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NYSE: CVS · Health Care Services

CVS Health

CVS Health combines health insurance (Aetna, more than 37 million people), a pharmacy benefit manager (CVS Caremark, about 87 million plan members), health care delivery (Oak Street primary care, MinuteClinic) and about 9,000 retail pharmacy locations. 2025 revenue was $402.1 billion (+7.8%). GAAP net income fell to $1.8 billion because of a $5.7 billion goodwill impairment in the Health Care Delivery reporting unit and $1.2 billion of legacy litigation charges, including Omnicare False Claims Act penalties. Adjusted operating income rose to $14.4 billion as the Health Care Benefits segment recovered. In August 2026 CVS raised its 2026 guidance to GAAP EPS of $6.84–7.04.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1010-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-04

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
8.4%

Higher than 50% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
1.2%

Higher than 6% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-3.9 pts

Higher than 14% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
5.8x

Higher than 92% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
6.02x

Higher than 95% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
9.4x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

Beta
0.59

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$81.22close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$103.23B

P/E today
9.4x

At FY2025 year-end: 57.1x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-09-30

P/B today
1.4x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.3x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
17.0x

At FY2025 year-end: 16.9x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
7.6%

At FY2025 year-end: 7.7%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
3.3%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +5.4%$102.87B → $108.4B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +6.4 pts-3.1% → 3.3% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ $2.17B−$3.98B → $2.17B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ $1.68$-3.13 → $1.68 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +3.6%$11.33B → $11.74B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Nov 4, 2026.

Management outlook ↑ Raised

Increased 2026 EPS and cash flow guidance. Source sentence
The Company is increasing its full-year 2026 GAAP diluted EPS, Adjusted EPS and cash flow from operations guidance to reflect increases in the Health Care Benefits and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments, while maintaining a cautious view for the remainder of the year in light of continued elevated cost trends and the potential for macro headwinds.

Key changes

  • Adjusted EPS guidance now at least $8.20, from $7.90–$8.10. Source sentence
    ◦ Adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.20 from a range of $7.90 to $8.10
  • Q3 revenues up 5.4% to $108.4B. Source sentence
    Third quarter total revenues increased to $108.4 billion, up 5.4% year-over-year
  • Adjusted EPS $2.09 versus $1.60. Source sentence
    Adjusted EPS of $2.09 increased from $1.60 in the prior year, primarily due to improved adjusted operating income in the Health Care Benefits segment, reflecting continued execution of its margin recovery plan.

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
CVS HEALTH Corp
Headquarters
WOONSOCKET, RI
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: CVS
Industry
Health Care Services
CIK
64803

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    300,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 38–43 days after quarter end (Feb 10, 2026; Feb 12, 2025; Feb 7, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 29–43 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 4, 2026 (+35 days)Nov 4, 2026 10-Q (+35 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Aug 5, 2026 (+36 days)Aug 5, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026May 6, 2026 (+36 days)May 6, 2026 10-Q (+36 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 10, 2026 (+41 days)Feb 10, 2026 10-K (+41 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Oct 29, 2025 (+29 days)Oct 29, 2025 10-Q (+29 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 31, 2025 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025May 1, 2025 (+31 days)May 1, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 12, 2025 (+43 days)Feb 12, 2025 10-K (+43 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Nov 6, 2024 (+37 days)Nov 6, 2024 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Aug 7, 2024 (+38 days)Aug 7, 2024 10-Q (+38 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024May 1, 2024 (+31 days)May 1, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Feb 7, 2024 (+38 days)Feb 7, 2024 10-K (+38 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Health Care Benefits

    Aetna

    Examples: Medicare Advantage, PDP, commercial, Medicaid

    37M+ people.

  • Health Services

    CVS Caremark, Oak Street Health, MinuteClinic

    About 87M PBM members; 1,000+ clinics.

  • Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness

    CVS Pharmacy

    Examples: Retail and Target-store pharmacies

    About 9,000 locations.

Brand names and counts are from the FY2025 Form 10-K.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

The filings reviewed give no market share figure for the company's products or services. It calls itself "a leading health solutions company" and ExtraCare one of the largest U.S. retail loyalty programs, without share figures.

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2025) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

2025–2026 developments.

  1. Omnicare deconsolidation

    Omnicare (long-term care pharmacy) and related subsidiaries were deconsolidated in September 2025 after a subsidiary bankruptcy; CVS recorded a $483M gain on deconsolidation.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Q2 2026

    Revenue rose 7.3% to $106.1B and GAAP EPS was $2.31; full-year guidance was raised.

    Source: Q2 2026 press release

  3. Governance

    CEO David Joyner became Chair on January 1, 2026; director Larry Robbins resigned in August 2026.

