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NASDAQ: CEG · Electric Utilities

Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy generates and sells electricity and natural gas in competitive U.S. markets. Its 10-K calls it the largest nuclear energy company in the U.S.; at year-end 2025 it had 31,676 MW of net generation capacity, and nuclear produced 182,690 GWh of its 204,944 GWh owned supply in 2025. It also serves about 2.5 million retail customer accounts. Spun off from Exelon in February 2022, it acquired Calpine on January 7, 2026 for about $22 billion, adding about 23 GW of gas, geothermal, battery, and solar capacity and bringing the fleet to 55 GW. FY2025 revenue was $25.5 billion and net income $2.32 billion.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 12, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2410-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) · filed 2026-08-06

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
7.7%

Higher than 45% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
12.1%

Higher than 30% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-2.0 pts

Higher than 19% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.0x

Higher than 36% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.83x

Higher than 64% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
3 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
22.2x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

Beta
1.36

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$246.75close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$76.99B

P/E today
22.2x

At FY2025 year-end: 47.7x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

P/B today
5.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 7.6x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
14.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 20.3x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
1.7%

At FY2025 year-end: 1.2%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.6%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +23.0%$6.1B → $7.5B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −7.9 pts15.6% → 7.7% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −38.9%$839M → $513M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −46.8%$2.67 → $1.42 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −12.9%$800M → $697M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +12.2%$17.36B → $19.47B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Aug 6, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $11.50–$12.50. Source sentence
Raising full-year Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings guidance range to $11.50 – $12.50 per share

Key changes

  • Q2 GAAP net income $1.42 per share versus $2.67. Source sentence
    Our GAAP Net Income for the second quarter of 2026 decreased to $1.42 per share from $2.67 per share in the second quarter of 2025.
  • Adjusted EPS $2.55 versus $1.91. Source sentence
    Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings for the second quarter of 2026 increased to $2.55 per share from $1.91 per share in the second quarter of 2025.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Constellation Energy Corp
Headquarters
BALTIMORE, MD
Incorporated in
Pennsylvania
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: CEG
Industry
Electric Utilities
CIK
1868275

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    15,339

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q3 FY2026

Quarter end: September 2026. In past years, Q3 results were released 35–38 days after quarter end (Nov 7, 2025; Nov 4, 2024; Nov 6, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 35–58 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 6, 2026 (+37 days)Aug 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 11, 2026 (+41 days)May 11, 2026 10-Q (+41 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 24, 2026 (+55 days)Feb 24, 2026 10-K (+55 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 7, 2025 (+38 days)Nov 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 7, 2025 (+38 days)Aug 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 6, 2025 (+36 days)May 6, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 18, 2025 (+49 days)Feb 18, 2025 10-K (+49 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 4, 2024 (+35 days)Nov 4, 2024 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 6, 2024 (+37 days)Aug 6, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 9, 2024 (+39 days)May 9, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 27, 2024 (+58 days)Feb 27, 2024 10-K (+58 days)
Q3 FY2023Sep 30, 2023Nov 6, 2023 (+37 days)Nov 6, 2023 10-Q (+37 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Generation

    Nuclear

    Examples: LaSalle, Calvert Cliffs, Nine Mile Point, Ginna, FitzPatrick, Clinton, South Texas Project (share)

    Around-the-clock, emissions-free generation.

  • Generation

    Gas, geothermal, and storage (incl. Calpine)

    Examples: Calpine's gas fleet and The Geysers geothermal assets

    About 23 GW added with Calpine in January 2026.

  • Retail

    Energy supply and solutions

    Examples: C&I power and gas, CORe+ clean energy matching

    Retail supply to businesses, public sector, and homes.

Descriptions are from the FY2025 Form 10-K's Item 1 and 2.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Power generation

    U.S. and world, after the January 2026 Calpine merger

    U.S. share

    Largest clean energy producer

    Company-disclosed

    About 10% of the nation's clean energy from 55 GW of capacity; also the largest U.S. nuclear operator.

