KabuDo

NYSE: DE · Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Deere & Company

Deere & Company (John Deere) makes agricultural, turf, construction and forestry equipment, and its Financial Services segment finances dealers and customers. Its equipment segments are Production & Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture & Turf, and Construction & Forestry. FY2025 (year ended November 2025) net sales and revenues fell to $45.7 billion and net income to $5.0 billion as farm equipment demand declined. U.S. and Canada large-ag volumes fell 30%. In August 2026 Deere raised its FY2026 net income guidance to $4.75–5.00 billion and said order book trends reinforce 2026 as the bottom of the ag equipment cycle.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:21 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: December 18, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-12-1810-Q (quarter ended 2026-08-02) · filed 2026-08-27

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
5.2%

Higher than 27% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
—

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
—

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.48x

Higher than 46% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
36.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-08-02

Beta
0.71

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$662.69close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$179.19B

P/E today
36.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 25.0x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-08-02

P/B today
6.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 4.8x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.9%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.0%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Aug 2, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +4.9%$12.02B → $12.61B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +7.0%$1.29B → $1.38B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +7.4%$4.75 → $5.10 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +12.9%$7.91B → $8.93B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Aug 20, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Improved net income guidance to $4.75B–$5.00B. Source sentence
● Net income guidance improved to $4.75 billion to $5.00 billion.

Key changes

  • Q3 net sales and revenues up 5% to $12.608B. Source sentence
    Worldwide net sales and revenues increased 5 percent, to $12.608 billion, for the third quarter of 2026 and rose 7 percent, to $35.589 billion, for nine months.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
DEERE & CO
Headquarters
MOLINE, IL
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
11/01
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: DE
Industry
Agricultural & Farm Machinery
CIK
315189

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    73,100

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: November 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 24–25 days after quarter end (Nov 26, 2025; Nov 21, 2024; Nov 22, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around November 1.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 18–25 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Aug 2, 2026Aug 20, 2026 (+18 days)Aug 27, 2026 10-Q (+25 days)
Q2 FY2026May 3, 2026May 21, 2026 (+18 days)May 28, 2026 10-Q (+25 days)
Q1 FY2026Feb 1, 2026Feb 19, 2026 (+18 days)Feb 26, 2026 10-Q (+25 days)
Q4 FY2025Nov 2, 2025Nov 26, 2025 (+24 days)Dec 18, 2025 10-K (+46 days)
Q3 FY2025Jul 27, 2025Aug 14, 2025 (+18 days)Aug 28, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2025Apr 27, 2025May 15, 2025 (+18 days)May 29, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2025Jan 26, 2025Feb 13, 2025 (+18 days)Feb 27, 2025 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2024Oct 27, 2024Nov 21, 2024 (+25 days)Dec 12, 2024 10-K (+46 days)
Q3 FY2024Jul 28, 2024Aug 15, 2024 (+18 days)Aug 29, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q2 FY2024Apr 28, 2024May 16, 2024 (+18 days)May 30, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q1 FY2024Jan 28, 2024Feb 15, 2024 (+18 days)Feb 29, 2024 10-Q (+32 days)
Q4 FY2023Oct 29, 2023Nov 22, 2023 (+24 days)Dec 15, 2023 10-K (+47 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • PPA

    Large ag equipment

    Examples: Large tractors, combines, sprayers, precision ag

  • SAT

    Small ag and turf

    Examples: Small tractors, turf equipment

  • CF

    Construction and forestry

    Examples: Construction, forestry and roadbuilding equipment

Segment descriptions follow the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share figure for the company's products or services.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-08-02)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

FY2026 developments.

  1. Q3 FY2026

    Net income $1.379B ($5.10/share); net sales and revenues up 5% to $12.6B; FY2026 net income guidance raised to $4.75–5.00B.

    Source: Q3 FY2026 press release

  2. Leadership

    T. Brent Norwood became CFO on May 1, 2026; Cargill CEO Brian Sikes joined the board in December 2025.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2026-05-01 and 2025-12-04

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.61x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,360M ÷ $2,229M = 0.61x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

5.1%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,311M ÷ $45,684M × 100 = 5.1%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$991M

Latest year: $101M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $820M in FY2020 to $1.36B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$45.68B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+5.2%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($45,684M ÷ $35,540M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 5.2%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

—

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

20.6%▲favorable

6-year average: 32.8%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

4.81x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$461.63 ÷ $95.97 = 4.81x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

—

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +5.2% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $35.54B in FY2020 to $45.68B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 24.5% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 32.8% over 6 years (latest: 20.6%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Equipment operations

Deere designs, manufactures and sells equipment through independent dealers, increasingly with precision technology.

Equipment operations: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Factories and suppliers
    • R&D ($2.3B)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Manufacturing, dealer distribution, parts and services
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Farmers, landscapers, contractors, foresters via dealers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Equipment and parts sales

Equipment operations: how it makes money

  • FY2025 net sales: PPA $17.3B, SAT $10.2B, CF $11.4B.

