KabuDo

NYSE: CAT · Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar describes itself as the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines (Solar Turbines) and diesel-electric locomotives. It sells mainly through 150 independent dealers serving 190 countries, and finances customers through Cat Financial. 2025 sales and revenues rose 4% to $67.6 billion, but operating profit fell 15% to $11.2 billion: Construction and Resource Industries profits dropped while Power & Energy profit grew 12%. The order backlog jumped from $30.0 billion to $51.2 billion, led by Power & Energy. Joe Creed became CEO in May 2025, and Q2 2026 sales topped $20 billion for the first time, up 24%.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 12, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 13, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1310-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
10.1%

Higher than 63% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
16.5%

Higher than 43% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+6.2 pts

Higher than 61% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.0x

Higher than 54% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.32x

Higher than 36% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
5 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
23.3x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.04

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$591.66close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$275.3B

P/E today
23.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 30.5x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
12.9x

At FY2025 year-end: 12.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
22.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 21.8x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.2%

At FY2025 year-end: 3.3%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.0%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +17.3%$17.64B → $20.68B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +3.1 pts17.3% → 20.4% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +42.9%$2.3B → $3.29B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +46.1%$4.88 → $7.13 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +18.1%$6.71B → $7.93B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 29, 2026.

Key changes

  • Q3 sales and revenues $20.7B, up 17%. Source sentence
    Sales and revenues for the third quarter of 2026 were $20.7 billion, a 17% increase compared with $17.6 billion in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Operating margin 20.4% versus 17.3%. Source sentence
    Operating profit margin was 20.4% for the third quarter of 2026, compared with 17.3% for the third quarter of 2025.
  • Deployed $2.0B for share repurchases and dividends. Source sentence
    ● Deployed $2.0 billion of cash for share repurchases and dividends in the third quarter

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
CATERPILLAR INC
Headquarters
IRVING, TX
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: CAT
Industry
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
CIK
18230

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    118,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 29–36 days after quarter end (Jan 29, 2026; Jan 30, 2025; Feb 5, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 25–37 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 29, 2026 (+29 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 4, 2026 (+35 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 30, 2026 (+30 days)May 6, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 29, 2026 (+29 days)Feb 13, 2026 10-K (+44 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 29, 2025 (+29 days)Nov 3, 2025 10-Q (+34 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 5, 2025 (+36 days)Aug 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)May 7, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 30, 2025 (+30 days)Feb 14, 2025 10-K (+45 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Nov 6, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 6, 2024 (+37 days)Aug 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 25, 2024 (+25 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 5, 2024 (+36 days)Feb 16, 2024 10-K (+47 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Construction Industries

    Construction equipment

    Examples: Excavators, loaders, dozers, compact equipment

    $25.1B of 2025 sales.

  • Resource Industries

    Mining equipment

    Examples: Mining trucks, large dozers, autonomy

    $12.5B.

  • Power & Energy

    Engines, gensets and turbines

    Examples: Cat and Perkins engines, Solar turbines, FG Wilson generators

    $32.2B.

  • Financial Products

    Cat Financial

    Examples: Customer and dealer financing

    $4.2B.

From the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Construction and mining equipment, engines, turbines, locomotives

    Worldwide

    U.S. share

    —

    Not disclosed

    Worldwide share

    World's leading manufacturer

    Company-disclosed

    Per the 10-K; no percentage is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

FY2025 from the 10-K, and 2026 events from the Q2 earnings release and 8-Ks.

  1. Q2 2026 results

    Record sales and revenues of $20.5B (+24%), profit per share $7.77; operating margin 20.9%.

