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NASDAQ: ORLY · Automotive Retail

O'Reilly Automotive

O’Reilly Automotive, based in Springfield, Missouri, is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment and accessories in North America. It serves do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider customers about equally (each about 50% of 2025 sales) — its “dual market strategy” — from 6,585 stores at December 31, 2025 (6,447 in 48 U.S. states and Puerto Rico, 112 in Mexico and 26 in Canada) supplied by 32 distribution centers. 2025 sales rose 6% to $17,782 million with comparable store sales up 4.7%, and net income was $2,538 million. Sales have grown every year since 2020, while heavy share repurchases (cumulative authorization $29.8 billion) have left shareholders’ equity negative. It completed a 15-for-1 stock split on June 10, 2025 and pays no dividend. In the first half of 2026 sales rose 9% and comparable store sales 7.0%.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 31, 2026 02:01 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2710-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-06Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
8.9%

Higher than 55% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
19.5%

Higher than 53% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+50.7 pts

Higher than 97% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.5x

Higher than 44% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.09x

Higher than 14% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
—

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
29.3x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

Beta
0.45

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$92.13close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$77.57B

P/E today
29.3x

At FY2025 year-end: 30.7x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

P/B today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
21.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 20.8x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
2.1%

At FY2025 year-end: 2.1%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
—

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +8.1%$4.53B → $4.89B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin→ −0.1 pts20.2% → 20.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +7.0%$669M → $715M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +10.3%$0.78 → $0.86 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +3.8%$253M → $262M (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +13.2%$6.2B → $7.01B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Oct 28, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised full-year 2026 gross margin guidance to 51.6%–52.1%. Source sentence
We are also raising our full-year 2026 gross margin guidance to a range of 51.6% to 52.1% and our operating profit guidance to a range of 19.5% to 20.0%.

Key changes

  • Q3 sales up 9% to $5.12B. Source sentence
    Sales for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, increased $416 million, or 9%, to $5.12 billion from $4.71 billion for the same period one year ago.
  • Diluted EPS up 14% to $0.97. Source sentence
    ● 14% increase in third quarter diluted earnings per share to $0.97

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC
Headquarters
SPRINGFIELD, MO
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: ORLY
Industry
Automotive Retail
CIK
898173

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    92,923

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 35–38 days after quarter end (Feb 4, 2026; Feb 5, 2025; Feb 7, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 22–38 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 28, 2026 (+28 days)Nov 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 29, 2026 (+29 days)Aug 7, 2026 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)May 8, 2026 10-Q (+38 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 4, 2026 (+35 days)Feb 27, 2026 10-K (+58 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 22, 2025 (+22 days)Nov 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 23, 2025 (+23 days)Aug 8, 2025 10-Q (+39 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 23, 2025 (+23 days)May 9, 2025 10-Q (+39 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 5, 2025 (+36 days)Feb 28, 2025 10-K (+59 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 23, 2024 (+23 days)Nov 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 24, 2024 (+24 days)Aug 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days)May 9, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 7, 2024 (+38 days)Feb 28, 2024 10-K (+59 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Auto parts

    Hard parts

    Replacement parts such as brakes, batteries, alternators, starters and filters.

  • Auto parts

    Maintenance items and accessories

    Oil, fluids, wipers, lighting and accessories.

  • Auto parts

    Tools and equipment

    Tools, shop equipment and supplies for professionals and DIY customers.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

O’Reilly says it is one of the largest specialty retailers in the automotive aftermarket and aims to gain market share, but gives no market-share figures.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. First half of 2026

    Sales $9,453M (+9%); comparable store sales +7.0%; net income $1,319M versus $1,207M; diluted EPS $1.58.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  2. Second quarter 2026

    Sales $4,892M versus $4,525M; comparable store sales +6.0%; diluted EPS $0.86.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  3. Debt issuance

    Issued $1.6B of senior notes due 2029, 2031 and 2037 in August 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-08-14) — Item 1.01 $1.6B senior notes

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

2.29x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$1,169M ÷ $511M = 2.29x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $466M in FY2020 to $1.17B in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$17.78B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+8.9%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($17,782M ÷ $11,604M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 8.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

