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NYSE: FERG · Trading Companies & Distributors

Ferguson Enterprises

Ferguson describes itself as North America’s largest value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions, serving specialized professionals in a $340 billion residential and non-residential construction market with plumbing, HVAC, appliances, lighting, pipes, valves and fittings and waterworks products. About 95% of sales come from the United States. Fiscal 2025 (year ended July 31, 2025) net sales were $30,762 million and net income $1,856 million. It moved its parent company’s domicile to the U.S. in 2024 and changed its fiscal year-end to December 31, filing a five-month transition report for August–December 2025. In July 2026 it agreed to buy flow-control distributor FloWorks for an enterprise value of about $1.6 billion.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:44 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: September 26, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-09-2610-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) · filed 2026-08-10Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
2.5%

Higher than 10% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
8.5%

Higher than 23% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+10.2 pts

Higher than 73% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.2x

Higher than 39% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.03x

Higher than 11% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
1 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
20.7x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

Beta
0.95

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$240.00close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$47.18B

P/E today
20.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 24.0x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

P/B today
8.1x

At FY2025 year-end: 7.5x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
17.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 15.9x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.4%

At FY2025 year-end: 3.7%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
1.4%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +4.6%$8.36B → $8.75B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +0.1 pts10.1% → 10.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +5.0%$634M → $666M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +6.9%$3.21 → $3.43 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −46.7%$820M → $437M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +18.8%$4.13B → $4.9B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Aug 10, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Revised its full-year outlook upward. Source sentence
“While the economic environment remains uncertain, our performance year-to-date enables the upward revision of our full year guidance.

Key changes

  • Net sales $8.8B, up 4.6%. Source sentence
    Net sales of $8.8 billion were 4.6% ah ead of last year driven by organic revenue growth of 3.8% and acquisition growth of 1.0%, partially offset by 0.2% from a divestment in Canada.
  • Diluted EPS $3.43, up 6.9%. Source sentence
    Diluted earnings per share of $3.43, up 6.9% on prior year ( $3.39 on an adjusted basis, up 5.3% ).

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/
Headquarters
NEWPORT NEWS, VA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: FERG
Industry
Trading Companies & Distributors
CIK
2011641

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    35,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q3 FY2026

Quarter end: October 2026. In past years, Q3 results were released 39–40 days after quarter end (Dec 9, 2025; Dec 10, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 34–48 days after quarter end over the last 8 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 10, 2026 (+41 days)Aug 10, 2026 10-Q (+41 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 5, 2026 (+35 days)May 5, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q3 FY2025Oct 31, 2025Dec 9, 2025 (+39 days)Dec 9, 2025 10-Q (+39 days)
Q4 FY2025Jul 31, 2025Sep 16, 2025 (+47 days)Sep 26, 2025 10-K (+57 days)
Q2 FY2025Apr 30, 2025Jun 3, 2025 (+34 days)Jun 3, 2025 10-Q (+34 days)
Q1 FY2025Jan 31, 2025Mar 11, 2025 (+39 days)Mar 11, 2025 10-Q (+39 days)
Q3 FY2024Oct 31, 2024Dec 10, 2024 (+40 days)Dec 10, 2024 10-Q (+40 days)
Q4 FY2024Jul 31, 2024Sep 17, 2024 (+48 days)Sep 25, 2024 10-K (+56 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • United States

    Waterworks

    Water and wastewater products for civil and infrastructure contractors; 24% of U.S. sales in the transition period.

  • United States

    Ferguson Home

    Residential building and remodel products, including showrooms; 21% of U.S. sales.

  • United States

    Commercial/Mechanical

    Products for commercial and mechanical contractors; 15% of U.S. sales.

  • United States

    Residential Trade Plumbing

    Plumbing products for residential trade contractors; 15% of U.S. sales.

  • United States

    HVAC

    Heating, ventilation and air conditioning equipment and supplies; 11% of U.S. sales.

  • United States

    Industrial, Facilities Supply, Fire & Fabrication

    PVF for industrial customers, MRO supplies for facilities, and fire protection and fabrication; 7%, 4% and 3% of U.S. sales.

  • Canada

    Wolseley Canada

    Plumbing, HVAC, waterworks and PVF in Canada; 5% of net sales.

