KabuDo

NYSE: CMS · Multi-Utilities

CMS Energy

CMS Energy is a Michigan utility holding company. Its main subsidiary, Consumers Energy, served 1.9 million electric and 1.8 million natural gas customers in Michigan's Lower Peninsula in 2025; NorthStar Clean Energy runs independent power generation. FY2025 revenue was $8.54 billion and net income available to common stockholders $1.06 billion. Growth comes from investing in regulated infrastructure recovered through Michigan rate cases, funded partly with new equity and debt. In July 2026 CMS decided to exit non-utility renewables development.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:06 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1010-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-27

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
5.9%

Higher than 32% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
20.2%

Higher than 57% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+0.2 pts

Higher than 32% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
6.0x

Higher than 93% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
2.09x

Higher than 76% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
20.9x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

Beta
0.29

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$70.08close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$21.47B

P/E today
20.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 19.8x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

P/B today
2.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 2.3x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
13.1x

At FY2025 year-end: 13.1x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
-7.4%

At FY2025 year-end: -7.4%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
3.1%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.

  • Revenue→ −0.5%$1.84B → $1.83B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −2.8 pts17.2% → 14.4% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −40.3%$201M → $120M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −43.9%$0.66 → $0.37 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +37.7%$175M → $241M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +1.0%$18.86B → $19.04B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 27, 2026.

Management outlook → Reaffirmed

Reaffirmed 2026 adjusted earnings guidance. Source sentence
CMS Energy reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted earnings

Key changes

  • Reported EPS $0.39. Source sentence
    Mich., Oct. 27, 2026 – CMS Energy announced today reported earnings per share of $0.39 for the third quarter of 2026, compared

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
CMS ENERGY CORP
Headquarters
JACKSON, MI
Incorporated in
Michigan
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: CMS
Industry
Multi-Utilities
CIK
811156

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    8,350

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 32–37 days after quarter end (Feb 5, 2026; Feb 6, 2025; Feb 1, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 24–37 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 27, 2026 (+27 days)Oct 27, 2026 10-Q (+27 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 28, 2026 (+28 days)Jul 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 28, 2026 (+28 days)Apr 28, 2026 10-Q (+28 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 5, 2026 (+36 days)Feb 10, 2026 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 30, 2025 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 31, 2025 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 24, 2025 (+24 days)Apr 24, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 6, 2025 (+37 days)Feb 11, 2025 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 31, 2024 (+31 days)Oct 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 25, 2024 (+25 days)Jul 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days)Apr 25, 2024 10-Q (+25 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 1, 2024 (+32 days)Feb 8, 2024 10-K (+39 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Electric

    Electricity service

    Examples: Residential, commercial, and industrial power

    Michigan's Lower Peninsula.

  • Gas

    Natural gas service

    Examples: Distribution and storage

    1.8 million customers.

  • NorthStar

    Independent power

    Examples: DIG, other plants

    Non-utility generation.

Descriptions are from the FY2025 Form 10-K's Item 1.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share figure for the company's products or services.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

2026 developments from 8-Ks.

  1. Q3 2026 results

    Reported EPS $0.39 (vs $0.92) after $1.08 per share of asset impairment and restructuring tied to NorthStar Clean Energy; adjusted EPS $1.44 (vs $0.93). CMS reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83–3.90 and 2027 guidance of $4.08–4.17.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-10-27 (Exhibit 99.1)

  2. NorthStar simplification

    After a strategic review, CMS is exiting non-utility renewables development while keeping Michigan-based assets such as Dearborn Industrial Generation.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-07-28 (Exhibit 99.1)

  3. $3B equity program

    CMS started an at-the-market program to sell up to $3.0B of common stock in May 2026.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-05-13

  4. New CFO

    Rejji Hayes retired as CFO in June 2026; Sri Maddipati succeeded him.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-06-03

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

2.93x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$3,824M ÷ $1,306M = 2.93x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$812M

Latest year: $0

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $2.31B in FY2020 to $3.82B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$8.54B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+5.9%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($8,539M ÷ $6,418M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 5.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

20.2%▲favorable

+1.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$1,727M ÷ $8,539M × 100 = 20.2%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

12.3%▲favorable

6-year average: 14.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

2.34x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$69.93 ÷ $29.84 = 2.34x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

13.1x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($21,427M + $18,757M − $509M) ÷ ($1,727M + $1,306M) = 13.1x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +5.9% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $6.42B in FY2020 to $8.54B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 19.2% → 20.2%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +1.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 22.9% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▼

    Free cash flow was positive in 0 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 14.3% over 6 years (latest: 12.3%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Consumers electric utility

Generation, transmission purchases, and distribution of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, regulated by the Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC).

