KabuDo

NASDAQ: NVDA · Semiconductors

Nvidia

NVIDIA, based in Santa Clara, California, pioneered GPU-accelerated computing and now describes itself as a data center scale AI infrastructure company: GPUs, CPUs, networking, systems and the CUDA software stack used for AI training and inference, plus gaming, professional visualization and automotive chips. Fiscal 2026 (year ended January 25, 2026) revenue rose 65% to $215,938 million — Data Center $193,737 million (compute $162,361 million, networking $31,376 million) and Gaming $16,042 million — and net income was $120,067 million. Two direct customers accounted for 22% and 14% of revenue. It designs chips and outsources manufacturing to foundries such as TSMC and Samsung. In the first half of fiscal 2027 revenue reached $177,837 million (net income $118,010 million); it raised the quarterly dividend to $0.25, agreed in September 2026 to acquire Hugging Face for about $11.9 billion, and in August 2026 agreed to guarantee up to $105 billion of data-center lease values in Ohio where an OpenAI affiliate is the tenant.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 15:11 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2026 · filed 2026-02-2510-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26) · filed 2026-08-26Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2027’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

01

At a glanceFrom SEC data

Eight headline measures, each placed among the companies covered on this site.

Revenue growth
66.9%

Higher than 99% of 372 non-financial companies

Average yearly growth over the years shown

Operating margin
60.4%

Higher than 98% of 311 non-financial companies

Latest fiscal year (FY2026)

ROIC minus WACC
+74.1 pts

Higher than 99% of 311 non-financial companies

Return on capital above (or below) its estimated cost

Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.0x

Higher than 21% of 304 non-financial companies

Below 0 means more cash than debt

Cash conversion
0.86x

Higher than 5% of 349 non-financial companies

Operating cash flow ÷ net income

Dividend raises
2 of 5

Years the dividend per share rose, of the last 5

P/E today
25.9x

Latest close 2026-11-04; trailing 12 months to 2026-07-26

Beta
1.72

Above 1 = moves more than the market

Each marker shows where this company sits among the non-financial companies covered on this site, not all listed companies (left = lowest, right = highest). A high position is not automatically good — for net debt ÷ EBITDA, higher means more debt. Details and formulas are in the sections below and in How to read this.

02

Valuation todayFrom SEC data

Price-based measures at the latest close, next to the same measures at the last fiscal year-end.

Share price$205.71close on 2026-11-04

Market cap$4,999.58B

P/E today
25.9x

At FY2026 year-end: 38.3x

Earnings: trailing 12 months to 2026-07-26

P/B today
31.8x

At FY2026 year-end: 29.0x

Book value at FY2026 year-end

EV/EBITDA today
37.5x

At FY2026 year-end: 34.2x

EBITDA for FY2026

FCF yield today
1.9%

At FY2026 year-end: 2.1%

Free cash flow for FY2026

Dividend yield today
0.0%

Dividends per share for FY2026

“Today” uses the latest closing price (2026-11-04, Yahoo Finance daily closing prices) and shares outstanding at the last fiscal year-end. The rest of this page — including the financial table and ROIC vs. WACC — uses fiscal year-end prices. These are reference figures, not a judgment of whether the stock is cheap or expensive.

03

What changed since last earningsFrom SEC data

The latest reported quarter against the same quarter a year earlier, the balance sheet against the previous quarter-end, and what management said in its latest earnings release.

Quarter ended Jul 26, 2026.

  • Revenue↑ +105.9%$46.74B → $96.22B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Operating margin↑ +5.4 pts60.8% → 66.2% (vs. a year earlier)
  • Net income↑ +125.9%$26.42B → $59.69B (vs. a year earlier)
  • Diluted EPS↑ +127.8%$1.08 → $2.46 (vs. a year earlier)
  • Cash↑ +69.5%$13.24B → $22.44B (vs. previous quarter-end)
  • Long-term debt↑ +293.9%$8.47B → $33.37B (vs. previous quarter-end)

Source: Form 10-Q ↗ (SEC XBRL). Long-term debt is the tagged long-term debt figure and leaves out short-term borrowings.

04

Company profileFrom SEC dataShow

Legal name
NVIDIA CORP
Headquarters
SANTA CLARA, CA
Incorporated in
Delaware
Fiscal year end
01/31
Exchange & ticker
NASDAQ: NVDA
Industry
Semiconductors
CIK
1045810

Workforce (as of FY2026 year-end)

  • Employees

    42,000

Source: Form 10-K (FY2026) cover page and business description

05

Earnings calendarFrom SEC dataShow

When the company reports each quarter: the quarter-end date, the day results were released, and when the 10-Q or 10-K was filed.

Next report

Q3 FY2027

Quarter end: October 2026. In past years, Q3 results were released 23–24 days after quarter end (Nov 19, 2025; Nov 20, 2024; Nov 21, 2023). No date has been announced in the sources this site uses.