    Worldwide share

    Largest private-sector producer

    Company-disclosed

    The 10-K says the merger made Constellation the largest private-sector power producer in the world.

  • Retail power to commercial and industrial customers

    U.S. direct C&I customer business

    U.S. share

    Over 32%

    Company-disclosed

    The 10-K says Constellation remains the market leader in direct C&I sales.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed
  • Gas and geothermal generation (Calpine)

    U.S. generators, per S&P Global Market Intelligence

    U.S. share

    Largest

    Company-disclosed

    Calpine is the nation's largest generator from natural gas and geothermal resources, per the 10-K.

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Calpine acquisition and 2026 developments, from the 10-K and 8-Ks.

  1. Calpine closed

    On January 7, 2026, Constellation acquired 100% of Calpine for about $22B — 50 million new shares plus about $4.5B in cash — adding about 23 GW of capacity and a retail platform serving about 62 TWh a year.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A; 8-K filed 2026-01-07

  2. Raised 2026 guidance

    Q2 2026 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings were $2.55 per share (vs. $1.91), and full-year guidance was raised to $11.50–$12.50; GAAP net income was $1.42 per share (vs. $2.67).

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-08-06 (Exhibit 99.1)

  3. Calpine sellers exit shares

    Selling shareholders sold 11 million Constellation shares in a June 2026 underwritten offering; Constellation received no proceeds.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-06-02

  4. PJM capacity auction

    All of Constellation's PJM plants cleared the 2028–2029 auction at $325/MW-day, including 9,800 MW of nuclear in ComEd.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-07-14

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.13x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$2,949M ÷ $2,601M = 1.13x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$1.8B

Latest year: $14M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.75B in FY2020 to $2.95B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$25.53B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+7.7%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($25,533M ÷ $17,603M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 7.7%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

12.1%▲favorable

+10.6pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$3,086M ÷ $25,533M × 100 = 12.1%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

16.8%▲favorable

6-year average: 10.6%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

7.59x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$353.27 ÷ $46.53 = 7.59x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

20.3x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($110,220M + $9,053M − $3,641M) ÷ ($3,086M + $2,601M) = 20.3x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +7.7% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $17.6B in FY2020 to $25.53B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 1.5% → 12.1%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +10.6 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 25.4% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▼

    Free cash flow was positive in 1 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 10.6% over 6 years (latest: 16.8%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Generation

Owned nuclear, natural gas, hydro, wind, and solar plants across PJM, MISO, NYISO, ERCOT, and other regions, with output sold into wholesale markets or to its own retail customers, plus long-term contracts with large buyers.

Generation: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Nuclear fuel and natural gas
    • Plant operators (about 23% of employees in collective bargaining agreements)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Operating power plants
    • Selling capacity in markets such as PJM
    • Hedging generation output
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Wholesale power markets
    • Utilities
    • Large companies under long-term PPAs (e.g., Microsoft, Meta)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Energy and capacity sales
    • Nuclear production tax credits and state support
    • Long-term PPAs

Generation: how it makes money

  • Nuclear generation was 182,690 GWh in 2025, 89% of the 204,944 GWh owned supply.
  • All of its PJM plants cleared the 2028–2029 capacity auction at $325/MW-day.

Customer-facing (retail and wholesale gas)

Electricity and gas supply to commercial, industrial, public-sector, and residential customers, plus trading, transport, storage, and supply of natural gas.

Customer-facing (retail and wholesale gas): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Own generation and purchased power
    • Natural gas supply
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Retail energy supply and tailored clean-energy products such as CORe+
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • About 2.5 million customer accounts, including three-fourths of the Fortune 100
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Retail power and gas sales

Customer-facing (retail and wholesale gas): how it makes money

  • Served about 147 TWh of retail power load and about 800 Bcf of gas in 2025.
  • C&I power contracts average about two years, with customer duration of about six years.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Constellation’s nuclear fleet is supported by the federal nuclear production tax credit; its utility-like subsidiaries are under FERC jurisdiction.