    Source: Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K filed 2026-08-04)

  2. Leadership

    Executive chairman Jim Umpleby left the board April 1, 2026; Kyle Epley became CFO May 1, 2026; Lynn Good joined the board August 1, 2026.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2026-01-06, 2026-04-10 and 2026-04-13

  3. Segment change

    Rail moved from Power & Energy to Resource Industries effective January 1, 2026.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-03-26

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.25x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$2,821M ÷ $2,262M = 1.25x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2025)

3.2%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,148M ÷ $67,589M × 100 = 3.2%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$845M

Latest year: $47M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $978M in FY2020 to $2.82B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$67.59B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+10.1%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($67,589M ÷ $41,748M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 10.1%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

16.5%▲favorable

+5.6pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$11,151M ÷ $67,589M × 100 = 16.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

43.5%▲favorable

6-year average: 43.1%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

12.50x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$572.87 ÷ $45.82 = 12.50x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

21.8x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($266,556M + $36,210M − $9,980M) ÷ ($11,151M + $2,262M) = 21.8x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +10.1% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $41.75B in FY2020 to $67.59B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 10.9% → 16.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +5.6 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 21.6% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 43.1% over 6 years (latest: 43.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Machinery (Construction and Resource Industries)

Excavators, loaders, dozers and other construction machines, plus mining trucks and equipment; from 2026 Resource Industries also includes rail.

Machinery (Construction and Resource Industries): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Steel, castings and components
    • About 118,000 full-time employees
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Designing and manufacturing machines
    • Parts and services through dealers
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Construction contractors, quarries, mining companies
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Machine sales to dealers
    • Parts and services

Machinery (Construction and Resource Industries): how it makes money

  • Construction Industries 2025 sales $25.1B, profit $4.68B (-24%).
  • Resource Industries sales $12.5B, profit $1.99B (-22%).

Power & Energy

Reciprocating engines and generator sets, Solar industrial gas turbines and integrated power systems for oil and gas, industrial and power generation markets (including data centers); rail moved to Resource Industries in 2026.

Power & Energy: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Engine and turbine technology (Cat, Perkins, Solar, FG Wilson)
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Engine and turbine manufacturing
    • Integrated power systems
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Power generation, oil and gas, industrial and marine customers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Equipment sales
    • Service

Power & Energy: how it makes money

  • 2025 sales $32.2B (+12%), profit $6.42B (+12%) — the largest segment.
  • The largest increase in the $51.2B backlog was in Power & Energy.

Financial Products

Cat Financial and Insurance Services provide retail and wholesale financing to customers and dealers.

Financial Products: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Debt financing
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Loans and leases
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Equipment buyers and dealers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Financing income

Financial Products: how it makes money

  • 2025 segment revenue $4.2B, profit $966M.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Caterpillar expects about $2.6B of tariff costs in 2026, and emissions rules shape its products.

  • Trade & export rules

    Tariffs and trade rules

    Expects tariff impact of about $2.6B in 2026 based on tariffs in place by January 29, 2026.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    Product emissions rules

    Environmental laws affect product development, including engine emissions.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Power & Energy

    32,201 (44%)

    profit 6,418 · margin 19.9%

  • Construction Industries

    25,060 (34%)

    profit 4,675 · margin 18.7%

  • Resource Industries

    12,474 (17%)

    profit 1,988 · margin 15.9%

  • Financial Products

    4,220 (6%)

    profit 966 · margin 22.9%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — MD&A, sales and profit by segment Segment sales include inter-segment sales; profit is segment profit before corporate items. Rail moved from Power & Energy to Resource Industries from January 2026.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2025)

North America — 54% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • North America

    36,609 (54%)
  • EAME

    12,793 (19%)
  • Asia/Pacific

    11,199 (17%)
  • Latin America

    6,988 (10%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — sales and revenues by geographic region

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Caterpillar sells mostly to independent dealers, who resell and service equipment; dealer inventory changes affect sales. The firm order backlog was $51.2B at year-end 2025, with $19.3B not expected to be filled in 2026.

  • Sales to dealers

    Most of $63.98B of machinery, power and energy sales

    Typical term: Dealers buy and resell; 41 U.S. and 109 non-U.S. dealers

    Dealers do not deal exclusively with Caterpillar products.

