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NYSE: HUM · Managed Health Care

Humana

Humana, based in Louisville, Kentucky, is a health insurer focused on Medicare. At the end of 2025 it had about 15 million medical members and 4.7 million specialty-product members. Its Insurance segment ($123.8 billion of 2025 external revenue) sells Medicare Advantage, stand-alone Part D, Medicaid (state-based contracts) and military (TRICARE) plans plus a pharmacy benefit manager; individual Medicare Advantage alone was 70.3% of premiums and services revenue. Its CenterWell segment runs primary care, pharmacy and home health services, mostly for Humana's own members. 83% of 2025 premiums and services revenue came from federal government contracts. Revenue rose 10.1% to $129.7 billion in 2025, but higher medical costs cut net income to $1.19 billion (diluted EPS $9.84) from $3.37 billion in 2020. Lower Star Ratings for 2025 reduce its 2026 quality bonus payments from CMS, and Humana is appealing a court ruling against its challenge.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:35 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-1910-Q (quarter ended 2026-09-30) · filed 2026-11-06Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
10.9%

Higher than 67% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
2.1%

Higher than 8% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2025)

ROIC minus WACC
-1.1 pts

Higher than 24% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-2.2x

Higher than 3% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
0.78x

Higher than 3% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
0 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
41.8x

Latest close 2026-11-04; fiscal FY2025

Beta
0.91

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$411.93close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$49.68B

P/E today
41.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 26.0x

Earnings: fiscal FY2025

P/B today
2.8x

At FY2025 year-end: 1.7x

Book value at FY2025 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
12.4x

At FY2025 year-end: 11.5x

EBITDA for FY2025

FCF yield today
0.8%

At FY2025 year-end: 1.2%

Free cash flow for FY2025

Dividend yield today
0.9%

Dividends per share for FY2025

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026.

These figures are behind: a newer quarter was reported on Nov 6, 2026, but SEC's structured data doesn't include it yet. Read the release ↗

  • Revenue↑ +23.5%$32.11B → $39.65B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↓ −1.8 pts6.3% → 4.4% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↓ −4.7%$1.24B → $1.19B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↓ −4.6%$10.30 → $9.83 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +17.9%$4.2B → $4.95B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↓ −0.8%$12.37B → $12.27B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

From the earnings release of Jul 29, 2026.

Management outlook → Reaffirmed

Affirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $9.00. Source sentence
Affirms FY 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance of 'at least $9.00'; while revising GAAP EPS guidance to 'at least $6.52' from the previous estimate of 'at least $8.36'

Key changes

  • Q2 Insurance benefit ratio 91.2%. Source sentence
    2Q26 Insurance segment GAAP benefit ratio of 91.2 percent, in line with management's guidance of 'slightly above 91 percent'; affirms full year (FY) 2026 Insurance segment benefit ratio guidance of 92.75 percent, plus or minus 25 basis points

Written by AI. A line appears only if its figures and direction match the quoted sentence, which an automatic check confirms. Companies' outlooks are their own and may not be met. Read the release ↗

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
HUMANA INC
Headquarters
LOUISVILLE, KY
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
12/31
Exchange & ticker
NYSE: HUM
Industry
Managed Health Care
CIK
49071

Workforce (as of FY2025 year-end)

  • Employees

    67,060

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q4 FY2026

Quarter end: December 2026. In past years, Q4 results were released 25–42 days after quarter end (Feb 11, 2026; Feb 11, 2025; Jan 25, 2024). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around December 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 24–42 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026Nov 6, 2026 (+37 days)Nov 6, 2026 10-Q (+37 days)
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026Jul 29, 2026 (+29 days)Jul 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 29, 2026 (+29 days)Apr 29, 2026 10-Q (+29 days)
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025Feb 11, 2026 (+42 days)Feb 19, 2026 10-K (+50 days)
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025Nov 5, 2025 (+36 days)Nov 5, 2025 10-Q (+36 days)
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025Jul 30, 2025 (+30 days)Jul 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025Apr 30, 2025 (+30 days)Apr 30, 2025 10-Q (+30 days)
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 11, 2025 (+42 days)Feb 20, 2025 10-K (+51 days)
Q3 FY2024Sep 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024 (+30 days)Oct 30, 2024 10-Q (+30 days)
Q2 FY2024Jun 30, 2024Jul 31, 2024 (+31 days)Jul 31, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2024Mar 31, 2024Apr 24, 2024 (+24 days)Apr 24, 2024 10-Q (+24 days)
Q4 FY2023Dec 31, 2023Jan 25, 2024 (+25 days)Feb 15, 2024 10-K (+46 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Insurance

    Medicare Advantage

    Individual and group Medicare Advantage plans; individual MA was $90,403M of 2025 premiums (70.3% of consolidated premiums and services revenue).