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Nuclear production tax credit

    The IRA nuclear PTC provides more support as unit revenues fall below set levels, adjusted for inflation.

    Supports the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    FERC wholesale regulation

    Subsidiaries are public utilities under FERC’s ratemaking jurisdiction for wholesale power and transmission.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Political engagement

    Policy advocacy

    Says its advocacy is sought by decision makers in legislative and policy arenas.

    Supports the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Mid-Atlantic

    6,487 (30%)
  • Midwest

    5,804 (26%)
  • New York

    2,190 (10%)
  • ERCOT

    1,904 (9%)
  • Other Power Regions

    5,583 (25%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, Operating revenues by segment Segment electric revenues ($21.97B in total); Other businesses added $4.37B and unrealized hedge losses −$805M, for total revenue of $25.53B. Segments are geographic regions where generation and customer activity sit; segment profit isn't shown.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Constellation hedges its generation with forward sales and retail contracts, and since 2024 its nuclear fleet has been eligible for the federal nuclear production tax credit, which rises when unit revenues fall below IRA thresholds.

  • Microsoft PPA (Crane Clean Energy Center)

    About 835 MW once restarted

    Typical term: 20 years (signed September 2024)

    Restart of the former Three Mile Island Unit 1; in 2026 the NRC approved the fuel license and FERC approved the capacity interconnection rights transfer.

  • Meta PPA (Clinton)

    Output of the Clinton nuclear plant

    Supports Meta's clean energy goals and Clinton's continued operation.

  • New PPAs in Q2 2026

    An additional 920 MW

    Typical term: Long-term

    With corporate customers.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1; 8-K filed 2026-08-06

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Wholesale power markets, utilities, and about 2.5 million retail customer accounts.

Named by the company

What the filings disclose

  • Retail customers include three-fourths of the Fortune 100. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

Suppliers

Nuclear fuel and natural gas suppliers, and grid operators such as PJM, MISO, NYISO, and ERCOT.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Constellation's 10-K describes competition in wholesale and retail energy markets — retail competitors can pursue share aggressively when prices and volatility are low — but names no competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Constellation's 10-K doesn't name competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2025 blended compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Eight energy services and independent power producers plus ten capital-intensive general industry companies. WestRock is listed in the proxy as WestRock Company (now part of Smurfit Westrock).

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-03-19) — 2025 Executive Compensation Peer Groups

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

M&A historySite analysisShow

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

Constellation's major deal since its spin-off is Calpine.

Cash spent on acquisitions, FY2021–FY2025: $1.8B (years not reported separately are excluded)

  1. Jan 2026

    Calpine Corporation

    About $22B (50 million CEG shares plus about $4.5B cash)

    Natural gas, geothermal, battery storage, and solar fleet of about 23 GW plus a retail supplier serving about 62 TWh a year.

    Stated purpose (company)
    Expands the generation fleet and C&I and residential customer base.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1 and MD&A

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Line itemFY2020In next year’s 10-KFY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue17,60319,64924,44024,91823,56825,533
Operating income256-3464951,6104,3523,086
Pretax income836152-5422,4474,5163,511
Net income (attributable)589-205-1601,6233,7492,319
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—11.6%24.4%2.0%-5.4%8.3%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1001.5%-1.8%2.0%6.5%18.5%12.1%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1003.3%-1.0%-0.7%6.5%15.9%9.1%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets—48,08646,90950,75852,92657,249
Total equity14,67611,61411,37211,28613,53914,853
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable—7,8775,8099,3218,4749,053
Equity ratio—23.3%23.5%21.5%24.9%25.4%
ROE4.0%-1.6%-1.4%14.8%31.1%16.8%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF584-1,338-2,353-5,301-2,4644,237
Investing CF1,9583,2823,1043,0317,428-3,198
Financing CF-2,664-1,695-7992,196-2,289-420
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-1,163-2,667-4,042-7,723-5,0291,288
Cash and equivalents2265044223683,0223,641
Per share & other
EPS ($)——-0.495.0111.897.40
BVPS ($)——33.6934.4642.0646.53
Dividend per share ($)——0.561.131.411.55
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100———22.5%11.9%21.0%
P/E (x)———23.318.847.7
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)——11.511.210.720.3
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share——2.563.395.327.59