Customer-group shares are from the Form 10-KT (five months ended December 31, 2025).

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • Value-added distribution of water and air solutions

    North American residential and non-residential construction ($340B)

    U.S. share

    Largest

    Company-disclosed

    “North America’s largest value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions … in our $340 billion residential and non-residential construction markets.”

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. H1 2026

    Net sales $16,223M versus $15,576M; operating profit $1,505M versus $1,349M; net income $1,080M versus $979M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  2. Transition period

    Five months ended December 31, 2025: net sales $12,833M, operating profit $1,099M and diluted EPS $4.01.

    Source: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

  3. FloWorks acquisition

    Agreed July 13, 2026 to acquire FWI Holdings (FloWorks), a Houston-based valve and flow-control distributor with about $1 billion of 2025 revenue, for an enterprise value of about $1.6 billion in cash.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-07-13) — press release: agreement to acquire FloWorks

  4. Share repurchases

    Completed $4.7 billion under the 2021 $5.0 billion program; a new $2 billion program was authorized April 30, 2026.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.82x

Roughly matches depreciation — mostly maintenance/replacement

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$305M ÷ $373M = 0.82x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (4-year total)

$1.83B

Latest year: $301M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $290M in FY2022 to $305M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2022–FY2025, 4 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$30.76B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (3 years)

+2.5%

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($30,762M ÷ $28,566M) ^ (1÷3) − 1 = 2.5%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

8.5%▼caution

-1.4pt vs. 3 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,606M ÷ $30,762M × 100 = 8.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

32.4%▲favorable

4-year average: 37.4%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

7.53x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$223.33 ÷ $29.67 = 7.53x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

15.9x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($43,903M + $4,175M − $674M) ÷ ($2,606M + $373M) = 15.9x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ―

    Revenue grew +2.5% a year over 3 years (modest growth)

    From $28.57B in FY2022 to $30.76B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 9.9% → 8.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -1.4 points over 3 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 32.9% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 4 of 4 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 37.4% over 4 years (latest: 32.4%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Buys from about 37,000 suppliers and sells through branches, distribution centers, showrooms, counter service and e-commerce to contractors and other trade professionals.

How money and goods flow at Ferguson Enterprises
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 35,000 associates (Dec 31, 2025)
    • About 37,000 suppliers; none over 5% of inventory purchases
    • 1,729 branches, 9 regional distribution centers and 6 market distribution centers
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Plumbing, HVAC, appliances and lighting
    • Pipes, valves and fittings (PVF)
    • Water and wastewater (Waterworks)
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Residential and non-residential contractors in all 50 states and Canada
    • No customer over 1% of net sales
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • United States $29,269M
    • Canada $1,493M (fiscal 2025)

How the business makes money

  • Residential and non-residential each about half of net sales.
  • Repair, maintenance and improvement about two-thirds; new construction about one-third (management estimates).
  • Waterworks was the largest U.S. customer group at 24% of the transition-period sales.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Ferguson pays interchange fees on card payments.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Interchange fees

    Pays interchange and other fees on card payments, which may rise.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Inputs & resources

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025 (year ended July 31, 2025))

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    29,269 (95%)
  • Canada

    1,493 (5%)

Source: Form 10-K (fiscal year ended July 31, 2025) — Note 2, Segment and net sales information Segment net sales derived from the segment table (cost of sales + operating costs + adjusted operating profit); total net sales $30,762M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Residential and non-residential contractors and trade professionals in the U.S. and Canada.

Named by the company

No customer is named; none exceeded 1% of net sales.

Suppliers

About 37,000 suppliers of plumbing, HVAC, PVF and waterworks products.

Named by the company

No supplier is named; none exceeded 5% of inventory purchases.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Ferguson operates in highly fragmented markets; the 10-K names no competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

No competitor is named in the 10-K.

