KabuDo

NYSE: SPG · Retail REITs

Simon Property Group

Simon Property Group, an Indianapolis REIT, owns malls, Premium Outlets and The Mills: 212 U.S. income-producing properties at the end of 2025, plus international holdings and a 22.2% stake in Klépierre. 2025 revenue was $6,365M, of which lease income $5,839M. Net income jumped to $5,364M because of a $2.9B non-cash gain when it bought the remaining 12% of The Taubman Realty Group on October 31, 2025. U.S. occupancy was 96.4%.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 4, 2026 15:27 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-2510-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-06Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
6.7%

Higher than 38% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
49.9%

Higher than 97% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+0.7 pts

Higher than 38% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
6.0x

Higher than 93% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
0.77x

Higher than 3% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
4 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
15.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

Beta
0.76

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$225.16close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$85.24B

P/E today
15.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 13.1x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-06-30

P/B today
—

At FY2025 year-end: —

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
24.5x

At FY2025 year-end: 21.2x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
3.8%

At FY2025 year-end: 4.6%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
3.8%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026.

These figures are behind: a newer quarter was reported on Nov 5, 2026, but SEC's structured data doesn't include it yet. Read the release ↗

  • Revenue↑ +19.5%$1.5B → $1.79B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −3.6 pts49.7% → 46.0% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −10.8%$644M → $574M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −12.4%$1.70 → $1.49 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +87.7%$543M → $1.02B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +1.6%$28.25B → $28.7B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Aug 10, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Raised 2026 Real Estate FFO outlook, with a range starting at $13.20 per share. Source sentence
The Company is increasing its outlook for full year 2026 Real Estate FFO per diluted share to $13.20 to $13.30, an increase of $0.08 per diluted share at the midpoint.

Key changes

  • Real Estate FFO $1.249B, or $3.29 per share. Source sentence
    Real Estate Funds From Operations (“Real Estate FFO”) was $1.249 billion, or $3.29 per diluted share as compared to $1.154 billion, or $3.05 per diluted share in the prior year, an increase of 7.9%.
  • Domestic NOI up 8.5%. Source sentence
    Domestic property Net Operating Income (“NOI”) increased 8.5% and portfolio NOI increased 8.3% compared to the prior year period.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC.
Headquarters
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
Incorporated in
Indiana
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: SPG
Industry
Retail REITs
CIK
1063761

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    3,600

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 33–36 days after quarter end (Feb 2, 2026; Feb 4, 2025; Feb 5, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 32–42 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 5, 2026 (+36 days)Nov 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 10, 2026 (+41 days)Aug 10, 2026 10-Q (+41 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 11, 2026 (+41 days)May 11, 2026 10-Q (+41 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 2, 2026 (+33 days)Feb 25, 2026 10-K (+56 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 3, 2025 (+34 days)Nov 6, 2025 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Aug 4, 2025 (+35 days)Aug 7, 2025 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 12, 2025 (+42 days)May 12, 2025 10-Q (+42 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 4, 2025 (+35 days)Feb 21, 2025 10-K (+52 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 1, 2024 (+32 days)Nov 8, 2024 10-Q (+39 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 5, 2024 (+36 days)Aug 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 6, 2024 (+36 days)May 7, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 5, 2024 (+36 days)Feb 22, 2024 10-K (+53 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Properties

    Malls

    108 malls in the U.S.

  • Properties

    Premium Outlets

    70 Premium Outlets in the U.S.

  • Properties

    The Mills

    16 Mills in the U.S.

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

No market share figure is stated in the 10-K.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. Q2 2026 results

    Revenue $1,791M (vs $1,498M); net income to common $483M (vs $556M).