  • Insurance

    Medicare Part D and Medicare Supplement

    Stand-alone prescription drug plans ($6,844M) and Medicare Supplement ($1,098M).

  • Insurance

    State-based contracts and military services

    Medicaid and dual-eligible plans under state contracts ($14,477M, about 10% of premiums and services revenue) and military services ($1,017M).

  • CenterWell

    CenterWell primary care, pharmacy and home health

    Primary care centers, pharmacy solutions and CenterWell Home Health, which the 10-K calls one of the nation’s largest home health providers (locations in 37 states).

From the Form 10-K, FY2025.

U.S., worldwide and country/regional share of flagship products/services

Only shares the company itself states (in its filings or press releases, sometimes citing a research firm) are shown. Scope and timing vary by figure — treat these as approximate.

  • CenterWell Home Health

    U.S. home health

    U.S. share

    One of the largest

    Company-disclosed

    “…CenterWell Home Health, one of the nation’s largest home health providers…”

    Worldwide share

    —

    Not disclosed

Sources:

No percentage share is given.

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. 2025 results

    Revenue $129,664M (+10.1%); income from operations $2,704M; diluted EPS $9.84.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. Q2 2026

    Revenue $40,867M versus $32,388M; net income attributable to Humana $694M versus $545M; diluted EPS $5.73.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  3. Star Ratings litigation

    On October 14, 2025 the court rejected Humana’s challenge to its 2025 Star Ratings; Humana appealed to the Fifth Circuit.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30) — Legal Proceedings and Certain Regulatory Matters

  4. Leadership

    Insurance segment president George Renaudin to retire by Q3 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2025-12-16) — Item 5.02 Insurance segment president to retire

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2025)

0.78x

Below depreciation — investment is being pared back

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$546M ÷ $698M = 0.78x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$5.64B

Latest year: $81M

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $964M in FY2020 to $546M in FY2025

  • Capex
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2020–FY2025, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2025)

$129.66B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+10.9%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($129,664M ÷ $77,155M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 10.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2025)

2.1%▼caution

-4.4pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$2,704M ÷ $129,664M × 100 = 2.1%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2025)

7.0%

6-year average: 15.4%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2025 end)

1.75x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$256.13 ÷ $146.42 = 1.75x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2025 end)

11.5x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($30,887M + $12,369M − $4,200M) ÷ ($2,704M + $698M) = 11.5x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +10.9% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $77.16B in FY2020 to $129.66B in FY2025. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▼

    Operating margin declined: 6.5% → 2.1%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved -4.4 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ―

    Equity ratio is 36.1% (a middling level)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 15.4% over 6 years (latest: 7.0%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Collects premiums mainly from the federal government (CMS) to cover Medicare members, and runs owned primary care, pharmacy and home health operations that serve those members.

How money and goods flow at Humana
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 67,060 associates
    • Provider networks and owned CenterWell clinics, pharmacies and home health operations
    • Medicare contracts with CMS renewed annually
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Insurance: Medicare Advantage, Part D, Medicare Supplement, Medicaid, specialty and military plans; PBM
    • CenterWell: primary care, pharmacy solutions, home solutions
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Medicare and Medicaid beneficiaries
    • CMS and state Medicaid agencies; military service personnel (TRICARE)
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Individual Medicare Advantage premiums $90,403M
    • State-based contracts and other $14,477M
    • Group MA $9,014M; stand-alone PDP $6,844M
    • CenterWell external revenue $4,816M (2025)

How the business makes money

  • 83% of 2025 premiums and services revenue came from federal government contracts; 14% from individual MA contracts in Florida.
  • 2025 income from operations: Insurance $1,664M, CenterWell $1,339M, eliminations/corporate −$299M.
  • Benefits expense $110.8B, up 10.1%.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

Humana depends on CMS contracts for Medicare Advantage.

  • Government as customer

    Government programs and contracts

    All material Medicare Advantage contracts with CMS were renewed for 2026.

    Supports and constrainsTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Government reimbursement

    Changes to Medicare reimbursement rates could affect its primary care and home health businesses.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

Revenue by segment (FY2025)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Insurance

    123,842 (96%)
  • CenterWell

    4,816 (4%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2025) External revenues. CenterWell also had $17,657M of intersegment revenue (services to Humana members), eliminated in consolidation. Total revenues incl. investment income $129,664M.

10

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

11

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Medicare, Medicaid and military beneficiaries; CMS and state agencies pay most premiums.

