it serves
Customers
- Third-party hotel owners
- Hotel guests and Hilton Honors members
- Strategic partners such as credit card issuers
04 how money comes in
How it earns
- Franchise and licensing fees $2,806M
- Base and other management fees $437M
- Incentive management fees $332M
- Ownership $1,233M (2025)
How the business makes money
- 796 hotels (97,000 rooms) opened in 2025; net additions 702 hotels.
- U.S. revenues $9,523M; all other $2,516M.
- Cost reimbursement revenues ($7,085M) are largely offset by reimbursed expenses.
Government & regulation around the business
Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.
Hilton’s global operations follow anti-bribery laws.
Trade & export rules
Anti-bribery laws
Some operations are subject to non-U.S. laws such as the UK Bribery Act.
Constrains the businessTouches: ActivitiesSource: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Revenue by segment (FY2025)
Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue
Management and franchise
3,575 (74%)Ownership
1,233 (26%)
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Segment revenues ($4,808M); excludes cost reimbursement ($7,085M) and other revenues.
10
Where it earnsSite analysis
Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.
Largest market (FY2025)
United States — 79% of revenue
Revenue by country / region (FY2025)
Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue
United States
9,523 (79%)All other
2,516 (21%)
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Total revenues by geography; no other country above 10%.
11
Contract structureSite analysisShow
Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.
12
Customers & suppliersSite analysis
Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.
Customers
Hotel owners, guests and loyalty partners worldwide.
Named by the company
No customer is named as material.
Suppliers
Hotel owners, technology and distribution partners.
Named by the company
No supplier is named as material.
13
Competitors & peersSite analysis
Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.
On a global scale Hilton’s primary competitors are Accor, Choice Hotels, Hyatt, IHG, Marriott and Wyndham, alongside local and independent hotels and other accommodation rentals.
Competitors named in the 10-K
Global hotel brands
Peer group the company chose
Compensation peer group (17 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.
Hospitality, travel and global consumer brands and restaurants, unchanged after the August 2025 review.
- Hyatt Hotelssite ↗
- Marriott Internationalsite ↗
- Wyndham Hotels & Resortssite ↗
- Booking Holdingssite ↗
- Carnival Corporationsite ↗
- Expedia Groupsite ↗
- Las Vegas Sandssite ↗
- MGM Resortssite ↗
- Royal Caribbean Groupsite ↗
- United Airlinessite ↗
- Wynn Resortssite ↗
- Capital Onesite ↗
- McDonald'ssite ↗
- Nikesite ↗
- Starbuckssite ↗
- Walt Disneysite ↗
- Yum! Brandssite ↗
Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.
14
Six years of financialsFrom SEC data
Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.
Revenue over time
Unit: $M
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
Profit over time (operating → net)
Unit: $M
- Operating income
- Pretax income
- Net income
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
Margins over time
Unit: %
- Operating margin
- Net margin
formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100
formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100
Cash flow over time
Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)
- Operating CF
- Investing CF
- Free CF
formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures
termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
Financial stability & capital efficiency
Unit: %
- Equity ratio
formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)
termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets
formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)
termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity
Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share
Unit: $
- EPS
- Dividend per share
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
| Line item | FY202010-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗ | FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement ($M) | ||||||
| Revenue | 4,307 | 5,788 | 8,773 | 10,235 | 11,174 | 12,039 |
| Operating income | -418 | 1,010 | 2,094 | 2,225 | 2,370 | 2,693 |
| Pretax income | -924 | 560 | 1,734 | 1,692 | 1,783 | 2,072 |
| Net income (attributable) | -715 | 410 | 1,255 | 1,141 | 1,535 | 1,457 |
| Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100 | — | 34.4% | 51.6% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100 | -9.7% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100 | -16.6% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% |
| Balance sheet ($M) | ||||||
| Total assets | 16,755 | 15,441 | 15,512 | 15,401 | 16,522 | 16,774 |
| Total equity | -1,486 | -819 | -1,098 | -2,347 | -3,706 | -5,359 |
| Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable | 10,431 | 8,712 | 8,708 | 9,157 | 10,616 | 12,338 |
| Equity ratio | -8.9% | -5.3% | -7.1% | -15.3% | -22.6% | -32.1% |
| Cash flow ($M) | ||||||
| Operating CF | 708 | 109 | 1,681 | 1,946 | 2,013 | 2,129 |
| Investing CF | -107 | -57 | -123 | -305 | -446 | -190 |
| Financing CF | 2,032 | -1,793 | -1,765 | -2,040 | -1,045 | -2,348 |
| Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures | 662 | 74 | 1,642 | 1,795 | 1,917 | 2,028 |
| Cash and equivalents | 3,218 | 1,427 | 1,209 | 800 | 1,301 | 918 |
| Per share & other | ||||||
| EPS ($) | -2.58 | 1.46 | 4.53 | 4.33 | 6.14 | 6.12 |
| BVPS ($) | -5.37 | -2.94 | -4.11 | -9.31 | -15.41 | -23.38 |
| Dividend per share ($) | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100 | — | 0.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| P/E (x) | — | 106.8 | 27.9 | 42.1 | 40.3 | 46.9 |
| EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization) | — | 42.4 | 18.3 | 23.0 | 27.5 | 27.0 |
Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.