Consumers electric utility: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Owned generation and purchased power
    • Capital investment in grid and generation
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Delivering electricity
    • Filing rate cases to recover investment
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • 1.9 million electric customers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Regulated rates set by the MPSC

Consumers electric utility: how it makes money

  • Revenue $5.64B and net income available to common $719M in FY2025.
  • The latest approved electric rate increase was based on a 9.90% authorized return on equity.

Consumers gas utility

Natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage in Michigan.

Consumers gas utility: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Purchased natural gas
    • Pipelines and storage
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Delivering gas
    • Natural Gas Delivery Plan investments
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • 1.8 million gas customers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Regulated rates

Consumers gas utility: how it makes money

  • Revenue $2.49B and net income available to common $409M in FY2025.

NorthStar Clean Energy

Independent power production (including Dearborn Industrial Generation) and renewable projects.

NorthStar Clean Energy: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Power plants and renewable projects
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Selling power and energy commodities
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Wholesale and contracted buyers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Power sales
    • Leasing income

NorthStar Clean Energy: how it makes money

  • Revenue $408M and net income $71M in FY2025; CMS is exiting non-utility renewables development.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Consumers Energy is regulated by the Michigan PSC and FERC; distributed energy incentives could reduce load.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Regulated rates

    Rates and returns are set through rate cases before the Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC) and FERC; revenue depends on what regulators allow.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Incentives for customer-owned generation

    Government incentives for customer-owned generation could reduce load and shift costs.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Customer emissions goal

    Set a goal to cut customer greenhouse gas emissions 25% by 2035.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Electric Utility

    5,638 (66%)

    profit 719 · margin 12.8%

  • Gas Utility

    2,493 (29%)

    profit 409 · margin 16.4%

  • NorthStar Clean Energy

    408 (5%)

    profit 71 · margin 17.4%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Notes, Revenue and Reportable Segments Profit is net income available to common stockholders by segment; corporate interest and other was −$138M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Consumers' rates are set by the MPSC through periodic rate cases, which allow recovery of investment and a return on equity.

  • 2025 electric rate case

    Revised request of $447M

    Typical term: Pending; based on 10.25% requested ROE

    Filed June 2025 for the 12 months ending April 30, 2027.

  • Retail open access

    Capped at 10% of Consumers' electric sales

    Typical term: Michigan law

    At the cap at year-end 2025.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1 and Item 7

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Michigan.

Named by the company

No customer is named.

What the filings disclose

  • Residential customers provided $4.36B of Consumers' 2025 utility revenue. (Form 10-K (FY2025), revenue note)

Suppliers

Fuel and power suppliers and MISO, the regional grid operator.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

CMS's 10-K says Consumers faces limited competition: Michigan caps retail open access at 10% of its electric sales, and gas customers can choose alternative suppliers under Gas Customer Choice.

Competitors named in the 10-K

CMS's 10-K doesn't name competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2025 compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

19 utilities of comparable revenue and business mix; Evergy was added for 2025.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-03-26) — Compensation Peer Group

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

M&A historySite analysisShow

Companies acquired over the last five years, plus older large acquisitions that still anchor a current business — what each was bought to do, and what happened afterward. From the 10-K, 8-Ks, and the company's press releases.

CMS's recent notable deal was the Covert Generating Station.

Cash spent on acquisitions, FY2023–FY2023: $812M (years not reported separately are excluded)

  1. 2023

    Covert Generating Station

    $812M

    1,200 MW natural gas plant bought by Consumers.

