KabuDo

NYSE: DAL · Passenger Airlines

Delta Air Lines

Delta Air Lines is a global network airline headquartered in Atlanta. Besides flying passengers, it earns revenue from its SkyMiles loyalty program, including $8.2 billion in 2025 from its American Express co-brand card partnership. It also has a maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) business, cargo, Delta Vacations, and an oil refinery that supplies jet fuel. 2025 revenue was $63.4 billion (+3%), led by premium cabins, and net income was $5.0 billion. Delta has paid down debt (to $13.3 billion from $25.1 billion in 2021) and reinstated its dividend in 2023. In 2026 it ordered 30 Boeing 787-10s and 31 Airbus widebodies. For the Q3 2026 results, Delta described fuel costs as among the most elevated in recent times.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 15, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1110-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-10-09

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
30.0%

Higher than 94% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
9.2%

Higher than 23% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
+4.9 pts

Higher than 56% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.1x

Higher than 38% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
1.67x

Higher than 56% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
3 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
17.0x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
1.10

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$85.54close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$55.87B

P/E today
17.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 9.1x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
2.7x

At FY2025 year-end: 2.2x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
7.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 6.6x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
6.9%

At FY2025 year-end: 8.5%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.8%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +21.1%$16.67B → $20.19B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −2.9 pts10.1% → 7.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −46.6%$1.42B → $756M (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −47.0%$2.17 → $1.15 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↓ −18.8%$4.67B → $3.79B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −6.2%$12.91B → $12.11B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
DELTA AIR LINES, INC.
Headquarters
ATLANTA, GA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: DAL
Industry
Passenger Airlines
CIK
27904

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    100,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 10–13 days after quarter end (Jan 13, 2026; Jan 10, 2025; Jan 12, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 8–13 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Oct 9, 2026 (+9 days)Oct 9, 2026 10-Q (+9 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 10, 2026 (+10 days)Jul 10, 2026 10-Q (+10 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 8, 2026 (+8 days)Apr 8, 2026 10-Q (+8 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Jan 13, 2026 (+13 days)Feb 11, 2026 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 9, 2025 (+9 days)Oct 9, 2025 10-Q (+9 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 10, 2025 (+10 days)Jul 10, 2025 10-Q (+10 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 9, 2025 (+9 days)Apr 9, 2025 10-Q (+9 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Jan 10, 2025 (+10 days)Feb 11, 2025 10-K (+42 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 10, 2024 (+10 days)Oct 10, 2024 10-Q (+10 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 11, 2024 (+11 days)Jul 11, 2024 10-Q (+11 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 10, 2024 (+10 days)Apr 10, 2024 10-Q (+10 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 12, 2024 (+12 days)Feb 12, 2024 10-K (+43 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Airline

    Premium products

    Examples: Delta One, First Class, Delta Premium Select, Comfort+

  • Airline

    SkyMiles

    Examples: Co-brand cards with American Express

    Members redeemed about 35M award tickets.

  • Other

    MRO, cargo, Delta Vacations

From the FY2025 Form 10-K, Item 1.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share figure for the company's products or services.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

2026 developments.

  1. Fleet orders

    Delta ordered 30 Boeing 787-10s (deliveries from 2031) and 16 A330-900s plus 15 A350-900s (deliveries from 2029), within its capex targets.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2026-01-13 and 2026-01-27

  2. Leadership changes

    President Glen Hauenstein retired February 2026; Peter Carter became President and Erik Snell CFO on April 1, 2026.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2025-12-17 and 2026-03-05

  3. Q3 2026

    Record September-quarter revenue and pre-tax profit of $1.5B; December-quarter revenue expected to grow about 20%.

    Source: Q3 2026 press release

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

1.84x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$4,499M ÷ $2,443M = 1.84x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.9B in FY2020 to $4.5B in FY2025

  • Capex

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$63.36B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+30.0%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($63,364M ÷ $17,095M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 30.0%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

9.2%▲favorable

+82.1pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$5,822M ÷ $63,364M × 100 = 9.2%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

27.7%▲favorable

6-year average: -111.0%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

2.17x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$69.40 ÷ $31.93 = 2.17x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

6.6x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($45,330M + $13,308M − $4,310M) ÷ ($5,822M + $2,443M) = 6.6x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +30.0% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $17.1B in FY2020 to $63.36B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: -72.9% → 9.2%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +82.1 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 25.6% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ―

    Free cash flow was positive in 4 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▼

    ROE averaged -111.0% over 6 years (latest: 27.7%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Airline

Scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, with hubs including Atlanta, international joint ventures, premium cabins and the SkyMiles loyalty program.