Last 8 quarters
Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | Diluted EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | — | $909M+17.0% | $536M+27.6% | $2.37 |
| 2026-06-30 | — | $858M+10.3% | $482M+9.5% | $2.10 |
| 2026-03-31 | — | $678M+26.5% | $385M+28.3% | $1.66 |
| 2025-12-31 † | — | $602M+23.1% | $297M-41.2% | — |
| 2025-09-30 | — | $777M | $420M | $1.78 |
| 2025-06-30 | — | $778M | $440M | $1.84 |
| 2025-03-31 | — | $536M | $300M | $1.23 |
| 2024-12-31 † | — | $489M | $505M | — |
† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.
15
Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data
ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.
ROIC (FY2025)
29.1%
formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)
e.g.$2,693M × (1 − 25%) ÷ $6,945M × 100 = 29.1%
termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity
WACC (this site’s estimate)
8.75%
formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight
e.g.Equity weight: $66.19B ÷ ($66.19B + $12.34B) = 84.3%
e.g.Debt weight: $12.34B ÷ ($66.19B + $12.34B) = 15.7%
e.g.WACC: 9.7% × 84.3% + 5.0% × (1 − 25%) × 15.7% = 8.75%
termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization
How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.3%–10.6% and ROIC − WACC runs +18.5 to +21.8 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.
WACC 8.75% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
- β
- 0.86 (price-derived adjusted beta)
- Equity risk premium
- 5.5%
- Cost of equity
- 9.68%
- Cost of debt
- 5.03%
- Tax rate
- 25% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
- Capital structure (equity : debt)
- 84% : 16%
ROIC over time, vs. WACC
Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red
- ROIC (above WACC)
- ROIC (below WACC)
- WACC 8.75%
formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)
termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity
formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight
termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization
Try different WACC assumptions
β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).
Initial β: 0.85 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.78, R² 0.28, 130 weeks)
formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)
e.g.0.67 × 0.784 + 0.33 = 0.855
termsβ (beta)
Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.
formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium
e.g.5.0% + 0.86 × 5.5% = 9.7%
termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)
formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)
formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)
16
What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data
A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.
Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)
6.6%
Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 8.8% − 2.1%
Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)
+25.1%
Compound annual rate, 5 years
Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)
+22.8%
Compound annual rate, 5 years
Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $2.03B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $95.95B = market cap $84.53B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $12.34B − cash and short-term investments $918M; r = WACC of 8.8% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.86, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).
Three WACC scenarios
The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.
Try your own assumptions
V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.
Theoretical enterprise value
$92.18B
FCF $2.03B ÷ (8.8% − 6.6%)
Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value
0.96x
Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did
How sensitive the answer is
Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.
| g \ r | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0.31x | 0.27x | 0.24x | 0.22x | 0.20x |
| 2% | 0.44x | 0.36x | 0.31x | 0.27x | 0.24x |
| 4% | 0.75x | 0.56x | 0.44x | 0.36x | 0.31x |
| 6% | 2.64x | 1.17x | 0.75x | 0.56x | 0.44x |
| 8% | — | — | 2.64x | 1.17x | 0.75x |
A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.
17
Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow
The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.
- ✓
Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.22x
Profit is backed by cash coming in.
- ✓
Accrual ratio (latest): -4.0%
A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.
- ✓
Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 130%
Most profit comes from core operations.
- ✓
Days sales outstanding: 65 → 50 days
No major slowdown in collecting on sales.
Operating CF vs. net income
Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash
- Operating CF
- Net income
formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company
termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)
formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100
termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
Profit bridge (FY2025)
Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income
- Profit (each stage)
- Pushed profit up
- Pushed profit down
formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100
termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)
Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11
Receivables & inventory days
Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales
- Days sales outstanding
formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365
formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365
termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)
Worked examples (latest period)
formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company
e.g.$2,129M ÷ $1,457M = 1.46x
termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)
formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100
e.g.$2,693M ÷ $2,072M × 100 = 130%
termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)
formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365
e.g.($1,583M + $1,690M) ÷ 2 ÷ $12,039M × 365 = 50 days
formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365
termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)
18
Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow
How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.
Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30
“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.
- Held by 13F filers
- 95.2%
- Directors & officers (shares)
- 2.7%
- Everyone else (est.)