Reporting pattern

  • Fiscal year ends around January 31.
  • Reports four times a year: three quarterly reports (10-Q) and an annual report (10-K) for Q4.
  • Earnings releases came 23–31 days after quarter end over the last 12 quarters.
QuarterQuarter endedEarnings release (8-K)Report filed (10-Q / 10-K)
Q2 FY2027Jul 26, 2026Aug 26, 2026 (+31 days)Aug 26, 2026 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2027Apr 26, 2026May 20, 2026 (+24 days)May 20, 2026 10-Q (+24 days)
Q4 FY2026Jan 25, 2026Feb 25, 2026 (+31 days)Feb 25, 2026 10-K (+31 days)
Q3 FY2026Oct 26, 2025Nov 19, 2025 (+24 days)Nov 19, 2025 10-Q (+24 days)
Q2 FY2026Jul 27, 2025Aug 27, 2025 (+31 days)Aug 27, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2026Apr 27, 2025May 28, 2025 (+31 days)May 28, 2025 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2025Jan 26, 2025Feb 26, 2025 (+31 days)Feb 26, 2025 10-K (+31 days)
Q3 FY2025Oct 27, 2024Nov 20, 2024 (+24 days)Nov 20, 2024 10-Q (+24 days)
Q2 FY2025Jul 28, 2024Aug 28, 2024 (+31 days)Aug 28, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q1 FY2025Apr 28, 2024May 22, 2024 (+24 days)May 29, 2024 10-Q (+31 days)
Q4 FY2024Jan 28, 2024Feb 21, 2024 (+24 days)Feb 21, 2024 10-K (+24 days)
Q3 FY2024Oct 29, 2023Nov 21, 2023 (+23 days)Nov 21, 2023 10-Q (+23 days)

Source: SEC EDGAR filing history. Release dates are the dates the earnings release was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), which is normally the day results are announced. For a quarter whose 10-Q or 10-K isn’t filed yet, the date is the latest Item 2.02 8-K since the previous report, which may be a preliminary or other results-related update. Fiscal years are labeled by the calendar year in which they end.

06

Flagship products & servicesSite analysis

  • Compute & Networking

    Data Center compute

    Blackwell and other GPU platforms, Grace CPUs and full rack-scale AI systems for training and inference ($162,361M in FY2026).

  • Compute & Networking

    Networking

    Switches, network adapters, DPUs and cables/optics for data-center-scale computing ($31,376M).

  • Graphics

    Gaming

    GeForce RTX GPUs for PC gaming ($16,042M).

  • Graphics

    Professional Visualization

    RTX workstation graphics and Omniverse ($3,191M).

  • Compute & Networking

    Automotive and robotics

    DRIVE autonomous-vehicle platforms and Jetson robotics ($2,349M automotive).

From the Form 10-K, FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25.

U.S. and worldwide share of flagship products/services

NVIDIA gives no market-share figures; it says it is “the leader in accelerating and releasing open AI models.”

Reviewed: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25) · Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

07

Recent strategic focusSite analysis

Recent developments.

  1. First half FY2027

    Revenue $177,837M versus $90,805M; net income $118,010M versus $45,197M; Data Center $164,269M.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

  2. Capital returns

    Repurchased 203M shares for $39.8B in the first half of FY2027; added $80.0B authorization on May 18, 2026; quarterly dividend raised to $0.25 from $0.01.

    Source: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

  3. Hugging Face deal

    Agreed to acquire Hugging Face for about $11.9B on September 2, 2026.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-09-03) — Item 8.01 agreement to acquire Hugging Face

  4. Debt issuance

    Issued senior notes in June 2026, including $3.5B of 4.250% notes due 2028 and $4.0B of 4.500% notes due 2031.

    Source: Form 8-K (2026-06-18) — Item 8.01 senior notes offering

Capex ÷ D&A (FY2026)

2.13x

Well above depreciation — expansion-stage investment

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

e.g.$6,042M ÷ $2,843M = 2.13x

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

R&D-to-revenue ratio (FY2026)

8.6%

formularesearch & development expense ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$18,497M ÷ $215,938M × 100 = 8.6%

termsResearch & development (R&D) · Revenue (net sales)

M&A spend (6-year total)

$11.46B

Latest year: $1.54B

Cash-flow-statement spending on acquisitions, net of cash acquired

Where the money goes, over time

Unit: $M. Capex went from $1.13B in FY2021 to $6.04B in FY2026

  • Capex
  • R&D
  • M&A spend

formulacapital expenditures ÷ depreciation & amortization

termsCapital expenditures (capex) · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

08

Key figures at a glanceFrom SEC data

FY2021–FY2026, 6 years.

Revenue (FY2026)

$215.94B

As reported in the 10-K

Revenue CAGR (5 years)

+66.9%▲favorable

formula(last-period revenue ÷ first-period revenue) ^ (1 ÷ years) − 1

e.g.($215,938M ÷ $16,675M) ^ (1÷5) − 1 = 66.9%

termsCAGR · ^ (exponent) · Revenue (net sales)

Operating margin (FY2026)

60.4%▲favorable

+33.2pt vs. 5 years ago

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

e.g.$130,387M ÷ $215,938M × 100 = 60.4%

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

ROE (FY2026)

101.5%▲favorable

6-year average: 66.8%

As reported in the 10-K

P/B (FY2026 end)

29.00x

formulafiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share

e.g.$187.67 ÷ $6.47 = 29.00x

termsP/B · BVPS

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's P/B

EV/EBITDA (FY2026 end)

34.2x

formula(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)

e.g.($4,561,132M + $8,468M − $10,605M) ÷ ($130,387M + $2,843M) = 34.2x

termsEV/EBITDA · Market capitalization · Interest-bearing debt · EBITDA · Depreciation & amortization (D&A)

Period-end (fiscal year-end) value, not today's multiple

  • ▲

    Revenue grew +66.9% a year over 5 years (strong growth)

    From $16.68B in FY2021 to $215.94B in FY2026. The annualized rate (CAGR) makes it possible to compare growth pace across companies of different sizes.