    Stated purpose (company)
    To continue providing controllable sources of electricity to customers.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1 and cash flow statement

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue6,4187,3298,5967,4627,5158,539
Operating income1,2301,1461,2241,2351,4871,727
Pretax income8098239029541,1231,248
Net income (attributable)7551,3538378871,0031,071
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—14.2%17.3%-13.2%0.7%13.6%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10019.2%15.6%14.2%16.6%19.8%20.2%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10011.8%18.5%9.7%11.9%13.3%12.5%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets29,66628,75331,35333,51735,92039,941
Total equity6,0777,1887,5958,1258,7489,711
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable12,31512,41914,21215,48316,38618,757
Equity ratio18.5%23.1%22.4%22.5%22.9%22.9%
ROE13.7%22.3%12.3%12.2%12.7%12.3%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,2761,8198552,3092,3702,235
Investing CF-2,867-1,233-2,476-3,386-3,054-4,038
Financing CF1,619-2951,3271,1436142,240
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-1,035-257-1,519-98-648-1,589
Cash and equivalents32452164227103509
Per share & other
EPS ($)2.644.662.853.013.333.53
BVPS ($)19.0222.8824.0825.6327.5429.84
Dividend per share ($)1.631.741.841.952.062.17
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10061.7%37.3%64.6%64.8%61.9%61.5%
P/E (x)23.114.022.219.320.019.8
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)13.213.613.813.413.313.1
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share3.212.842.632.272.422.34

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-06-30$1.83B-0.5%$264M-16.7%$120M-40.3%$0.37
2026-03-31$2.73B+11.6%$490M-0.8%$340M+11.8%$1.10
2025-12-31 †$2.23B+12.3%$435M+2.4%$289M+9.1%—
2025-09-30$2.02B+15.9%$481M+31.1%$277M+9.5%$0.92
2025-06-30$1.84B$317M$201M$0.66
2025-03-31$2.45B$494M$304M$1.01
2024-12-31 †$1.99B$425M$265M—
2024-09-30$1.74B$367M$253M$0.84

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

5.3%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$1,727M × (1 − 17%) ÷ $26,801M × 100 = 5.3%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

5.14%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $21.43B ÷ ($21.43B + $18.76B) = 53.3%

e.g.Debt weight: $18.76B ÷ ($21.43B + $18.76B) = 46.7%

e.g.WACC: 6.5% × 53.3% + 4.3% × (1 − 17%) × 46.7% = 5.14%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+0.2pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 2 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 4.5%–6.0% and ROIC − WACC runs −0.6 to +0.8 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 5.14% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.29 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.00), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
6.54%
Cost of debt
4.25%
Tax rate
17% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
53% : 47%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 5.14%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.29 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β -0.06, R² 0.00, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × -0.064 + 0.33 = 0.287

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity6.54%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.29 × 5.5% = 6.5%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$21.43B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$18.76B
Cost of debt4.25%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)53% : 47%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Not enough data for this calculation (FY2025): it needs positive free cash flow, a fiscal year-end P/E, and a positive enterprise value.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.85x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -3.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 138%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 49 → 50 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$2,235M ÷ $1,071M = 2.09x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$1,727M ÷ $1,248M × 100 = 138%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($1,049M + $1,306M) ÷ 2 ÷ $8,539M × 365 = 50 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
100%+

Reported total 100.7%

Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
≈0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
58 of 416

1 = most institutional; 14% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.29

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 315.9M shares reported by 820 13F filers ÷ 313.6M shares outstanding on 2026-07-13. Option positions are excluded.
  • The 13F total exceeds shares outstanding because some shares are reported twice — for example shares lent to short sellers and then bought by another manager, or holdings that overlapping managers both report.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-26 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-13)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Regulated growth

    Net income available to common stockholders rose to $1.06B in 2025 from $993M, driven by electric and gas rate increases.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. 2. Steady dividend growth

    Dividends per share rose from $1.74 (2021) to $2.17 (2025).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Earnings guidance

    CMS reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83–$3.90 and introduced 2027 guidance of $4.08–$4.17, with long-term adjusted EPS growth of 6–8%.

    Evidence: 8-K filed 2026-07-28 (Exhibit 99.1)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Heavy capital needs

    Capital expenditures rose from $2.41B (2023) to $3.82B (2025), above operating cash flow of $2.24B in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) cash flow statement

  2. 2. Rising debt and new equity

    Interest-bearing debt grew to $18.8B, and CMS launched a $3.0B at-the-market equity program in May 2026.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL; 8-K filed 2026-05-13

  3. 3. Weaker 2026 so far

    First-half 2026 EPS was $1.47 versus $1.67 a year earlier.