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-06-30$7.5B+23.0%$580M-39.0%$513M-38.9%$1.42
2026-03-31$11.12B+63.8%$2.33B+417.1%$1.59B+1247.5%$4.49
2025-12-31 †$6.07B+12.9%$598M-38.5%$432M-49.3%—
2025-09-30$6.57B+0.3%$1.09B-26.0%$930M-22.5%$2.97
2025-06-30$6.1B$951M$839M$2.67
2025-03-31$6.79B$451M$118M$0.38
2024-12-31 †$5.38B$972M$852M—
2024-09-30$6.55B$1.47B$1.2B$3.82

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

Data left out of this analysis

  • FY2021 EPS: CEG shares did not exist before the February 1, 2022 spin-off from Exelon; FY2021 results are for Constellation Energy Generation, LLC, so the XBRL EPS of 0 is not meaningful.
  • FY2020 EPS: CEG shares did not exist before the February 2022 spin-off from Exelon.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

9.8%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$3,086M × (1 − 27%) ÷ $22,960M × 100 = 9.8%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

11.80%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $110.22B ÷ ($110.22B + $9.05B) = 92.4%

e.g.Debt weight: $9.05B ÷ ($110.22B + $9.05B) = 7.6%

e.g.WACC: 12.4% × 92.4% + 5.6% × (1 − 27%) × 7.6% = 11.80%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-2.0pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 1 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 9.7%–14.3% and ROIC − WACC runs −4.4 to +0.1 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 11.80% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.36 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
12.43%
Cost of debt
5.64%
Tax rate
27% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
92% : 8%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 11.80%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.35 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.53, R² 0.16, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.530 + 0.33 = 1.355

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity12.43%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.36 × 5.5% = 12.4%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$110.22B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$9.05B
Cost of debt5.64%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)92% : 8%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

10.2%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 11.8% − 1.6%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+7.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.29B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $82.4B = market cap $76.99B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $9.05B − cash and short-term investments $3.64B; r = WACC of 11.8% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.36, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$80.5B

FCF $1.29B ÷ (11.8% − 10.2%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.98x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r9.8%10.8%11.8%12.8%13.8%
0%0.16x0.14x0.13x0.12x0.11x
2%0.20x0.18x0.16x0.14x0.13x
4%0.27x0.23x0.20x0.18x0.16x
6%0.41x0.33x0.27x0.23x0.20x
8%0.87x0.56x0.41x0.33x0.27x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • !

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages -0.28x

    Cash coming in trails reported profit. Worth checking for rising receivables/inventory or one-off gains.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -3.5%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 88%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-24

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$4,237M ÷ $2,319M = 1.83x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$3,086M ÷ $3,511M × 100 = 88%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($3,718M + $4,266M) ÷ 2 ÷ $25,533M × 365 = 57 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
81.3%
Directors & officers (shares)
0.0%
Everyone else (est.)
18.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
0.0%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
293 of 416

1 = most institutional; 70% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.36

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 288.1M shares reported by 1,860 13F filers ÷ 354.3M shares outstanding on 2026-07-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-19 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-31)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Large nuclear fleet

    Nuclear generated 182,690 GWh in 2025, and the 10-K describes Constellation as the largest nuclear energy company in the U.S. and the nation's largest producer of clean energy.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1 and MD&A