  • ▲

    Operating margin improved: 27.2% → 60.4%

    How much operating profit is left per $100 of revenue. It moved +33.2 points over 5 years — pricing power, cost control, and product mix all show up here.

  • ▲

    Equity ratio is 76.1% (a high level of financial stability)

    The share of total assets funded by equity rather than debt. 50%+ is often read as low bankruptcy risk, though the right level varies by industry (real estate and leasing run lower, for instance).

  • ▲

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 6 years

    Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures: the cash left over after funding the business’s own investment, available for dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, or debt paydown. A negative year can mean heavy investment, or weak core earnings — worth distinguishing.

  • ▲

    ROE averaged 66.8% over 6 years (latest: 101.5%)

    How much profit was generated on shareholders’ equity. Roughly 10%+ is often cited as solid for a U.S. company, though this varies a lot by industry and capital intensity.

09

Business modelSite analysis

Designs GPUs, CPUs, networking and full data-center systems plus software (CUDA, libraries, AI frameworks), has them manufactured by foundries and contract manufacturers, and sells to cloud providers, OEMs, system integrators and distributors.

How money and goods flow at Nvidia
  1. 01 what it draws on

    Inputs & resources

    • About 42,000 employees, 31,000 in R&D
    • Foundries (TSMC, Samsung), memory (SK Hynix, Micron, Samsung), CoWoS packaging
    • CUDA software ecosystem
  2. 02 what it does

    Activities

    • Compute & Networking: data center platforms, networking, automotive, Jetson robotics
    • Graphics: GeForce gaming GPUs, RTX workstation graphics, Omniverse
  3. 03 who it serves

    Customers

    • Hyperscale cloud providers, AI clouds, enterprises
    • OEMs, system integrators and distributors
    • Gamers and creators
  4. 04 how money comes in

    How it earns

    • Data Center $193,737M (FY2026)
    • Gaming $16,042M
    • Professional Visualization $3,191M; Automotive $2,349M; OEM and other $619M

How the business makes money

  • Two direct customers represented 22% and 14% of FY2026 revenue.
  • Revenue by customer headquarters: U.S. $149.6B, Taiwan $42.3B, China incl. Hong Kong $19.7B.
  • A $4.5B H20 charge was taken in Q1 FY2026 after U.S. export licensing requirements for China.

Government & regulation around the business

Non-market factors from the company’s filings: what governments and regulators fund, buy, set, approve or restrict, and which part of the flow above each one touches.

U.S. export controls decide which of NVIDIA’s data-center products can be sold to China, and on what terms.

  • Trade & export rules

    China export licensing

    Export rules required licenses for H20; NVIDIA took a $4.5B charge in Q1 FY2026 for excess H20 inventory and purchase obligations, later received some licenses, and in February 2026 a license to ship small amounts of H200 to specific Chinese customers.

    Constrains the businessTouches: Customers · How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2026)

  • Regulated prices & reimbursement

    Revenue share expected by the U.S. government

    U.S. government officials said they expect 15% or more of revenue from licensed sales of its products to China, though no regulation codified the requirement.

    Constrains the businessTouches: How it earns

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2026)

Revenue by segment (FY2026)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • Compute & Networking

    193,479 (90%)
  • Graphics

    22,459 (10%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25) Reportable segment revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 25, 2026); total $215,938M.

10

Where it earnsSite analysis

Many U.S.-listed companies earn most of their revenue outside the U.S. — this breaks down revenue by country/region so it's clear where the business actually makes its money.

Largest market (FY2026)

United States — 69% of revenue

Revenue by country / region (FY2026)

Unit: $M — bar length = revenue, (%) = share of total company revenue

  • United States

    149,617 (69%)
  • Taiwan

    42,345 (20%)
  • China (incl. Hong Kong)

    19,677 (9%)
  • Other

    4,299 (2%)

Source: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25) Revenue by customer headquarters location (changed in Q3 FY2026); NVIDIA estimates 76% of Data Center revenue from Taiwan-headquartered customers was attributed to end customers in the U.S. and Europe.

11

Contract structureSite analysisShow

Short-term or spot sales carry different earnings quality than long-term or auto-renewing contracts — this shows how the company actually contracts with its customers.

12

Alliances & capital tiesSite analysisShow

Equity stakes, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships disclosed across the 10-K, 8-Ks, and proxy statement.

13

Customers & suppliersSite analysis

Who the company sells to and buys from. Companies rarely name either, so named counterparties come only from the company's own filings and press releases; otherwise this lists the concentration figures the 10-K discloses.

Customers

Cloud service providers, AI clouds, enterprises, OEMs, system integrators and distributors.

Named by the company

Two direct customers represented 22% and 14% of FY2026 revenue; NVIDIA estimates one AI research and deployment company contributed a meaningful amount of revenue by buying cloud services from its customers.

Suppliers

TSMC and Samsung (wafers), SK Hynix, Micron and Samsung (memory), CoWoS packaging and contract manufacturers.

Named by the company

Named in Item 1 of the 10-K.

14

Competitors & peersSite analysis

Competitors the 10-K names, and the peer group the company itself chose in its proxy statement. Nothing here is this site's own pick.

The 10-K names competitors by product area.