    Evidence: 8-K filed 2026-07-28

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

19.8x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

3.10%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

61%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

-7.4%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Predictable utility growth

    Long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6–8% and 2027 guidance of $4.08–$4.17.

    What has to hold
    Michigan regulators keep approving rate increases.
    The other side
    New share issuance dilutes per-share growth.

    Evidence: 8-K filed 2026-07-28

  2. 2. Dividend

    Dividends per share rose each year from 2021 to 2025.

    What has to hold
    Earnings growth continues.
    The other side
    Rising interest costs ($798M in 2025).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

P/E, dividend yield, and payout ratio use the FY2025 year-end share price. Capital spending exceeded operating cash flow in 2024 and 2025.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.5x

$509M vs. $950M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

2.2x

$1.73B vs. $798M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

-2.4x

−$1.59B vs. $663M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-13.2% in FY2023 ($8.6B → $7.46B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-6.8% in FY2021 ($1.23B → $1.15B)Yes, by FY2023

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Regulated business

    Most earnings come from rate-regulated electric and gas utilities.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Liquidity

    A $750M CMS revolving credit facility (amended November 2025) plus Consumers' facilities.

    Source: 8-K filed 2025-11-21

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
34
2
Low
5
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Law & regulation

    Rate regulation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Results depend on MPSC decisions on rate increases and authorized returns.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Regular rate case filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Law & regulation

    J.H. Campbell emergency orders

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    The U.S. Energy Secretary ordered the coal-fired J.H. Campbell plant to keep running past its planned May 2025 closure, through at least February 2026.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    The orders authorize cost recovery at FERC; Consumers filed a FERC complaint in June 2025 to set up recovery.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Demand & macro

    Data center demand uncertainty

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    CMS may need to meet large new data center demand, or anticipated growth may not materialize.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Funding & liquidity

    Financing needs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Large capital plans require continued debt and equity issuance.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Equity offering programs and revolving credit facilities (the CMS facility was raised to $750M in November 2025).
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Supply chain

    Supply chain and workforce

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Implementing capital plans may be affected by supply chain disruptions, tariffs, and workforce availability.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Low / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (4)

  • FERC issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking in response to the Secretary of the DOE’s direction to FERC to consider the advance notice of proposed rulemaking as a means to standardize and expedite interconnection procedures and agreements for large electric loads. If FERC asserts jurisdiction over the distribution components of large-load customers’ interconnections to the transmission system, or allows large-load customers to directly purchase electricity from wholesale markets, it could have a material adverse effect on CMS Energy and Consumers.

  • Consumers also faces regulatory uncertainty resulting from the U.S. Read more

    Secretary of Energy’s emergency orders issued under the Federal Power Act and associated DOE regulations, which direct continued

  • operation of the J.H. Campbell, as well as similar prior or future executive actions, including the January 2025 and April 2025 executive orders related to energy supply and reliability. Read more

    The Federal Power Act, DOE regulations, and U.S. Secretary of Energy emergency orders all provide for cost recovery associated with continued operations, but there is not currently a FERC-approved MISO Tariff for recovery of compliance costs associated with the continued operation of J.H. Campbell, and continued operation of J.H. Campbell is not contemplated in Consumers’ current MPSC rates or rate filings at the MPSC. Consumers is pursuing cost recovery at FERC but cannot predict the outcome of those efforts or the impact of other executive actions.

  • Alternatively, this rapid expansion of data centers and resulting increase in demand for electric power in MISO and in Consumers’ service territory may not develop as anticipated. Read more

    Efforts to attract data center developers could be unsuccessful as other utilities and regions compete for these projects, which may limit future load growth. In addition, local zoning, permitting, land‑use constraints, and other external factors outside Consumers’ control could impede data center development. If these challenges arise and cannot be effectively mitigated, the anticipated benefits of data center load growth may not materialize. Further, even when data center customers enter into contracts to purchase utility service, there is a risk they may not fulfill their contractual or tariff obligations.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Outcome of the pending electric rate case.
  • J.H. Campbell cost recovery at FERC.
  • Data center load additions in Michigan.
  • Exit from non-utility renewables at NorthStar.
  • Equity issuance under the $3B program.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:06 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-10

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent CMS Energy’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.