Named by the company

  • Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) — Federal government contracts were about 83% of 2025 premiums and services revenue, including 14% from individual MA contracts in Florida.Form 10-K (FY2025)

Suppliers

Hospitals, physicians and other providers in Humana’s networks; drug manufacturers through the PBM.

Named by the company

No single supplier is named as material.

12

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

Humana competes with other health plans, some more established with larger market share and greater resources; physician and practice management companies may compete directly, and its pharmacy competes with drugstores, retailers and mail-order pharmacies. The 10-K names no competitors.

Competitors named in the 10-K

The 10-K names no specific competitors.

Peer group the company chose

2025 compensation peer group (18 companies), from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Managed care, health care services and financial/insurance peers; Walgreens to be removed after going private in August 2025.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

13

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Line itemFY202010-K on EDGAR ↗FY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue77,15583,06492,870106,374117,761129,664
Operating income4,9863,1483,8004,0132,5622,704
Pretax income4,6743,4193,5643,3251,6201,438
Net income (attributable)3,3672,9332,8062,4891,2071,188
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—7.7%11.8%14.5%10.7%10.1%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 1006.5%3.8%4.1%3.8%2.2%2.1%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 1004.4%3.5%3.0%2.3%1.0%0.9%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets34,96944,35843,05547,06546,47948,909
Total equity13,72816,10315,37016,31816,44517,737
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable6,06010,5419,03410,21311,14412,369
Equity ratio39.3%36.3%35.6%34.6%35.2%36.1%
ROE24.5%19.7%17.9%15.8%7.4%7.0%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF5,6392,2624,5873,9812,966921
Investing CF-3,065-6,556-1,006-3,492-2,9522,273
Financing CF-1,9553,015-1,914-856-2,487-1,215
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures4,6759203,4502,9772,391375
Cash and equivalents4,6733,3945,0614,6942,2214,200
Per share & other
EPS ($)25.3122.6722.0820.009.989.84
BVPS ($)106.53124.84122.51133.05135.73146.42
Dividend per share ($)2.432.733.063.443.543.54
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 1009.6%12.0%13.9%17.2%35.5%36.0%
P/E (x)16.220.523.222.925.426.0
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)9.817.915.112.811.611.5
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share3.853.724.183.441.871.75

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-03-31$39.65B+23.5%$1.75B-12.9%$1.19B-4.7%$9.83
2025-12-31 †$32.52B+11.3%−$808M−$796M—
2025-09-30$32.65B+11.1%$400M-45.1%$195M-59.4%$1.62
2025-06-30$32.39B+9.6%$1.1B-3.8%$545M-19.7%$4.51
2025-03-31$32.11B$2.01B$1.24B$10.30
2024-12-31 †$29.21B−$543M−$693M—
2024-09-30$29.4B$728M$480M$3.98
2024-06-30$29.54B$1.14B$679M$5.62

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

14

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2025)

7.2%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$2,704M × (1 − 23.5%) ÷ $28,848M × 100 = 7.2%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

8.22%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $30.89B ÷ ($30.89B + $12.37B) = 71.4%

e.g.Debt weight: $12.37B ÷ ($30.89B + $12.37B) = 28.6%

e.g.WACC: 10.0% × 71.4% + 5.1% × (1 − 23.5%) × 28.6% = 8.22%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

-1.1pt▼caution

Falling short of the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in only 4 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 6.9%–9.8% and ROIC − WACC runs −2.6 to +0.2 points. The sign flips inside this range, so the result depends on the assumptions. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 8.22% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
0.91 (price-derived adjusted beta, but correlation with the market is low (R² 0.07), so reliability is limited)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
9.96%
Cost of debt
5.10%
Tax rate
23.5% (effective rate, FY2023–FY2025)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
71% : 29%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 8.22%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 0.91 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 0.86, R² 0.07, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 0.861 + 0.33 = 0.907

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity9.96%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 0.91 × 5.5% = 10.0%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$30.89B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$12.37B
Cost of debt5.10%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)71% : 29%

15

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

7.3%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 8.2% − 0.9%

Past FCF growth (FY2020–FY2025)

-39.6%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2020–FY2025)

+10.9%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2025): free cash flow $375M (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $42.14B = market cap $49.68B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $12.37B − cash and short-term investments $19.9B; r = WACC of 8.2% using this page’s default assumptions (β 0.91, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$41.67B

FCF $375M ÷ (8.2% − 7.3%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.99x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r6.2%7.2%8.2%9.2%10.2%
0%0.14x0.12x0.11x0.10x0.09x
2%0.21x0.17x0.14x0.12x0.11x
4%0.40x0.28x0.21x0.17x0.14x
6%4.45x0.74x0.40x0.28x0.21x
8%——4.45x0.74x0.40x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