Airline: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Fleet, more than 100,000 employees, jet fuel
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Flights, loyalty program, MRO
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Leisure and corporate travelers; American Express (mile purchases)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Passenger revenue $51.8B
    • Other (loyalty, MRO, refinery) $10.7B
    • Cargo $0.9B

Airline: how it makes money

  • Premium yield growth outpaced the main cabin.
  • American Express remuneration of $8.2B in 2025, which Delta expects to grow to $10B.

Refinery

Monroe's Trainer refinery near Philadelphia (about 200,000 barrels/day) supplies jet fuel to Delta's northeastern operations, including New York hubs; Delta owns it to mitigate the refining margin in jet fuel prices.

Refinery: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Crude oil
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Refining
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Delta airline; third parties
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Fuel and product sales

Refinery: how it makes money

  • Third-party refinery sales are excluded from Delta's adjusted unit revenue (TRASM).

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Delta lost antitrust immunity for its Aeroméxico joint venture and faces PFAS rules.

  • Approvals & licenses

    DOT antitrust immunity

    DOT terminated antitrust immunity for its Aeroméxico joint cooperation agreement on September 15, 2025.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Environmental rules

    PFAS rules

    EPA designated certain PFAS as hazardous substances under CERCLA in 2024.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Activities

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Passenger

    51,768 (82%)
  • Other (loyalty, MRO, refinery, etc.)

    10,696 (17%)
  • Cargo

    900 (1%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — operating revenue table Revenue lines; Delta reports airline and refinery segments.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

Delta's most significant contract to sell miles is its co-brand credit card relationship with American Express.

  • American Express co-brand

    $8.2B of remuneration in 2025

    Typical term: Long-term

    Delta expects $10B over the next few years.

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Business partnership

    American Express

    Co-brand credit card relationship; Delta's most significant mile-sales contract.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1

  • Joint venture

    Aeroméxico, Air France-KLM, China Eastern, LATAM, Korean Air, Virgin Atlantic, WestJet

    International alliances, the most significant being commercial joint ventures or cooperation agreements with joint sales.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Leisure and corporate travelers; American Express buys miles.

Named by the company

Suppliers

Aircraft from Boeing and Airbus; engines from GE and Rolls-Royce on recent orders; crude oil for the Trainer refinery from various providers.

Named by the company

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The proxy defines an industry peer group of United, American, Southwest, Alaska and JetBlue (plus Delta) for unit revenue comparisons.

Competitors named in the 10-K

U.S. airlines (industry peer group)

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-24) — industry peer group

Peer group the company chose

Compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Three major U.S. airlines and 18 companies from logistics, consumer, retail, hospitality, aerospace/defense and technology; unchanged from 2024.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-24)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue17,09529,89950,58258,04861,64363,364
Operating income-12,4691,8863,6615,5215,9955,822
Pretax income-15,5873981,9145,6084,6586,185
Net income (attributable)-12,3852801,3184,6093,4575,005
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—74.9%69.2%14.8%6.2%2.8%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 100-72.9%6.3%7.2%9.5%9.7%9.2%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100-72.4%0.9%2.6%7.9%5.6%7.9%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets71,99672,45972,28873,64475,37281,317
Total equity1,5343,8876,58211,10515,29320,853
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable27,97425,08421,38118,61015,34713,308
Equity ratio2.1%5.4%9.1%15.1%20.3%25.6%
ROE-807.4%10.3%25.2%52.1%26.2%27.7%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF-3,7933,2646,3636,4648,0258,342
Investing CF-9,238-898-6,924-3,148-3,739-4,186
Financing CF19,356-3,852-4,535-3,394-4,260-3,076
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures-5,69217-31,1412,8853,843
Cash and equivalents8,3077,9333,2662,7413,0694,310
Per share & other
EPS ($)-19.490.442.067.175.337.66
BVPS ($)2.406.0710.2617.2623.6631.93
Dividend per share ($)0.400.000.000.200.500.68
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 100—0.0%0.0%2.8%9.4%8.8%
P/E (x)—88.816.05.611.49.1
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)—10.96.85.36.06.6
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share16.736.433.202.332.562.17

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$20.19B+21.1%$1.45B-13.7%$756M-46.6%$1.15
2026-06-30$19.76B+18.7%$1.86B-11.3%$1.6B-24.7%$2.44
2026-03-31$15.85B+12.9%$501M-12.0%−$289M-220.4%$-0.44
2025-12-31 †$16B+2.8%$1.47B-14.6%$1.22B+44.5%—
2025-09-30$16.67B$1.68B$1.42B$2.17
2025-06-30$16.65B$2.1B$2.13B$3.27
2025-03-31$14.04B$569M$240M$0.37
2024-12-31 †$15.56B$1.72B$843M—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