    Source: 8-Ks filed 2025-11-20 and 2026-08-17

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.61x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$2,832M ÷ $4,606M = 0.61x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$18.29B

Latest year: $436M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $2.44B in FY2020 to $2.83B in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$402.07B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+8.4%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($402,067M ÷ $268,706M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 8.4%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

1.2%▼caution

-4.0pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$4,660M ÷ $402,067M × 100 = 1.2%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

2.3%▼caution

6-year average: 7.8%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.34x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$79.36 ÷ $59.18 = 1.34x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

16.9x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($100,867M + $64,570M − $8,453M) ÷ ($4,660M + $4,606M) = 16.9x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +8.4% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $268.71B in FY2020 to $402.07B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 5.2% → 1.2%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -4.0 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▼

    Equity ratio is 29.7% (relatively heavy reliance on debt)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ―

    ROE averaged 7.8% over 6 years (latest: 2.3%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Health Care Benefits (Aetna)

Commercial, Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, Part D and Medicaid health plans.

Health Care Benefits (Aetna): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Premiums and provider networks
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Insurance underwriting, medical management
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Employers, individuals, government programs (CMS, states)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Premiums and fees ($143.4B)

Health Care Benefits (Aetna): how it makes money

  • Adjusted operating income recovered from $307M (2024) to $2.94B (2025).
  • More than 81% of MA members are in plans rated 4+ stars for 2026, down from 88%.

Health Services (Caremark, care delivery)

PBM services (plan design, formulary, pharmacy networks, specialty and mail pharmacy) plus clinics, virtual and in-home care.

Health Services (Caremark, care delivery): how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Drug purchasing, pharmacy network
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Claims processing (1.9B in 2025)
    • Specialty pharmacy, primary care
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Employers, health plans, government
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • PBM and pharmacy revenue ($190.4B)

Health Services (Caremark, care delivery): how it makes money

  • Adjusted operating income $7.15B in 2025.

Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness

About 9,000 retail locations (including pharmacies in Target stores) selling prescriptions and front-store products.

Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness: how money and goods flow
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • Retail stores
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Dispensing, front-store retail
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Consumers
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Pharmacy (over 75% of segment revenue) and front store ($139.4B)

Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness: how it makes money

  • Adjusted operating income $6.04B in 2025.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

CVS faces state pharmacy pricing laws, IRA Part D changes and Medicare/Medicaid challenges.

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Pharmacy pricing legislation

    Multiple states regulate its ability to manage pricing practices.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    IRA Part D changes

    The IRA shifts more Part D costs to plans.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Government as customer

    Government programs and contracts

    Faces unique regulatory challenges in Medicare and Medicaid.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue, margin = segment profit ÷ segment revenue × 100

  • Health Services

    190,425 (40%)

    profit 7,151 · margin 3.8%

  • Health Care Benefits

    143,354 (30%)

    profit 2,939 · margin 2.1%

  • Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness

    139,367 (29%)

    profit 6,040 · margin 4.3%

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — segment reconciliation Profit is segment adjusted operating income (non-GAAP). Intersegment eliminations of $71.6B and Corporate/Other (−$1.7B) not shown.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

  • Business partnership

    Target

    CVS operates pharmacies inside Target stores.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

12

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Employers, individuals, health plans, CMS and state governments, and retail consumers.

Named by the company

The 10-K names no single significant customer.

Suppliers

Drug manufacturers, wholesalers and provider networks.

Named by the company

The 10-K doesn't name suppliers.

13

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K names PBM competitors and describes health plan competition.

Competitors named in the 10-K

PBM

Express Scripts (Cigna) and Optum Rx (UnitedHealth Group).

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) — Item 1, Competition

Peer group the company chose

2025 Compensation Peer Group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

19 diversified companies; unchanged in 2025. Walgreens became private in August 2025.

Source: Proxy statement (DEF 14A, filed 2026-04-03)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

14

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue268,706292,111322,467357,776372,809402,067
Operating income13,91113,3107,95413,7438,5164,660
Pretax income9,77010,5375,83611,1736,1482,136
Net income (attributable)7,1798,0014,3118,3444,6141,768
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—8.7%10.4%10.9%4.2%7.8%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1005.2%4.6%2.5%3.8%2.3%1.2%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1002.7%2.7%1.3%2.3%1.2%0.4%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets230,715232,999228,275249,728253,215253,538
Total equity69,70175,07571,76976,63675,73075,382
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable59,20751,97152,25761,61066,27064,570
Equity ratio30.1%32.2%31.3%30.6%29.8%29.7%
ROE10.3%11.1%5.9%11.3%6.1%2.3%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF15,86518,26516,17713,4269,10710,639
Investing CF-5,534-5,261-5,047-20,889-7,613-5,871
Financing CF-7,696-11,356-10,5162,683-1,135-4,940
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures13,42815,74513,45010,3956,3267,807
Cash and equivalents7,8549,40812,9458,1968,5868,453
Per share & other
EPS ($)5.466.023.266.473.661.39
BVPS ($)52.9756.7954.9859.3659.9759.18
Dividend per share ($)2.002.002.202.422.662.66
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 10036.6%33.2%67.5%37.4%72.7%191.4%
P/E (x)12.517.128.612.212.357.1
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)7.710.113.28.68.716.9
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share1.291.821.701.330.751.34