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  2. TRG Acquisition

    Bought the remaining 12% on October 31, 2025; a $2.9B remeasurement gain.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.66x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$934M ÷ $1,426M = 0.66x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $484M in FY2020 to $934M in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$6.36B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+6.7%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($6,365M ÷ $4,608M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 6.7%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

49.9%▲favorable

+7.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$3,175M ÷ $6,365M × 100 = 49.9%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

131.6%▲favorable

6-year average: 84.3%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

—

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

21.2x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($70,074M + $28,430M − $823M) ÷ ($3,175M + $1,426M) = 21.2x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +6.7% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $4.61B in FY2020 to $6.36B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 42.8% → 49.9%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +7.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 12.8% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 84.3% over 6 years (latest: 131.6%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Leases space in malls, outlets and mixed-use destinations to retail, dining and entertainment tenants and earns fees from managing properties.

How money and goods flow at Simon Property Group
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • 212 U.S. income-producing properties
    • About 188.4M sq ft of U.S. GLA
    • About 3,600 employees
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Leasing and operating properties
    • Redevelopment and mixed-use projects
    • Platform investments such as Catalyst Brands and Rue Gilt Groupe
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Retail, dining and entertainment tenants
    • No tenant at 5% or more of revenue
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Revenue $6,365M (2025)
    • Lease income $5,839M
    • Management fees $144M; other income $381M

How the business makes money

  • Ending occupancy 96.4%, base minimum rent $60.97 psf for U.S. malls and outlets.
  • Must pay minimum dividends as a REIT.
  • Debt $28,430M at end of 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Simon’s tax status depends on REIT distribution rules.

  • Approvals & licenses

    REIT rules

    Must pay a minimum amount of dividends to keep REIT status.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Lease income

    5,839.2 (92%)
  • Other income

    380.9 (6%)
  • Management fees and other

    144.4 (2%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) Revenue types; no separate operating segments are shown.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Klépierre

    22.2% equity stake in the Paris-based shopping center company.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Pending or recent acquisition

    The Taubman Realty Group

    Remaining 12% bought October 31, 2025.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Catalyst Brands

    Interest in the retail operator.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Capital tie / equity stake

    Rue Gilt Groupe

    E-commerce venture that operates shop.simon.com.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Retail, dining and entertainment tenants.

Named by the company

What the filings disclose

Suppliers

Not a material disclosure in the 10-K.

Named by the company

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K describes competing channels without naming direct rivals beyond discounters.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Compensation peer group from the 2026 proxy statement.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue4,6085,1175,2915,6595,9646,365
Operating income1,9722,4132,5842,8073,0933,175
Net income (attributable)1,2772,5692,4522,6172,7295,364
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—11.1%3.4%6.9%5.4%6.7%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10042.8%47.2%48.8%49.6%51.9%49.9%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10027.7%50.2%46.3%46.2%45.8%84.3%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets34,78733,77733,01134,28332,40640,606
Total equity3,4723,8533,6123,4923,4156,472
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable26,72325,32124,96026,03324,26428,430
Equity ratio8.7%10.0%9.5%8.8%9.1%12.8%
ROE42.0%80.3%75.5%84.9%91.5%131.6%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF2,3273,6373,7673,9313,8154,137
Investing CF-3,978-553-627-1,3631,408-1,601
Financing CF1,994-3,562-3,052-2,020-4,992-3,113
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures1,8433,1093,1173,1383,0593,202
Cash and equivalents1,0125346221,1691,400823
Per share & other
EPS ($)3.596.846.526.987.2614.17
Dividend per share ($)6.005.856.907.458.108.55
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100167.1%85.5%105.8%106.7%111.6%60.3%
P/E (x)23.823.418.020.423.713.1
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)17.023.118.019.320.121.2

Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-06-30$1.79B+19.5%$824M+10.7%$574M-10.8%$1.49
2026-03-31$1.76B+19.3%$762M+4.7%$569M+19.0%$1.48
2025-12-31$1.79B+13.2%$891M+6.6%$3.54B+358.7%$9.35
2025-09-30$1.6B+8.2%$813M+5.9%$703M+28.5%$1.86
2025-06-30$1.5B$744M$644M$1.70
2025-03-31$1.47B$728M$478M$1.27
2024-12-31$1.58B$836M$772M$2.04
2024-09-30$1.48B$768M$547M$1.46