19.5%▼caution

-1.4pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$3,461M ÷ $17,782M × 100 = 19.5%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

—▼caution

6-year average: 1249.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

—

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

20.8x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($76,791M + $6,017M − $194M) ÷ ($3,461M + $511M) = 20.8x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +8.9% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $11.6B in FY2020 to $17.78B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 20.8% → 19.5%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -1.4 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is -4.6% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 1249.3% over 6 years (latest: —)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Sells aftermarket parts, tools and accessories to DIY customers and professional repair shops through a dense store network backed by distribution centers that offer high parts availability.

How money and goods flow at O'Reilly Automotive
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • 92,923 team members (Jan 31, 2026)
    • 6,585 stores and 32 distribution centers
    • Inventory breadth and availability
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Retail sales to DIY customers
    • Delivery to professional service providers
    • Distribution and hub-store logistics
    • Omnichannel ordering
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • DIY consumers
    • Professional service providers (repair shops, dealers, fleets)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Product sales

How the business makes money

  • About 50% DIY and 50% professional sales in 2025.
  • Comparable store sales +4.7% in 2025.
  • 15-for-1 stock split June 2025; no dividend.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

O’Reilly invests in tax-credit VIEs.

  • Government funding & tax credits

    Tax credit investments

    Holds interests in VIEs associated with investment tax credits.

    Supports the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Automotive aftermarket retail

    17,782 (100%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) One reportable segment; total sales $17,782M, about 50% DIY and 50% professional.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Groupe Del Vasto (Vast Auto)

    Acquired in January 2024, adding 23 stores in Canada.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    Mayasa

    Acquisition in Mexico that added 21 stores.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

DIY consumers and professional service providers.

Named by the company

No single customer is material; sales are split about 50/50 between DIY and professional customers.

Suppliers

Auto parts manufacturers and suppliers.

Named by the company

No supplier is named.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K lists national and regional parts chains, wholesalers and jobbers, dealers, and mass merchandisers and online retailers as competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

National auto parts chains

Mass merchandisers and online retailers

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Peer group the company chose

2025 compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Retail and auto-related companies (2026 proxy).

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue11,60413,32814,41015,81216,70817,782
Operating income2,4192,9172,9543,1863,2513,461
Pretax income2,2662,7822,7993,0053,0453,240
Net income (attributable)1,7522,1652,1732,3472,3872,538
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—14.8%8.1%9.7%5.7%6.4%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10020.8%21.9%20.5%20.2%19.5%19.5%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10015.1%16.2%15.1%14.8%14.3%14.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets11,59711,71912,62813,87314,89416,538
Total equity140-66-1,061-1,739-1,371-763
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable4,1233,8274,3725,5705,5216,017
Equity ratio1.2%-0.6%-8.4%-12.5%-9.2%-4.6%
ROE1249.3%—————
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF2,8373,2073,1483,0343,0502,762
Investing CF-615-616-740-996-1,167-1,152
Financing CF-1,797-2,695-2,663-1,869-2,030-1,549
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures2,3712,7642,5852,0282,0261,593
Cash and equivalents466362109279130194
Per share & other
EPS ($)1.572.072.232.562.712.97
BVPS ($)0.13-0.07-1.13-1.96-1.59-0.91
P/E (x)19.222.725.224.729.230.7
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)13.115.717.217.119.820.8
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share229.44—————

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-06-30$4.89B+8.1%$986M+7.8%$715M+7.0%$0.86
2026-03-31$4.56B+10.2%$842M+13.5%$604M+12.2%$0.72
2025-12-31 †$4.41B+7.8%$829M+12.2%$605M+9.8%—
2025-09-30$4.71B+7.8%$976M+8.8%$726M+9.1%$0.85
2025-06-30$4.53B$914M$669M$0.78
2025-03-31$4.14B$741M$538M$0.62
2024-12-31 †$4.1B$739M$551M—
2024-09-30$4.36B$897M$665M$0.76