  • Financing (Cat Financial)

    $3.6B of financial products revenue

    Typical term: Retail and wholesale loans and leases

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Independent dealers and their customers in construction, mining, energy and transportation; OEMs that buy engines.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

What the filings disclose

  • Machines are distributed through 41 U.S. and 109 non-U.S. dealers serving 190 countries. (Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1)

Suppliers

Domestic and international suppliers of steel, castings, forgings and components.

Named by the company

None named in the 10-K or the company’s press releases.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Caterpillar's 10-K names global competitors for each business.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Construction and mining machinery

Plus regional competitors in China such as LiuGong and SDLG.

Engines, power generation and turbines

Rail

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1, Competitive Environment

Peer group the company chose

2025 Compensation Peer Group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Companies comparable in size, competitors and industry peers, and sources of executive talent with large non-U.S. operations.

Also named as competitors in the 10-K

The proxy lists General Electric Company, shown here as GE Aerospace.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-30) — 2025 Compensation Peer Group

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue41,74850,97159,42767,06064,80967,589
Operating income4,5536,8787,90412,96613,07211,151
Pretax income3,9958,2048,75213,05013,37311,541
Net income (attributable)3,0036,4936,70410,33210,7888,882
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—22.1%16.6%12.8%-3.4%4.3%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10010.9%13.5%13.3%19.3%20.2%16.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1007.2%12.7%11.3%15.4%16.6%13.1%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets78,32482,79381,94387,47687,76498,585
Total equity15,37816,51615,89119,50319,49421,318
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable28,01431,43731,67129,11531,74436,210
Equity ratio19.6%19.9%19.4%22.3%22.2%21.6%
ROE19.5%40.7%41.4%58.4%55.3%43.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF6,3277,1987,76612,88512,03511,739
Investing CF-1,485-3,084-2,541-5,871-2,453-4,707
Financing CF-3,755-4,188-7,281-6,932-9,565-3,899
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures5,3496,1056,47011,28810,0478,918
Cash and equivalents9,3529,2547,0046,9786,8899,980
Per share & other
EPS ($)5.4611.8312.6420.1222.0518.81
BVPS ($)28.2030.8230.7839.0540.7945.82
Dividend per share ($)4.124.364.715.105.535.94
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10075.5%36.9%37.3%25.3%25.1%31.6%
P/E (x)33.317.519.014.716.530.5
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)16.914.414.711.213.021.8
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share6.456.717.787.578.8912.50

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$20.68B+17.3%$4.21B+38.1%$3.29B+42.9%$7.13
2026-06-30$20.54B+24.0%$4.3B+50.2%$3.59B+64.9%$7.77
2026-03-31$17.42B+22.2%$3.09B+19.6%$2.55B+27.2%$5.47
2025-12-31 †$19.13B+18.0%$2.66B-9.0%$2.4B-13.9%—
2025-09-30$17.64B$3.05B$2.3B$4.88
2025-06-30$16.57B$2.86B$2.18B$4.62
2025-03-31$14.25B$2.58B$2B$4.20
2024-12-31 †$16.22B$2.92B$2.79B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

16.1%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$11,151M × (1 − 21.5%) ÷ $54,383M × 100 = 16.1%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

9.88%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $266.56B ÷ ($266.56B + $36.21B) = 88.0%

e.g.Debt weight: $36.21B ÷ ($266.56B + $36.21B) = 12.0%

e.g.WACC: 10.7% × 88.0% + 5.1% × (1 − 21.5%) × 12.0% = 9.88%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+6.2pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 5 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 8.2%–11.9% and ROIC − WACC runs +4.2 to +7.9 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 9.88% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.04 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.67%
Cost of debt
5.14%
Tax rate
21.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
88% : 12%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 9.88%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.04 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.06, R² 0.25, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.056 + 0.33 = 1.037