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

8.0%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$3,175M × (1 − 21%) ÷ $31,291M × 100 = 8.0%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

7.28%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $70.07B ÷ ($70.07B + $28.43B) = 71.1%

e.g.Debt weight: $28.43B ÷ ($70.07B + $28.43B) = 28.9%

e.g.WACC: 9.1% × 71.1% + 3.4% × (1 − 21%) × 28.9% = 7.28%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+0.7pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 3 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 6.1%–8.7% and ROIC − WACC runs −0.7 to +1.9 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 7.28% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.76 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
9.13%
Cost of debt
3.43%
Tax rate
21% (U.S. federal statutory rate (not enough data for an effective rate))
Capital structure (equity : debt)
71% : 29%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 7.28%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.76 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.64, R² 0.20, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.642 + 0.33 = 0.760

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity9.13%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.76 × 5.5% = 9.1%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$70.07B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$28.43B
Cost of debt3.43%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)71% : 29%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

4.4%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 7.3% − 2.8%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+11.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+6.7%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $3.2B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $112.84B = market cap $85.24B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $28.43B − cash and short-term investments $823M; r = WACC of 7.3% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.76, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$110.42B

FCF $3.2B ÷ (7.3% − 4.4%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.98x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r5.3%6.3%7.3%8.3%9.3%
0%0.54x0.45x0.39x0.34x0.31x
2%0.86x0.66x0.54x0.45x0.39x
4%2.18x1.23x0.86x0.66x0.54x
6%—9.46x2.18x1.23x0.86x
8%———9.46x2.18x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.41x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): 3.4%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$4,137M ÷ $5,364M = 0.77x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Will appear once 13F holdings have been tallied for this company.

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. High occupancy

    Ending occupancy 96.4% for U.S. malls and outlets.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Rent growth

    Average base minimum rent rose 4.7% to $60.97 psf.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Dividend growth

    Dividends rose from $5.85 (2021) to $8.55 (2025) per share.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. High leverage

    Debt of $28,430M against revenue of $6,365M.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Gain-driven profit

    2025 net income includes a $2.9B non-cash gain.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Online pressure

    Competes with internet retailing, including its own tenants.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

13.1x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

4.62%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

60%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

4.6%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Income

    Dividend $8.55 per share in 2025.

    What has to hold
    Occupancy stays high.
    The other side
    Debt costs rise.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Destination retail

    Own malls, outlets and mixed-use destinations.

    What has to hold
    Physical retail stays relevant.
    The other side
    Online competition.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

—

$823M vs. —

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

3.3x

$3.18B vs. $975M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

—

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating incomeNo decline in the record—

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • 2020 pandemic

    Net income fell to $1,277M in 2020 and revenue to $4,608M; it recovered to $2,569M in 2021.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
2
Med
4
3
1
Low
5
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Competition & technology shift

    Online retail

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Internet retail gives tenants options beyond physical stores.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  2. 2Funding & liquidity

    Debt and rates

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Depends on refinancing about $28B of debt.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    The Credit Facilities and the Commercial Paper program provide alternative sources of liquidity as our cash needs vary from time to time.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Demand & macro

    Retail tenants

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Results depend on tenant sales and occupancy.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Law & regulation

    REIT status

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Must meet distribution rules to stay a REIT.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Low
  5. 5M&A & integration

    Taubman integration

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Now owns all of TRG, consolidated from October 2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Low / Likelihood Med

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (3)

  • ● we may face construction delays or higher construction costs caused by potential increases in the cost of imported goods and materials due to threatened or implemented tariffs and international trade disputes, supply chain disruptions and/or shortages;

  • ● differences in cultures and consumer retail behavior may create operational complexity and result in inefficiencies ;

  • ● difficulties in managing international operations, in particular where our properties are held in joint ventures ;

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 21, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Occupancy and base rent.
  • Leverage after TRG.
  • FFO growth.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: November 4, 2026 15:27 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-25Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Simon Property Group’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.