  2. 2. Data center demand

    Long-term PPAs with Microsoft (Crane restart, about 835 MW) and Meta (Clinton), plus 920 MW of additional long-term PPAs signed in Q2 2026.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1; 8-K filed 2026-08-06

  3. 3. Federal price support

    The nuclear production tax credit provides increasing support when unit revenues fall below IRA levels, which the 10-K calls an important tool for managing commodity price risk.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 7A

  4. 4. Large retail platform

    About 2.5 million customer accounts, including three-fourths of the Fortune 100, and about 147 TWh of retail power load.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 1

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Volatile reported earnings

    Net income swung from −$160M (2022) to $3.75B (2024) and $2.32B (2025); 2025 revenue included −$805M of unrealized hedge losses.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. 2. Large acquisition outlay

    Calpine (about 23 GW of natural gas, geothermal, battery storage, and solar capacity) cost about $22B, paid with 50 million new shares and about $4.5B of cash.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  3. 3. Modest payout

    Dividends per share were about $1.55 in 2025 against EPS of $7.40; the 2026 quarterly dividend is $0.4265 (up 10%).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) Item 5

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

47.7x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

0.44%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

21%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

1.2%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Growing earnings power

    EPS was $5.01 (2023), $11.89 (2024), and $7.40 (2025); 2026 adjusted operating EPS guidance is $11.50–$12.50 after Calpine.

    What has to hold
    Power prices and data center contracts stay strong.
    The other side
    GAAP results swing with hedge marks; 2025 EPS fell from 2024.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; 8-K filed 2026-08-06

  2. 2. Rising dividend

    Quarterly dividend rose from $0.141 (2022) to $0.4265 (2026).

    What has to hold
    Cash flow grows.
    The other side
    The yield remains low.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2023, FY2025) Item 5

P/E and dividend yield use the FY2025 year-end share price. FY2021 figures are for Constellation Energy Generation before the February 2022 spin-off from Exelon, so per-share data isn't shown.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

2.1x

$3.64B vs. $1.74B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

6.0x

$3.09B vs. $511M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

2.7x

$1.29B vs. $486M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-5.4% in FY2024 ($24.92B → $23.57B)Yes, by FY2025
Operating income-235.2% in FY2021 ($256M → −$346M)Yes, by FY2022

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Nuclear PTC

    Federal credit that supports nuclear unit revenues when prices fall.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 7A

  • Geographic spread

    Five regional segments across PJM, MISO, NYISO, ERCOT, and other regions.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  • Contracted capacity

    PJM capacity cleared through the 2028–2029 planning year.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-07-14

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
35
12
Med
4
Low
6
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Raw materials & energy

    Power and gas prices

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Results depend on wholesale power and natural gas prices; low prices and low volatility also intensify retail competition.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Hedging with forward sales and derivatives, the nuclear PTC, and retail load that absorbs generation output.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Law & regulation

    Market rules and policy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Changes in wholesale market design, capacity auctions, state support for retail competition, and federal tax credits could affect revenue.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Disaster

    Nuclear operations

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Nuclear plants face operational, safety, and regulatory risks; Q2 2026 results were partly offset by unfavorable nuclear outages.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    To recover our systems and information, we utilize established system recovery plans, data and configuration backup strategies, and business continuity plans.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Low
  4. 4M&A & integration

    Calpine integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Integrating the roughly $22B Calpine acquisition, including divestitures required for regulatory approvals.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Information security

    Cyber and physical attacks

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Nation-state actors, ransomware, and attacks on interconnected grid entities could disrupt generation and customer operations.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Security monitoring, incident response, recovery plans, and third-party assessments.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Low
  6. 6Labor & workforce

    Labor relations

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    About 23% of employees participate in collective bargaining agreements.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Low / Likelihood Low

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • Market Design. The wholesale markets vary from region to region with distinct rules, practices, and procedures. Read more

    Changes in these market rules, problems with rule implementation, or failure of any of these markets could adversely affect our business with little notice. The imposition of price caps, the issuance of orders extending the operation of generation resources slated for retirement, the imposition of requirements that new large load secure supply from new generation resources or agree to be interrupted, policies allowing utility-owned generation in restructured states, and policies favoring new resources at the expense of existing resources may lead to a market design that results in the premature retirement of existing resources, which would negatively affect our portfolio of assets as well as the market as a whole. For example, PJM is considering market rule changes as part of…

  • Condition and Results of Operations - Other Key Business Drivers for additional information on proposed PJM market reforms.