Financial Services

Financing of equipment sales and dealer inventories.

Financial Services: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Borrowings
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Retail notes, leases, wholesale financing
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Customers and dealers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Interest and lease income

Financial Services: how it makes money

  • FY2025 net income $890M (+28%).

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Deere faces tariffs on components and possible greenhouse gas regulation.

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs and trade rules

    Incremental import tariffs raised product and component costs in fiscal 2025.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    GHG and carbon pricing

    GHG regulation or carbon pricing could add costs.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Government as customer

    Government contracts

    Could lose U.S. government contracts if it fails to comply with executive orders.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Production & Precision Agriculture

    17,311 (38%)

    profit 2,671 · margin 15.4%

  • Construction & Forestry

    11,382 (25%)

    profit 1,028 · margin 9.0%

  • Small Agriculture & Turf

    10,224 (23%)

    profit 1,207 · margin 11.8%

  • Financial Services

    6,289 (14%)

    profit 890 · margin 14.2%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A segment results Equipment profit is segment operating profit; Financial Services revenue includes intercompany and its profit is net income.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Farmers, turf customers, contractors and foresters through independent dealers.

Named by the company

No customer is significant.

Suppliers

Component and material suppliers.

Named by the company

The 10-K doesn't name suppliers.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K names ag and construction competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Agriculture and turf

Construction and forestry

Also Doosan Bobcat, Fayat, GOMACO, LGMG, Liugong, Ponsse, SANY, SDLG, Terex, Tigercat and XCMG.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1, Competition

Peer group the company chose

Fiscal 2025 compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

16 companies; Emerson removed and GE added.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-01-14)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue35,54044,02452,57761,25151,71645,684
Operating income4,3058,0129,50812,9589,039—
Pretax income3,8837,6029,12713,0199,2066,257
Net income (attributable)2,7515,9637,13110,1667,1005,027
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—23.9%19.4%16.5%-15.6%-11.7%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10012.1%18.2%18.1%21.2%17.5%—
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1007.7%13.5%13.6%16.6%13.7%11.0%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets75,09184,11490,030104,087107,320105,996
Total equity12,94418,43420,26521,78922,84325,956
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable41,31643,80746,18856,41656,76257,340
Equity ratio17.2%21.9%22.5%20.9%21.3%24.5%
ROE21.3%38.0%36.9%48.4%31.8%20.6%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF7,4837,7264,6998,5899,2317,459
Investing CF-3,319-5,750-8,485-8,749-6,464-2,057
Financing CF-980-1,0788262,808-2,717-4,579
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures6,6636,8783,5657,0917,5916,099
Cash and equivalents7,0668,0174,7747,4587,3248,276
Per share & other
EPS ($)8.6918.9923.2834.6325.6218.50
BVPS ($)41.2559.8367.8277.3684.0295.97
Dividend per share ($)3.043.614.365.055.886.48
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10035.0%19.0%18.7%14.6%23.0%35.0%
P/E (x)26.018.017.110.415.925.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)16.414.014.010.114.4—
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share5.485.725.854.674.864.81

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-08-02$12.61B+4.9%$1.38B+7.0%$5.10
2026-05-03$13.37B+4.7%$1.77B-1.7%$6.55
2026-02-01$9.61B+13.0%$656M-24.5%$2.42
2025-11-02 †$12.4B+11.2%$1.07B-14.5%—
2025-07-27$12.02B$1.29B$4.75
2025-04-27$12.76B$1.8B$6.64
2025-01-26$8.51B$869M$3.19
2024-10-27 †$11.14B$1.25B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

Not enough data (operating income, equity, etc.) to compute ROIC/WACC.

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

4.8%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.4% − 2.7%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-1.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+5.2%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $6.1B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $228.26B = market cap $179.19B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $57.34B − cash and short-term investments $8.28B; r = WACC of 7.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.71, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$234.58B

FCF $6.1B ÷ (7.4% − 4.8%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.03x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.4%6.4%7.4%8.4%9.4%
0%0.49x0.42x0.36x0.32x0.28x
2%0.79x0.61x0.49x0.42x0.36x
4%1.91x1.11x0.79x0.61x0.49x
6%—6.68x1.91x1.11x0.79x
8%———6.68x1.91x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.38x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -2.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-12-18

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$7,459M ÷ $5,027M = 1.48x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
75.4%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
24.6%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
350 of 416

1 = most institutional; 84% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.71

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 203.4M shares reported by 2,651 13F filers ÷ 269.6M shares outstanding on 2026-08-02. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed None (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-08-02)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Market leadership and scale

    Global equipment business with an integrated financing arm.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Resilient profitability

    Net income stayed at $5.0B in a down year.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Shareholder returns

    Dividends rose from $3.61 (FY2021) to $6.48 (FY2025) per share.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Cyclical demand

    Revenue fell from $61.3B (FY2023) to $45.7B (FY2025).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  2. 2. Construction margins

    CF operating margin fell to 9.0% from 15.5% in FY2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Large borrowings

    Short- and long-term borrowings totaled about $57B at the end of FY2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

25.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.40%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

35%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.9%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Cycle recovery

    Management says order books point to 2026 as the bottom.