Competitors named in the 10-K

Peer group the company chose

Fiscal 2026 compensation peer group, from the proxy statement. Peers are companies the board considers comparable — for example when setting executive pay — not necessarily direct competitors.

Peers sized at about 1/3–3.5x NVIDIA’s revenue or market cap; Adobe, AMD and SAP removed and Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft added.

Source: Proxy statement (2026)

Company names link to this site’s analysis where one exists; “site ↗” opens the company’s own website.

15

Six years of financialsFrom SEC data

Each chart's axis holds a single unit (never mixing dollars, %, and $/share). The table's per-period header links to the filing the numbers came from.

Revenue over time

Unit: $M

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit over time (operating → net)

Unit: $M

  • Operating income
  • Pretax income
  • Net income

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Margins over time

Unit: %

  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

formulaoperating income ÷ revenue × 100

termsOperating income · Revenue (net sales)

formulanet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company)

Cash flow over time

Unit: $M (below zero = cash went out)

  • Operating CF
  • Investing CF
  • Free CF

formulacash flow from operations − capital expenditures

termsFree cash flow (FCF) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Capital expenditures (capex)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Financial stability & capital efficiency

Unit: %

  • Equity ratio
  • ROE

formulatotal equity ÷ total assets × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsStockholders’ equity · Total assets

formulanet income ÷ average equity (beginning + ending, ÷2) × 100 (as reported in the 10-K)

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Stockholders’ equity

Earnings per share (EPS) and dividend per share

Unit: $

  • EPS
  • Dividend per share

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Line itemFY202110-K on EDGAR ↗FY202210-K on EDGAR ↗FY202310-K on EDGAR ↗FY202410-K on EDGAR ↗FY202510-K on EDGAR ↗FY202610-K on EDGAR ↗
Income statement ($M)
Revenue16,67526,91426,97460,922130,497215,938
Operating income4,53210,0414,22432,97281,453130,387
Pretax income4,4099,9414,18133,81884,026141,450
Net income (attributable)4,3329,7524,36829,76072,880120,067
Revenue growthcalc(this year’s revenue − last year’s revenue) ÷ last year’s revenue × 100—61.4%0.2%125.9%114.2%65.5%
Operating margincalcoperating income ÷ revenue × 10027.2%37.3%15.7%54.1%62.4%60.4%
Net margincalcnet income attributable to the company ÷ revenue × 10026.0%36.2%16.2%48.8%55.8%55.6%
Balance sheet ($M)
Total assets28,79144,18741,18265,728111,601206,803
Total equity16,89326,61222,10142,97879,327157,293
Interest-bearing debtSum of short- and long-term borrowings, notes/bonds payable6,96310,94610,9539,7098,4638,468
Equity ratio58.7%60.2%53.7%65.4%71.1%76.1%
ROE25.6%44.8%17.9%91.5%119.2%101.5%
Cash flow ($M)
Operating CF5,8229,1085,64128,09064,089102,718
Investing CF-19,675-9,8307,375-10,566-20,421-52,228
Financing CF3,8041,865-11,617-13,633-42,359-48,474
Free cash flowcalccash flow from operations − capital expenditures4,6948,1323,80827,02160,85396,676
Cash and equivalents8471,9903,3897,2808,58910,605
Per share & other
EPS ($)0.170.390.171.192.944.90
BVPS ($)0.681.060.901.743.246.47
Dividend per share ($)0.020.020.020.020.030.04
Payout ratiocalcdividend per share ÷ diluted EPS × 1009.2%4.2%9.4%1.3%1.2%0.8%
P/E (x)75.159.3119.851.348.538.3
EV/EBITDA (x)calc(market cap + interest-bearing debt − cash and equivalents) ÷ (operating income + depreciation & amortization)58.351.888.443.741.934.2
P/B (x)calcfiscal year-end closing price ÷ book value per share19.0621.5122.7234.9944.0129.00

P/B and EV/EBITDA use each period’s period-end (fiscal year-end) figures, not the current share price. Figures without a "calc" tag are as reported in the Form 10-K (the consolidated financial statements and, for older years, earlier 10-Ks), pulled automatically from SEC EDGAR. Where a later filing restated a prior period, the restated figure is used.

Last 8 quarters

Three-month figures from 10-Q filings. Change is versus the same quarter a year earlier. Newest quarter on top.

Quarter endedRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeDiluted EPS
2026-07-26$96.22B+105.9%$63.73B+124.1%$59.69B+125.9%$2.46
2026-04-26$81.62B+85.2%$53.54B+147.4%$58.32B+210.6%$2.39
2026-01-25 †$68.13B+73.2%$44.3B+84.3%$42.96B+94.5%—
2025-10-26$57.01B+62.5%$36.01B+64.7%$31.91B+65.3%$1.30
2025-07-27$46.74B$28.44B$26.42B$1.08
2025-04-27$44.06B$21.64B$18.78B$0.76
2025-01-26 †$39.33B$24.03B$22.09B—
2024-10-27$35.08B$21.87B$19.31B$0.78

† Fourth quarter = the 10-K’s annual figure minus the first three quarters; quarterly EPS isn’t derived this way because share counts change during the year.

16

Is ROIC above WACC?From SEC data

ROIC (the return on money invested in the business) above WACC (the cost of raising that money) means the company is creating value. WACC is an estimate, so its assumptions can be adjusted below.