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Periods below 1x are shown in red. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-09-30$108.4B+5.4%$3.57B$2.17B$1.68
2026-06-30$106.1B+7.3%$4.7B+97.5%$2.98B+191.8%$2.31
2026-03-31$100.43B+6.2%$4.68B+38.7%$2.94B+65.4%$2.30
2025-12-31 †$105.69B+8.2%$2.11B-10.8%$2.94B+79.0%—
2025-09-30$102.87B−$3.21B−$3.98B$-3.13
2025-06-30$98.92B$2.38B$1.02B$0.80
2025-03-31$94.59B$3.37B$1.78B$1.41
2024-12-31 †$97.71B$2.37B$1.64B—

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

15

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

2.5%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$4,660M × (1 − 24.5%) ÷ $140,976M × 100 = 2.5%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

6.42%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $100.87B ÷ ($100.87B + $64.57B) = 61.0%

e.g.Debt weight: $64.57B ÷ ($100.87B + $64.57B) = 39.0%

e.g.WACC: 8.2% × 61.0% + 4.8% × (1 − 24.5%) × 39.0% = 6.42%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-3.9pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 3 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 5.5%–7.6% and ROIC − WACC runs −5.1 to −3.0 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 6.42% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.59 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.03), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
8.20%
Cost of debt
4.83%
Tax rate
24.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
61% : 39%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 6.42%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.59 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.39, R² 0.03, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.392 + 0.33 = 0.593

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity8.20%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.59 × 5.5% = 8.2%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$100.87B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$64.57B
Cost of debt4.83%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)61% : 39%

16

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

1.5%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 6.4% − 5.0%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-10.3%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+8.4%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $7.81B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $157.2B = market cap $103.23B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $64.57B − cash and short-term investments $10.6B; r = WACC of 6.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.59, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$159.33B

FCF $7.81B ÷ (6.4% − 1.5%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

1.01x

Above 1x: these assumptions value the business above the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r4.4%5.4%6.4%7.4%8.4%
0%1.13x0.92x0.78x0.67x0.59x
2%2.07x1.46x1.13x0.92x0.78x
4%12.42x3.55x2.07x1.46x1.13x
6%——12.42x3.55x2.07x
8%————12.42x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

17

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 2.97x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): -3.5%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 218%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 30 → 35 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-10

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$10,639M ÷ $1,768M = 6.02x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$4,660M ÷ $2,136M × 100 = 218%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($36,469M + $39,779M) ÷ 2 ÷ $402,067M × 365 = 35 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($18,107M + $19,246M) ÷ 2 ÷ $221,167M × 365 = 31 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

18

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
89.2%
Directors & officers (shares)
<1%
Everyone else (est.)
10.8%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
<1%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
204 of 416

1 = most institutional; 49% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.59

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 1,140.6M shares reported by 2,064 13F filers ÷ 1,279.0M shares outstanding on 2026-07-29. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-04-03 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-07-29)

19

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Integrated scale

    Insurance, PBM, care delivery and retail under one company; revenue of $402B.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Insurance recovery

    Health Care Benefits adjusted operating income rose nearly tenfold in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Raised outlook

    2026 guidance raised in August 2026; operating cash flow guidance to at least $11.5B.

    Evidence: Q2 2026 press release

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Care delivery write-down

    A $5.7B goodwill impairment on Health Care Delivery in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025) MD&A

  2. 2. Litigation

    $1.2B of legacy litigation charges in 2025 (Omnicare False Claims Act case and PBM reporting case) plus opioid charges.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Thin net margin

    Net income was 0.4% of revenue in 2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

20

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

57.1x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

3.35%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

191%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

7.7%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Earnings recovery

    Adjusted EPS guidance of $7.90–8.10 for 2026.

    What has to hold
    Insurance margins keep improving.
    The other side
    Regulatory changes in Medicare and PBMs.

    Evidence: Q2 2026 press release

  2. 2. Dividend

    $2.66 per share in 2024 and 2025.

    What has to hold
    Cash flow covers it.
    The other side
    Dividend was flat in 2025.

    Evidence: SEC EDGAR XBRL

GAAP 2025 results include a $5.7B goodwill impairment and $1.2B of legacy litigation charges.