Peer group the company chose

Compensation peer group for the transition period (18 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Selected for industries where Ferguson competes for business and talent, size and business model.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Line itemFY2022In next year’s 10-KFY2023In next year’s 10-KFY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue28,56629,73429,63530,762
Operating income2,8202,6592,6522,606
Pretax income2,7082,4642,4642,423
Net income (attributable)2,1221,8891,7351,856
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—4.1%-0.3%3.8%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1009.9%8.9%8.9%8.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1007.4%6.4%5.9%6.0%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets—15,99416,57217,729
Total equity4,6655,0375,6165,832
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable—3,7663,9504,175
Equity ratio—31.5%33.9%32.9%
ROE45.5%38.9%32.6%32.4%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF1,1492,7231,8731,908
Investing CF-922-1,054-601-543
Financing CF-744-1,807-1,313-1,286
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures8592,2821,5011,603
Cash and equivalents771601571674
Per share & other
EPS ($)9.699.128.539.32
BVPS ($)22.1924.6627.8929.67
Dividend per share ($)2.514.163.123.28
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10025.9%45.6%36.6%35.2%
P/E (x)13.017.726.124.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)8.212.116.115.9
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share5.686.557.987.53

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-06-30$8.75B+4.6%$893M+6.1%$666M+5.0%$3.43
2026-03-31$7.47B+3.6%$612M+20.7%$414M+20.0%$2.13
2025-10-31$8.17B+5.1%$771M+15.9%$570M+21.3%$2.90
2025-06-30$8.36B$842M$634M$3.21
2025-04-30$7.62B$606M$410M$2.07
2025-03-31$7.21B$507M$345M$1.73
2025-01-31$6.87B$410M$276M$1.38
2024-10-31$7.77B$665M$470M$2.34

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

19.8%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$2,606M × (1 − 25.5%) ÷ $9,787M × 100 = 19.8%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

9.61%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $43.9B ÷ ($43.9B + $4.18B) = 91.3%

e.g.Debt weight: $4.18B ÷ ($43.9B + $4.18B) = 8.7%

e.g.WACC: 10.2% × 91.3% + 5.0% × (1 − 25.5%) × 8.7% = 9.61%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+10.2pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 4 of 4 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.9%–11.7% and ROIC − WACC runs +8.2 to +11.9 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 9.61% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.95 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
10.18%
Cost of debt
4.95% (no debt on record, using the risk-free rate)
Tax rate
25.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
91% : 9%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 9.61%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.95 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.93, R² 0.20, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.930 + 0.33 = 0.953

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity10.18%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.95 × 5.5% = 10.2%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$43.9B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$4.18B
Cost of debt *no debt on record, using the risk-free rate instead4.95%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)91% : 9%

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

6.4%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.6% − 3.2%

Past FCF growth (FY2022–FY2025)

+23.1%

Compound annual rate, 3 years

Past revenue growth (FY2022–FY2025)

+2.5%

Compound annual rate, 3 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.6B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $50.68B = market cap $47.18B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $4.18B − cash and short-term investments $674M; r = WACC of 9.6% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.95, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$50.09B

FCF $1.6B ÷ (9.6% − 6.4%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.99x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.6%8.6%9.6%10.6%11.6%
0%0.42x0.37x0.33x0.30x0.27x
2%0.56x0.48x0.42x0.37x0.33x
4%0.88x0.69x0.56x0.48x0.42x
6%1.98x1.22x0.88x0.69x0.56x
8%—5.27x1.98x1.22x0.88x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.02x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -0.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 108%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2025-09-26

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$1,908M ÷ $1,856M = 1.03x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$2,606M ÷ $2,423M × 100 = 108%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($3,602M + $3,964M) ÷ 2 ÷ $30,762M × 365 = 45 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($4,188M + $4,492M) ÷ 2 ÷ $21,327M × 365 = 74 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
96.3%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
3.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
105 of 416

1 = most institutional; 25% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.95

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 186.2M shares reported by 947 13F filers ÷ 193.5M shares outstanding on 2026-08-03. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-16 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-08-03)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale in a fragmented market

    Ferguson says no one market is dominated by any single distributor and it is one of the top distributors in most end markets it serves.

    Evidence: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

  2. 2. Diversified customer and supplier base

    No customer exceeded 1% of net sales and no supplier exceeded 5% of inventory purchases.

    Evidence: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

  3. 3. Cash generation

    Operating cash flow of $1,908M in fiscal 2025 funded $305M of capex, $301M of acquisitions, $948M of buybacks and $489M of dividends.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (fiscal year ended July 31, 2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Exposure to construction cycles

    Demand depends on residential and non-residential construction and RMI activity.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (fiscal year ended July 31, 2025)

  2. 2. Flat operating profit

    Operating profit was $2,820M in fiscal 2022 and $2,606M in fiscal 2025 as net sales grew from $28,566M to $30,762M.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

24.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.47%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

35%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

3.7%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Shareholder returns

    Fiscal 2025 buybacks of $948M and dividends of $489M; dividend per share declared $3.28.