  • Expiration or termination of our PPAs and other contractual agreements may significantly reduce our revenue and allow the counterparty or customer to seek liquidated damages.

  • A material portion of our portfolio is sold under PPAs that expire at various times. Read more

    We seek to extend contracts or sell any generation not sold under PPAs on a short-term basis as market opportunities arise. Our non-contracted generation is generally sold on the spot market at current market prices as merchant energy. When the terms of each of our various PPAs expire, it is possible that the price paid to us for generation under subsequent arrangements or in short-term markets may be significantly less than the price paid to us under the PPA. Without the benefit of PPAs, we may not be able to sell any or all of the capacity from these generation facilities at commercially attractive rates, and these generation facilities may not be able to operate profitably.

  • The counterparty or customer may terminate or fail to comply with the terms of our PPAs, construction agreements, commodity contracts, maintenance agreements and other contractual arrangements. Read more

    Additionally, if we fail to meet our contractual obligations they may seek to enforce the liquidated damages provisions contained in such agreements.

  • Following the Calpine acquisition in January 2026, we have several government awards for projects involving cost-share agreements with the DOE, which could be affected by our inadvertent failure to comply with certain laws, rules, and regulations.

  • At five facilities, Calpine has completed or commenced front-end engineering design studies for post-combustion CCUS technology and has also received funding from the DOE for certain geothermal drilling technologies for the Geysers Assets.

  • As a recipient of federal funds under grants and cooperative agreements, in addition to our ordinary contractual obligations, we must comply with various rules and regulations applicable to entities that perform awards in support of government entities. Many of these additional obligations are contained in the terms of the awards themselves and in federal regulations, which regulate the formation, administration and performance of non-procurement federal financial assistance awards, which are subject to change. We must also comply with various national policy requirements prescribed by statute, executive order, policy guidance issued by the Executive Office of the President or other regulations subject to change.

No longer in the text (4)

  • Climate adaptation risk refers to risks to our facilities or operations that may result from changes in the physical climate, such as changes to temperatures, weather patterns and sea level rise.

  • For plants operated but not wholly owned by us, we could also incur liability to our co-owners. Read more

    For nuclear plants not operated and not wholly owned by us, from which we receive a portion of the plants’ output, our results of operations are dependent on the operational performance of the operators and could be adversely affected by a significant event at those plants. We do not procure the fuel for the sites we do not operate. The operator's nuclear fuel procurement plan could impact our results of operations. Additionally, poor operating performance at nuclear plants not owned by us could result in increased regulation and reduced public support for nuclear-fueled energy. Closure of generating plants owned by others, or extended interruptions of generating plants or failure of transmission lines, could adversely affect transmission systems and the sale and delivery of electricity in…

  • generating units. Also, the ability of energy transmission and distribution companies to maintain the reliability, resiliency and safety of their energy delivery systems could affect our ability to deliver energy to our customers and affect our operating costs.

  • We may encounter difficulties in satisfying the conditions for the completion of the Merger Agreement, including obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals, within the expected time frame or at all. Read more

    Such challenges could delay the completion of the merger or impose conditions that could cause abandonment of the Merger Agreement.

38 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Crane Clean Energy Center restart timing.
  • Integration of Calpine and required divestitures (e.g., Brazos Valley).
  • New long-term PPAs with data center customers.
  • PJM capacity prices and market rule changes.
  • Nuclear license renewals, including two New York units.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 12, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 24, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-24

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Constellation Energy’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.