ROIC (FY2026)

88.4%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

e.g.$130,387M × (1 − 14%) ÷ $126,776M × 100 = 88.4%

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

WACC (this site’s estimate)

14.39%

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

e.g.Equity weight: $4,561.13B ÷ ($4,561.13B + $8.47B) = 99.8%

e.g.Debt weight: $8.47B ÷ ($4,561.13B + $8.47B) = 0.2%

e.g.WACC: 14.4% × 99.8% + 3.1% × (1 − 14%) × 0.2% = 14.39%

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

ROIC − WACC

+74.1pt▲favorable

Earning more than the cost of capital (ROIC > WACC in 5 of 6 years)

formulaROIC − WACC (positive means the business earns more than its cost of capital)

termsROIC · WACC

How firm is this? With the equity risk premium ±1 point and beta ±0.2, WACC runs 11.8%–17.4% and ROIC − WACC runs +71.0 to +76.7 points. The sign holds across this range. This describes the latest year and does not predict future value creation.

WACC 14.39% is this site’s estimate under the assumptions below (not a figure the company has published)

Risk-free rate
4.95% (10-year Treasury, 2026-11-03)
β
1.72 (price-derived adjusted beta)
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Cost of equity
14.41%
Cost of debt
3.06%
Tax rate
14% (effective rate, FY2024–FY2026)
Capital structure (equity : debt)
100% : 0%
→ Change assumptions and recalculate

ROIC over time, vs. WACC

Unit: % — bars = each period's ROIC, horizontal line = latest WACC. Bars above the line are green, below are red

  • ROIC (above WACC)
  • ROIC (below WACC)
  • WACC 14.39%

formulaoperating income × (1 − tax rate) ÷ invested capital × 100 *invested capital = interest-bearing debt + total equity (average of beginning/ending)

termsOperating income · Effective tax rate · Invested capital · Interest-bearing debt · Total equity

formulacost of equity × equity weight + cost of debt × (1 − tax rate) × debt weight

termsCost of equity · Equity weight (E/(D+E)) · Cost of debt · (1 − tax rate) · Debt weight (D/(D+E)) · Market capitalization

Try different WACC assumptions

β and the equity risk premium are estimates with a real range of plausible values — move the sliders to check whether ROIC > WACC still holds. The risk-free rate starts at the 10-year Treasury yield on 2026-11-03 (U.S. Treasury).

Initial β: 1.72 (price-derived adjusted beta. Raw β 2.08, R² 0.48, 130 weeks)

formula0.67 × β + 0.33 (β = the slope of weekly stock returns regressed on weekly market returns)

e.g.0.67 × 2.080 + 0.33 = 1.723

termsβ (beta)

Period 2024-05-10–2026-11-04, using S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the market proxy. Source: Yahoo Finance price history.

Cost of equity14.41%

formularisk-free rate + β × equity risk premium

e.g.5.0% + 1.72 × 5.5% = 14.4%

termsCAPM · Risk-free rate · β (beta) · Equity risk premium (market risk premium)

Market value of equity$4,561.13B

formulafiscal year-end closing price × shares outstanding (= market cap)

termsMarket capitalization · Market value of equity

Interest-bearing debt$8.47B
Cost of debt3.06%

formulainterest expense ÷ interest-bearing debt × 100 (clamped to 0–10%; falls back to the risk-free rate if there’s no debt)

termsInterest-bearing debt · Risk-free rate

Capital structure (equity weight : debt weight)100% : 0%

17

What the price implies (DCF)From SEC data

A company's value can be written as its free cash flow divided by (cost of capital − perpetual growth). Working that backwards from the market's valuation shows how much growth the share price assumed — compared here with the company's actual past growth.

Growth the price implies (price on 2026-11-04)

12.5%

Perpetual FCF growth: g = r − FCF ÷ EV = 14.4% − 1.9%

Past FCF growth (FY2021–FY2026)

+83.1%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Past revenue growth (FY2021–FY2026)

+66.9%

Compound annual rate, 5 years

Inputs (FY2026): free cash flow $96.68B (operating CF − capex); enterprise value $4,997.44B = market cap $4,999.58B (latest close, 2026-11-04) + debt $8.47B − cash and short-term investments $10.61B; r = WACC of 14.4% using this page’s default assumptions (β 1.72, risk-free 5.0%, market premium 5.5%).

Three WACC scenarios

The same calculation under cautious, base and optimistic cost-of-capital assumptions (risk-free rate fixed at the 10-year Treasury yield). Pick one to load it into the sliders below.

Try your own assumptions

V = FCF ÷ (r − g). It starts at the implied growth rate, where the theoretical value equals today’s enterprise value.

Theoretical enterprise value

$4,028.17B

FCF $96.68B ÷ (14.4% − 12.0%)

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value

0.81x

Below 1x: these assumptions value the business below the market did

How sensitive the answer is

Theoretical ÷ actual enterprise value for each combination of r and g.

g \ r12.4%13.4%14.4%15.4%16.4%
0%0.16x0.14x0.13x0.13x0.12x
2%0.19x0.17x0.16x0.14x0.13x
4%0.23x0.21x0.19x0.17x0.16x
6%0.30x0.26x0.23x0.21x0.19x
8%0.44x0.36x0.30x0.26x0.23x

A simplified model for seeing what the market price assumes, not a forecast or a target price. It treats free cash flow as growing at one constant rate forever; the result swings widely with small changes in r and g, and is undefined when g reaches r. Free cash flow here is operating cash flow minus capex, which is after interest — a full DCF of enterprise value would use cash flow before interest. Market cap uses the latest close (2026-11-04) × shares at fiscal year-end; free cash flow and WACC inputs are from the latest fiscal year.