21

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

2.6x

$10.6B vs. $4.07B

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

1.5x

$4.66B vs. $3.12B

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

2.3x

$7.81B vs. $3.4B (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-45.3% in FY2025 ($8.52B → $4.66B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Diversification

    Three large segments with different economic drivers.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Cash flow

    Operating cash flow was $10.6B in 2025.

    Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL

23

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
1
Med
4
3
2
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Law & regulation

    Government programs and PBM regulation

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Medicare Advantage reimbursement depends on star ratings, and the Inflation Reduction Act changed Part D earnings patterns.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    PBM rivals include Express Scripts (Cigna), Optum Rx (UnitedHealth), Prime Therapeutics and MedImpact; health plans compete with Blue Cross plans and Original Medicare.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High
  3. 3Demand & macro

    Medical cost trends

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Higher utilization raises health care costs.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Funding & liquidity

    Debt

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Interest-bearing debt was about $64.6B at the end of 2025.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    The proxy cites the company's commitment to deleveraging.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Low

24

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (5)

  • • Our Health Care Benefits segment’s operating results and competitiveness is heavily impacted, in the case of Medicaid programs, by the sufficiency of the rates the states determine are actuarially sound based on experience from previous years. Such rate levels may not be representative of actual experience, and insufficient rates will negatively impact our revenues and operating results.

  • • Direct-to-consumer (“DTC”) sales of prescription drugs by pharmaceutical companies is a growing trend in the United States. Read more

    By implementing DTC sales platforms, pharmaceutical companies can advertise, or sell, their own branded drugs directly to patients, bypassing traditional distribution channels and intermediaries, including pharmacies and PBMs. DTC platforms may also increase demand for expensive, brand-name drugs that may not provide significant clinical benefit over more cost-effective alternatives. As a result, the DTC trend may increase overall health care costs for consumers and adversely impact the performance of the Company’s Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness and Health Services segments.

  • • State Medicaid agencies regularly audit, and state officials regularly investigate, the Company’s performance across all areas of its contractual obligations to the state to determine compliance and quality of services. Read more

    The Company may be subject to, among other penalties, significant fines, sanctions, corrective actions, and enrollment freezes depending on the findings of these audits and reviews. The Company’s ongoing performance and compliance with program requirements can impact our ability to expand and retain Medicaid business. State Medicaid agencies are also increasingly using the audit process to challenge the legality of PBM practices, such as guaranteed effective rate reconciliations with retail pharmacies and transmission fees.

  • • The “Working Families Tax Cut Act,” formerly the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” of 2025 makes changes to Medicaid eligibility rules and financing which will lead to reduced eligibility for Medicaid beneficiaries, particularly expansion populations, and reduced state funding, which will impact Medicaid benefits and payment rates. Given these changes, states that have not already done so are unlikely to consider Medicaid expansion.

  • The use of AI and related technology may also increase exposure to reputational, cybersecurity, data privacy, legal, regulatory and operational risks as AI technology rapidly evolves along with public opinion concerning the use of AI and the associated legal and regulatory framework. These risks include, but are not limited to, heightened exposure to cybersecurity incidents or the misuse of data during the integration of AI models and large data sets; increased potential liability and costs associated with complying with rapidly emerging regulatory frameworks; costs and competitive disadvantages associated with the failure to properly integrate AI into existing operations; and reputational harm caused by actual or perceived failures in the performance of AI or AI-related technology.

No longer in the text (4)

  • • If our suppliers or service providers fail to meet their contractual obligations to us or to comply with applicable laws or regulations, we may be exposed to brand and reputational harm, litigation and/or regulatory action.

  • • We may experience increased medical and other benefit costs, litigation risk and customer and member dissatisfaction when providers that do not have contracts with us render services to our Health Care Benefits members.

  • While the public health emergency related to COVID-19 expired in May 2023, COVID-19 still exists and it may, like many other respiratory viruses, wax and wane depending on geography and seasonality. Read more

    The future impact COVID-19 will have on the Company and its ability to accurately forecast health care and other benefit costs is uncertain, and will depend on geographies impacted, whether new variants emerge and their severity, the availability and costs of testing, vaccination and treatment, and legal and regulatory actions. COVID-19 may also impact provider behavior, utilization trends, membership, and overall economic conditions. These impacts could be adverse and material.

  • • The operating results and margins of our LTC business are further affected by the increased efforts of health care payors to negotiate reduced or capitated pricing arrangements and by the financial health of, and purchases and sales of, our LTC customers.

17 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2025 ↗.

25

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Medicare Advantage margins and star ratings.
  • PBM reform.
  • Health Care Delivery after the impairment.
  • Litigation outcomes.

26

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: November 6, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 17, 2026 10:07 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 10, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-10

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent CVS Health’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.