    What has to hold
    Steady cash flow continues.
    The other side
    Acquisition funding could slow buybacks.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (fiscal year ended July 31, 2025)

  2. 2. Growth via non-residential and acquisitions

    Waterworks and Commercial/Mechanical shares of U.S. sales rose from fiscal 2023 to the transition period; FloWorks adds industrial flow-control exposure.

    What has to hold
    Non-residential demand stays strong.
    The other side
    Integration and cycle risk.

    Evidence: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

Fiscal years end July 31 (FY2022–FY2025). The five-month transition period to December 31, 2025 is not shown as a year. FY2021 and earlier were reported on Form 20-F by Ferguson plc and are not included.

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

1.7x

$674M vs. $400M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

Not disclosed

Interest expense isn’t reported as a separate line.

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

3.3x

$1.6B vs. $489M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
Revenue-0.3% in FY2024 ($29.73B → $29.64B)Yes, by FY2025
Operating income-5.7% in FY2023 ($2.82B → $2.66B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 4 fiscal years on record (FY2022–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Repair and maintenance base

    About two-thirds of net sales come from repair, maintenance and improvement rather than new construction (management estimate).

    Source: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

  • Fragmented, diversified base

    No customer over 1% of sales and no supplier over 5% of purchases.

    Source: Form 10-KT (transition period August 1 – December 31, 2025)

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
2346
5
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Demand & macro

    Construction market downturns

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Declines in residential and non-residential markets reduce demand and can leave excess inventory.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    Competition and new entrants

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Market consolidation, new entrants, vertical integration or competitors adopting technologies such as generative AI faster could hurt results.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Information security

    IT and data failures

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Failures of key IT systems, cybersecurity incidents or payment fraud could disrupt operations.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    In addition, we maintain a cybersecurity awareness hub on our company intranet, regularly distribute cyber newsletters and cyber tips, and conduct regular phishing email simulation tests, including customized role-based tests, to reinforce prior training and promote ongoing awareness of risks.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Supply chain

    Supply chain and fulfillment disruption

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Delays at distribution centers or loss of key suppliers could raise costs or limit availability.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5M&A & integration

    Acquisition execution

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Ferguson grows partly through acquisitions, including the pending $1.6 billion FloWorks deal.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  6. 6Labor & workforce

    Attracting and retaining associates

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competition for talent puts pressure on wages and benefits; skilled roles take longer to fill.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (7)

  • Furthermore, any of these conditions could affect key suppliers, which could impair their ability to deliver products and result in delays for our customers or added costs. Read more

    Accordingly, any prolonged uncertainty about current or future micro- or macro-economic conditions and potential volatility in our relevant end markets has in the past and may in the future negatively impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.

  • We operate a variety of pension plans, including defined benefit plans in Canada and the U.K. Read more

    The amount we are required to contribute to these plans is determined by the laws and regulations governing each plan and is generally related to the funded status of the plans. A deterioration in the value of the plans’ investments or a decrease in the discount rate used to calculate plan liabilities generally would negatively impact the funding status of the plans, which may result in an increase in our obligation to make contributions to the plans.

  • The U.K. defined benefit pension plan (the “U.K. Plan”), our largest defined benefit plan, is closed to future service costs. Read more

    The trustee of the U.K. Plan has purchased a bulk annuity insurance policy that provides an income stream equivalent to the obligations to pensioners covered by the arrangement. As a result, the Company is no longer expected to make ongoing deficit reduction contributions to the U.K. Plan, but will make ongoing contributions to cover the plan’s expenses and other payments that may be required.

  • In spite of the efforts taken to match our plan liabilities with a portfolio of assets designed to hedge the underlying interest, inflation and longevity risk, certain actions by pensions regulators or the trustees of our pension plans, any material revisions to existing pension legislation or any failure by the insurer to fulfill its obligations could result in us being required to incur significant additional costs immediately or in short time frames. Such costs could reduce the cash available for working capital and other corporate uses, and may have an adverse impact on the Company’s financial condition.