18

Earnings qualityFrom SEC dataShow

The same reported profit can mean different things depending on whether it's backed by cash, driven by the core business, or the result of a one-off item. Four checks below.

  • ✓

    Operating CF ÷ net income: averages 1.04x

    Profit is backed by cash coming in.

  • !

    Accrual ratio (latest): 10.9%

    A larger share of profit is non-cash accruals, which research associates with profit that tends to fade in later periods.

  • ✓

    Core-earnings share (operating income ÷ pretax income): 92%

    Most profit comes from core operations.

  • ✓

    Days sales outstanding: 53 → 52 days

    No major slowdown in collecting on sales.

Operating CF vs. net income

Unit: $M — operating CF above net income means profit is backed by cash

  • Operating CF
  • Net income

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formula(net income − operating CF) ÷ average total assets × 100

termsNet income (attributable to the company) · Cash flow from operations (operating CF) · Total assets

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Profit bridge (FY2026)

Unit: $M — what moved profit from operating income to net income

  • Profit (each stage)
  • Pushed profit up
  • Pushed profit down

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

Source: each period's Form 10-K (SEC EDGAR). Latest: filed 2026-02-25

Receivables & inventory days

Unit: days — days grow when receivables or inventory build up faster than sales

  • Days sales outstanding
  • Days inventory outstanding

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

Worked examples (latest period)

formulacash flow from operations ÷ net income attributable to the company

e.g.$102,718M ÷ $120,067M = 0.86x

termsCash flow from operations (operating CF) · Net income (attributable to the company)

formulaoperating income ÷ income before income taxes × 100

e.g.$130,387M ÷ $141,450M × 100 = 92%

termsOperating income · Income before income taxes (pretax income)

formulaaverage receivables (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ revenue × 365

e.g.($23,065M + $38,466M) ÷ 2 ÷ $215,938M × 365 = 52 days

termsAccounts receivable · Revenue (net sales)

formulaaverage inventory (opening + closing ÷ 2) ÷ cost of revenue × 365

e.g.($10,080M + $21,403M) ÷ 2 ÷ $62,475M × 365 = 92 days

termsInventory · Cost of revenue (COGS)

19

Who holds the sharesFrom SEC dataShow

How much of the stock large institutional investors report owning on SEC Form 13F, how much the directors and executive officers hold (and how much of the vote they control), and roughly how much is left for individual investors. Shown next to beta so the holder mix can be read alongside how much the stock swings.

Institutions, insiders and everyone else, 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30

“Everyone else” is what remains after shares reported on Form 13F and shares held by directors and executive officers: mostly individual investors, plus non-insider families or foundations and smaller or foreign institutions. The figures have different dates and 13F reports count some shares twice — read it as an approximate split.

Held by 13F filers
69.4%
Directors & officers (shares)
3.9%
Everyone else (est.)
26.7%

individuals and other non-13F holders

Directors & officers (voting power)
3.9%

no separate voting figure; shown as shares

Institutional-ownership rank
380 of 416

1 = most institutional; 91% of covered companies have more

Beta (adjusted)
1.72

above 1 = swings more than the market

  • 16,793.3M shares reported by 5,960 13F filers ÷ 24,200.0M shares outstanding on 2026-05-15. Option positions are excluded.
  • Directors and executive officers as a group, from the proxy statement’s beneficial-ownership table; includes shares they can acquire within 60 days.
  • A large “everyone else” share can still reflect a family, trust or foundation stake held outside the board; check the proxy statement’s 5% holders.

Sources: SEC Form 13F data set (holdings as of 2026-06-30) · Form DEF 14A filed 2026-05-12 (beneficial ownership table) · Form 10-Q cover page (shares outstanding as of 2026-05-15)

20

Strengths & weaknessesSite analysis

Strengths

  1. 1. Explosive growth

    Revenue rose from $16,675M (FY2021) to $215,938M (FY2026); net income from $4,332M to $120,067M.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

  2. 2. Very high margins

    Operating income of $130,387M on $215,938M revenue in FY2026.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

  3. 3. Full-stack platform

    CUDA and hundreds of domain-specific libraries run on all NVIDIA GPUs, with data-center-scale systems co-designed from chips to software.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

Weaknesses

  1. 1. Customer concentration

    Two direct customers were 22% and 14% of FY2026 revenue; three were 16%, 15% and 13% in the first half of FY2027.

    Evidence: Form 10-Q (quarter ended 2026-07-26)

  2. 2. Outsourced manufacturing

    Depends on TSMC and Samsung for wafers and on a few memory suppliers.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

  3. 3. Export controls

    Took a $4.5B H20 charge in Q1 FY2026 after U.S. licensing requirements for China.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

  4. 4. Export-control exposure

    A $4.5B H20 charge in Q1 FY2026 followed new U.S. licensing requirements for China.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026)

21

What draws investors to itSite analysis

Why the stock can look attractive to investors — each point paired with what has to hold for it to stay true, and the opposing view. This is this site's analysis, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

P/E (FY2026)

38.3x

Price at fiscal year-end ÷ diluted EPS

Dividend yield (FY2026)

0.02%

Dividends per share ÷ fiscal year-end price

Payout ratio (FY2026)

1%

Dividends per share ÷ diluted EPS

FCF yield (FY2026)

2.1%

(Operating CF − capex) ÷ market cap

  1. 1. AI infrastructure leader

    Data Center revenue grew from $47,525M (FY2024) to $193,737M (FY2026).