    What has to hold
    Farm economy improves.
    The other side
    Brazil and Europe are softer.

    Evidence: Q3 FY2026 press release

  2. 2. Dividends and buybacks

    Share count fell from 308M (FY2021) to 270M (FY2025).

    What has to hold
    Cash flow continues.
    The other side
    Cyclical earnings.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

FY2025 ended November 2, 2025. Interest-bearing debt is short-term plus long-term borrowings (excluding securitization borrowings). FY2025 operating income is not reported in XBRL.

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

0.6x

$8.28B vs. $13.8B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

The income statement has no operating income line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.5x

$6.1B vs. $1.72B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-15.6% in FY2024 ($61.25B → $51.72B)Not yet, as of FY2025
Operating income-30.2% in FY2024 ($12.96B → $9.04B)No later data to compare

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Financial Services

    Financial Services net income rose 28% in FY2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Cash flow

    Operating cash flow was $7.5B in FY2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
34
2
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Farm economy

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Demand depends on farm income, commodity prices and interest rates; U.S./Canada large-ag volumes fell 30% in FY2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Ag competitors include AGCO, CLAAS, CNH Industrial, Kubota and Toro; construction competitors include Caterpillar, CNH, Doosan Bobcat, Hitachi, Komatsu, Volvo CE and Chinese makers. Technology companies and start-ups are entering precision ag.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Labor & workforce

    Union labor

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    About 77% of U.S. production and maintenance employees are union-represented; about 7,600 are covered by a UAW agreement.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4FX & interest rates

    Interest rates

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Financial Services interest expense was $2.9B in FY2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    From time to time, we enter into interest rate swap agreements to manage our interest rate exposure.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • ● The imposition of tariffs and retaliatory tariffs has impacted, and we expect will continue to impact, the sourcing of parts and components, the cost and profitability of manufacturing operations, and our ability to ship, import, and export our products. During fiscal year 2025, new tariffs were imposed in the U.S. for imports from a broad range of countries and materials. Several countries also implemented or proposed retaliatory tariffs on imports from the U.S., as well as other barriers to trade. As a net exporter of agriculture and turf equipment from the U.S., these trade policies impact us. Nearly 80% of our domestic sales are assembled in the U.S., with the remaining products imported primarily from Europe, Mexico, India, and Japan. During fiscal year 2025, incremental import tariffs adversely affected the cost of our products and components and may continue to do so in 2026.…

  • exported products and the profit realized from these exports. Read more

    The direct impact of incremental tariffs incurred by us in 2025 was approximately $600, excluding the impact of tariffs on our suppliers and market demand. On November 5, 2025, the United States Supreme Court heard oral arguments on tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The court may provide tariff relief and the potential recovery of amounts previously paid. We are monitoring developments in this case and its impact on our future financial statements and business.

  • ● If our business partners were to incur regulatory or judicial action, it could impact our ability to operate certain solutions abroad, or our connectivity to rural farmers.

  • Our international operations expose us to risks and events beyond our control in countries in which we operate.

  • ● economic and political instability, including war or armed conflict, changes in government policies, expropriation, nationalization, and other political, economic, or social developments,

  • ● increased tariffs, trade barriers, trade agreements, and other restrictions on international trade,

  • ● supply chain disruptions, including, as a result of natural disasters, transportation disruptions, and geopolitical events,

  • ● multiple and potentially conflicting laws, regulations, and policies that are subject to change, along with the complexity and cost of compliance,

No longer in the text (4)

  • Sustained general negative economic conditions and outlook also affect housing starts, energy prices and demand, and other construction, which dampens demand for certain construction equipment. Read more

    Our turf operations and our construction and forestry segments are dependent on construction activity and have also been affected by recent adverse economic conditions. Decreases in construction activity and housing starts have had a material adverse effect on our financial results.

  • We may be unable to manage increasing political, economic, and social uncertainty in certain regions of the world, which could significantly change the dynamics of our competition, customer base, and product offerings globally.

  • ● In some cases, these countries have greater political and economic volatility, greater vulnerability to infrastructure and labor disruptions, and differing customer product preferences and requirements than our other markets.

  • ● Having business operations in various regions and countries exposes us to multiple and potentially conflicting business practices and legal and regulatory requirements that are subject to change. Read more

    These practices and legal requirements are often complex and difficult to navigate, including those related to tariffs and trade regulations, investments, property ownership rights, taxation, repatriation of earnings, and advanced technologies.

61 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 ↗ with the 10-K filed Dec 12, 2024 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Ag cycle recovery (2026 seen as the bottom by management).
  • Brazil and Europe demand.
  • Construction & Forestry margins.
  • New CFO Brent Norwood (May 2026).

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:21 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: December 18, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-12-18

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Deere & Company’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.