14.3%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$5,822M × (1 − 20.5%) ÷ $32,401M × 100 = 14.3%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

9.42%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $45.33B ÷ ($45.33B + $13.31B) = 77.3%

e.g.Debt weight: $13.31B ÷ ($45.33B + $13.31B) = 22.7%

e.g.WACC: 11.0% × 77.3% + 5.1% × (1 − 20.5%) × 22.7% = 9.42%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+4.9pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 4 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 7.9%–11.3% and ROIC − WACC runs +3.0 to +6.4 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 9.42% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
11.00%
Cost of debt
5.10%
Tax rate
20.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
77% : 23%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 9.42%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.10 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 1.15, R² 0.19, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 1.150 + 0.33 = 1.100

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity11.00%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.1 × 5.5% = 11.0%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$45.33B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$13.31B
Cost of debt5.10%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)77% : 23%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

3.5%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 9.4% − 5.9%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

—

Not computable (FCF not positive in both years)

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+30.0%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $3.84B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $64.87B = market cap $55.87B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $13.31B − cash and short-term investments $4.31B; r = WACC of 9.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.10, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$65.14B

FCF $3.84B ÷ (9.4% − 3.5%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.00x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r7.4%8.4%9.4%10.4%11.4%
0%0.80x0.71x0.63x0.57x0.52x
2%1.10x0.93x0.80x0.71x0.63x
4%1.74x1.35x1.10x0.93x0.80x
6%4.23x2.47x1.74x1.35x1.10x
8%—14.81x4.23x2.47x1.74x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 4.38x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -4.3%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 94%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 30 → 17 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-11

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$8,342M ÷ $5,005M = 1.67x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$5,822M ÷ $6,185M × 100 = 94%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($3,224M + $2,850M) ÷ 2 ÷ $63,364M × 365 = 17 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
88.3%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
11.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
220 of 416

1 = most institutional; 53% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.10

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 580.7M shares reported by 1,515 13F filers ÷ 657.6M shares outstanding on 2026-06-30. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table (percentage computed from the group’s share count ÷ shares outstanding); includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-24 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-06-30)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Loyalty economics

    American Express remuneration of $8.2B in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Balance sheet repair

    Interest-bearing debt fell from $25.1B (2021) to $13.3B (2025).

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

  3. 3. Premium demand

    2025 revenue growth was driven by premium products and corporate customers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Fuel sensitivity

    Delta cited a highly elevated fuel environment in 2026; full-year EPS outlook is $5.10–5.60, below 2025's $7.66.

    Evidence: Q3 2026 press release

  2. 2. Thin unit revenue growth

    Adjusted TRASM fell 1% in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

9.1x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

0.97%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

9%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

8.5%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Resilient earnings

    Pre-tax profit held flat in Q3 2026 despite high fuel.

    What has to hold
    Demand stays strong.
    The other side
    Airlines are cyclical.

    Evidence: Q3 2026 press release

  2. 2. Dividend growth

    Dividend rose from $0.20 (2023) to $0.675 (2025).

    What has to hold
    Cash flow supports it.
    The other side
    Debt reduction is prioritized.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

Interest expense is reported net of interest income; 2021 is not filled.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

3.1x

$4.31B vs. $1.37B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

8.6x

$5.82B vs. $679M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

8.7x

$3.84B vs. $440M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-2.9% in FY2025 ($6B → $5.82B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Liquidity

    New $2.65B revolving credit facility (undrawn) in June 2026.

    Source: 8-K filed 2026-06-12

  • Diversified revenue

    Loyalty, MRO and refinery revenue add to passenger income.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
234
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Raw materials & energy

    Jet fuel prices

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fuel is a major cost; 2026 results reflect elevated fuel prices.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Ownership of the Trainer refinery to mitigate refining margin costs.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Demand & macro

    Travel demand

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Airline demand is sensitive to the economy.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  3. 3Labor & workforce

    Labor costs

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Delta pays large profit sharing ($1.3B for 2025).
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Supply chain

    Aircraft and engine supply

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Fleet plans depend on Boeing, Airbus and engine makers.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Fuel prices.
  • Premium and loyalty revenue growth.
  • Debt reduction (more than $2B planned in 2026).
  • Leadership transition (new President Peter Carter, CFO Erik Snell).

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 15, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 11, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-11

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Delta Air Lines’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.