    What has to hold
    AI capital spending keeps rising.
    The other side
    Customers design their own chips; demand cycles.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

  2. 2. Massive cash generation and returns

    Operating cash flow of $102,718M in FY2026; buybacks of $40.4B and a much higher dividend.

    What has to hold
    Margins stay high.
    The other side
    Large commitments and investments.

    Evidence: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

Fiscal years end in late January. FY2021–FY2023 EPS, dividends, shares and book value per share restated by this site for the June 2024 10-for-1 split.

22

ResilienceSite analysisShow

How well the company could absorb a bad year: its financial buffer, how its revenue and profit held up in the worst year on record, and what the 10-K says about the business's exposure to shocks. Figures and filing statements only — no overall rating.

1. Financial buffer (FY2026)

Cash & short-term investments ÷ debt due within a year

10.6x

$10.61B vs. $999M

Interest coverage (operating income ÷ interest expense)

503.4x

$130.39B vs. $259M

Free cash flow ÷ dividends paid

99.3x

$96.68B vs. $974M (FCF = operating CF − capex)

2. Worst year in the record, and the recovery

FigureWorst year-over-year changeBack to the prior level?
RevenueNo decline in the record—
Operating income-57.9% in FY2023 ($10.04B → $4.22B)Yes, by FY2024

Covers only the 6 fiscal years on record (FY2021–FY2026), which may not include a full recession — the worst year here isn’t necessarily how the company would fare in a severe downturn.

3. Business resilience (from the 10-K)

  • Profitable every year

    Net income stayed positive every year FY2021–FY2026, with a low of $4,332M (FY2021).

    Source: Form 10-K (FY2026, year ended 2026-01-25)

24

Risks (including geopolitical)Site analysis

Starting from the 10-K's Risk Factors section, organized by category — geopolitical, currency, raw materials, regulatory, disaster, and more — with impact and likelihood assessed by this site.

Risk map

Vertical = impact on results, horizontal = likelihood. Upper right = most severe. Numbers match the list below (placement is this site’s own assessment).

Impact
High
4
123
Med
5
Low
LowMedHigh

Likelihood →

"Company disclosure" vs. "this site’s assessment"

The description and mitigation for each risk are this site’s summary of the 10-K’s "Risk Factors" section. Impact and likelihood are this site’s own assessment, not the company’s — where the company discloses its own likelihood assessment, that is noted in the summary.

Impact is judged from how large the affected business is relative to total revenue/profit, and from the risk’s track record of moving results in the past. Likelihood is judged from the filing’s wording and the current business environment (already occurring, or recurring). See the rating criteria.

  1. 1Geopolitics & supply chain

    Export controls and China

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    U.S. licensing rules on advanced chips to China; H200 shipments under a new license program are subject to a 25% tariff on U.S. import.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  2. 2Customer/supplier concentration

    Few large customers

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    A limited number of direct and indirect customers each exceed 10% of revenue.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  3. 3Competition & technology shift

    Custom chips and rivals

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Competes with AMD, Intel, Huawei and with cloud providers’ in-house AI chips (Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and others).
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood High
  4. 4Geopolitics & supply chain

    Foundry dependence

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Wafers from TSMC and Samsung; capacity and Taiwan-related disruptions could limit supply.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    Not stated in the filings.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact High / Likelihood Med
  5. 5Funding & liquidity

    Large commitments

    Company disclosure (summarized from the 10-K)
    Residual value guaranties of up to $105B for OpenAI-tenant data-center leases and large investment commitments.
    Company’s stated mitigation
    In January 2026, we increased the size of our commercial paper program from $ 575 million to $ 25.0 billion.
    This site’s assessment
    Impact Med / Likelihood Med

25

What changed in the risk factorsFrom SEC data

Paragraphs in the latest 10-K's Risk Factors that have little overlap with the year before, and paragraphs that were dropped.

New or substantially reworded (8)

  • We have entered into an intellectual property license arrangement with Groq, Inc., or Groq, that required significant, nonrefundable payments. Read more

    Successfully incorporating the licensed technology into our architectures and product roadmaps requires significant engineering effort and may not occur on expected timelines or at all. The licensed technology may not achieve the desired results as designed or achieve customer or ecosystem adoption. The economic outcomes of this arrangement depend on our ability to translate the licensed technology into commercially viable products and services over time, and we may be unable to recover the associated costs or realize an adequate return on this spend. If our efforts to use the licensed technology are delayed or unsuccessful, our business, operating results, and financial condition could be negatively impacted.

  • The availability of data centers, energy, and capital to support the buildout of NVIDIA AI infrastructure by our customers and partners is crucial, and any shortage of these and other necessary resources could impact our future revenue and financial performance. Expanding energy capacity to meet demand is a complex, multi-year process involving significant regulatory, technical, and construction challenges. In addition, access to capital can be particularly constrained for less-capitalized companies, which may face difficulties securing financing for large-scale infrastructure projects. These limitations could delay customer and partner deployments or reduce the scale of accelerated computing and AI adoption.