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.67%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.04 × 5.5% = 10.7%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$266.56B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$36.21B
Cost of debt5.14%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)88% : 12%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

6.9%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.9% − 3.0%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+10.8%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+10.1%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $8.92B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $301.53B = market cap $275.3B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $36.21B − cash and short-term investments $9.98B; r = WACC of 9.9% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.04, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$297.27B

FCF $8.92B ÷ (9.9% − 6.9%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.99x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.9%8.9%9.9%10.9%11.9%
0%0.37x0.33x0.30x0.27x0.25x
2%0.50x0.43x0.37x0.33x0.30x
4%0.76x0.60x0.50x0.43x0.37x
6%1.56x1.02x0.76x0.60x0.50x
8%—3.29x1.56x1.02x0.76x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.34x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -3.1%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 97%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 64 → 55 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-13

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$11,739M ÷ $8,882M = 1.32x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$11,151M ÷ $11,541M × 100 = 97%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($9,282M + $10,920M) ÷ 2 ÷ $67,589M × 365 = 55 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($16,827M + $18,135M) ÷ 2 ÷ $49M × 365 = 130216 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
72.0%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
28.0%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
372 of 416

1 = most institutional; 89% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.04

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 330.8M shares reported by 4,045 13F filers ÷ 459.7M shares outstanding on 2026-06-30. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed None (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-06-30)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Global dealer network

    One of the largest independent global dealer networks: 150 dealers serving 190 countries.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), Item 1

  2. 2. Power generation demand

    Backlog rose to $51.2B, largest increase in Power & Energy; Q2 2026 sales a record $20.5B (+24%).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025); Q2 2026 earnings release

  3. 3. Shareholder returns

    Dividends per share rose from $4.36 (2021) to $5.94 (2025), and shares outstanding fell from 536M to 465M.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Machinery profit decline

    Construction Industries profit fell 24% and Resource Industries 22% in 2025, with unfavorable price realization in Construction Industries.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025), MD&A

  2. 2. Cyclical end markets

    Operating profit fell from $13.1B (2024) to $11.2B (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

30.5x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.04%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

32%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

3.3%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Power generation upcycle

    Power & Energy is now the largest and fastest-growing segment, and the backlog reached $51.2B.

    What has to hold
    Power and data center demand keeps rising.
    The other side
    Machinery profits fell sharply in 2025, and the business is cyclical.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025); Q2 2026 earnings release

These summarize facts in Caterpillar's filings, not a recommendation.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

1.8x

$9.98B vs. $5.51B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

6.0x

$11.15B vs. $1.86B

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.2x

$8.92B vs. $2.75B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-3.4% in FY2024 ($67.06B → $64.81B)Yes, by FY2025
Operating income-14.7% in FY2025 ($13.07B → $11.15B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Backlog

    $51.2B of firm orders at year-end 2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Cash generation

    Operating cash flow $11.7B in 2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
3
Med
2
1
Low
4
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Global and Chinese competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with Komatsu, Deere, CNH, Volvo, Hitachi, Sany, XCMG and others; outside the U.S. some competitors have home-market advantages, and competition can cause price discounting.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Raw materials & energy

    Commodity and supply chain

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Commodity price changes, material cost increases and supply disruptions may hurt results.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Derivatives that we use are primarily foreign currency forward, option and cross currency contracts, interest rate contracts, commodity forward and option contracts and total return swap contracts.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Demand & macro

    Construction and mining cycles

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Demand depends on construction activity, commodity prices and energy investment.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Governance & quality

    Leadership transition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    New CEO (May 2025), executive chairman departed April 2026, new CFO from May 2026.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Low / Likelihood Med

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Power & Energy orders for data centers and power generation.
  • Construction pricing and dealer inventory.
  • Conversion of the record backlog to sales.
  • Leadership under CEO Joe Creed and CFO Kyle Epley.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 12, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:20 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 13, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-13

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Caterpillar Inc.’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.