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

57.8%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$3,461M × (1 − 21.5%) ÷ $4,702M × 100 = 57.8%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

7.11%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $76.79B ÷ ($76.79B + $6.02B) = 92.7%

e.g.Debt weight: $6.02B ÷ ($76.79B + $6.02B) = 7.3%

e.g.WACC: 7.4% × 92.7% + 3.9% × (1 − 21.5%) × 7.3% = 7.11%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+50.7pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 6 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 5.9%–8.7% and ROIC − WACC runs +49.0 to +51.9 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 7.11% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.45 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.02), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
7.43%
Cost of debt
3.91%
Tax rate
21.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
93% : 7%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 7.11%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.45 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.17, R² 0.02, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.174 + 0.33 = 0.446

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity7.43%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.45 × 5.5% = 7.4%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$76.79B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$6.02B
Cost of debt3.91%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)93% : 7%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

5.2%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.1% − 1.9%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-7.6%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+8.9%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $1.59B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $83.39B = market cap $77.57B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $6.02B − cash and short-term investments $194M; r = WACC of 7.1% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.45, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$83.85B

FCF $1.59B ÷ (7.1% − 5.2%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.1%6.1%7.1%8.1%9.1%
0%0.37x0.31x0.27x0.24x0.21x
2%0.62x0.47x0.37x0.31x0.27x
4%1.74x0.91x0.62x0.47x0.37x
6%—19.11x1.74x0.91x0.62x
8%———19.11x1.74x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.37x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -1.4%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 107%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 7 → 8 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-27

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$2,762M ÷ $2,538M = 1.09x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$3,461M ÷ $3,240M × 100 = 107%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($357M + $390M) ÷ 2 ÷ $17,782M × 365 = 8 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($5,096M + $5,731M) ÷ 2 ÷ $8,608M × 365 = 230 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
88.5%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
11.5%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
216 of 416

1 = most institutional; 52% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.45

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 716.0M shares reported by 1,661 13F filers ÷ 809.0M shares outstanding on 2026-08-03. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-27 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-08-03)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Consistent growth

    Sales rose every year from $11,604M (2020) to $17,782M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Dual market strategy

    Balanced roughly 50/50 between DIY and professional customers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Share repurchases

    Shares outstanding fell from about 1,067M (2020, split-adjusted) to 842M (2025).

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Negative equity

    Shareholders’ deficit of $763M at end-2025 after repurchases.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Rising debt

    Long-term debt grew to $6,017M at end-2025; $850M notes in March and $1.6B in August 2026.

    Evidence: Form 8-K (2026-08-14) — Item 1.01 $1.6B senior notes

  3. 3. Labor turnover

    Competes with other retailers for hourly workers, which have historically high turnover.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

30.7x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

—

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

2.1%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Steady compounding

    Sales and EPS grew every year 2020–2025.

    What has to hold
    Aftermarket demand stays resilient.
    The other side
    Valuation and competition.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Buybacks

    Cumulative repurchase authorization $29.8B.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow supports continued buybacks.
    The other side
    Negative equity and rising debt.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Per-share data for 2020–2023 adjusted for the June 2025 15-for-1 split. Book value per share is negative from 2021.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

—

$194M vs. —

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

14.7x

$3.46B vs. $235M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

—

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating incomeNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income rose every year from $1,752M (2020) to $2,538M (2025).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
Med
245
13
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Intense competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with AutoZone, Advance Auto Parts, NAPA, dealers and online retailers such as Amazon.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Demand & macro

    Driving and vehicle trends

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Miles driven, vehicle age and new vehicle technologies (including EVs) affect demand.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Labor & workforce

    Hourly labor

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Recruiting and retaining team members in a competitive labor market.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  4. 4Funding & liquidity

    Debt-funded buybacks

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Repurchases are partly financed with debt.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Supply chain

    Product sourcing

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Reliance on suppliers, including imports subject to tariffs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Comparable store sales growth.
  • Professional customer share gains.
  • New store openings in Mexico and Canada.
  • Leverage and buybacks.

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 31, 2026 02:01 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 27, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-27Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent O'Reilly Automotive’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.