16

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.49x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • ✓

    Accrual ratio (latest): 0.6%

    A small share of profit rests on accounting estimates.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 188%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 5 → 8 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Profit bridge (FY2025)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-19

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$921M ÷ $1,188M = 0.78x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$2,704M ÷ $1,438M × 100 = 188%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($2,704M + $3,270M) ÷ 2 ÷ $129,664M × 365 = 8 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

17

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
98.7%
Directors & officers (shares)
0.2%
Everyone else (est.)
1.1%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
0.2%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
76 of 416

1 = most institutional; 18% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
0.91

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 118.4M shares reported by 925 13F filers ÷ 120.1M shares outstanding on 2026-03-31. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-03-06 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-03-31)

18

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Scale in Medicare

    About 15 million medical members; Medicare products are about 86% of premiums and services revenue (H1 2026).

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

  2. 2. Integrated care assets

    CenterWell provides primary care, pharmacy and home health; $17.7B of 2025 revenue came from serving Humana’s own insurance members.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Revenue growth

    Revenue rose from $77.2B (2020) to $129.7B (2025); Q2 2026 revenue $40.9B versus $32.4B.

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Falling margins

    Net income fell from $3.37B (2020) to $1.19B (2025) as benefits costs rose.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Dependence on one payer

    83% of premiums and services revenue came from federal government contracts in 2025.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  3. 3. Star Ratings decline

    Lower Star Ratings for 2025 reduce 2026 quality bonus payments; Humana lost its court challenge and has appealed.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

19

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2025)

26.0x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2025)

1.38%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2025)

36%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2025)

1.2%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. Medicare growth

    Revenue grew strongly with Medicare membership.

    What has to hold
    Medical costs stabilize.
    The other side
    Profit per member has fallen since 2020.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

  2. 2. Integrated care

    CenterWell earns income from primary care, pharmacy and home health.

    What has to hold
    Value-based care improves costs.
    The other side
    Mostly serves Humana’s own members.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2025)

20

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2025)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

No debt due

$19.9B vs. $0

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

4.3x

$2.7B vs. $631M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

0.9x

$375M vs. $430M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-36.9% in FY2021 ($4.99B → $3.15B)Not yet, as of FY2025

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2020–FY2025), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income stayed above $1.1B in every year 2020–2025, though it fell from $3.4B to $1.2B.

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2025)

22

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
3
12
Med
4
5
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Law & regulation

    Medicare Advantage rates and rules

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    CMS sets MA rates, risk adjustment and Star Ratings; the Final RADV Rule (vacated by a district court) is on appeal at the Fifth Circuit.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Costs & inflation

    Medical cost trends

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Benefits expense rose 10.1% in 2025; higher utilization cuts margins.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  3. 3Customer/supplier concentration

    Government contracts

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    83% of premiums and services revenue from federal contracts; 14% from individual MA contracts in Florida.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  4. 4Law & regulation

    Litigation and investigations

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Securities class action, derivative suits, DOJ False Claims Act complaint over broker payments, and DOJ requests on risk adjustment practices.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Competition & technology shift

    Competition

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Some competitors have larger market share and greater financial resources in some markets.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood High

23

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (1)

  • it harder for us to conduct our business using AI/ML, require us to retrain our AI/ML, delete data produced by our AI/ML, or prevent or limit our use of AI/ML. Read more

    Our use of AI/ML technologies could also result in additional compliance costs, regulatory investigations, actions, fines or penalties, and consumer or other lawsuits.

No longer in the text (1)

  • • Our military services business, which accounted for approximately 1% of our total premiums and services revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily consisted of the TRICARE T2017 East Region contract. Read more

    We delivered services under the T2017 East Region contract from commencement on January 1, 2018 through expiration on December 31, 2024. The T2017 East Region contract comprised 32 states and approximately 6 million TRICARE beneficiaries. In December 2022, we were awarded the next generation of TRICARE Managed Care Support Contracts, or T-5, for the updated TRICARE East Region by the Defense Health Agency of the DoD. The T-5 East Region contract commenced on January 1, 2025 and comprises 24 states, and Washington D.C., and approximately 4.6 million beneficiaries. The transition period for the T-5 contract began in January 2024 and overlapped the final year of the T2017…

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2025 ↗.

24

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • 2027 Star Ratings and the Fifth Circuit appeal on 2025 Star Ratings.
  • Medical cost trend and benefit ratio.
  • Medicare Advantage membership growth.
  • RADV rule appeal (Humana v Kennedy).

25

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 25, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 25, 2026 09:35 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 19, 2026

Built on10-K FY2025 · filed 2026-02-19Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2026’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Humana’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.