  • Changes in laws or policies governing the terms of foreign trade, and in particular increased trade restrictions, tariffs, sanctions or taxes on imports from countries where we import products or raw materials (either directly or through our suppliers), could have a material adverse impact on our competitive position, business, financial condition and results of operations. Recently, the U.S. has announced tariffs and reciprocal tariffs on a wide range of products manufactured or produced worldwide. Several countries have similarly announced reciprocal or other tariffs impacting products manufactured or produced in the U.S. The U.S. has and may in the future pause, reimpose or increase tariffs, and countries subject to such tariffs have and in the future may impose reciprocal tariffs or other retaliatory countermeasures in response to the imposition of tariffs by the U.S. If these…

  • Conversely, if tariffs, duties or quotas are lifted or if the level of imported products otherwise increases, we could be adversely affected to the extent that we would then have higher-cost products in our inventory or experience lower prices and margins due to increased supplies of these products that could drive down prices and margins. If prices of these products were to decrease significantly, we might not be able to profitably sell these products, and the value of our inventory would decline. In addition, significant price decreases could result in a significantly longer holding period for some of our inventory.

  • Trade restrictions could be adopted with little to no advanced notice, and we may not be able to effectively mitigate the adverse impacts from such measures.

No longer in the text (4)

  • We operate a variety of pension plans, including funded and underfunded defined benefit schemes in Canada and the U.K. Read more

    Our pension trustees and plan sponsors aim to match the liabilities with a portfolio of assets, comprising equity and debt securities alongside diversified growth assets and further investments designed to hedge the underlying interest and inflation risk in the associated liabilities. The market value of these assets can rise and fall over time, which impacts the funding position of the plan. The U.K. defined benefit pension plan (the “U.K. Plan”), our largest defined benefit plan, is closed to future service costs and has a buy-in insurance policy which covers a large proportion of the existing participants.

  • As required by U.K. pensions regulation, the U.K. Plan completed its triennial actuarial valuation exercise in fiscal 2023, which is measured on a technical provisions basis, based on the U.K. Read more

    Plan’s financial position as of April 30, 2022. The triennial valuation resulted in a need for deficit reduction contributions of £133 million spread over the period to January 31, 2026, of which we have paid £50 million as of July 31, 2024. New funding requirements will apply to the next triennial valuation of the U.K. Plan (as of April 30, 2025), requiring the plan to target a funding level where dependency on the employer is low. Any additional funding requirements, which could be affected by factors such as a deterioration in economic conditions or changes in actuarial assumptions, could have an adverse effect on our financial condition.

  • Furthermore, the U.K. pensions regulator could take action (for example civil, criminal, monetary and non-monetary penalties) in situations where the “employer covenant” of a defined benefit plan—the willingness and ability of the sponsor to fund the plan—has been detrimentally affected in a material way or where corporate activity, such as certain corporate activities taken in connection with the Merger, poses a materially detrimental risk to accrued plan benefits. The consequences of successful civil and criminal actions include fines, and (in the case of civil actions) requirements to provide further funding for the plan, for both the sponsor and its connected group companies. In addition, actions by the trustees of our pension plans or any material revisions to the existing pension legislation could result in us being required to incur significant additional costs immediately or in…

  • Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have escalated over the past several years which resulted in elevated tariffs. Read more

    The current U.S. presidential administration has not taken action to roll these back. Following the Office of United States Trade Representative’s (the “USTR”) quadrennial review of the tariffs imposed on China-origin goods pursuant to Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 (the “U.S. Trade Act”), in May 2024, the USTR recommended that tariffs on products from China would continue at current rates or have their rates raised. Rates on certain steel and aluminum products under Section 301 will increase from 0-7.5% to 25% in 2024.

5 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Sep 26, 2025 ↗ with the 10-K filed Sep 25, 2024 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Closing of the FloWorks acquisition (expected in the third quarter of 2026) and its financing (bridge loan of up to $700 million).
  • Calendar-year reporting after the fiscal year-end change; the first full calendar-year 10-K will cover 2026.
  • Residential versus non-residential demand trends by customer group.
  • Pace of buybacks under the $2 billion program authorized April 30, 2026.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 24, 2026 09:44 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: September 26, 2025

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2025-09-26Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Ferguson Enterprises’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.