- 2.1%
- Directors & officers (voting power)
- 2.7%
- Institutional-ownership rank
- 121 of 416
- Beta (adjusted)
- 0.86
individuals and other non-13F holders
no separate voting figure; shown as shares
1 = most institutional; 29% of covered companies have more
above 1 = swings more than the market
- 214.2M shares reported by 1,290 13F filers ÷ 225.1M shares outstanding on 2026-07-23. Option positions are excluded.
- Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
- A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.
Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-02 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-23)
19
Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis
Strengths
1. Fee-based model
Management and franchise fees grew from $3,055M (2023) to $3,575M (2025).
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
2. Large pipeline
Development pipeline of 3,703 hotels and 520,500 rooms at end-2025.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
3. Loyalty scale
Hilton Honors grew 15% to 243 million members.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Weaknesses
1. Negative equity
Stockholders’ deficit widened to $5,359M at end-2025 after buybacks.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
2. Rising debt
Interest-bearing debt rose from $8.7B (2022) to $12.3B (2025); another $1B of notes issued in May 2026.
Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-05-11) — Items 1.01/2.03 $1 billion 5.500% senior notes due 2031
20
What draws investors to itSite analysis
Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
P/E (FY2025)
46.9x
Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS
Dividend yield (FY2025)
0.21%
Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price
Payout ratio (FY2025)
10%
Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS
FCF yield (FY2025)
3.1%
(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap
1. Asset-light growth
Fee revenue grows with room count.
- What has to hold
- Openings continue at pace.
- The other side
- Leverage and buybacks.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
2. Buybacks
Share count fell from 279M (2021) to 230M (2025).
- What has to hold
- Cash flow stays strong.
- The other side
- Negative equity.
Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)
Book value per share is negative because of the stockholders’ deficit. No common dividend was paid in 2021.
21
ResilienceSite analysisShow
How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.
1. Financial buffer (FY2025)
Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year
36.7x
$918M vs. $25M
Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)
4.3x
$2.69B vs. $620M
Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid
14.2x
$2.03B vs. $143M (FCF = operating CF − capex)
2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery
| Figure | Worst year-over-year change | Back to the prior level? |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | No decline in the record | — |
| Operating income | No decline in the record | — |
Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.
3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)
Recovered after 2020
Returned to profit in 2021 ($410M) after a 2020 loss of $715M.
Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)
22
Legal & regulatory mattersSite analysisShow
Lawsuits, government investigations, enforcement actions and settlements the company discloses — where each stands, what is at stake, and what comes next. From the 10-K's Legal Proceedings and contingencies note, the latest 10-Q, and 8-Ks.
Hilton reports various ordinary-course claims and lawsuits, some for substantial sums, none of which it expects to be material.
Company statement: Other proceedings are described as ordinary-course and not expected to be material.
Based on Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) — Legal Proceedings, reviewed 2026-10-25. Routine ordinary-course claims are not listed. “Major” is this site’s judgment of which matters could materially affect results.
23
Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis
Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.
Risk map
Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).
Likelihood →
"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"
The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.
Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.
- 1Demand & macro
Travel demand
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Fees depend on hotel revenues, which fall in downturns, pandemics or travel disruptions.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact High / Likelihood Med
- 2Competition & technology shift
Hotel and lodging competition
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Competes with Accor, Choice, Hyatt, IHG, Marriott, Wyndham and other accommodation services.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood High
- 3Funding & liquidity
Leverage
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Significant debt and a stockholders’ deficit.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- No debt amounts were outstanding under our Revolving Credit Facility as of December 31, 2025, which had an available borrowing capacity of $1,894 million after considering $106 million of letters of credit outstanding.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood Med
- 4Information security
Cyber and data
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Handles large volumes of guest data.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Med / Likelihood Med
- 5Law & regulation
Tax disputes
- Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
- Accrued about $232M of interest and penalties on unrecognized tax benefits at end-2025.
- Company’s stated mitigation
- Not stated in the filings.
- This site’s assessment
- Impact Low / Likelihood Med
24
What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data
Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.
New or substantially reworded (1)
Governmental regulation may adversely affect our results and the operation of our properties.
No longer in the text (1)
• these provisions provide that our board of directors is expressly authorized to make, alter or repeal our by-laws and that our stockholders may only amend our by-laws with the approval of 80 percent or more of all the outstanding shares of our capital stock entitled to vote; and
Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 6, 2025 ↗.
25
What to watch going forwardSite analysis
- RevPAR and fee growth.
- Pipeline conversion to openings.
- Debt levels and pace of buybacks.
- Leadership changes after Christopher Silcock’s planned retirement in 2027.
26
Source documentsShow
This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.
Last updated
Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 04:09 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026
Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-11Proxy statement (2026)
Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.
This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Hilton Worldwide’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.