  • We are increasing our U.S.-based manufacturing and investing in specialized equipment and processes to support domestic production. Read more

    We may experience delays or difficulties in scaling production as planned. Our ability to increase manufacturing capabilities will depend on the domestic manufacturing ecosystem's capacity to ramp production supply to the required volume timely. Delays or shortfalls could impact our ability to meet demand.

  • We are finalizing an investment and partnership agreement with OpenAI. Read more

    There is no assurance that we will enter into an investment and partnership agreement with OpenAI or that a transaction will be completed.

  • We have entered and may in the future enter into commercial arrangements, including long-term capacity purchase obligations and financial guarantees, and have been asked to offer financing arrangements to support our customers’ and partners’ buildout of datacenter infrastructure. We have not entered into any financing arrangements. Commercial arrangements expose us to counterparty risk, including customers' or partners' inability to fulfill their financial commitments and secure necessary financing or infrastructure, the occurrence of significant project delays, and counterparty financial distress or insolvency, all of which may negatively impact our business, financial condition, or results of operations. Financing arrangements, if undertaken, may in some circumstances result in lower upfront cash flows associated with extended payment terms or payment terms made over a multi-year term…

  • In April 2025, the USG informed us that it requires a license for export to China (including Hong Kong and Macau) and D:5 countries, or to companies headquartered or with an ultimate parent therein, of our H20 integrated circuits and any other circuits achieving the H20’s memory bandwidth, interconnect bandwidth, or combination thereof. As a result of these requirements, we incurred a $4.5 billion charge in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 associated with H20 for excess inventory and purchase obligations, as the demand for H20 products diminished.

  • In August 2025, the USG granted licenses that would allow us to ship certain H20 products to certain China-based customers. Read more

    We generated approximately $60 million in H20 revenue under those licenses. USG officials expressed an expectation that the USG will receive 15% or more of the revenue generated from licensed sales of our products, but the USG did not publish a regulation codifying such requirement.

  • In February 2026, the USG granted a license that would allow us to ship small amounts of H200 products to specific China-based customers. Read more

    To date, we have not generated any revenue under the H200 licensing program, and do not yet know whether any imports will be allowed into China. The license requires that the H200s go through an inspection process in the United States prior to any shipment to the customer. As a result, any H200 shipped under the new licensing program will be subject to a 25% tariff upon importation into the United States.

No longer in the text (4)

  • On October 23, 2023, the USG informed us that the licensing requirements were effective immediately for shipments of our A100, A800, H100, H800, and L40S products (removing the grace period granted by the official rule). Read more

    Blackwell systems, such as GB200 NVL 72 and NVL 36 as well as B200 are also subject to these requirements and therefore require a license for any shipment to certain entities and to China and Country Groups D1, D4, and D5, excluding Israel. To date, we have not received licenses to ship these restricted products to China.

  • On January 15, 2025, the USG published the “AI Diffusion” IFR in the Federal Register. Read more

    After a 120-day delayed compliance period, the IFR will, unless modified, impose a worldwide licensing requirement on all products classified under Export Control Classification Numbers, or ECCNs, 3A090.a, 4A090.a, or corresponding .z ECCNs, including all related software and technology. Any system that incorporates one or more of the covered integrated circuits, or ICs, (including but not limited to NVIDIA DGX, HGX, and MGX systems) will be covered by the new licensing requirement. The licensing requirement will include future NVIDIA ICs, boards, or systems classified with ECCN 3A090.a or 4A090.a, or corresponding .z ECCNs, achieving certain total processing performance and/or performance density.

  • Unless a license exception is available, the worldwide licensing requirements will apply to the following NVIDIA products, and any others we develop that meet the characteristics of 3A090.a or 4A090.a, including but not limited to: Read more

    A100, A800, H100, H200, H800, B100, B200, GB200, L4, L40S, and RTX 6000 Ada.

  • The AI Diffusion IFR would divide the world into three tiers, relegating most countries to “Tier 2” status. Read more

    The AI Diffusion IFR would confer special benefits on select “Universal Verified End Users”, or UVEU, and lesser benefits on “National Verified End Users”, or NVEU. The AI Diffusion IFR would have numerous effects that may negatively impact our long-term financial results and competitive position, including but not limited to the following.

13 more paragraphs differ; the filings below have the full text.

Matched automatically, quoted as filed, and may include rewording of an existing risk. Compares Item 1A of the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026 ↗ with the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2025 ↗.

26

What to watch going forwardSite analysis

  • Data Center growth and customer concentration.
  • China export licensing and tariffs.
  • Closing of the Hugging Face acquisition (expected first half of 2027).
  • Lease guarantees at the Ohio PORTS campus (first phase expected in 2028).

27

Source documentsShow

This page's financial figures come from the Form 10-Ks listed below. Check the original filings for full detail.

Last updated

Analysis last edited: October 31, 2026 · Financial data fetched: October 30, 2026 15:11 (SEC EDGAR) · Source 10-K filed: February 25, 2026

Built on10-K FY2026 · filed 2026-02-25Proxy statement (2026)

Next update expectedAfter FY2027’s 10-K is filed (roughly 60–90 days after fiscal year end (sooner for larger filers)), financials and analysis will be refreshed.

This page is this site’s own analysis based on public information, and does not represent Nvidia’s views. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and this site does not guarantee the accuracy of any figure or statement here. Always verify against the original source documents before making an investment decision.